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Form
Form
Ligue 1 2025-2026 • Matchweek 24
Preview
Lille
Lille
5th place
Form
VS
16:15
1 Mar 2026
Nantes
Nantes
17th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : Lille or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Lille vs Nantes: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 1 March, 2026 10:15

Winner (1x2)1.54
Lille to Win
Probability 61%
Total Goals1.84
Over 2.5
Probability 61%
Both Teams to Score1.95
Yes
Probability 64%
Lille Total1.47
Home Under 2.5
Probability 64%
Nantes Total1.03
Away Under 2.5
Probability 94%
Double Chance1.11
Lille/Draw
Probability 87%
Asian Handicap1.47
Lille -0.5
Probability 68%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Ligue 1 2025-2026
16:15
Lille W 61%
:
Nantes W 13%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Lille
l w l d d
15 Played
9 Wins
2 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (28 total)
xG
1.70 (25.4 total)
Shots per Match
15.4 (231 total)
Shots on Target
5.2 (34% acc)
Corners
7.2 (108 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.2 (153 total)
Offsides
1.2 (18 total)
15 Played
5 Wins
2 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (19 total)
xG
1.30 (19.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.6 (189 total)
Shots on Target
4.1 (32% acc)
Corners
5.3 (80 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (5 total)
Fouls
11.7 (175 total)
Offsides
1.5 (23 total)
30 Played
14 Wins
4 Draws
12 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (47 total)
xG
1.50 (44.4 total)
Shots per Match
14 (420 total)
Shots on Target
4.6 (33% acc)
Corners
6.3 (188 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (6 total)
Fouls
10.9 (328 total)
Offsides
1.4 (41 total)
Nantes
l l l l l
11 Played
1 Wins
2 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (10 total)
xG
0.90 (9.5 total)
Shots per Match
10.4 (114 total)
Shots on Target
2.8 (27% acc)
Corners
3 (33 total)
Defense
Conceded
2 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (9%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
11.3 (124 total)
Offsides
0.8 (9 total)
11 Played
2 Wins
3 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (10 total)
xG
1.00 (10.5 total)
Shots per Match
9.7 (107 total)
Shots on Target
2.8 (29% acc)
Corners
3.2 (35 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
12.3 (135 total)
Offsides
1.7 (19 total)
22 Played
3 Wins
5 Draws
14 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (20 total)
xG
0.90 (20.0 total)
Shots per Match
10 (221 total)
Shots on Target
2.8 (28% acc)
Corners
3.1 (68 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
11.8 (259 total)
Offsides
1.3 (28 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.38 vs 0.86
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.13%
0:1
3.2%
0:2
1%
0:3
0.21%
0:4
0.03%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
11.01%
1:1
8.08%
1:2
2.9%
1:3
0.68%
1:4
0.12%
1:5
0.02%
2
2:0
11.8%
🔥
2:1
9.97%
2:2
4.06%
2:3
1.07%
2:4
0.21%
2:5
0.03%
3
3:0
8.44%
3:1
8.06%
3:2
3.69%
3:3
1.09%
3:4
0.23%
3:5
0.04%
4
4:0
4.52%
4:1
4.82%
4:2
2.46%
4:3
0.8%
4:4
0.19%
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
1.94%
5:1
2.28%
5:2
1.28%
5:3
0.46%
5:4
0.12%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 2:0 (11.8%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

5.1%
0
14.2%
1
20.9%
2
21.5%
3
17.4%
4
11.6%
5
6.0%
6
2.3%
7
0.7%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

LilleHDPNantes
21.6%
Low@ 4.50
-2.5
0.7%
Very Low
32.1%
Low@ 3.50
-2
2.0%
Very Low
42.5%
Medium@ 2.32
-1.5
3.3%
@ 12.00Very Low
55.1%
Medium@ 1.75
-1
7.7%
@ 15.50Very Low
67.8%
High@ 1.48
-0.5
12.2%
@ 6.60Very Low
87.8%
Very High@ 1.11
+0.5
32.2%
@ 2.80Low
92.3%
Very High@ 1.01
+1
44.9%
@ 2.13Medium
96.7%
Very High@ 1.02
+1.5
57.5%
@ 1.71Medium
98.0%
Very High
+2
68.0%
@ 1.32High
99.3%
Very High
+2.5
78.4%
@ 1.23High

Team Total Predictions

LilleOutcomeNantes
62.5%
High@ 1.58
Over 1.5
21.8%
@ 4.80Low
37.5%
Low@ 2.49
Under 1.5
78.2%
@ 1.20High
36.0%
Low@ 2.88
Over 2.5
6.0%
@ 15.00Very Low
64.0%
High@ 1.48
Under 2.5
94.0%
@ 1.03Very High
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Lille will take on Nantes as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 24 and will take place on 2026-03-01 at 2026-03-01 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Lille, and the visiting side, Nantes. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Lille or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-03-01 Time: 16:15 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Lille vs Nantes Sunday, Mar 1st, 2026 at 10:15 Football

AI Value Bets
2 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.

Upgrade to Premium
BTTS Yes
High Value
Prob: 63.7%
EV: +24.3%
Stake: $2.63
1.95
Goals O/U Over 2.5
Value
Prob: 60.9%
EV: +11.4%
Stake: $3.01
1.83
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-02-17 02:35:21
spinner

Trends for Lille vs Nantes Football 1 Mar, 2026 10:15

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Lille have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Lille create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Lille vs Nantes

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⚡ Final Stage: Lille is stronger in the final minutes (13 vs 8).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Lille

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.17

✈️ Nantes

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.11

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Lille - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65

✈️ Nantes - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Lille - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
13
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
13
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
7

✈️ Nantes - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
13
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
9

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Lille excels in the closing minutes (13 vs 8 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Lille scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Lille has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Lille handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.205
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.063
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.015 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.06

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Lille):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Nantes):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.

Lille
Nantes

Lille vs Nantes Head-to-head statistics for Sun 1 Mar, 2026 @ 10:15 Ligue 1

Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
4
Marseille
w w d l d
>
22
12
4
6
48
29
19
40
5
Lille
l l l d d
>
22
10
4
8
35
31
4
34
6
Rennes
d l l l w
>
22
9
7
6
34
35
-1
34

16
Auxerre
l l d d w
>
22
4
5
13
17
30
-13
17
17
Nantes
l l l l l
>
22
3
5
14
20
40
-20
14
18
Metz
l l l d l
>
22
3
4
15
22
49
-27
13
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Lille or draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Lille
VS
Nantes
Last 9 Head-to-Head Matches
5 Wins
3 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (12)
0.7 (6)
xG
1.80
1.00
Shots
13.9 (125)
9.2 (83)
Shots on Target
4.1 (37)
3 (27)
Corners
6.9 (62)
3.6 (32)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 (6)
1.3 (12)
xGa
1.00
1.80
Clean Sheets
3 (33%)
1 (11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 (21)
2.3 (21)
Red Cards
0.2 (2)
0.2 (2)
Fouls
10 (90)
13.1 (118)
Offsides
1 (9)
1.3 (12)
19 Oct
- 18:45
Nantes
Lille
0.51
xG
2.65
0
2
15 Mar
- 16:00
Nantes
Lille
1.21
xG
1.58
1
0
4 Jan
- 18:00
Lille
Nantes
1.19
xG
1.33
1
1
12 May
- 19:00
Nantes
Lille
1
2
20 Aug
- 11:00
Lille
Nantes
2
0
27 May
- 19:00
Lille
Nantes
2
1
12 Aug
- 19:00
Nantes
Lille
1
1
19 Mar
- 20:00
Nantes
Lille
0
1
27 Nov
- 16:00
Lille
Nantes
1
1
Last 6 Matches
Lille
VS
Nantes
1/6 (17%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 5/6 (83%)
0.33 PPG 0.50
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.00
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 2.00
50% BTTS % 67%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.26 Avg xG 1.37
Lille
L W L D D
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Feb 2026 - 18:00
Lille
1 1
Stade Brestois 29
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Feb 2026 - 19:45
Metz
0 0
Lille
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Feb 2026 - 14:00
Lyon
1 0
Lille
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
29 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Lille
1 0
SC Freiburg
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Jan 2026 - 19:45
Lille
1 4
Strasbourg
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
22 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Celta Vigo
2 1
Lille
Nantes
L L L L L
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Feb 2026 - 20:05
Monaco
3 1
Nantes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Feb 2026 - 20:05
Nantes
0 1
Lyon
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
31 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Lorient
2 1
Nantes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Jan 2026 - 14:00
Nantes
1 4
Nice
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Jan 2026 - 16:15
Nantes
1 2
Paris FC
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 14:00
Marseille
0 2
Nantes

Lille vs Nantes: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Lille and away matches for Nantes

Number of goals
Lille
Under
Over
Nantes
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Lille
Nantes
Yes
40% 4
70% 7
No
60% 6
30% 3
1X2
Lille
Nantes
1
20% 2
10% 1
X
20% 2
10% 1
2
60% 6
80% 8
Double Chance
Lille
Nantes
12
80% 8
90% 9
1X
40% 4
20% 2
X2
80% 8
90% 9
Total Goals
Lille
Nantes
0-1
40% 4
10% 1
2-3
40% 4
60% 6
4+
20% 2
30% 3
Total Corners
Lille
Under
Over
Nantes
Under
Over
7.5
70% 7
30% 3
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Lille
Nantes
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9
1X2 HT - FT
Lille
Nantes
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
40% 4
60% 6
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT X - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Lille
Nantes
xG
1.01
1.12
xGa
1.3
1.24
Number of goals
Lille
Under
Over
Nantes
Under
Over
0.5
90% 9
10% 1
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Lille
Nantes
Yes
0% 0
30% 3
No
100% 10
70% 7
1X2
Lille
Nantes
1
10% 1
10% 1
X
50% 5
20% 2
2
40% 4
70% 7
Double Chance
Lille
Nantes
12
50% 5
80% 8
1X
60% 6
30% 3
X2
90% 9
90% 9
Total Goals
Lille
Nantes
0-1
90% 9
70% 7
2-3
10% 1
10% 1
4+
0% 0
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Lille
Nantes
Yes
60% 6
20% 2
No
40% 4
80% 8
Number of goals
Lille
Under
Over
Nantes
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Lille
Nantes
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2
Lille
Nantes
1
10% 1
20% 2
X
50% 5
40% 4
2
40% 4
40% 4
Double Chance
Lille
Nantes
12
50% 5
60% 6
1X
60% 6
60% 6
X2
90% 9
80% 8
Total Goals
Lille
Nantes
0-1
40% 4
60% 6
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Lille
Nantes
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1.66 xG 0.97
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Goal 3
9 Shots Off Goal 6
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found