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Serie A 2025-2026 | Matchweek 15
12 Dec 2025-19:45
Lecce
Lecce
14th place
- : -
12 Dec 2025 14:45
Pisa
Pisa
18th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Lecce vs Pisa: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 12 December, 2025 14:45

1×2 Prediction
Pisa
32%29%39%
LecceDrawPisa
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
60%40%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
54%46%
NoYes
Team Total - Lecce
Under 1.5
72%28%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Pisa
Under 1.5
64%36%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Draw/Pisa
68%32%
X2NOT X2
Asian Handicap
Pisa +1
82%18%
Away +1NOT Away +1
Best Tip Value
Total - Home Lecce Under 1.5 Goals
Odds: 1.48
72.3%
EV: +6.9%
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ACCA Safe Tip High Safety
Asian Handicap Pisa +1
Odds: 1.27
81.8%
EV: +3.9%
Bet Now

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.97 vs 1.35
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.95%
0:1
13.34%
🔥
0:2
8.94%
0:3
4%
0:4
1.34%
0:5
0.36%
1
1:0
9.56%
1:1
12.91%
1:2
8.72%
1:3
3.92%
1:4
1.32%
1:5
0.36%
2
2:0
4.59%
2:1
6.25%
2:2
4.25%
2:3
1.93%
2:4
0.65%
2:5
0.18%
3
3:0
1.47%
3:1
2.01%
3:2
1.38%
3:3
0.63%
3:4
0.22%
3:5
0.06%
4
4:0
0.35%
4:1
0.49%
4:2
0.34%
4:3
0.15%
4:4
0.05%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.07%
5:1
0.09%
5:2
0.07%
5:3
0.03%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 0:1 (13.3%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

10.0%
0
22.9%
1
26.4%
2
20.4%
3
11.9%
4
5.5%
5
2.1%
6
0.6%
7
0.1%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Lecce
vs
Pisa
Dec 12, 19:45
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
13
Torino
d d d l l
>
13
3
5
5
12
23
-11
14
14
Lecce
l w d l w
>
13
3
4
6
10
17
-7
13
15
Cagliari
l l d d l
>
13
2
5
6
13
19
-6
11

17
Parma
l l d w l
>
13
2
5
6
9
17
-8
11
18
Pisa
d d w d l
>
13
1
7
5
10
18
-8
10
19
Fiorentina
l l d d l
>
13
0
6
7
10
21
-11
6
Last 6 Matches
Lecce
VS
Pisa
2/6 (33%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 4/6 (67%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
1.17 PPG 1.17
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
33% BTTS % 50%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
0.80 Avg xG 1.14
Lecce
L W D L W
Serie A 2025-2026
30 Nov 2025 - 11:30
Lecce
2 1
Torino
Serie A 2025-2026
23 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Lazio
2 0
Lecce
Serie A 2025-2026
8 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Lecce
0 0
Verona
Serie A 2025-2026
2 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Fiorentina
0 1
Lecce
Serie A 2025-2026
28 Oct 2025 - 17:30
Lecce
0 1
Napoli
Serie A 2025-2026
25 Oct 2025 - 13:00
Udinese
3 2
Lecce
Pisa
D D W D L
Serie A 2025-2026
30 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Pisa
0 2
Inter
Serie A 2025-2026
24 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Sassuolo
2 2
Pisa
Serie A 2025-2026
7 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Pisa
1 0
Cremonese
Serie A 2025-2026
2 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Torino
2 2
Pisa
Serie A 2025-2026
30 Oct 2025 - 19:45
Pisa
0 0
Lazio
Serie A 2025-2026
24 Oct 2025 - 18:45
AC Milan
2 2
Pisa
Missing Players
Lecce
- Injured - Jumpers knee
Pisa
29% Draw 43%
40% Over 2.5 60%
46% Both Teams Score 54%
1.22 xPTS 1.78
0.97 xG [Total: 2.32] 1.35
2 Yellow Cards [Total: 4] 2
5 Corners [Total: 7] 3
1 Offsides [Total: 3] 1
13 Fouls [Total: 26] 14
3 Shots on Goal [Total: 6] 3
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Lecce will take on Pisa as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 15 and will take place on 2025-12-12 at 2025-12-12 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Lecce, and the visiting side, Pisa. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Lecce or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-12 Time: 19:45 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Lecce vs Pisa Friday, Dec 12th, 2025 at 14:45 Football

Value Bets

6 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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Value
Correct Score 0:1
Odds: 8.25
13.3%
EV: +9.7% Kelly: $0.67
Bet Now
Value
Win to Nil Lecce NOT Win to Nil
Odds: 1.28
84%
EV: +7.5% Kelly: $13.43
Bet Now
Best Tip Value
Home Total Lecce Under 1.5
Odds: 1.48
72.3%
EV: +6.9% Kelly: $7.23
Bet Now
Value
Asian Handicap Pisa +1.5
Odds: 1.18
90.5%
EV: +6.8% Kelly: $18.76
Bet Now
Safe Tip Value
Asian Handicap Pisa +1
Odds: 1.27
81.8%
EV: +3.9% Kelly: $7.24
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 02:28:17
spinner

Trends for Lecce vs Pisa Football 12 Dec, 2025 14:45

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 1 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🟩
    Clean Match Expected

    Both teams disciplined in recent matches — expect technical, fair-play football

🎯 Betting Analysis

Lecce vs Pisa

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Lecce

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.05

✈️ Pisa

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
13
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.06

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Lecce - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15

✈️ Pisa - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.54
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.38
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.23

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Lecce - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
6

✈️ Pisa - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
4

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Lecce has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Lecce handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.346
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.013
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.016 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.07

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Lecce):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Pisa):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Lecce
Pisa

Lecce vs Pisa Head-to-head statistics for Fri 12 Dec, 2025 @ 14:45 Serie A

Lecce vs Pisa: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Lecce and away matches for Pisa

Number of goals

Number of goals
Lecce
Under
Over
Pisa
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Lecce
Pisa
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6

1X2

1X2
Lecce
Pisa
1
30% 3
10% 1
X
30% 3
60% 6
2
40% 4
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
Lecce
Pisa
12
70% 7
40% 4
1X
60% 6
70% 7
X2
70% 7
90% 9

Total Goals

Total Goals
Lecce
Pisa
0-1
50% 5
40% 4
2-3
30% 3
10% 1
4+
20% 2
50% 5

Total Corners

Total Corners
Lecce
Under
Over
Pisa
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Lecce
Pisa
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Lecce
Pisa
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
0% 0
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT X
30% 3
50% 5

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Lecce
Pisa
xG
0.84
1.09
xGa
1.26
1.39

Number of goals

Number of goals
Lecce
Under
Over
Pisa
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
80% 8
20% 2
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Lecce
Pisa
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8

1X2

1X2
Lecce
Pisa
1
30% 3
0% 0
X
50% 5
70% 7
2
20% 2
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
Lecce
Pisa
12
50% 5
30% 3
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
70% 7
100% 10

Total Goals

Total Goals
Lecce
Pisa
0-1
60% 6
70% 7
2-3
40% 4
20% 2
4+
0% 0
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Lecce
Pisa
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5

Number of goals

Number of goals
Lecce
Under
Over
Pisa
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Lecce
Pisa
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7

1X2

1X2
Lecce
Pisa
1
10% 1
20% 2
X
50% 5
60% 6
2
40% 4
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
Lecce
Pisa
12
50% 5
40% 4
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
90% 9
80% 8

Total Goals

Total Goals
Lecce
Pisa
0-1
80% 8
60% 6
2-3
20% 2
30% 3
4+
0% 0
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Lecce
Pisa
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5
Team comparison
Prediction
Lecce Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
2.6%
Low
11.50
7.8%
Low
15.00
-2
6.1%
Low
10.50
14.6%
Low
N/A
-1.5
9.5%
Low
4.80
21.3%
Low
8.40
-1
18.2%
Low
3.90
33.4%
Low
7.30
-0.5
26.8%
Low
2.27
45.5%
Low
3.60
+0.5
54.5%
Medium
1.32
73.2%
High
1.67
+1
66.6%
Medium
1.10
81.8%
High
1.27
+1.5
78.7%
High
1.06
90.5%
High
1.18
+2
85.4%
High
N/A
93.9%
High
1.05
+2.5
92.2%
High
1.01
97.4%
High
1.03
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.99%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.525.32%Low2.75
Under 1.574.68%High1.48
AwayOver 1.539.08%Low3.80
Under 1.560.92%Medium1.29
HomeOver 2.57.49%Low7.50
Under 2.592.51%High1.11
AwayOver 2.515.46%Low12.00
Under 2.584.54%High1.05
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
club logo
Lecce
Pisa
Played: 0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
0
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
Home Away All
Played 7 6 13
Wins 1 2 3
Draws 3 1 4
Losses 3 3 6
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 0.7 5 0.8 5 0.8 10
Goals Conceded 1.1 8 1.5 9 1.3 17
Yellow Cards 2 14 1.2 7 1.6 21
Red Cards 0 0 0
Clean Sheets 0.3 2 0.5 3 0.4 5
Corners 4.4 31 5.5 33 4.9 64
Fouls 12 84 13.5 81 12.7 165
Offsides 1 7 1 6 1 13
Shots 9.6 67 9.2 55 9.4 122
Shots on Goal 3.1 22 2.3 14 2.8 36
Home Away All
Played 7 6 13
Wins 1 0 1
Draws 3 4 7
Losses 3 2 5
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 0.1 1 1.5 9 0.8 10
Goals Conceded 0.6 4 2.3 14 1.4 18
Yellow Cards 1.9 13 1.8 11 1.8 24
Red Cards 0 0.2 1 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.6 4 0 0.3 4
Corners 3.7 26 2.5 15 3.2 41
Fouls 12.4 87 13 78 12.7 165
Offsides 1.4 10 1.3 8 1.4 18
Shots 10 70 9.5 57 9.8 127
Shots on Goal 2.3 16 2.7 16 2.5 32
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