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Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 12 March, 2026 12:45
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
19
Played
9
Wins
5
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.2
(42 total)
xG
0.80
(14.6 total)
Shots per Match
15.3
(290 total)
Shots on Target
5.6
(37% acc)
Corners
4.9
(93 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
0.40
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(16%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.9
(189 total)
Offsides
1.1
(20 total)
19
Played
9
Wins
5
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(27 total)
xG
0.80
(15.6 total)
Shots per Match
12.8
(243 total)
Shots on Target
4.4
(35% acc)
Corners
5
(95 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
0.40
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(37%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
10.2
(193 total)
Offsides
0.9
(18 total)
38
Played
18
Wins
10
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(69 total)
xG
0.80
(30.2 total)
Shots per Match
14
(533 total)
Shots on Target
5
(36% acc)
Corners
4.9
(188 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
0.40
per match
Clean Sheets
10
(26%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
10.1
(382 total)
Offsides
1
(38 total)
16
Played
10
Wins
4
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.4
(39 total)
xG
0.10
(2.1 total)
Shots per Match
3.6
(58 total)
Shots on Target
1.1
(31% acc)
Corners
1.7
(27 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7
per match
xGa
0.10
per match
Clean Sheets
10
(63%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
2.1
(33 total)
Offsides
0.7
(11 total)
15
Played
9
Wins
6
Draws
0
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(27 total)
xG
0.30
(5.1 total)
Shots per Match
4.6
(69 total)
Shots on Target
1.8
(39% acc)
Corners
1.6
(24 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.5
per match
xGa
0.20
per match
Clean Sheets
10
(67%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
2.3
(34 total)
Offsides
0.4
(6 total)
31
Played
19
Wins
10
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1
(66 total)
xG
0.20
(7.2 total)
Shots per Match
4.1
(127 total)
Shots on Target
1.5
(35% acc)
Corners
1.6
(51 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.6
per match
xGa
0.10
per match
Clean Sheets
20
(65%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
2.2
(67 total)
Offsides
0.5
(17 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.43 vs 2.65
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.28%
0:1
6.13%
0:2
6.73%
⭐
0:3
5.14%
⭐
0:4
2.94%
⭐
0:5
1.35%
⭐
1
1:0
2.97%
1:1
7%
1:2
9.32%
🔥
1:3
7.92%
⭐
1:4
5%
⭐
1:5
2.5%
⭐
2
2:0
1.47%
2:1
4.35%
2:2
6.28%
2:3
5.92%
⭐
2:4
4.1%
⭐
2:5
2.24%
⭐
3
3:0
0.52%
3:1
1.73%
3:2
2.76%
3:3
2.86%
⭐
3:4
2.17%
⭐
3:5
1.29%
⭐
4
4:0
0.14%
4:1
0.51%
4:2
0.89%
4:3
1.01%
⭐
4:4
0.84%
⭐
4:5
0.54%
⭐
5
5:0
0.03%
5:1
0.12%
5:2
0.23%
5:3
0.28%
⭐
5:4
0.25%
⭐
5:5
0.18%
Hotspot:
1:2 (9.3%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase matchup, Lech Poznan will take on Shakhtar Donetsk as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Conference League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-03-12 at 2026-03-12 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Lech Poznan, and the visiting side, Shakhtar Donetsk. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Shakhtar Donetsk.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-03-12
Time: 17:45
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk Thursday, Mar 12th, 2026 at 12:45 Football
AI Value Bets
5 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk Football 12 Mar, 2026 12:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 10 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Late Goals Expected
Both teams score in 2nd half consistently (Lech Poznan 75%, Shakhtar Donetsk 100%) — expect late drama
-
Defensive Fortress
Lech Poznan have league's best defense — hard to break down
+8 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk.
🏆 Match Winner — Lech Poznan @ 2.75 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsLech Poznan
Above League AverageLeague
Lech Poznan score 2.00 goals/match at home (+46% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
Lech Poznan concede only 0.50 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh xG PerformanceRecent
Lech Poznan create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 8 of their last 8 UEFA Conference League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Strong alignment between defensive solidity and scoring consistency — Lech Poznan to win looks justified.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.67 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsShakhtar Donetsk1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Shakhtar Donetsk score (2.25/match) and concede (1.00/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 75% of matches (league avg: 47%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.02 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsLech Poznan1 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Lech Poznan score 2.00 goals/match at home (+46% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsShakhtar Donetsk1 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Shakhtar Donetsk score 2.25 goals/match in away matches (+64% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams average 4.2 combined goals per match • Offensive trends outweigh defensive stats
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Lech Poznan Win or Draw @ 1.51 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsLech Poznan
League Best DefenseLeague
Lech Poznan concede only 0.50 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak TrendsUndefeated at HTRecent
Lech Poznan are undefeated at half time in their last 6 8 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 875%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Lech Poznan demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — Lech Poznan Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.38 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsLech Poznan
Above League AverageLeague
Lech Poznan score 2.00 goals/match at home (+46% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 1+Recent
Lech Poznan scored 1+ goals in their last 8 8 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Lech Poznan's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsLech Poznan1 Trends — avg 1.6 (-33% below league)Low Card MatchesLeague
Lech Poznan average 1.5 cards/match in all matches (-35% below league avg 2.3)
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Unlock Streak TrendsShakhtar Donetsk1 Trends — avg 1.9 (-20% below league)Low Card MatchesLeague
Shakhtar Donetsk average 1.9 cards/match in all matches (-19% below league avg 2.3)
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 890%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams disciplined -
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.73 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsLech Poznan1 Trends — avg 3.2 (-27% below league)Few CornersLeague
Lech Poznan average 3.2 corners/match at home (-27% below league avg 4.5)
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Unlock Streak TrendsShakhtar Donetsk1 Trends — avg 6.0 (+34% above league)Many CornersLeague
Shakhtar Donetsk average 6.0 corners/match in away matches (+34% above league avg 4.5)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined average: 9.2 corners/match (Lech Poznan 3.2 + Shakhtar Donetsk 6.0) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Shakhtar Donetsk is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Lech Poznan
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.14
✈️ Shakhtar Donetsk
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.02
Pressure
0.2
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Lech Poznan - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
✈️ Shakhtar Donetsk - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
18
Avg. Goals per Match
0.9
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Lech Poznan - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
13
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
11
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
11
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
7
Late Conceded
2
✈️ Shakhtar Donetsk - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
7
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
13
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
13
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Shakhtar Donetsk often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Shakhtar Donetsk scoring first
- Overall Result: Shakhtar Donetsk has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Shakhtar Donetsk handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.382
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.059
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.045 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Lech Poznan):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Shakhtar Donetsk):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk Head-to-head statistics for Thu 12 Mar, 2026 @ 12:45 UEFA Conference League
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Shakhtar Donetsk
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Lech Poznan
VS
Shakhtar Donetsk
5/6 (83%)
Victories
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
0/6 (0%)
0.00
PPG
0.00
2.17
Avg Goals Scored
2.00
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded
0.00
50%
BTTS %
0%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
2.02
Avg xG
-
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Mar 2026
- 11:00
Oleksandria
0
1
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season
27 Feb 2026
- 13:30
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
0
Veres Rivne
Ukrainian Premier League 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Feb 2026
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Karpaty
Lech Poznan vs Shakhtar Donetsk: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Lech Poznan and away matches for Shakhtar Donetsk
Number of goals
Lech Poznan
Under
Over
Shakhtar Donetsk
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
40%
4
60%
6
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
Both teams to score
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
Yes
50%
5
20%
2
No
50%
5
80%
8
1X2
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
70%
7
70%
7
X
0%
0
30%
3
2
30%
3
0%
0
Double Chance
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
12
100%
10
70%
7
1X
70%
7
100%
10
X2
30%
3
30%
3
Total Goals
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
0-1
30%
3
40%
4
2-3
50%
5
30%
3
4+
20%
2
30%
3
Total Corners
Lech Poznan
Under
Over
Shakhtar Donetsk
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
67%
2
33%
1
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
3
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
3
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
3
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
Yes
40%
4
80%
8
No
60%
6
20%
2
1X2 HT - FT
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
HT 1 - FT 1
50%
5
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
40%
4
HT X - FT 2
30%
3
0%
0
HT X - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
xG
2.09
1.54
xGa
0.8
0.41
Number of goals
Lech Poznan
Under
Over
Shakhtar Donetsk
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
50%
5
30%
3
X
50%
5
60%
6
2
0%
0
10%
1
Double Chance
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
12
50%
5
40%
4
1X
100%
10
90%
9
X2
50%
5
70%
7
Total Goals
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
0-1
30%
3
80%
8
2-3
60%
6
20%
2
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
Yes
70%
7
90%
9
No
30%
3
10%
1
Number of goals
Lech Poznan
Under
Over
Shakhtar Donetsk
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
30%
3
70%
7
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
50%
5
0%
0
Double Chance
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
50%
5
100%
10
X2
70%
7
30%
3
Total Goals
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
0-1
80%
8
50%
5
2-3
20%
2
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
Yes
40%
4
90%
9
No
60%
6
10%
1
1.71
xG
2.29
59%
Ball Possession
41%
11
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Goal
3
7
Shots Off Goal
5
4
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
2
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