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Form
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026 • Matchweek 26
Preview
Lechia Gdansk
Lechia Gdansk
6th place
Form
VS
16:30
21 Mar 2026
Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin
9th place
Form
AI Prediction +2.5 goals
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Szczecin: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 21 March, 2026 11:30

Winner (1x2)2.17
Lechia Gdansk to Win
Probability 66%
Total Goals2.40
Under 2.5
Probability 50%
Both Teams to Score2.55
No (NG)
Probability 54%
Lechia Gdansk Total1.74
Home Over 1.5
Probability 58%
Pogon Szczecin Total1.66
Away Under 1.5
Probability 83%
Double Chance1.34
Lechia Gdansk/Draw
Probability 86%
Asian Handicap2.08
Lechia Gdansk -0.5
Probability 67%

Betting Tip

+2.5 goals

No high-confidence tip found, displaying main verdict.

Prediction League
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
16:30
Lechia Gdansk W 66%
:
Pogon Szczecin W 14%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Lechia Gdansk
w l d w l
12 Played
6 Wins
3 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.3 (27 total)
xG
0.60 (7.1 total)
Shots per Match
14.1 (169 total)
Shots on Target
5.5 (39% acc)
Corners
5.2 (62 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
0.60 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
11.6 (139 total)
Offsides
1.5 (18 total)
13 Played
4 Wins
3 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (22 total)
xG
0.40 (5.4 total)
Shots per Match
11.8 (153 total)
Shots on Target
4.6 (39% acc)
Corners
3.5 (45 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.3 per match
xGa
0.20 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.8 (140 total)
Offsides
0.8 (11 total)
25 Played
10 Wins
6 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (49 total)
xG
0.50 (12.6 total)
Shots per Match
12.9 (322 total)
Shots on Target
5 (39% acc)
Corners
4.3 (107 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9 per match
xGa
0.40 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (12%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
11.2 (279 total)
Offsides
1.2 (29 total)
Pogon Szczecin
w w w l w
13 Played
8 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (26 total)
xG
0.60 (7.2 total)
Shots per Match
17.2 (223 total)
Shots on Target
5.4 (31% acc)
Corners
6 (78 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
0.50 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
11.5 (150 total)
Offsides
1.5 (19 total)
12 Played
2 Wins
2 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8 (9 total)
xG
0.20 (2.7 total)
Shots per Match
12.9 (155 total)
Shots on Target
3.5 (27% acc)
Corners
4.5 (54 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
0.30 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (8%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
12 (144 total)
Offsides
1.9 (23 total)
25 Played
10 Wins
4 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (35 total)
xG
0.40 (9.9 total)
Shots per Match
15.1 (378 total)
Shots on Target
4.5 (30% acc)
Corners
5.3 (132 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
0.40 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (16%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
11.8 (294 total)
Offsides
1.7 (42 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.96 vs 0.74
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.17%
0:1
4.67%
0:2
1.14%
0:3
0.2%
0:4
0.03%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
15.16%
🔥
1:1
9.28%
1:2
2.96%
1:3
0.6%
1:4
0.09%
1:5
0.01%
2
2:0
12.88%
2:1
9.96%
2:2
3.64%
2:3
0.85%
2:4
0.14%
2:5
0.02%
3
3:0
7.45%
3:1
6.73%
3:2
2.85%
3:3
0.76%
3:4
0.15%
3:5
0.02%
4
4:0
3.24%
4:1
3.34%
4:2
1.61%
4:3
0.49%
4:4
0.11%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
1.12%
5:1
1.3%
5:2
0.71%
5:3
0.24%
5:4
0.06%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:0 (15.2%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

8.2%
0
19.8%
1
23.3%
2
20.6%
3
14.2%
4
8.2%
5
3.8%
6
1.4%
7
0.4%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Lechia GdanskHDPPogon Szczecin
20.2%
Low@ 7.40
-2.5
0.7%
Very Low
30.4%
Low@ 6.75
-2
2.1%
Very Low
40.7%
Medium@ 3.90
-1.5
3.5%
@ 5.90Very Low
53.6%
Medium@ 3.38
-1
8.4%
@ 5.00Very Low
66.5%
High@ 2.25
-0.5
13.3%
@ 2.95Very Low
86.7%
Very High@ 1.40
+0.5
33.5%
@ 1.70Low
91.6%
Very High@ 1.17
+1
46.4%
@ 1.32Medium
96.4%
Very High@ 1.13
+1.5
59.3%
@ 1.24Medium
97.9%
Very High
+2
69.6%
@ 1.04High
99.3%
Very High
+2.5
79.8%
@ 1.06High

Team Total Predictions

Lechia GdanskOutcomePogon Szczecin
85.9%
Very High@ 1.18
Over 0.5
52.3%
@ 1.28Medium
14.1%
Very Low@ 5.00
Under 0.5
47.7%
@ 3.75Medium
58.3%
Medium@ 1.95
Over 1.5
17.0%
@ 2.26Very Low
41.7%
Medium@ 1.94
Under 1.5
83.0%
@ 1.65Very High
31.3%
Low@ 3.85
Over 2.5
3.9%
@ 5.50Very Low
68.8%
High@ 1.27
Under 2.5
96.1%
@ 1.17Very High
13.6%
Very Low@ 10.00
Over 3.5
0.7%
@ 15.00Very Low
86.4%
Very High@ 1.08
Under 3.5
99.3%
@ 1.04Very High
In this exciting Ekstraklasa 2025-2026 matchup, Lechia Gdansk will take on Pogon Szczecin as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ekstraklasa. This match is part of Matchweek 26 and will take place on 2026-03-21 at 2026-03-21 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Lechia Gdansk, and the visiting side, Pogon Szczecin. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Pogon Szczecin. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-03-21 Time: 16:30 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Szczecin Saturday, Mar 21st, 2026 at 11:30 Football

AI Value Bets
6 Found

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Match Winner Lechia Gdansk
High Value
Prob: 66%
EV: +48.4%
Stake: $2.00
2.25
Away Total Pogon Szczecin Under 1.5
High Value
Prob: 83%
EV: +37.8%
Stake: $3.79
1.66
Double Chance 1X
High Value
Prob: 86.4%
EV: +22.7%
Stake: $5.95
1.42
Correct Score 1:0
High Value
Prob: 13.6%
EV: +15.7%
Stake: $0.33
8.50
Asian Handicap Lechia Gdansk +1
Value
Prob: 91.6%
EV: +7.1%
Stake: $10.00
1.17
Double Chance 12
Value
Prob: 79.5%
EV: +2.6%
Stake: $8.62
1.29
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-03-17 15:02:29
spinner

Trends for Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Szczecin Football 21 Mar, 2026 11:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 78% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Szczecin

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Pogon Szczecin is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3).
⏰ First Half: Pogon Szczecin is stronger in the first half (15 vs 10).
🔄 Second Half: Lechia Gdansk is stronger in the second half (19 vs 11).
⚡ Final Stage: Lechia Gdansk is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 7).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Lechia Gdansk

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.15
Pressure
0.14

✈️ Pogon Szczecin

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.17
Pressure
0.15

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Lechia Gdansk - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
19
Avg. Goals per Match
0.95
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5

✈️ Pogon Szczecin - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Lechia Gdansk - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
5

✈️ Pogon Szczecin - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
8

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Pogon Szczecin often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Pogon Szczecin scoring first
  • ⏰ Away First Half: Pogon Szczecin is stronger in the first half (15 vs 10)
  • First Half Result: Consider Pogon Szczecin to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Lechia Gdansk shows superior performance after the break (19 vs 11 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Lechia Gdansk winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Lechia Gdansk excels in the closing minutes (10 vs 7 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Lechia Gdansk scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Lechia Gdansk has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Lechia Gdansk handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.018
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.009
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.007 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.023

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Lechia Gdansk):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Pogon Szczecin):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.

Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin

Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Szczecin Head-to-head statistics for Sat 21 Mar, 2026 @ 11:30 Ekstraklasa

Ekstraklasa 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
5
25
11
4
10
34
32
2
37
6
Lechia Gdansk
w l d w l
>
25
10
6
9
49
47
2
36
7
GKS Katowice
d l w w w
>
24
11
3
10
34
32
2
36
8
Wisla Plock
l l l l w
>
25
9
9
7
26
24
2
36
9
Pogon Szczecin
w w w l w
>
25
10
4
11
35
38
-3
34
10
Motor Lublin
l w w d w
>
25
8
10
7
34
38
-4
34
Team comparison
Prediction
+2.5 goals
Goals Home: -3.5*
Goals Away: -3.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Lechia Gdansk
VS
Pogon Szczecin
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
4 (4)
3 (3)
Shots
12 (12)
22 (22)
Shots on Target
9 (9)
9 (9)
Corners
4 (4)
4 (4)
Defense
Conceded
3 (3)
4 (4)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3 (3)
3 (3)
Fouls
10 (10)
9 (9)
Offsides
0 (0)
1 (1)
21 Sep
- 12:45
Pogon Szczecin
Lechia Gdansk
3
4
Prob 73%
Goals Total Over 2.5
Odd 1.69
Last 6 Matches
Lechia Gdansk
VS
Pogon Szczecin
2/6 (33%) Victories 4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
1.33 PPG 2.17
1.50 Avg Goals Scored 1.00
1.50 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
50% BTTS % 33%
33% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
- Avg xG 1.05
Lechia Gdansk
W L D W L
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
14 Mar 2026 - 16:30
GKS Katowice
2 0
Lechia Gdansk
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
6 Mar 2026 - 19:30
Lechia Gdansk
3 0
Jagiellonia
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
27 Feb 2026 - 19:30
Arka Gdynia
2 2
Lechia Gdansk
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
23 Feb 2026 - 18:00
Lechia Gdansk
0 2
Zaglebie Lubin
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
15 Feb 2026 - 11:15
Motor Lublin
2 3
Lechia Gdansk
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
6 Feb 2026 - 19:30
Lechia Gdansk
1 1
Cracovia Krakow
Pogon Szczecin
W W W L W
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
16 Mar 2026 - 18:00
Pogon Szczecin
2 1
Korona Kielce
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
8 Mar 2026 - 16:30
Raków Częstochowa
2 0
Pogon Szczecin
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
28 Feb 2026 - 13:45
Pogon Szczecin
1 0
Widzew Łódź
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
21 Feb 2026 - 16:45
Gornik Zabrze
0 1
Pogon Szczecin
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
15 Feb 2026 - 13:45
Pogon Szczecin
1 0
Arka Gdynia
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
8 Feb 2026 - 11:15
Pogon Szczecin
1 1
Nieciecza

Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Szczecin: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Lechia Gdansk and away matches for Pogon Szczecin

Number of goals
Lechia Gdansk
Under
Over
Pogon Szczecin
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
30% 3
70% 7
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
50% 5
50% 5
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
Both teams to score
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
Yes
70% 7
50% 5
No
30% 3
50% 5
1X2
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
1
50% 5
50% 5
X
30% 3
20% 2
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
12
70% 7
80% 8
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
50% 5
50% 5
Total Goals
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
0-1
0% 0
30% 3
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
60% 6
20% 2
Total Corners
Lechia Gdansk
Under
Over
Pogon Szczecin
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
HT 1 - FT 1
40% 4
20% 2
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
20% 2
20% 2
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
xG
1.6
1.05
xGa
0.94
1.07
Number of goals
Lechia Gdansk
Under
Over
Pogon Szczecin
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
Yes
40% 4
10% 1
No
60% 6
90% 9
1X2
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
1
60% 6
40% 4
X
10% 1
20% 2
2
30% 3
40% 4
Double Chance
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
12
90% 9
80% 8
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
40% 4
60% 6
Total Goals
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
0-1
50% 5
60% 6
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
Yes
30% 3
60% 6
No
70% 7
40% 4
Number of goals
Lechia Gdansk
Under
Over
Pogon Szczecin
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
Yes
30% 3
10% 1
No
70% 7
90% 9
1X2
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
1
50% 5
40% 4
X
20% 2
30% 3
2
30% 3
30% 3
Double Chance
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
12
80% 8
70% 7
1X
70% 7
70% 7
X2
50% 5
60% 6
Total Goals
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
0-1
30% 3
70% 7
2-3
70% 7
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Lechia Gdansk
Pogon Szczecin
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4
1.58 xG 0.70
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 9
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
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