Login
Register
Wisla Plock
0
0
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan vs FSV Mainz 05: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 11 December, 2025 14:00
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.17 vs 0.95
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.82%
0:1
4.06%
0:2
1.42%
0:3
0.33%
0:4
0.06%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
11.17%
🔥
⭐
1:1
9.26%
1:2
3.74%
1:3
0.99%
1:4
0.19%
1:5
0.03%
2
2:0
10.71%
⭐
2:1
10.29%
⭐
2:2
4.76%
2:3
1.42%
2:4
0.31%
2:5
0.05%
3
3:0
6.84%
⭐
3:1
7.48%
⭐
3:2
3.91%
⭐
3:3
1.31%
3:4
0.32%
3:5
0.06%
4
4:0
3.28%
⭐
4:1
4.02%
⭐
4:2
2.34%
⭐
4:3
0.87%
⭐
4:4
0.24%
4:5
0.05%
5
5:0
1.26%
⭐
5:1
1.71%
⭐
5:2
1.1%
⭐
5:3
0.45%
⭐
5:4
0.13%
⭐
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot:
1:0 (11.2%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Last 6 Matches
Lech Poznan
VS
FSV Mainz 05
2/6 (33%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
4/6 (67%)
1.50
PPG
2.25
1.83
Avg Goals Scored
0.50
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
67%
BTTS %
33%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
-
Avg xG
0.93
2.17
xG [Total: 3.12]
0.95
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
2
5
Corners [Total: 11]
5
1
Offsides [Total: 3]
2
10
Fouls [Total: 22]
12
6
Shots on Goal [Total: 9]
3
In this exciting UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase matchup, Lech Poznan will take on FSV Mainz 05 as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Conference League. This match is part of Matchweek 5 and will take place on 2025-12-11 at 2025-12-11 in the famous Enea Stadion.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Lech Poznan, and the visiting side, FSV Mainz 05. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or FSV Mainz 05.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-11
Time: 20:00
Location: Enea Stadion
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Lech Poznan vs FSV Mainz 05 Thursday, Dec 11th, 2025 at 14:00 Football
Value Bets
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to Premium
Trends for Lech Poznan vs FSV Mainz 05 Football 11 Dec, 2025 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Second Half Surge
Lech Poznan score in 2nd half 100% of matches — expect late goals
-
Toothless Attack
FSV Mainz 05 struggle to score — failed to find net in 2/3 recent away matches
+5 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Lech Poznan vs FSV Mainz 05, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Lech Poznan @ 3.10 ✅ 
Lech Poznan
- WonRecent4/4100%Lech Poznan have won their last 4 4 matches
- UnbeatenRecent4/4100%Lech Poznan are unbeaten in their last 4 4 matches
- High xG PerformanceRecent4/4100%Lech Poznan create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 4 of their last 4 UEFA Conference League (Home) matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent4/4100%Lech Poznan efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 4 of their last 4 UEFA Conference League (Home) matches
- High ScoringRecent4/4100%Lech Poznan score 2+ goals per match in 4 of their last 4 UEFA Conference League (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent4/4100%Lech Poznan have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 4 of their last 4 UEFA Conference League (Home) matches
- High xG PerformanceRecent8/8100%Lech Poznan create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 8 of their last 8 UEFA Conference League matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent6/875%Lech Poznan efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Conference League matches
Lech Poznan demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.68 ⚠️ 
Lech Poznan(2 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredRecent7/888%Both teams scored in 7 of their last 8 UEFA Conference League matches
- Both Teams ScoredRecent3/475%Both teams scored in 3 of their last 4 UEFA Conference League (Home) matches
FSV Mainz 05(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague2/367%FSV Mainz 05 struggle to score in away matches (0.67/match) - fail to score in 67% of matches
Both teams show consistent scoring patterns
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.86 ✅ 
Lech Poznan(4 trends)
- High ScoringRecent4/4100%Lech Poznan score 2+ goals per match in 4 of their last 4 UEFA Conference League (Home) matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent4/4100%Lech Poznan have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 4 of their last 4 UEFA Conference League (Home) matches
- Over 2.5 GoalsRecent7/888%Over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 UEFA Conference League matches
- Over 2.5 GoalsRecent3/475%Over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 UEFA Conference League (Home) matches
Both teams demonstrate strong scoring form in recent matches • Multiple high-scoring trends support Over 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Lech Poznan Win or Draw @ 1.67 ✅ 
Lech Poznan
- UnbeatenRecent4/4100%Lech Poznan are unbeaten in their last 4 4 matches
- Undefeated at HTRecent4/4100%Lech Poznan are undefeated at half time in their last 4 4 matches
Lech Poznan demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Lech Poznan Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.63 ✅ 
Lech Poznan
- Scored 1+Recent4/4100%Lech Poznan scored 1+ goals in their last 4 4 matches
- Scored 2+Recent4/4100%Lech Poznan scored 2+ goals in their last 4 4 matches
- Scored 1+Recent8/8100%Lech Poznan scored 1+ goals in their last 8 8 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent3/475%Lech Poznan score in second half in their last 3 4 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent6/875%Lech Poznan score in second half in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Conference League matches
FSV Mainz 05
- Weak AttackLeague2/367%FSV Mainz 05 struggle to score in away matches (0.67/match) - fail to score in 67% of matches
Lech Poznan maintain strong offensive output at home — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Lech Poznan(1 trends)
- Few CardsRecent3/475%Lech Poznan receive 0-1 card in 3 of their last 4 UEFA Conference League (Home) matches
FSV Mainz 05(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague6/690%FSV Mainz 05 average 1.8 cards/match in all matches (-21% below league avg 2.3)
Both teams disciplined -
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.04 ⚠️ 
Lech Poznan(1 trends) — avg 3.8 (-21% below league)
- Few CornersRecent3/475%Lech Poznan win 4 or fewer corners in 3 of their last 4 UEFA Conference League (Home) matches
FSV Mainz 05(1 trends) — avg 6.3 (+40% above league)
- Many CornersLeague3/385%FSV Mainz 05 average 6.3 corners/match in away matches (+40% above league avg 4.5)
FSV Mainz 05 drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.04
+7 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Lech Poznan vs FSV Mainz 05
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: FSV Mainz 05 is stronger in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1).
⏰ First Half: FSV Mainz 05 is stronger in the first half (11 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: FSV Mainz 05 is stronger in the first half (11 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Lech Poznan
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.35
Pressure
0.1
✈️ FSV Mainz 05
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.25
Pressure
0.13
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Lech Poznan - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
✈️ FSV Mainz 05 - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Lech Poznan - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
13
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
3
✈️ FSV Mainz 05 - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: FSV Mainz 05 often scores in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1)
- First Goal Away: High probability of FSV Mainz 05 scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: FSV Mainz 05 is stronger in the first half (11 vs 7)
- First Half Result: Consider FSV Mainz 05 to win the first half
- Overall Result: Lech Poznan has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Lech Poznan handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.102
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.029
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.038 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Lech Poznan):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (FSV Mainz 05):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Lech Poznan vs FSV Mainz 05 Head-to-head statistics for Thu 11 Dec, 2025 @ 14:00 UEFA Conference League
Lech Poznan vs FSV Mainz 05: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Lech Poznan and away matches for FSV Mainz 05
Number of goals
Number of goals
Lech Poznan
Under
Over
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Lech Poznan
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
1X2
1X2
Lech Poznan
FSV Mainz 05
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
30%
3
60%
6
Double Chance
Double Chance
Lech Poznan
FSV Mainz 05
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
70%
7
40%
4
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Lech Poznan
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
30%
3
40%
4
2-3
20%
2
40%
4
4+
50%
5
20%
2
Total Corners
Total Corners
Lech Poznan
Under
Over
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Lech Poznan
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
40%
4
10%
1
No
60%
6
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Lech Poznan
FSV Mainz 05
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
40%
4
HT X - FT X
30%
3
0%
0
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Lech Poznan
FSV Mainz 05
xG
1.35
1.27
xGa
1.57
1.65
Number of goals
Number of goals
Lech Poznan
Under
Over
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Lech Poznan
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Lech Poznan
FSV Mainz 05
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
Lech Poznan
FSV Mainz 05
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Lech Poznan
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
80%
8
70%
7
2-3
10%
1
20%
2
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Lech Poznan
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
70%
7
50%
5
No
30%
3
50%
5
Number of goals
Number of goals
Lech Poznan
Under
Over
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Lech Poznan
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Lech Poznan
FSV Mainz 05
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
50%
5
10%
1
2
20%
2
60%
6
Double Chance
Double Chance
Lech Poznan
FSV Mainz 05
12
50%
5
90%
9
1X
80%
8
40%
4
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Lech Poznan
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
40%
4
70%
7
2-3
50%
5
30%
3
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Lech Poznan
FSV Mainz 05
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or FSV Mainz 05
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.91%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 63.81% | Medium | 2.63 |
| Under 1.5 | 36.19% | Low | 1.54 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 24.59% | Low | 2.16 |
| Under 1.5 | 75.41% | High | 1.73 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 36.92% | Low | 6.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 63.08% | Medium | 1.13 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 7.13% | Low | 5.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 92.87% | High | 1.20 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Lech Poznan
FSV Mainz 05
Played:
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 0 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 3 | 6 | 1.5 | 3 | 2.3 | 9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 5 | 1.5 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1.5 | 6 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 0.3 | 1 | |
| Corners | 2.5 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 4.3 | 17 |
| Fouls | 8.5 | 17 | 9 | 18 | 8.8 | 35 |
| Offsides | 0.5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.8 | 3 |
| Shots | 9.5 | 19 | 14 | 28 | 11.8 | 47 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.5 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 4.8 | 19 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 1 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2.3 | 7 | 0.7 | 2 | 1.5 | 9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0.8 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.7 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 1.8 | 11 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 1 | 0.3 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 |
| Corners | 6.3 | 19 | 6.3 | 19 | 6.3 | 38 |
| Fouls | 14.3 | 43 | 11.7 | 35 | 13 | 78 |
| Offsides | 3 | 9 | 2.7 | 8 | 2.8 | 17 |
| Shots | 16 | 48 | 12.7 | 38 | 14.3 | 86 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.7 | 14 | 2.3 | 7 | 3.5 | 21 |