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Liverpool vs Burnley: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 17 January, 2026 9:00
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13
Played
8
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(20 total)
xG
1.70
(22.6 total)
Shots per Match
17.4
(226 total)
Shots on Target
5.4
(31% acc)
Corners
5.8
(75 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.1
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.8
(128 total)
Offsides
2
(26 total)
14
Played
6
Wins
3
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(23 total)
xG
1.50
(21.3 total)
Shots per Match
12.9
(180 total)
Shots on Target
4.1
(32% acc)
Corners
5.1
(72 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.7
(136 total)
Offsides
2
(28 total)
27
Played
14
Wins
5
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(43 total)
xG
1.60
(43.9 total)
Shots per Match
15
(406 total)
Shots on Target
4.7
(32% acc)
Corners
5.4
(147 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
9
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.8
(264 total)
Offsides
2
(54 total)
11
Played
2
Wins
3
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(10 total)
xG
0.80
(9.2 total)
Shots per Match
8.7
(96 total)
Shots on Target
2.5
(29% acc)
Corners
3.3
(36 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
8.9
(98 total)
Offsides
1
(11 total)
10
Played
1
Wins
1
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(12 total)
xG
0.80
(8.1 total)
Shots per Match
8.1
(81 total)
Shots on Target
3.2
(40% acc)
Corners
4.1
(41 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.6
per match
xGa
2.20
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.3
(103 total)
Offsides
2
(20 total)
21
Played
3
Wins
4
Draws
14
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(22 total)
xG
0.80
(17.2 total)
Shots per Match
8.4
(177 total)
Shots on Target
2.9
(34% acc)
Corners
3.7
(77 total)
Defense
Conceded
2
per match
xGa
1.90
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
9.6
(201 total)
Offsides
1.5
(31 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.65 vs 1.02
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.73%
0:1
2.75%
0:2
1.38%
⭐
0:3
0.46%
⭐
0:4
0.12%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
7.19%
1:1
7.28%
⭐
1:2
3.68%
⭐
1:3
1.24%
⭐
1:4
0.31%
⭐
1:5
0.06%
2
2:0
9.48%
2:1
9.64%
🔥
⭐
2:2
4.9%
⭐
2:3
1.66%
⭐
2:4
0.42%
⭐
2:5
0.09%
3
3:0
8.33%
3:1
8.51%
⭐
3:2
4.35%
⭐
3:3
1.48%
⭐
3:4
0.38%
⭐
3:5
0.08%
4
4:0
5.49%
4:1
5.64%
⭐
4:2
2.9%
⭐
4:3
0.99%
⭐
4:4
0.25%
⭐
4:5
0.05%
5
5:0
2.9%
5:1
2.99%
⭐
5:2
1.54%
⭐
5:3
0.53%
⭐
5:4
0.14%
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot:
2:1 (9.6%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Premier League 2025-2026 matchup, Liverpool will take on Burnley as part of the 2025-2026 season in Premier League. This match is part of Matchweek 22 and will take place on 2026-01-17 at 2026-01-17 in the famous Anfield.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Liverpool, and the visiting side, Burnley. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Liverpool or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-17
Time: 15:00
Location: Anfield
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Liverpool vs Burnley Saturday, Jan 17th, 2026 at 9:00 Football
AI Value Bets
6 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Liverpool vs Burnley Football 17 Jan, 2026 9:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Second Half Surge
Burnley score in 2nd half 75% of matches — expect late goals
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 100% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Liverpool vs Burnley, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Liverpool @ 1.27 ✅ 
Liverpool
- WonH2H6/786%Liverpool have won their last 6 7 matches
- UnbeatenH2H6/786%Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 6 7 matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H6/786%Liverpool efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 6 of their last 7 Premier League matches
Burnley
- Not WinH2H6/786%Burnley have not won their last 6 7 matches
- LostH2H6/786%Burnley have lost their last 6 7 matches
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Burnley are currently 19th in the table (2nd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent14/1782%Burnley have not won in 14 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Liverpool to win looks justified.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 2.11 ⚠️ 
Burnley(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague8/989%Burnley score (1.33/match) and concede (2.67/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 89% of matches (league avg: 53%)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- BTTS NoH2H6/786%At least one team failed to score in 6 of their last 7 Premier League matches
⚠️ Risk: Liverpool keep clean sheets in 86% of matches • BTTS Yes has value but carries defensive risk
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.65 ⚠️ 
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H5/771.4%Under 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 7 H2H matches (71.4%%)
Tactical battle expected with limited scoring
🛡️ Double Chance — Liverpool Win or Draw @ 1.06 ✅ 
Liverpool
- Undefeated at HTH2H7/7100%Liverpool are undefeated at half time in their last 7 7 matches
- UnbeatenH2H6/786%Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 6 7 matches
Burnley
- Not WinH2H6/786%Burnley have not won their last 6 7 matches
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Burnley are currently 19th in the table (2nd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent14/1782%Burnley have not won in 14 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Liverpool to win looks justified.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Liverpool Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.35 ⚠️
Liverpool
- Scored 1+Recent6/786%Liverpool scored 1+ goals in their last 6 7 matches
Liverpool's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Under 3.5 Cards @ 1.50 ⚠️ 
Burnley(1 trends) — avg 1.8 (-6% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague17/1790%Burnley average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-17% below league avg 1.9) — rank #5 lowest in league
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesH2H%Average 3.2 cards per match in their last 5 H2H matches
Both teams disciplined - Under 3.5 Cards @ 1.50
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.30 ✅
Liverpool(1 trends) — avg 7.2 (+39% above league)
- Many CornersH2H6/786%Liverpool win 6+ corners in 6 of their last 7 Premier League matches
Burnley(2 trends) — avg 4.1 (-14% below league)
- Few CornersLeague9/979%Burnley average 4.1 corners/match in away matches (-14% below league avg 4.8)
- Few CornersRecent13/1776%Burnley win 4 or fewer corners in 13 of their last 17 Premier League matches
Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.30
+21 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Liverpool vs Burnley
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Burnley is stronger in the second half (13 vs 9).
⚡ Final Stage: Burnley is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: Burnley is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Liverpool
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.03
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Burnley
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.29
Pressure
0.13
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Liverpool - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Burnley - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Liverpool - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
8
✈️ Burnley - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
9
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Burnley shows superior performance after the break (13 vs 9 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Burnley winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Burnley excels in the closing minutes (10 vs 6 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Burnley scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Liverpool has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Liverpool handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.252
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.052
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.068
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Liverpool):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Burnley):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.
Liverpool vs Burnley Head-to-head statistics for Sat 17 Jan, 2026 @ 9:00 Premier League
Premier League 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
3
13
4
4
33
24
9
43
4
10
5
6
32
28
4
35
5
▲
10
3
8
35
28
7
33
18
3
5
13
22
43
-21
14
19
3
4
14
22
41
-19
13
20
1
4
16
15
41
-26
7
Team comparison
Prediction
Burnley AH+2.5
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Liverpool
VS
Burnley
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
6
Wins
0
Draws
1
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (12)
0.3 (2)
xG
2.50
0.10
Shots
22.4 (157)
7.7 (54)
Shots on Target
6.6 (46)
2.9 (20)
Corners
8.7 (61)
3.3 (23)
Defense
Conceded
0.3 (2)
1.7 (12)
xGa
0.10
2.50
Clean Sheets
5 (71%)
1 (14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 (9)
0.9 (6)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
8.6 (60)
9.4 (66)
Offsides
2.1 (15)
3.9 (27)
Last 6 Matches
Liverpool
VS
Burnley
3/6 (50%)
Victories
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
2.00
PPG
0.50
1.33
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
0.67
Avg Goals Conceded
1.83
50%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.25
Avg xG
1.00
Liverpool vs Burnley: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Liverpool and away matches for Burnley
Number of goals
Liverpool
Under
Over
Burnley
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Liverpool
Burnley
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
1X2
Liverpool
Burnley
1
50%
5
0%
0
X
50%
5
30%
3
2
0%
0
70%
7
Double Chance
Liverpool
Burnley
12
50%
5
70%
7
1X
100%
10
30%
3
X2
50%
5
100%
10
Total Goals
Liverpool
Burnley
0-1
30%
3
20%
2
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
20%
2
40%
4
Total Corners
Liverpool
Under
Over
Burnley
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Liverpool
Burnley
Yes
50%
5
10%
1
No
50%
5
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Liverpool
Burnley
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
60%
6
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
30%
3
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT X
40%
4
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Liverpool
Burnley
xG
1.35
0.95
xGa
0.86
1.71
Number of goals
Liverpool
Under
Over
Burnley
Under
Over
0.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Liverpool
Burnley
Yes
0%
0
20%
2
No
100%
10
80%
8
1X2
Liverpool
Burnley
1
20%
2
10%
1
X
70%
7
30%
3
2
10%
1
60%
6
Double Chance
Liverpool
Burnley
12
30%
3
70%
7
1X
90%
9
40%
4
X2
80%
8
90%
9
Total Goals
Liverpool
Burnley
0-1
90%
9
70%
7
2-3
10%
1
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Liverpool
Burnley
Yes
90%
9
40%
4
No
10%
1
60%
6
Number of goals
Liverpool
Under
Over
Burnley
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Liverpool
Burnley
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
1X2
Liverpool
Burnley
1
50%
5
10%
1
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
10%
1
50%
5
Double Chance
Liverpool
Burnley
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
90%
9
50%
5
X2
50%
5
90%
9
Total Goals
Liverpool
Burnley
0-1
50%
5
60%
6
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Liverpool
Burnley
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
2.43
xG
0.72
65%
Ball Possession
35%
17
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Goal
4
12
Shots Off Goal
5
7
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
2
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