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Lorient
Lorient vs Lens: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 14 March, 2026 11:00
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12
Played
6
Wins
5
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(24 total)
xG
1.60
(19.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.1
(145 total)
Shots on Target
4.6
(38% acc)
Corners
2.6
(31 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.3
(123 total)
Offsides
2
(24 total)
13
Played
2
Wins
5
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8
(11 total)
xG
1.10
(14.1 total)
Shots per Match
10.5
(137 total)
Shots on Target
2.8
(27% acc)
Corners
3.5
(46 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(15%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.2
(120 total)
Offsides
1
(13 total)
25
Played
8
Wins
10
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(35 total)
xG
1.30
(33.2 total)
Shots per Match
11.3
(282 total)
Shots on Target
3.7
(33% acc)
Corners
3.1
(77 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
9.7
(243 total)
Offsides
1.5
(37 total)
13
Played
11
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(26 total)
xG
2.00
(26.3 total)
Shots per Match
15.1
(196 total)
Shots on Target
5.5
(36% acc)
Corners
6.2
(80 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.6
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(54%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
13
(169 total)
Offsides
2.2
(29 total)
12
Played
7
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(22 total)
xG
1.60
(19.1 total)
Shots per Match
13.8
(165 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(33% acc)
Corners
5
(60 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
13.3
(159 total)
Offsides
2
(24 total)
25
Played
18
Wins
2
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9
(48 total)
xG
1.80
(45.4 total)
Shots per Match
14.4
(361 total)
Shots on Target
5
(35% acc)
Corners
5.6
(140 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
10
(40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(4 total)
Fouls
13.1
(328 total)
Offsides
2.1
(53 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.38 vs 1.76
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.55%
0:1
9.03%
0:2
6.28%
0:3
3.03%
0:4
1.1%
0:5
0.32%
1
1:0
6.74%
1:1
10.8%
🔥
1:2
9.41%
1:3
5.2%
1:4
2.12%
1:5
0.68%
2
2:0
3.42%
2:1
6.94%
⭐
2:2
6.76%
⭐
2:3
4.24%
⭐
2:4
1.94%
2:5
0.69%
3
3:0
1.22%
3:1
2.83%
⭐
3:2
3.13%
⭐
3:3
2.21%
⭐
3:4
1.13%
⭐
3:5
0.45%
4
4:0
0.33%
4:1
0.85%
4:2
1.06%
⭐
4:3
0.84%
⭐
4:4
0.47%
4:5
0.21%
⭐
5
5:0
0.07%
5:1
0.2%
5:2
0.28%
5:3
0.24%
⭐
5:4
0.15%
5:5
0.07%
Hotspot:
1:1 (10.8%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Lorient will take on Lens as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 26 and will take place on 2026-03-14 at 2026-03-14 in the famous Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat.
The referee for the game will be T. Leonard. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Lorient, and the visiting side, Lens. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Lens.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-03-14
Time: 16:00
Location: Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Lorient vs Lens Saturday, Mar 14th, 2026 at 11:00 Football
AI Value Bets
9 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Lorient vs Lens Football 14 Mar, 2026 11:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Chance Creation Masterclass
Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances
-
Second Half Surge
Lorient score in 2nd half 75% of matches — expect late goals
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Lorient vs Lens.
🏆 Match Winner — Lens @ 1.75 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsLens
Top Table FormLeague
Lens are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
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Unlock Streak Trends75%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLorient
Not WinRecent
Lorient have not won in 12 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Lens confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.82 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsLorient1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Lorient score (2.13/match) and concede (1.75/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 75% of matches (league avg: 49%)
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Unlock Streak TrendsLens1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Lens score (1.50/match) and concede (1.13/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 63% of matches (league avg: 49%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.06 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsLorient2 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Lorient score 2.13 goals/match at home (+49% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsFew GoalsRecent
Lorient scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined 2.1 goals per match average • Defensive strength dominates - Under 2.5 likely
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Lens Win or Draw @ 1.20 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsLens
Top Table FormLeague
Lens are currently 1st in the table (Top 3)
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Unlock Streak Trends75%
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Unlock Streak TrendsUndefeated at HTRecent
Lens are undefeated at half time in their last 12 16 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends12 / 1675%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLorient
Not WinRecent
Lorient have not won in 12 of their last 16 Ligue 1 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Lens confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — Lorient Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.60 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsLorient
Above League AverageLeague
Lorient score 2.13 goals/match at home (+49% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Lorient's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsLorient1 Trends — avg 1.8 (-8% below league)Many CardsH2H
Lorient receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 7 Ligue 1 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 786%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Lens disciplined play balances Lorient aggression —
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.74 ⚠️
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Unlock Streak TrendsLorient1 Trends — avg 3.0 (-36% below league)Few CornersLeague
Lorient average 3.0 corners/match at home (-36% below league avg 4.7)
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 885%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLens1 Trends — avg 5.3 (+13% above league)Many CornersLeague
Lens average 5.3 corners/match in away matches (+13% above league avg 4.7)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined average: 8.3 corners/match (Lorient 3.0 + Lens 5.3) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Lorient vs Lens
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Lorient is stronger in the second half (16 vs 12).
⚡ Final Stage: Lorient is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: Lorient is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Lorient
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.25
Pressure
0.14
✈️ Lens
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.13
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Lorient - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
✈️ Lens - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Lorient - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Lens - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Lorient shows superior performance after the break (16 vs 12 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Lorient winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Lorient excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 6 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Lorient scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Lens has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Lens handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.198
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.017
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Lorient):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Lens):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Lorient vs Lens Head-to-head statistics for Sat 14 Mar, 2026 @ 11:00 Ligue 1
Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
18
3
4
54
22
32
57
2
18
2
5
48
21
27
56
3
15
4
7
53
33
20
49
9
10
6
9
34
34
0
36
10
8
10
7
35
39
-4
34
11
9
5
11
23
30
-7
32
Team comparison
Prediction
+2.5 goals
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-3.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Lorient
VS
Lens
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
2
Draws
4
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (7)
2.1 (15)
xG
2.00
1.40
Shots
10.9 (76)
14.1 (99)
Shots on Target
4 (28)
6.1 (43)
Corners
3.4 (24)
5.3 (37)
Defense
Conceded
2.1 (15)
1 (7)
xGa
1.40
2.00
Clean Sheets
2 (29%)
3 (43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 (16)
2 (14)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
11 (77)
10.9 (76)
Offsides
1.6 (11)
1 (7)
Last 6 Matches
Lorient
VS
Lens
2/6 (33%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
1.50
PPG
2.17
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
2.50
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
0.83
67%
BTTS %
50%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
50%
0.97
Avg xG
2.10
Lorient vs Lens: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Lorient and away matches for Lens
Number of goals
Lorient
Under
Over
Lens
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Lorient
Lens
Yes
60%
6
40%
4
No
40%
4
60%
6
1X2
Lorient
Lens
1
40%
4
70%
7
X
50%
5
10%
1
2
10%
1
20%
2
Double Chance
Lorient
Lens
12
50%
5
90%
9
1X
90%
9
80%
8
X2
60%
6
30%
3
Total Goals
Lorient
Lens
0-1
10%
1
20%
2
2-3
60%
6
40%
4
4+
30%
3
40%
4
Total Corners
Lorient
Under
Over
Lens
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Lorient
Lens
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
1X2 HT - FT
Lorient
Lens
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
30%
3
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT X
30%
3
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Lorient
Lens
xG
1.05
1.86
xGa
1.2
0.83
Number of goals
Lorient
Under
Over
Lens
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Lorient
Lens
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
Lorient
Lens
1
30%
3
50%
5
X
50%
5
30%
3
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Lorient
Lens
12
50%
5
70%
7
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
70%
7
50%
5
Total Goals
Lorient
Lens
0-1
80%
8
70%
7
2-3
10%
1
30%
3
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Lorient
Lens
Yes
70%
7
70%
7
No
30%
3
30%
3
Number of goals
Lorient
Under
Over
Lens
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Lorient
Lens
Yes
40%
4
20%
2
No
60%
6
80%
8
1X2
Lorient
Lens
1
50%
5
70%
7
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
10%
1
10%
1
Double Chance
Lorient
Lens
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
90%
9
90%
9
X2
50%
5
30%
3
Total Goals
Lorient
Lens
0-1
50%
5
40%
4
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Lorient
Lens
Yes
50%
5
80%
8
No
50%
5
20%
2
Missing Players
-
Injured - Ankle Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Suspended - Red Card
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Foot Injury
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Calf Injury
-
Suspended - Red Card
1.32
xG
1.72
44%
Ball Possession
57%
12
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Goal
5
7
Shots Off Goal
9
3
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
2
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