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Leicester
2
3
Sheffield Utd
Leicester vs Derby: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Monday, 29 December, 2025 13:45
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
No prediction data available for this match.
Championship 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
10
6
8
4
23
20
3
26
11
7
5
6
25
25
0
26
12
7
4
7
20
22
-2
25
15
6
6
6
24
23
1
24
16
6
6
6
22
23
-1
24
17
6
5
7
18
23
-5
23
Last 6 Matches
Leicester
VS
Derby
2/6 (33%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.17
PPG
2.00
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
1.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
67%
BTTS %
100%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.11
Avg xG
0.94
No predictions available for win/draw probability for this match.
Unable to calculate goals probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Unable to calculate BTTS probability for this match due to missing prediction data.
Expected Points not available for this match.
0.84
xG [Total: 1.84]
1.00
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 5]
3
6
Corners [Total: 9]
4
1
Offsides [Total: 2]
1
10
Fouls [Total: 23]
13
4
Shots on Goal [Total: 6]
2
In this exciting Championship 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Leicester will take on Derby as part of the 2025-2026 season in Championship. This match is part of Matchweek 24 and will take place on 2025-12-29 at 2025-12-29 in the famous King Power Stadium.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Leicester, and the visiting side, Derby. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-29
Time: 19:45
Location: King Power Stadium
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Leicester vs Derby Football 29 Dec, 2025 13:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 67% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Clinical Finishers
Both teams convert chances efficiently (80%+ conversion) — expect goals from limited opportunities
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Leicester vs Derby, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Leicester(1 trends)
- Efficient ScoringRecent12/1580%Leicester efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 12 of their last 15 Championship (Home) matches
Derby(2 trends)
- Efficient ScoringRecent12/1580%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 12 of their last 15 Championship (Away) matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent23/3077%Derby efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 23 of their last 30 Championship matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Leicester(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague6/967%Leicester score (1.22/match) and concede (1.11/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 58%)
Derby(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/978%Derby score (1.44/match) and concede (1.33/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 78% of matches (league avg: 58%)
⚡ Team Total Goals
Derby(1 trends)
- Conceded Under 1.5 GoalsRecent23/3077%Derby conceded under 1.5 goals in 23 of their last 30 Championship matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Leicester(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague18/1880%Leicester average 2.0 cards/match in all matches (+10% above league avg 1.8)
Derby(3 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague18/1890%Derby average 2.4 cards/match in all matches (+35% above league avg 1.8) — rank #1 in league
- Many CardsRecent25/3083%Derby receive 2+ cards in 25 of their last 30 Championship matches
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Derby receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Championship (Away) matches
Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Leicester(1 trends) — avg 6.6 (+34% above league)
- Many CornersLeague9/985%Leicester average 6.6 corners/match at home (+34% above league avg 4.9)
Derby(2 trends) — avg 4.4 (-11% below league)
- Few CornersLeague9/976%Derby average 4.4 corners/match in away matches (-11% below league avg 4.9)
- Few CornersRecent12/1486%Derby win 4 or fewer corners in 12 of their last 14 Championship (Away) matches
Combined average: 11.0 corners/match (Leicester 6.6 + Derby 4.4)
+18 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Leicester vs Derby
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Leicester is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Leicester is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6).
🔄 Second Half: Derby is stronger in the second half (12 vs 7).
⚡ Final Stage: Derby is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⏰ First Half: Leicester is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6).
🔄 Second Half: Derby is stronger in the second half (12 vs 7).
⚡ Final Stage: Derby is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Leicester
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.02
Pressure
0.12
✈️ Derby
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.25
Pressure
0.11
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Leicester - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ Derby - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Leicester - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Derby - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Leicester often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Leicester scoring first
- ⏰ Home First Half: Leicester is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6)
- First Half Result: Consider Leicester to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Derby shows superior performance after the break (12 vs 7 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Derby winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Derby excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 5 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Derby scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.265
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.009
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Leicester):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Derby):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Leicester vs Derby Head-to-head statistics for Mon 29 Dec, 2025 @ 13:45 Championship
Leicester vs Derby: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Leicester and away matches for Derby
Number of goals
Number of goals
Leicester
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Leicester
Derby
Yes
70%
7
70%
7
No
30%
3
30%
3
1X2
1X2
Leicester
Derby
1
30%
3
60%
6
X
20%
2
10%
1
2
50%
5
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Leicester
Derby
12
80%
8
90%
9
1X
50%
5
70%
7
X2
70%
7
40%
4
Total Goals
Total Goals
Leicester
Derby
0-1
10%
1
30%
3
2-3
70%
7
50%
5
4+
20%
2
20%
2
Total Corners
Total Corners
Leicester
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Leicester
Derby
Yes
0%
0
20%
2
No
100%
10
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Leicester
Derby
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
50%
5
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT 1 - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
50%
5
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Leicester
Derby
xG
1.14
0.98
xGa
1.33
1.28
Number of goals
Number of goals
Leicester
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Leicester
Derby
Yes
0%
0
10%
1
No
100%
10
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Leicester
Derby
1
40%
4
70%
7
X
10%
1
20%
2
2
50%
5
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
Leicester
Derby
12
90%
9
80%
8
1X
50%
5
90%
9
X2
60%
6
30%
3
Total Goals
Total Goals
Leicester
Derby
0-1
60%
6
80%
8
2-3
40%
4
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Leicester
Derby
Yes
50%
5
80%
8
No
50%
5
20%
2
Number of goals
Number of goals
Leicester
Under
Over
Derby
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Leicester
Derby
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Leicester
Derby
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
20%
2
50%
5
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Leicester
Derby
12
80%
8
50%
5
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Leicester
Derby
0-1
70%
7
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Leicester
Derby
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
Leicester
Derby
Played:
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 4 | 2 | 6 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 4 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.2 | 11 | 1.2 | 11 | 1.2 | 22 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 10 | 1.4 | 13 | 1.3 | 23 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.3 | 21 | 1.4 | 13 | 1.9 | 34 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 53 | 4.7 | 42 | 5.3 | 95 |
| Fouls | 10.8 | 97 | 10.7 | 96 | 10.7 | 193 |
| Offsides | 0.9 | 8 | 1.1 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
| Shots | 13.4 | 121 | 11.7 | 105 | 12.6 | 226 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.2 | 38 | 3.6 | 32 | 3.9 | 70 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 12 | 1.4 | 13 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 13 | 1.3 | 12 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.2 | 20 | 2.7 | 24 | 2.4 | 44 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 44 | 3.9 | 35 | 4.4 | 79 |
| Fouls | 11.8 | 106 | 13 | 117 | 12.4 | 223 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 17 | 0.9 | 8 | 1.4 | 25 |
| Shots | 9.1 | 82 | 7 | 63 | 8.1 | 145 |
| Shots on Goal | 3 | 27 | 2.4 | 22 | 2.7 | 49 |
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