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Lecce vs Como: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 27 December, 2025 9:00
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Upgrade to PremiumLecce vs Como: Serie A Match Preview
Match Stakes and Importance
As Lecce prepares to host Como in a crucial Serie A encounter, both teams find themselves in contrasting situations. Lecce, sitting in 14th place with 16 points, is keen to enhance their standing, while Como, in 7th place with 24 points, aims to solidify their position in the upper half of the table. This match could significantly impact their respective aspirations for the remainder of the season.
Current Form & Trends
Recent performances suggest an intriguing clash ahead, with both teams displaying inconsistent form.
- Lecce: Struggling to find their scoring touch, Lecce has averaged just 0.6 goals per match in their last five games. Their home form has been slightly better, with two wins and two draws in their last five home matches, but they still concede an average of 0.4 goals.
- Como: Como has shown some promise, particularly in attack, with an average of 1.4 goals per match. However, their away form has been lackluster, managing only one win in their last five away games while conceding an average of 1.2 goals.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Como has had the upper hand over Lecce, winning both of their last two encounters. The last five matches have averaged 2.5 goals, indicating that when these two teams meet, goals are often on the agenda.
Tactical Analysis & Key Players
In terms of tactical approach, Lecce will likely rely on solidifying their defense to counter Como's attacking threats. Key player Tiago Gabriel will be crucial in anchoring their backline. Conversely, Como will look to exploit Lecce's vulnerabilities, with N. Paz providing creativity in midfield. The absence of M. Berisha for Lecce due to injury could be a significant blow, as his presence in midfield usually helps control the game.
AI Prediction
Winner Prediction: Away Win.
Predicted Score: 0:1.
Reasoning: Como's recent form and better overall statistics suggest they have the edge in this matchup, despite their shaky away record. With Lecce struggling to score, Como's defense could hold firm, leading to a narrow victory.
Betting Tips
Given the statistical analysis, there are several betting opportunities that present value based on model predictions.
- Safe Bet (High Confidence): Asian Handicap - Home +1.5 @ 1.33 (Probability: 77.2%). This bet offers good protection for Lecce given their home advantage.
- Value Bet: Match Winner - Away Win @ 1.89 (Probability: 49.1%), which represents a slight edge over the implied probability of around 52.9%. If Como can capitalize on Lecce's struggles, this bet has potential.
Bet responsibly.
Prediction League
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 0.72 vs 1.30
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
13.36%
⭐
0:1
17.29%
🔥
⭐
0:2
11.19%
0:3
4.83%
0:4
1.56%
0:5
0.4%
1
1:0
9.57%
⭐
1:1
12.45%
1:2
8.1%
1:3
3.51%
1:4
1.14%
1:5
0.3%
2
2:0
3.43%
2:1
4.48%
2:2
2.93%
2:3
1.28%
2:4
0.42%
2:5
0.11%
3
3:0
0.82%
3:1
1.07%
3:2
0.71%
3:3
0.31%
3:4
0.1%
3:5
0.03%
4
4:0
0.15%
4:1
0.19%
4:2
0.13%
4:3
0.06%
4:4
0.02%
4:5
0%
5
5:0
0.02%
5:1
0.03%
5:2
0.02%
5:3
0.01%
5:4
0%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
0:1 (17.3%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
6
7
4
4
23
13
10
25
7
6
6
3
19
12
7
24
8
6
5
5
17
11
6
23
13
5
5
6
16
26
-10
20
14
4
4
7
11
19
-8
16
15
3
6
7
17
23
-6
15
0.59
xG
0.86
49%
Ball Possession
51%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
4
7
Shots Off Goal
8
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
Lecce
VS
Como
3/6 (50%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.67
PPG
1.33
0.67
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
0.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
17%
BTTS %
17%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
0.99
Avg xG
1.32
Missing Players
-
Injured - Jumpers knee
-
Injured - International duty
-
Injured - International duty
-
Suspended - Yellow Cards
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Muscle Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Heel Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Thigh Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Thigh Injury
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Lecce will take on Como as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 17 and will take place on 2025-12-27 at 2025-12-27 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Lecce, and the visiting side, Como. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : draw or Como and -3.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-27
Time: 14:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Lecce vs Como Saturday, Dec 27th, 2025 at 9:00 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for Lecce vs Como Football 27 Dec, 2025 9:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
xG Defensive Battle
Both teams rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — tactical stalemate with limited clear opportunities
-
Toothless Attack
Lecce struggle to score — failed to find net in 5/8 recent home matches
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Lecce vs Como, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Como @ 1.89 ✅ 
Como
- WonH2H2/2100%Como have won their last 2 2 matches
- UnbeatenH2H2/2100%Como are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H2/2100%Como efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 2 of their last 2 Serie A matches
- UnbeatenRecent12/1580%Como are unbeaten in 12 of their last 15 Serie A matches
Lecce
- Not WinH2H2/2100%Lecce have not won their last 2 2 matches
- LostH2H2/2100%Lecce have lost their last 2 2 matches
Como dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.79 ⚠️ 
Lecce(1 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/863%Lecce struggle to score at home (0.75/match) - fail to score in 63% of matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- BTTS NoH2H2/2100%At least one team failed to score in their last 2 Serie A matches
Lecce rarely concede (100% clean sheet rate)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.70 ⚠️
Lecce(2 trends)
- Weak AttackLeague5/863%Lecce struggle to score at home (0.75/match) - fail to score in 63% of matches
- Few GoalsRecent12/1580%Lecce scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 15 Serie A matches
Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match • Strong defensive records support Under 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Como Win or Draw @ 1.22 ✅
Como
- UnbeatenH2H2/2100%Como are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
- Undefeated at HTH2H2/2100%Como are undefeated at half time in their last 2 2 matches
- Undefeated at HTRecent13/1587%Como are undefeated at half time in 13 of their last 15 Serie A matches
- UnbeatenRecent12/1580%Como are unbeaten in 12 of their last 15 Serie A matches
Lecce
- Not WinH2H2/2100%Lecce have not won their last 2 2 matches
Como dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Como Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.14 ✅
Como
- Scored 1+Recent2/2100%Como scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
- Scored 2+Recent2/2100%Como scored 2+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent2/2100%Como score in second half in their last 2 2 matches
Como maintain strong offensive output even away — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.60 ✅ 
Lecce(2 trends) — avg 1.7 (-23% below league)
- Many CardsH2H2/2100%Lecce receive 2+ cards in 2 of their last 2 Serie A matches
- Low Card MatchesLeague15/1590%Lecce average 1.7 cards/match in all matches (-18% below league avg 2.0) — rank #4 lowest in league
Como(2 trends) — avg 2.4 (+9% above league)
- Many CardsH2H2/2100%Como receive 2+ cards in 2 of their last 2 Serie A matches
- High Card MatchesLeague15/1590%Como average 2.5 cards/match in all matches (+21% above league avg 2.0) — rank #4 in league
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 6.0 cards per match in their last 2 H2H matches
Como aggressive (H2H) drives cards - Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.60
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.82 ✅ 
Lecce(1 trends) — avg 5.4 (+22% above league)
- Many CornersLeague8/885%Lecce average 5.4 corners/match at home (+22% above league avg 4.4)
Como(3 trends) — avg 3.6 (-17% below league)
- Few CornersH2H2/2100%Como win 4 or fewer corners in 2 of their last 2 Serie A matches
- Few CornersLeague8/882%Como average 3.6 corners/match in away matches (-17% below league avg 4.4)
- Few CornersRecent11/1479%Como win 4 or fewer corners in 11 of their last 14 Serie A matches
Combined average: 9.0 corners/match (Lecce 5.4 + Como 3.6) • Low combined average supports Under 9.5
+1 Streak trend is hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Lecce vs Como
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Como is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Como is stronger in the first half (11 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⏰ First Half: Como is stronger in the first half (11 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Lecce
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.05
✈️ Como
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.04
Pressure
0.14
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Lecce - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
✈️ Como - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Lecce - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
3
✈️ Como - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Como often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 2)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Como scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: Como is stronger in the first half (11 vs 5)
- First Half Result: Consider Como to win the first half
- Overall Result: Como has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Como handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.072
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.092
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.008
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Lecce):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Como):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Lecce vs Como Head-to-head statistics for Sat 27 Dec, 2025 @ 9:00 Serie A
Lecce vs Como: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Lecce and away matches for Como
Number of goals
Lecce
Under
Over
Como
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Lecce
Como
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2
Lecce
Como
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
40%
4
20%
2
Double Chance
Lecce
Como
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
60%
6
80%
8
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Lecce
Como
0-1
60%
6
40%
4
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
10%
1
30%
3
Total Corners
Lecce
Under
Over
Como
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
70%
7
30%
3
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Lecce
Como
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
1X2 HT - FT
Lecce
Como
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
40%
4
xG(xGa)
Lecce
Como
xG
0.86
1.23
xGa
1.11
0.99
Number of goals
Lecce
Under
Over
Como
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Lecce
Como
Yes
0%
0
30%
3
No
100%
10
70%
7
1X2
Lecce
Como
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
50%
5
70%
7
2
20%
2
10%
1
Double Chance
Lecce
Como
12
50%
5
30%
3
1X
80%
8
90%
9
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
Lecce
Como
0-1
80%
8
70%
7
2-3
20%
2
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Lecce
Como
Yes
80%
8
60%
6
No
20%
2
40%
4
Number of goals
Lecce
Under
Over
Como
Under
Over
0.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Lecce
Como
Yes
10%
1
0%
0
No
90%
9
100%
10
1X2
Lecce
Como
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
40%
4
20%
2
Double Chance
Lecce
Como
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
60%
6
80%
8
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Lecce
Como
0-1
80%
8
70%
7
2-3
20%
2
20%
2
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Lecce
Como
Yes
50%
5
80%
8
No
50%
5
20%
2
Team comparison
Prediction
Lecce AH+1.5
Under/Over:
-3.5*
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 1,000.00%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 14.31% | Low | 4.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 85.69% | High | 1.21 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 35.13% | Low | 2.14 |
| Under 1.5 | 64.87% | Medium | 1.74 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 2.98% | Low | 15.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 97.02% | High | 1.04 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 12.90% | Low | 4.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 87.10% | High | 1.20 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Lecce
Como
Played:
2
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
2
2
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
0
Goals
2.5
5
5
2.5
Goals Conceded
0
5
2.5
Yellow Cards
3.5
7
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
1
2
13
6.5
Corners
4
8
33
16.5
Fouls
12.5
25
3
1.5
Offsides
4
8
23
11.5
Shots
12.5
25
8
4
Shots on Goal
6.5
13
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 1 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.8 | 6 | 0.7 | 5 | 0.7 | 11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 8 | 1.6 | 11 | 1.3 | 19 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 16 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.7 | 25 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 3 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.4 | 6 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 43 | 5.4 | 38 | 5.4 | 81 |
| Fouls | 12.5 | 100 | 13.3 | 93 | 12.9 | 193 |
| Offsides | 1 | 8 | 0.9 | 6 | 0.9 | 14 |
| Shots | 11 | 88 | 9.1 | 64 | 10.1 | 152 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.1 | 25 | 2.1 | 15 | 2.7 | 40 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 2 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 3 | 3 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.6 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 1.3 | 19 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.4 | 3 | 1.1 | 9 | 0.8 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.4 | 17 | 2.3 | 18 | 2.3 | 35 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.6 | 4 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.4 | 6 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 29 | 3.6 | 29 | 3.9 | 58 |
| Fouls | 13.9 | 97 | 14.3 | 114 | 14.1 | 211 |
| Offsides | 0.7 | 5 | 1.1 | 9 | 0.9 | 14 |
| Shots | 14.3 | 100 | 13 | 104 | 13.6 | 204 |
| Shots on Goal | 6.4 | 45 | 3.4 | 27 | 4.8 | 72 |