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Lorient
3
1
Nice
Lorient vs Lyon: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 7 December, 2025 13:45
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Upgrade to PremiumLorient vs Lyon: A Clash of Mid-Table Aspirations
Match Stakes and Significance
This upcoming match between Lorient and Lyon carries significant weight as both teams vie for vital points in Ligue 1. Lorient, sitting precariously at 15th with 14 points, is looking to climb out of the relegation battle, while Lyon, currently 6th with 24 points, aims to solidify their position in the European spots.
Current Form & Trends
Both teams are experiencing mixed fortunes, which adds an intriguing layer to this fixture.
- Lorient: The home side has shown resilience at their fortress, remaining unbeaten in their last five home matches (2 wins, 3 draws). They've managed to score an impressive 2.2 goals per game in this stretch, but their defense remains vulnerable, conceding 1.4 goals on average.
- Lyon: In contrast, Lyon has struggled to find consistency away from home, with just one win in their last five away matches. They’ve drawn three times and only managed to score 1.2 goals per game while conceding the same amount. Their last match saw them secure a convincing 3-0 win against Nantes, suggesting they could be regaining some momentum.
Head-to-Head
The historical meetings between these two sides have been competitive, with Lyon slightly edging the recent encounters. In the last six matches, Lorient has won once, while Lyon has taken two victories, and three matches ended in a draw. Notably, these encounters tend to yield plenty of goals, averaging around 3.17 per match, indicating that fans can expect an entertaining affair.
Tactical Analysis & Key Players
Stylistically, Lorient tends to play an attacking brand of football, leveraging their home advantage. They’ll aim to capitalize on Lyon's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly through key players like A. Avom and L. Abergel, who have been instrumental in midfield and can control the tempo of the game. Lyon, on the other hand, has a more balanced approach, relying on their solid defense led by M. Niakhaté to absorb pressure while looking to hit on the counter. Their ability to transition quickly could be key in exploiting any gaps left by Lorient.
AI Prediction
Winner Prediction: Draw.
Predicted Score: Lorient 2 - 2 Lyon
Reasoning: Given Lorient's strong home performance and Lyon's mixed away form, a draw seems plausible. Both teams have shown enough attacking prowess to suggest goals will flow, backed by their xG statistics.
Betting Tips
- Safe Bet: Double Chance - X2 @ 1.41 (69.1%).
- Value Bet: Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 1.72 (61.3%).
Bet responsibly.
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.46 vs 1.67
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.02%
0:1
7.74%
0:2
5.97%
0:3
3.07%
0:4
1.18%
0:5
0.36%
1
1:0
6.71%
1:1
10.97%
🔥
1:2
8.94%
1:3
4.84%
1:4
1.96%
1:5
0.63%
2
2:0
4.48%
2:1
7.75%
2:2
6.66%
2:3
3.79%
⭐
2:4
1.61%
⭐
2:5
0.55%
⭐
3
3:0
2%
3:1
3.64%
⭐
3:2
3.29%
⭐
3:3
1.97%
⭐
3:4
0.88%
⭐
3:5
0.31%
⭐
4
4:0
0.67%
⭐
4:1
1.28%
⭐
4:2
1.21%
⭐
4:3
0.76%
⭐
4:4
0.35%
⭐
4:5
0.13%
5
5:0
0.18%
5:1
0.36%
⭐
5:2
0.36%
⭐
5:3
0.23%
⭐
5:4
0.11%
5:5
0.04%
Hotspot:
1:1 (11.0%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
5
▲
6
6
2
24
18
6
24
6
▲
7
3
4
21
15
6
24
7
▲
7
2
5
26
25
1
23
14
▼
3
5
6
13
21
-8
14
15
▲
3
5
6
18
28
-10
14
16
▼
2
5
7
12
22
-10
11
Last 6 Matches
Lorient
VS
Lyon
1/6 (17%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.00
PPG
1.50
1.00
Avg Goals Scored
1.83
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
0.83
67%
BTTS %
17%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.40
Avg xG
1.40
Missing Players
-
Injured - Sprained ankle
-
Injured - Ankle Injury
-
Injured - Foot Injury
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - Lacking Match Fitness
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Groin Injury
-
Injured - Knee injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Ankle Injury
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Ankle Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
1.41
xG [Total: 3.16]
1.75
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 5]
3
4
Corners [Total: 10]
6
2
Offsides [Total: 5]
2
12
Fouls [Total: 26]
15
6
Shots on Goal [Total: 11]
5
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Lorient will take on Lyon as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 15 and will take place on 2025-12-07 at 2025-12-07 in the famous Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Lorient, and the visiting side, Lyon. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Lyon.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-07
Time: 19:45
Location: Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Lorient vs Lyon Sunday, Dec 7th, 2025 at 13:45 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for Lorient vs Lyon Football 7 Dec, 2025 13:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Second Half Surge
Lorient score in 2nd half 86% of matches — expect late goals
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 86% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Lorient vs Lyon, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Lorient @ 3.21 ✅ 
Lorient
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Lorient score 2.29 goals/match at home (+58% above league average)
- High xG PerformanceRecent15/15100%Lorient create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
Lorient demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.72 ⚠️
Lorient(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague6/786%Lorient score (2.29/match) and concede (2.00/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 86% of matches (league avg: 51%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.02 ⚠️ 
Lorient(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Lorient score 2.29 goals/match at home (+58% above league average)
Combined 2.3 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance — Lyon Win or Draw @ 1.40 ⚠️ 
Lorient
- Not WinH2H5/683%Lorient have not won in 5 of their last 6 Ligue 1 matches vs Lyon
Lyon confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Lyon Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.16 ✅
Lyon
- Scored 1+Recent27/3090%Lyon scored 1+ goals in 27 of their last 30 Ligue 1 matches
- Scored 1+Recent12/1580%Lyon scored 1+ goals in 12 of their last 15 Ligue 1 (Away) matches
Lyon's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Under 3.5 Cards @ 2.63 ⚠️ 
Lorient(1 trends)
- Few CardsH2H5/683%Lorient receive 0-1 card in 5 of their last 6 Ligue 1 matches vs Lyon
Both teams disciplined - Under 3.5 Cards @ 2.63 • H2H average: 2.5 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.88 ✅ 
Lorient(1 trends) — avg 3.3 (-29% below league)
- Few CornersLeague7/785%Lorient average 3.3 corners/match at home (-29% below league avg 4.7)
Lyon(2 trends) — avg 5.9 (+25% above league)
- Corner DominanceH2H5/683%Lyon dominate corners (5+ and more than opponent) in 5 of their last 6 Ligue 1 matches vs Lorient
- Many CornersLeague7/785%Lyon average 5.9 corners/match in away matches (+25% above league avg 4.7)
Combined average: 9.2 corners/match (Lorient 3.3 + Lyon 5.9) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
+12 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Lorient vs Lyon
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Lorient is stronger in the first half (13 vs 6).
🔄 Second Half: Lorient is stronger in the second half (21 vs 15).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
🔄 Second Half: Lorient is stronger in the second half (21 vs 15).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Lorient
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.14
✈️ Lyon
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.13
Pressure
0.14
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Lorient - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
21
Avg. Goals per Match
1.05
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
✈️ Lyon - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Lorient - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
9
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
7
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
11
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
9
✈️ Lyon - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Home First Half: Lorient is stronger in the first half (13 vs 6)
- First Half Result: Consider Lorient to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Lorient shows superior performance after the break (21 vs 15 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Lorient winning the second half
- Overall Result: Lyon has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Lyon handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.075
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.033 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.007
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Lorient):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Lyon):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.
Lorient vs Lyon Head-to-head statistics for Sun 7 Dec, 2025 @ 13:45 Ligue 1
Lorient vs Lyon: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Lorient and away matches for Lyon
Number of goals
Number of goals
Lorient
Under
Over
Lyon
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
30%
3
70%
7
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Lorient
Lyon
Yes
70%
7
40%
4
No
30%
3
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Lorient
Lyon
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
50%
5
30%
3
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Lorient
Lyon
12
50%
5
70%
7
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Lorient
Lyon
0-1
0%
0
20%
2
2-3
70%
7
40%
4
4+
30%
3
40%
4
Total Corners
Total Corners
Lorient
Under
Over
Lyon
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Lorient
Lyon
Yes
0%
0
50%
5
No
100%
10
50%
5
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Lorient
Lyon
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
30%
3
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Lorient
Lyon
xG
1.38
1.57
xGa
1.15
0.96
Number of goals
Number of goals
Lorient
Under
Over
Lyon
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Lorient
Lyon
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Lorient
Lyon
1
50%
5
30%
3
X
10%
1
40%
4
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Lorient
Lyon
12
90%
9
60%
6
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
50%
5
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Lorient
Lyon
0-1
70%
7
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Lorient
Lyon
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
Number of goals
Number of goals
Lorient
Under
Over
Lyon
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Lorient
Lyon
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2
1X2
Lorient
Lyon
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
20%
2
50%
5
2
50%
5
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
Lorient
Lyon
12
80%
8
50%
5
1X
50%
5
90%
9
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Lorient
Lyon
0-1
60%
6
50%
5
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Lorient
Lyon
Yes
20%
2
70%
7
No
80%
8
30%
3
Team comparison
Prediction
Both Teams to Score
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.92%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 42.91% | Low | 2.75 |
| Under 1.5 | 57.09% | Medium | 1.48 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 49.64% | Low | 2.16 |
| Under 1.5 | 50.36% | Medium | 1.72 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 18.14% | Low | 7.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 81.86% | High | 1.12 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 23.40% | Low | 4.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 76.60% | High | 1.20 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Lorient
Lyon
Played:
6
Wins
1
1
Draws
3
3
Wins
2
2
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
8
1.3
Goals
1.8
11
11
1.8
Goals Conceded
1.3
8
4
0.7
Yellow Cards
0.8
5
0
Red Cards
0.2
1
1
0.2
Clean Sheets
0.3
2
23
3.8
Corners
6
36
53
8.8
Fouls
14.8
89
8
1.3
Offsides
0.8
5
64
10.7
Shots
13.5
81
23
3.8
Shots on Goal
5.5
33
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 0 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 5 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.3 | 16 | 0.3 | 2 | 1.3 | 18 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 14 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 28 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.1 | 15 | 2.1 | 15 | 2.1 | 30 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Corners | 2.9 | 20 | 3.3 | 23 | 3.1 | 43 |
| Fouls | 10.4 | 73 | 10.7 | 75 | 10.6 | 148 |
| Offsides | 2.3 | 16 | 0.9 | 6 | 1.6 | 22 |
| Shots | 12.9 | 90 | 10.1 | 71 | 11.5 | 161 |
| Shots on Goal | 5 | 35 | 2.3 | 16 | 3.6 | 51 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 2 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 3 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.9 | 13 | 1.1 | 8 | 1.5 | 21 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 6 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.1 | 15 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.6 | 11 | 2.3 | 16 | 1.9 | 27 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.6 | 4 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.6 | 8 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 43 | 5.9 | 41 | 6 | 84 |
| Fouls | 13.6 | 95 | 14.3 | 100 | 13.9 | 195 |
| Offsides | 1.6 | 11 | 1.6 | 11 | 1.6 | 22 |
| Shots | 13.3 | 93 | 10.4 | 73 | 11.9 | 166 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.6 | 32 | 3.7 | 26 | 4.1 | 58 |
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