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Form
Ligue 1 2025-2026 • Matchweek 20
Preview
Lorient
Lorient
9th place
Form
VS
18:00
31 Jan 2026
Nantes
Nantes
16th place
Form
AI Prediction Both Teams to Score
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Lorient vs Nantes: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 31 January, 2026 12:00

Winner (1x2)1.91
Lorient to Win
Probability 55%
Total Goals2.12
Over 2.5
Probability 63%
Both Teams to Score1.97
Yes
Probability 63%
Lorient Total1.23
Home Under 2.5
Probability 67%
Nantes Total1.28
Away Under 1.5
Probability 63%
Double Chance1.24
Lorient/Draw
Probability 75%
Asian Handicap1.24
Lorient +0.5
Probability 76%
Best Tip
Value
Both Teams Score Both Teams Score
Odds 1.97
Win Prob. 63.1% EV: +24.3%
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Prediction League
Ligue 1 2025-2026
18:00
Lorient W 53%
:
Nantes W 25%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Lorient
w d d w w
9 Played
4 Wins
4 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (18 total)
xG
1.80 (16.6 total)
Shots per Match
13.2 (119 total)
Shots on Target
5 (38% acc)
Corners
2.8 (25 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.4 (94 total)
Offsides
2.3 (21 total)
10 Played
2 Wins
3 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (7 total)
xG
1.10 (10.8 total)
Shots per Match
10 (100 total)
Shots on Target
2.6 (26% acc)
Corners
3.2 (32 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
9.4 (94 total)
Offsides
1 (10 total)
19 Played
6 Wins
7 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (25 total)
xG
1.40 (27.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.5 (219 total)
Shots on Target
3.7 (32% acc)
Corners
3 (57 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
9.9 (188 total)
Offsides
1.6 (31 total)
Nantes
l l w l l
10 Played
1 Wins
2 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (10 total)
xG
0.90 (8.9 total)
Shots per Match
10.2 (102 total)
Shots on Target
2.9 (28% acc)
Corners
2.8 (28 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (10%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
11.1 (111 total)
Offsides
0.6 (6 total)
9 Played
2 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (8 total)
xG
0.90 (8.5 total)
Shots per Match
9.3 (84 total)
Shots on Target
3 (32% acc)
Corners
3.1 (28 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
12.2 (110 total)
Offsides
1.7 (15 total)
19 Played
3 Wins
5 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (18 total)
xG
0.90 (17.4 total)
Shots per Match
9.8 (186 total)
Shots on Target
2.9 (30% acc)
Corners
2.9 (56 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (16%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
11.6 (221 total)
Offsides
1.1 (21 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.04 vs 1.30
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.85%
0:1
4.76%
0:2
2.95%
0:3
1.22%
0:4
0.38%
0:5
0.09%
1
1:0
7.61%
1:1
9.66%
1:2
6.13%
1:3
2.59%
1:4
0.82%
1:5
0.21%
2
2:0
7.53%
2:1
9.79%
🔥
2:2
6.36%
2:3
2.75%
2:4
0.89%
2:5
0.23%
3
3:0
4.96%
3:1
6.61%
3:2
4.4%
3:3
1.95%
3:4
0.65%
3:5
0.17%
4
4:0
2.45%
4:1
3.35%
4:2
2.28%
4:3
1.03%
4:4
0.35%
4:5
0.09%
5
5:0
0.97%
5:1
1.35%
5:2
0.94%
5:3
0.44%
5:4
0.15%
5:5
0.04%
Hotspot: 2:1 (9.8%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

3.9%
0
12.4%
1
20.1%
2
22.1%
3
18.4%
4
12.4%
5
6.7%
6
2.8%
7
1.0%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

LorientHDPNantes
15.4%
Very Low@ 7.00
-2.5
3.1%
Very Low
23.7%
Low@ 6.00
-2
6.3%
Very Low
32.0%
Low@ 3.47
-1.5
9.6%
@ 10.00Very Low
43.3%
Medium@ 2.67
-1
16.6%
@ 8.80Very Low
54.5%
Medium@ 1.89
-0.5
23.7%
@ 4.40Low
76.3%
High@ 1.24
+0.5
45.4%
@ 2.03Medium
83.4%
Very High@ 1.01
+1
56.7%
@ 1.52Medium
90.4%
Very High@ 1.04
+1.5
68.0%
@ 1.34High
93.7%
Very High
+2
76.2%
@ 1.12High
96.9%
Very High
+2.5
84.5%
@ 1.10Very High

Team Total Predictions

LorientOutcomeNantes
87.0%
Very High@ 1.22
Over 0.5
72.8%
@ 1.58High
13.0%
Very Low@ 4.80
Under 0.5
27.3%
@ 2.44Low
60.5%
High@ 2.05
Over 1.5
37.3%
@ 3.82Low
39.5%
Low@ 1.81
Under 1.5
62.7%
@ 1.28High
33.4%
Low@ 4.50
Over 2.5
14.3%
@ 13.00Very Low
66.6%
High@ 1.23
Under 2.5
85.7%
@ 1.06Very High
15.0%
Very Low@ 11.00
Over 3.5
4.3%
@ 34.00Very Low
85.0%
Very High@ 1.06
Under 3.5
95.7%
@ 1.01Very High
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Lorient will take on Nantes as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 20 and will take place on 2026-01-31 at 2026-01-31 in the famous Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat. The referee for the game will be B. Dechepy. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Lorient, and the visiting side, Nantes. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Lorient or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-31 Time: 18:00 Location: Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Lorient vs Nantes Saturday, Jan 31st, 2026 at 12:00 Football

AI Value Bets
5 Found

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Goals O/U Over 2.5
High Value
Prob: 59.9%
EV: +26.9%
Stake: $2.23
2.12
BTTS Yes
High Value
Prob: 63.1%
EV: +24.3%
Stake: $2.58
1.97
BTTS Yes
High Value
Prob: 63.1%
EV: +24.3%
Stake: $2.58
1.97
Win to Nil Lorient NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 77.8%
EV: +8.1%
Stake: $6.41
1.39
Double Chance 12
Value
Prob: 77.2%
EV: +3.4%
Stake: $7.35
1.34
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-29 16:30:47
spinner

Trends for Lorient vs Nantes Football 31 Jan, 2026 12:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • Second Half Surge

    Lorient score in 2nd half 75% of matches — expect late goals

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Lorient vs Nantes

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: Lorient is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Lorient

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.22
Pressure
0.13

✈️ Nantes

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.36
Pressure
0.12

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Lorient - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

✈️ Nantes - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Lorient - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
7
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
10

✈️ Nantes - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
13
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
1
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
9

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Home First Half: Lorient is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6)
  • First Half Result: Consider Lorient to win the first half
  • Overall Result: Lorient has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Lorient handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.147
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.013
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.023 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.038

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Lorient):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Nantes):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Lorient
Nantes

Lorient vs Nantes Head-to-head statistics for Sat 31 Jan, 2026 @ 12:00 Ligue 1

Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
8
Toulouse
w w l w w
>
19
8
5
6
31
23
8
29
9
Lorient
w d d w w
>
19
6
7
6
25
30
-5
25
10
Monaco
l l l l d
>
19
7
3
9
28
33
-5
24

15
LE Havre
d l w d d
>
19
4
8
7
16
24
-8
20
16
Nantes
l l w l l
>
19
3
5
11
18
34
-16
14
17
Auxerre
w l l l l
>
19
3
3
13
14
29
-15
12
Team comparison
Prediction
Both Teams to Score
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Lorient
VS
Nantes
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
1 Draws
5 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (9)
2.1 (15)
xG
0.30
0.80
Shots
11 (77)
10.4 (73)
Shots on Target
3.9 (27)
4.9 (34)
Corners
3.6 (25)
5 (35)
Defense
Conceded
2.1 (15)
1.3 (9)
xGa
0.80
0.30
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
3 (43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1 (7)
1.9 (13)
Fouls
11.9 (83)
12.7 (89)
Offsides
1.1 (8)
0.9 (6)
23 Nov
- 16:15
Nantes
Lorient
0.77
xG
0.30
1
1
Prob 77%
Away Total Under 1.5
Odd 1.55
24 Feb
- 16:00
Lorient
Nantes
0
1
23 Sep
- 15:00
Nantes
Lorient
5
3
12 Feb
- 16:05
Nantes
Lorient
1
0
11 Sep
- 13:00
Lorient
Nantes
3
2
23 Jan
- 14:00
Nantes
Lorient
4
2
5 Dec
- 14:00
Lorient
Nantes
0
1
Last 6 Matches
Lorient
VS
Nantes
4/6 (67%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%) Defeats 5/6 (83%)
2.33 PPG 0.50
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.00
0.50 Avg Goals Conceded 2.50
50% BTTS % 67%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.67 Avg xG 1.30
Lorient
W D D W W
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Jan 2026 - 16:00
Rennes
0 2
Lorient
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
16 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Monaco
1 3
Lorient
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 16:15
Lorient
1 1
Metz
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Dec 2025 - 16:15
Strasbourg
0 0
Lorient
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Lorient
1 0
Lyon
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 16:15
Lorient
3 1
Nice
Nantes
L L W L L
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Jan 2026 - 14:00
Nantes
1 4
Nice
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Jan 2026 - 16:15
Nantes
1 2
Paris FC
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 14:00
Marseille
0 2
Nantes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
12 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Angers
4 1
Nantes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 16:00
Nantes
1 2
Lens
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Lyon
3 0
Nantes

Lorient vs Nantes: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Lorient and away matches for Nantes

Number of goals
Lorient
Under
Over
Nantes
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Lorient
Nantes
Yes
60% 6
70% 7
No
40% 4
30% 3
1X2
Lorient
Nantes
1
40% 4
10% 1
X
50% 5
20% 2
2
10% 1
70% 7
Double Chance
Lorient
Nantes
12
50% 5
80% 8
1X
90% 9
30% 3
X2
60% 6
90% 9
Total Goals
Lorient
Nantes
0-1
20% 2
0% 0
2-3
60% 6
70% 7
4+
20% 2
30% 3
Total Corners
Lorient
Under
Over
Nantes
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Lorient
Nantes
Yes
30% 3
10% 1
No
70% 7
90% 9
1X2 HT - FT
Lorient
Nantes
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
20% 2
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
40% 4
HT X - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Lorient
Nantes
xG
1.39
1.07
xGa
0.98
1.5
Number of goals
Lorient
Under
Over
Nantes
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Lorient
Nantes
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2
Lorient
Nantes
1
50% 5
20% 2
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
20% 2
40% 4
Double Chance
Lorient
Nantes
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
80% 8
60% 6
X2
50% 5
80% 8
Total Goals
Lorient
Nantes
0-1
90% 9
70% 7
2-3
10% 1
10% 1
4+
0% 0
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Lorient
Nantes
Yes
70% 7
40% 4
No
30% 3
60% 6
Number of goals
Lorient
Under
Over
Nantes
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Lorient
Nantes
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7
1X2
Lorient
Nantes
1
40% 4
20% 2
X
30% 3
10% 1
2
30% 3
70% 7
Double Chance
Lorient
Nantes
12
70% 7
90% 9
1X
70% 7
30% 3
X2
60% 6
80% 8
Total Goals
Lorient
Nantes
0-1
70% 7
50% 5
2-3
20% 2
30% 3
4+
10% 1
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Lorient
Nantes
Yes
50% 5
20% 2
No
50% 5
80% 8
Missing Players
Lorient
32
d
- Injured - Sprained ankle
9
f
- Injured - Knee Injury
10
m
- Injured - Injury
25
d
- Injured - Foot Injury
- Injured - Thigh Injury
15
f
- Injured - Knee Injury
95
d
- Injured - Knee Injury
44
d
- Injured - Muscle Injury
Nantes
14
f
- Injured - Injury
- Injured - Injury
- Injured - Injury
66
d
- Injured - Inactive
- Injured - Injury
- Injured - Inactive
78
d
- Suspended - Yellow Cards
1.96 xG 1.08
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found