Lecce vs Pisa: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 12 December, 2025 14:45
Probable Scores Heatmap
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season
Lecce
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Lecce vs Pisa Friday, Dec 12th, 2025 at 14:45 Football
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Trends for Lecce vs Pisa Football 12 Dec, 2025 14:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 1 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
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🟩
Clean Match Expected
Both teams disciplined in recent matches — expect technical, fair-play football
Comprehensive betting trends for Lecce vs Pisa, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Lecce @ 2.38 ✅ 
❌Pisa
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Pisa are currently 18th in the table (3rd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent12/1392%Pisa have not won in 12 of their last 13 Serie A matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 2.16 ⚠️ 
Pisa(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/683%Pisa score (1.50/match) and concede (2.33/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 83% of matches (league avg: 47%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.53 ✅ 
Lecce(2 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent25/3083%Lecce scored 0-1 goals in 25 of their last 30 Serie A matches
- Few GoalsRecent13/1681%Lecce scored 0-1 goals in 13 of their last 16 Serie A (Home) matches
Pisa(2 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague6/674.5%Pisa score 1.50 goals/match in away matches (+29% above league average)
- Over 2.5 GoalsRecent5/683%Over 2.5 goals in their last 5 Serie A (Away) matches
🛡️ Double Chance — Lecce Win or Draw @ 1.34 ✅ 
❌Pisa
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Pisa are currently 18th in the table (3rd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent12/1392%Pisa have not won in 12 of their last 13 Serie A matches
⚡ Team Total Goals — Pisa Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.80 ⚠️ 
✅Pisa
- Above League AverageLeague6/674.5%Pisa score 1.50 goals/match in away matches (+29% above league average)
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Lecce(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague13/1390%Lecce average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-20% below league avg 2.0) — rank #3 lowest in league
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.70 ✅ 
Pisa(3 trends) — avg 2.5 (-43% below league)
- Few CornersLeague6/685%Pisa average 2.5 corners/match in away matches (-43% below league avg 4.4)
- Few CornersRecent6/6100%Pisa win 4 or fewer corners in 6 of their last 6 Serie A (Away) matches
- Few CornersRecent12/1392%Pisa win 4 or fewer corners in 12 of their last 13 Serie A matches
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Lecce vs Pisa
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Lecce
✈️ Pisa
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Lecce - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
✈️ Pisa - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Lecce - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
✈️ Pisa - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Lecce has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Lecce handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Lecce):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Pisa):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Lecce vs Pisa Head-to-head statistics for Fri 12 Dec, 2025 @ 14:45 Serie A
Lecce vs Pisa: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Lecce and away matches for Pisa
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Total Corners
Clean Sheet
1X2 HT - FT
xG(xGa)
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
| Handicap | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2.6% Low 11.50 | 7.8% Low 15.00 |
| -2 | 6.1% Low 10.50 | 14.6% Low N/A |
| -1.5 | 9.5% Low 4.80 | 21.3% Low 8.40 |
| -1 | 18.2% Low 3.90 | 33.4% Low 7.30 |
| -0.5 | 26.8% Low 2.27 | 45.5% Low 3.60 |
| +0.5 | 54.5% Medium 1.32 | 73.2% High 1.67 |
| +1 | 66.6% Medium 1.10 | 81.8% High 1.27 |
| +1.5 | 78.7% High 1.06 | 90.5% High 1.18 |
| +2 | 85.4% High N/A | 93.9% High 1.05 |
| +2.5 | 92.2% High 1.01 | 97.4% High 1.03 |
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.99%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 25.32% | Low | 2.75 |
| Under 1.5 | 74.68% | High | 1.48 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 39.08% | Low | 3.80 |
| Under 1.5 | 60.92% | Medium | 1.29 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 7.49% | Low | 7.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 92.51% | High | 1.11 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 15.46% | Low | 12.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 84.54% | High | 1.05 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
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| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 1 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.7 | 5 | 0.8 | 5 | 0.8 | 10 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 8 | 1.5 | 9 | 1.3 | 17 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 14 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.6 | 21 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0.5 | 3 | 0.4 | 5 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 31 | 5.5 | 33 | 4.9 | 64 |
| Fouls | 12 | 84 | 13.5 | 81 | 12.7 | 165 |
| Offsides | 1 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
| Shots | 9.6 | 67 | 9.2 | 55 | 9.4 | 122 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.1 | 22 | 2.3 | 14 | 2.8 | 36 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.1 | 1 | 1.5 | 9 | 0.8 | 10 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.6 | 4 | 2.3 | 14 | 1.4 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.9 | 13 | 1.8 | 11 | 1.8 | 24 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.6 | 4 | 0 | 0.3 | 4 | |
| Corners | 3.7 | 26 | 2.5 | 15 | 3.2 | 41 |
| Fouls | 12.4 | 87 | 13 | 78 | 12.7 | 165 |
| Offsides | 1.4 | 10 | 1.3 | 8 | 1.4 | 18 |
| Shots | 10 | 70 | 9.5 | 57 | 9.8 | 127 |
| Shots on Goal | 2.3 | 16 | 2.7 | 16 | 2.5 | 32 |


Serie A 2025-2026