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Ligue 1 2025-2026 | Matchweek 16
14 Dec 2025-16:15
Lens
Lens
1st place
- : -
14 Dec 2025 10:15
Nice
Nice
10th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Lens vs Nice: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 14 December, 2025 10:15

1×2 Prediction
Lens
63%23%14%
LensDrawNice
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5
49%51%
Over 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
50%50%
NoYes
Team Total - Lens
Under 2.5
72%28%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Team Total - Nice
Under 1.5
81%19%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Lens/Draw
86%14%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Nice +1.5
64%36%
Away +1.5NOT Away +1.5
Best Tip Value
Total - Away Nice Under 1.5 Goals
Odds: 1.4
77.9%
EV: +9.0%
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Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.85 vs 0.80
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.87%
0:1
5.54%
0:2
1.95%
0:3
0.46%
0:4
0.08%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
13.8%
🔥
1:1
10.47%
1:2
3.95%
1:3
0.99%
1:4
0.19%
1:5
0.03%
2
2:0
12.11%
2:1
9.85%
2:2
3.97%
2:3
1.06%
2:4
0.21%
2:5
0.03%
3
3:0
7.08%
3:1
6.15%
3:2
2.64%
3:3
0.75%
3:4
0.16%
3:5
0.03%
4
4:0
3.11%
4:1
2.86%
4:2
1.3%
4:3
0.39%
4:4
0.09%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
1.09%
5:1
1.06%
5:2
0.51%
5:3
0.16%
5:4
0.04%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:0 (13.8%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

7.9%
0
19.3%
1
24.5%
2
21.3%
3
14.3%
4
7.8%
5
3.4%
6
1.1%
7
0.3%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Lens
vs
Nice
Dec 14, 16:15
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
Lens
l w w w w
>
14
10
1
3
24
12
12
31
2
14
9
3
2
27
12
15
30

9
Toulouse
d d d l d
>
14
4
5
5
20
19
1
17
10
Nice
w l l l l
>
14
5
2
7
19
26
-7
17
11
14
4
4
6
19
24
-5
16
Last 6 Matches
Lens
VS
Nice
5/6 (83%) Victories 0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 6/6 (100%)
2.50 PPG 1.00
2.00 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 2.83
50% BTTS % 67%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.79 Avg xG 0.93
Lens
L W W W W
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 16:15
Angers
1 2
Lens
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Nov 2025 - 16:00
Lens
1 0
Strasbourg
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Nov 2025 - 20:05
Monaco
1 4
Lens
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Nov 2025 - 16:15
Lens
3 0
Lorient
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Oct 2025 - 18:00
Metz
2 0
Lens
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Oct 2025 - 19:05
Lens
2 1
Marseille
Nice
L L L L L
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 16:15
Lorient
3 1
Nice
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
27 Nov 2025 - 17:45
FC Porto
3 0
Nice
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Nice
1 5
Marseille
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 Nov 2025 - 16:15
Metz
2 1
Nice
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
6 Nov 2025 - 17:45
Nice
1 3
SC Freiburg
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Nov 2025 - 16:00
Paris Saint Germain
1 0
Nice
63% Draw 14%
49% Over 2.5 51%
47% Both Teams Score 53%
2.22 xPTS 0.78
1.85 xG [Total: 2.65] 0.80
2 Yellow Cards [Total: 4] 2
7 Corners [Total: 12] 5
3 Offsides [Total: 4] 1
12 Fouls [Total: 24] 12
6 Shots on Goal [Total: 9] 3
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Lens will take on Nice as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 16 and will take place on 2025-12-14 at 2025-12-14 in the famous Stade Bollaert-Delelis. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Lens, and the visiting side, Nice. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : Lens. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-14 Time: 16:15 Location: Stade Bollaert-Delelis Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Lens vs Nice Sunday, Dec 14th, 2025 at 10:15 Football

Value Bets

2 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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Value
Match Winner Lens
Odds: 1.72
63.4%
EV: +9.0% Kelly: $6.22
Bet Now
Value
Double Chance 1X
Odds: 1.21
86.2%
EV: +4.2% Kelly: $10.10
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Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 06:26:18
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Trends for Lens vs Nice Football 14 Dec, 2025 10:15

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Lens have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • Second Half Surge

    Lens score in 2nd half 86% of matches — expect late goals

+4 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Lens vs Nice

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Nice is stronger in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 3).
⏰ First Half: Nice is stronger in the first half (14 vs 6).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Lens

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.16
Pressure
0.13

✈️ Nice

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.17

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Lens - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

✈️ Nice - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Lens - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4

✈️ Nice - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
8
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
8
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Nice often scores in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 3)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Nice scoring first
  • ⏰ Away First Half: Nice is stronger in the first half (14 vs 6)
  • First Half Result: Consider Nice to win the first half
  • Overall Result: Lens has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Lens handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.108
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.045
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Lens):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Nice):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Lens
Nice

Lens vs Nice Head-to-head statistics for Sun 14 Dec, 2025 @ 10:15 Ligue 1

Lens vs Nice: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Lens and away matches for Nice

Number of goals

Number of goals
Lens
Under
Over
Nice
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
30% 3
70% 7
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Lens
Nice
Yes
50% 5
70% 7
No
50% 5
30% 3

1X2

1X2
Lens
Nice
1
80% 8
30% 3
X
10% 1
0% 0
2
10% 1
70% 7

Double Chance

Double Chance
Lens
Nice
12
90% 9
100% 10
1X
90% 9
30% 3
X2
20% 2
70% 7

Total Goals

Total Goals
Lens
Nice
0-1
20% 2
10% 1
2-3
70% 7
50% 5
4+
10% 1
40% 4

Total Corners

Total Corners
Lens
Under
Over
Nice
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Lens
Nice
Yes
40% 4
10% 1
No
60% 6
90% 9

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Lens
Nice
HT 1 - FT 1
50% 5
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
0% 0
40% 4
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
30% 3
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT X
10% 1
0% 0

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Lens
Nice
xG
1.72
1
xGa
1.44
1.88

Number of goals

Number of goals
Lens
Under
Over
Nice
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Lens
Nice
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6

1X2

1X2
Lens
Nice
1
50% 5
40% 4
X
50% 5
20% 2
2
0% 0
40% 4

Double Chance

Double Chance
Lens
Nice
12
50% 5
80% 8
1X
100% 10
60% 6
X2
50% 5
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
Lens
Nice
0-1
60% 6
30% 3
2-3
30% 3
60% 6
4+
10% 1
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Lens
Nice
Yes
70% 7
40% 4
No
30% 3
60% 6

Number of goals

Number of goals
Lens
Under
Over
Nice
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Lens
Nice
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8

1X2

1X2
Lens
Nice
1
60% 6
10% 1
X
30% 3
20% 2
2
10% 1
70% 7

Double Chance

Double Chance
Lens
Nice
12
70% 7
80% 8
1X
90% 9
30% 3
X2
40% 4
90% 9

Total Goals

Total Goals
Lens
Nice
0-1
60% 6
70% 7
2-3
40% 4
20% 2
4+
0% 0
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Lens
Nice
Yes
70% 7
20% 2
No
30% 3
80% 8
Team comparison
Prediction
Winner : Lens
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
16.7%
Low
5.00
0.8%
Low
15.00
-2
26.4%
Low
4.29
2.4%
Low
N/A
-1.5
36.2%
Low
2.75
3.9%
Low
10.50
-1
49.4%
Low
2.12
9.2%
Low
9.80
-0.5
62.6%
Medium
1.67
14.5%
Low
4.40
+0.5
85.4%
High
1.20
37.4%
Low
2.28
+1
90.7%
High
1.00
50.6%
Medium
1.75
+1.5
96.0%
High
1.04
63.8%
Medium
1.48
+2
97.6%
High
N/A
73.6%
High
1.23
+2.5
99.2%
High
1.01
83.3%
High
1.17
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.86%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.555.19%Medium1.59
Under 1.544.81%Low2.38
AwayOver 1.519.12%Low3.08
Under 1.580.88%High1.40
HomeOver 2.528.28%Low2.88
Under 2.571.72%High1.45
AwayOver 2.54.74%Low8.30
Under 2.595.26%High1.09
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
8 Feb
- 16:00
Nice
Lens
2.28
xG
1.17
2
0
28 Sep
- 15:00
Lens
Nice
1.99
xG
1.15
0
0
16 Mar
- 20:00
Lens
Nice
1
3
20 Dec
- 20:00
Nice
Lens
2
0
1 Feb
- 20:00
Lens
Nice
0
1
29 Dec
- 20:00
Nice
Lens
0
0
10 Apr
- 15:05
Lens
Nice
3
0
22 Dec
- 20:00
Nice
Lens
2
1
club logo
Lens
Nice
Played: 8
Wins
1
Draws
2
Wins
5
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
5
0.6
Goals
1.3
10
10
1.3
Goals Conceded
0.6
5
18
2.3
Yellow Cards
1.9
15
3
0.4
Red Cards
0.3
2
3
0.4
Clean Sheets
0.6
5
47
5.9
Corners
4.8
38
102
12.8
Fouls
10
80
19
2.4
Offsides
1.3
10
97
12.1
Shots
12.5
100
30
3.8
Shots on Goal
5
40
Home Away All
Played 7 7 14
Wins 6 4 10
Draws 0 1 1
Losses 1 2 3
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2 14 1.4 10 1.7 24
Goals Conceded 0.6 4 1.1 8 0.9 12
Yellow Cards 1.7 12 2.3 16 2 28
Red Cards 0.1 1 0.3 2 0.2 3
Clean Sheets 0.4 3 0.1 1 0.3 4
Corners 8 56 3.6 25 5.8 81
Fouls 11.4 80 14.1 99 12.8 179
Offsides 3 21 1.3 9 2.1 30
Shots 14.6 102 11.6 81 13.1 183
Shots on Goal 5.7 40 4.3 30 5 70
Home Away All
Played 7 7 14
Wins 4 1 5
Draws 1 1 2
Losses 2 5 7
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.6 11 1.1 8 1.4 19
Goals Conceded 1.4 10 2.3 16 1.9 26
Yellow Cards 1.9 13 2.6 18 2.2 31
Red Cards 0 0.1 1 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.3 2 0 0.1 2
Corners 5.1 36 4.3 30 4.7 66
Fouls 11.4 80 13.1 92 12.3 172
Offsides 2.1 15 1 7 1.6 22
Shots 12.1 85 9 63 10.6 148
Shots on Goal 5.1 36 2.7 19 3.9 55
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