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Form
Ligue 1 2025-2026 • Matchweek 24
Preview
Lorient
Lorient
9th place
Form
VS
16:15
1 Mar 2026
Auxerre
Auxerre
16th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : Lorient or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Lorient vs Auxerre: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 1 March, 2026 10:15

Winner (1x2)2.13
Lorient to Win
Probability 45%
Total Goals2.38
Over 2.5
Probability 62%
Both Teams to Score2.00
Yes
Probability 71%
Lorient Total1.17
Home Under 2.5
Probability 75%
Auxerre Total1.05
Away Under 2.5
Probability 88%
Double Chance1.29
Lorient/Draw
Probability 77%
Asian Handicap1.25
Lorient +0.5
Probability 76%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Ligue 1 2025-2026
16:15
Lorient W 45%
:
Auxerre W 23%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Lorient
w w w l w
11 Played
6 Wins
4 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (22 total)
xG
1.60 (18.1 total)
Shots per Match
12 (132 total)
Shots on Target
4.6 (39% acc)
Corners
2.6 (29 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
10.2 (112 total)
Offsides
2.2 (24 total)
11 Played
2 Wins
3 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.6 (7 total)
xG
1.00 (11.5 total)
Shots per Match
10.2 (112 total)
Shots on Target
2.5 (24% acc)
Corners
3.5 (38 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
9.5 (104 total)
Offsides
1 (11 total)
22 Played
8 Wins
7 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (29 total)
xG
1.30 (29.5 total)
Shots per Match
11.1 (244 total)
Shots on Target
3.5 (32% acc)
Corners
3 (67 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
9.8 (216 total)
Offsides
1.6 (35 total)
Auxerre
l l d d w
11 Played
3 Wins
2 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (10 total)
xG
1.20 (13.6 total)
Shots per Match
10.8 (119 total)
Shots on Target
3.1 (29% acc)
Corners
5.3 (58 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.5 (5 total)
Fouls
12.7 (140 total)
Offsides
0.8 (9 total)
11 Played
1 Wins
3 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.6 (7 total)
xG
0.80 (8.7 total)
Shots per Match
9.9 (109 total)
Shots on Target
3.1 (31% acc)
Corners
4.1 (45 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (9%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
13.4 (147 total)
Offsides
1.7 (19 total)
22 Played
4 Wins
5 Draws
13 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8 (17 total)
xG
1.00 (22.3 total)
Shots per Match
10.4 (228 total)
Shots on Target
3.1 (30% acc)
Corners
4.7 (103 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (6 total)
Fouls
13 (287 total)
Offsides
1.3 (28 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.86 vs 1.23
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.25%
0:1
5.77%
0:2
2.67%
0:3
0.82%
0:4
0.19%
0:5
0.04%
1
1:0
9.75%
1:1
10.9%
🔥
1:2
5.91%
1:3
2.09%
1:4
0.54%
1:5
0.11%
2
2:0
7.6%
2:1
9.97%
2:2
6.26%
2:3
2.52%
2:4
0.74%
2:5
0.17%
3
3:0
3.95%
3:1
5.95%
3:2
4.26%
3:3
1.94%
3:4
0.64%
3:5
0.16%
4
4:0
1.54%
4:1
2.62%
4:2
2.11%
4:3
1.08%
4:4
0.4%
4:5
0.11%
5
5:0
0.48%
5:1
0.91%
5:2
0.82%
5:3
0.46%
5:4
0.19%
5:5
0.06%
Hotspot: 1:1 (10.9%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

6.2%
0
15.5%
1
21.2%
2
20.7%
3
16.0%
4
10.5%
5
5.8%
6
2.7%
7
1.0%
8
0.3%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

LorientHDPAuxerre
10.3%
Very Low@ 9.70
-2.5
2.4%
Very Low
17.9%
Very Low@ 8.40
-2
5.6%
Very Low
25.5%
Low@ 4.10
-1.5
8.7%
@ 8.80Very Low
37.7%
Low@ 3.35
-1
16.6%
@ 7.80Very Low
49.8%
Medium@ 2.10
-0.5
24.5%
@ 3.63Low
75.5%
High@ 1.31
+0.5
50.2%
@ 1.80Medium
83.4%
Very High@ 1.04
+1
62.3%
@ 1.35High
91.3%
Very High@ 1.05
+1.5
74.5%
@ 1.25High
94.4%
Very High
+2
82.1%
@ 1.01Very High
97.6%
Very High
+2.5
89.7%
@ 1.05Very High

Team Total Predictions

LorientOutcomeAuxerre
51.6%
Medium@ 2.38
Over 1.5
32.7%
@ 3.65Low
48.4%
Medium@ 1.60
Under 1.5
67.3%
@ 1.30High
24.8%
Low@ 5.80
Over 2.5
11.9%
@ 11.00Very Low
75.2%
High@ 1.16
Under 2.5
88.1%
@ 1.06Very High
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Lorient will take on Auxerre as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 24 and will take place on 2026-03-01 at 2026-03-01 in the famous Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Lorient, and the visiting side, Auxerre. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Lorient or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-03-01 Time: 16:15 Location: Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Lorient vs Auxerre Sunday, Mar 1st, 2026 at 10:15 Football

AI Value Bets
3 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.

Upgrade to Premium
Goals O/U Over 2.5
High Value
Prob: 62.3%
EV: +46.9%
Stake: $1.84
2.36
BTTS Yes
High Value
Prob: 71%
EV: +40.5%
Stake: $2.55
1.98
Win to Nil Lorient NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 76.3%
EV: +1.4%
Stake: $7.58
1.33
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-02-17 02:35:21
spinner

Trends for Lorient vs Auxerre Football 1 Mar, 2026 10:15

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • Second Half Surge

    Lorient score in 2nd half 75% of matches — expect late goals

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 75% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Lorient vs Auxerre

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Lorient is stronger in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1).
⏰ First Half: Lorient is stronger in the first half (11 vs 7).
🔄 Second Half: Lorient is stronger in the second half (17 vs 10).
⚡ Final Stage: Lorient is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 5).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Lorient

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.06
Pressure
0.15

✈️ Auxerre

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.05

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Lorient - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5

✈️ Auxerre - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Lorient - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
7
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
10

✈️ Auxerre - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
8

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: Lorient often scores in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of Lorient scoring first
  • ⏰ Home First Half: Lorient is stronger in the first half (11 vs 7)
  • First Half Result: Consider Lorient to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Lorient shows superior performance after the break (17 vs 10 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Lorient winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Lorient excels in the closing minutes (10 vs 5 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Lorient scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Lorient has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Lorient handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.135
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.105
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.028 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.015

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Lorient):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Auxerre):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.

Lorient
Auxerre

Lorient vs Auxerre Head-to-head statistics for Sun 1 Mar, 2026 @ 10:15 Ligue 1

Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
8
Monaco
l d w d w
>
22
9
4
9
35
34
1
31
9
Lorient
w w w l w
>
22
8
7
7
29
33
-4
31
10
Toulouse
w w d l l
>
22
8
6
8
32
26
6
30

15
Paris FC
w d d d l
>
22
5
7
10
26
39
-13
22
16
Auxerre
l l d d w
>
22
4
5
13
17
30
-13
17
17
Nantes
l l l l l
>
22
3
5
14
20
40
-20
14
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Lorient or draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Lorient
VS
Auxerre
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (3)
1 (3)
xG
1.40
1.40
Shots
14.7 (44)
11 (33)
Shots on Target
5 (15)
3 (9)
Corners
6.3 (19)
4.3 (13)
Defense
Conceded
1 (3)
1 (3)
xGa
1.40
1.40
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
2 (67%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 (5)
3 (9)
Fouls
12.3 (37)
17.3 (52)
Offsides
1.7 (5)
0 (0)
17 Aug
- 15:15
Auxerre
Lorient
1.39
xG
1.44
1
0
26 Feb
- 12:00
Lorient
Auxerre
0
1
16 Sep
- 19:00
Auxerre
Lorient
1
3
Last 6 Matches
Lorient
VS
Auxerre
4/6 (67%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
2.17 PPG 0.83
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 0.50
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
50% BTTS % 17%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
1.06 Avg xG 0.67
Lorient
W W W L W
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Feb 2026 - 16:15
Lorient
2 0
Angers
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Feb 2026 - 18:00
Stade Brestois 29
2 0
Lorient
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
31 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Lorient
2 1
Nantes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Jan 2026 - 16:00
Rennes
0 2
Lorient
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
16 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Monaco
1 3
Lorient
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 16:15
Lorient
1 1
Metz
Auxerre
L L D D W
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Feb 2026 - 16:15
Metz
1 3
Auxerre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Feb 2026 - 16:15
Auxerre
0 0
Paris FC
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Feb 2026 - 16:15
Toulouse
0 0
Auxerre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Jan 2026 - 19:00
Auxerre
0 1
Paris Saint Germain
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
17 Jan 2026 - 16:00
Lens
1 0
Auxerre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 16:15
Stade Brestois 29
2 0
Auxerre

Lorient vs Auxerre: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Lorient and away matches for Auxerre

Number of goals
Lorient
Under
Over
Auxerre
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Lorient
Auxerre
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6
1X2
Lorient
Auxerre
1
60% 6
20% 2
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
10% 1
40% 4
Double Chance
Lorient
Auxerre
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
90% 9
60% 6
X2
40% 4
80% 8
Total Goals
Lorient
Auxerre
0-1
20% 2
50% 5
2-3
60% 6
20% 2
4+
20% 2
30% 3
Total Corners
Lorient
Under
Over
Auxerre
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Lorient
Auxerre
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Lorient
Auxerre
HT 1 - FT 1
50% 5
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
0% 0
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT X
10% 1
40% 4
xG(xGa)
Lorient
Auxerre
xG
1.25
1.15
xGa
0.86
1.19
Number of goals
Lorient
Under
Over
Auxerre
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Lorient
Auxerre
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
Lorient
Auxerre
1
60% 6
20% 2
X
30% 3
60% 6
2
10% 1
20% 2
Double Chance
Lorient
Auxerre
12
70% 7
40% 4
1X
90% 9
80% 8
X2
40% 4
80% 8
Total Goals
Lorient
Auxerre
0-1
90% 9
80% 8
2-3
10% 1
20% 2
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Lorient
Auxerre
Yes
80% 8
60% 6
No
20% 2
40% 4
Number of goals
Lorient
Under
Over
Auxerre
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Lorient
Auxerre
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
Lorient
Auxerre
1
50% 5
20% 2
X
30% 3
50% 5
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Lorient
Auxerre
12
70% 7
50% 5
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
50% 5
80% 8
Total Goals
Lorient
Auxerre
0-1
70% 7
80% 8
2-3
20% 2
10% 1
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Lorient
Auxerre
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5
Missing Players
Lorient
32
d
- Injured - Sprained ankle
Auxerre
1.78 xG 0.68
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots Off Goal 7
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found