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Form
Serie A 2025-2026 • Matchweek 17 27 Dec 2025 - 14:00
Finished
Lecce
Lecce
17th place
Form
0 : 3
0.49
xG
1.63
Full Time
Half Time: 0-1
Como
Como
6th place
Form
N. Paz
20'
Jacobo Ramón
66'
A. Douvikas
75'
Overview
Lineup
H2H
Stats

Lecce vs Como Football Match Stats & Results Saturday, 27 December, 2025 8:00

1st Half
45' 15' 30'
4'
 
2nd Half
90' 60' 75'
6'
Winner (1x2)-
Como to Win
Probability 69%
Total Goals1.70
Under 2.5
Probability 67%
Both Teams to Score1.75
No (NG)
Probability 61%
Lecce Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 97%
Como Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 68%
Double Chance1.21
Draw/Como
Probability 79%
Asian Handicap-
Como +2.5
Probability 100%

Lecce vs Como: Serie A Match Preview

Match Stakes and Importance

As Lecce prepares to host Como in a crucial Serie A encounter, both teams find themselves in contrasting situations. Lecce, sitting in 14th place with 16 points, is keen to enhance their standing, while Como, in 7th place with 24 points, aims to solidify their position in the upper half of the table. This match could significantly impact their respective aspirations for the remainder of the season.

Current Form & Trends

Recent performances suggest an intriguing clash ahead, with both teams displaying inconsistent form.

  • Lecce: Struggling to find their scoring touch, Lecce has averaged just 0.6 goals per match in their last five games. Their home form has been slightly better, with two wins and two draws in their last five home matches, but they still concede an average of 0.4 goals.
  • Como: Como has shown some promise, particularly in attack, with an average of 1.4 goals per match. However, their away form has been lackluster, managing only one win in their last five away games while conceding an average of 1.2 goals.

Head-to-Head

Historically, Como has had the upper hand over Lecce, winning both of their last two encounters. The last five matches have averaged 2.5 goals, indicating that when these two teams meet, goals are often on the agenda.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

In terms of tactical approach, Lecce will likely rely on solidifying their defense to counter Como's attacking threats. Key player Tiago Gabriel will be crucial in anchoring their backline. Conversely, Como will look to exploit Lecce's vulnerabilities, with N. Paz providing creativity in midfield. The absence of M. Berisha for Lecce due to injury could be a significant blow, as his presence in midfield usually helps control the game.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Away Win.
Predicted Score: 0:1.
Reasoning: Como's recent form and better overall statistics suggest they have the edge in this matchup, despite their shaky away record. With Lecce struggling to score, Como's defense could hold firm, leading to a narrow victory.

Betting Tips

Given the statistical analysis, there are several betting opportunities that present value based on model predictions.

  • Safe Bet (High Confidence): Asian Handicap - Home +1.5 @ 1.33 (Probability: 77.2%). This bet offers good protection for Lecce given their home advantage.
  • Value Bet: Match Winner - Away Win @ 1.89 (Probability: 49.1%), which represents a slight edge over the implied probability of around 52.9%. If Como can capitalize on Lecce's struggles, this bet has potential.

Bet responsibly.

Lecce
Como
20' 0:1 Goal
N. Paz
Assistant: M. Vojvoda
N. Paz
R. Sottil
Yellow Card 22'
R. Sottil
Unsportsmanlike conduct
34' Yellow Card
I. Smolčić
Handling
I. Smolčić
46' Substitute
In:I. Van der Brempt
Out:I. Smolčić
I. Van der Brempt
54' Yellow Card
J. Butez
Delay of game
J. Butez
56' Yellow Card
Diego Carlos
Diego Carlos
66' 0:2 Goal
Jacobo Ramón
Assistant: M. Vojvoda
Jacobo Ramón
F. Camarda
Substitute 69'
In:F. Camarda
Out:N. Štulić
K. N’Dri
Substitute 69'
In:K. N’Dri
Out:Y. Maleh
71' Yellow Card
M. Perrone
Holding
M. Perrone
75' 0:3 Goal
A. Douvikas
Assistant: N. Paz
A. Douvikas
78' Substitute
In:N. Kühn
Out:Jesús Rodríguez
N. Kühn
78' Substitute
In:M. Kempf
Out:Diego Carlos
M. Kempf
Þ. Helgason
Substitute 79'
In:Þ. Helgason
Out:R. Sottil
Álex Sala
Substitute 79'
In:Álex Sala
Out:S. Pierotti
Y. Ramadani
Yellow Card 81'
Y. Ramadani
Foul
84' Substitute
In:M. Baturina
Out:M. Vojvoda
M. Baturina
90' +2' Substitute
In:A. Le Borgne
Out:N. Paz
Olaf Gorter
Substitute 90' +3'
In:Olaf Gorter
Out:Y. Ramadani

Lecce vs Como: Serie A Match Preview

Match Stakes and Importance

As Lecce prepares to host Como in a crucial Serie A encounter, both teams find themselves in contrasting situations. Lecce, sitting in 14th place with 16 points, is keen to enhance their standing, while Como, in 7th place with 24 points, aims to solidify their position in the upper half of the table. This match could significantly impact their respective aspirations for the remainder of the season.

Current Form & Trends

Recent performances suggest an intriguing clash ahead, with both teams displaying inconsistent form.

  • Lecce: Struggling to find their scoring touch, Lecce has averaged just 0.6 goals per match in their last five games. Their home form has been slightly better, with two wins and two draws in their last five home matches, but they still concede an average of 0.4 goals.
  • Como: Como has shown some promise, particularly in attack, with an average of 1.4 goals per match. However, their away form has been lackluster, managing only one win in their last five away games while conceding an average of 1.2 goals.

Head-to-Head

Historically, Como has had the upper hand over Lecce, winning both of their last two encounters. The last five matches have averaged 2.5 goals, indicating that when these two teams meet, goals are often on the agenda.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

In terms of tactical approach, Lecce will likely rely on solidifying their defense to counter Como's attacking threats. Key player Tiago Gabriel will be crucial in anchoring their backline. Conversely, Como will look to exploit Lecce's vulnerabilities, with N. Paz providing creativity in midfield. The absence of M. Berisha for Lecce due to injury could be a significant blow, as his presence in midfield usually helps control the game.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Away Win.
Predicted Score: 0:1.
Reasoning: Como's recent form and better overall statistics suggest they have the edge in this matchup, despite their shaky away record. With Lecce struggling to score, Como's defense could hold firm, leading to a narrow victory.

Betting Tips

Given the statistical analysis, there are several betting opportunities that present value based on model predictions.

  • Safe Bet (High Confidence): Asian Handicap - Home +1.5 @ 1.33 (Probability: 77.2%). This bet offers good protection for Lecce given their home advantage.
  • Value Bet: Match Winner - Away Win @ 1.89 (Probability: 49.1%), which represents a slight edge over the implied probability of around 52.9%. If Como can capitalize on Lecce's struggles, this bet has potential.

Bet responsibly.

Lecce vs Como Formation Lineups for Sat 27 Dec, 2025 @ 8:00 Serie A

Formation
6.6
Lecce
4-1-4-1
7
Como
4-2-3-1
W. Falcone
7.2
Falcone 30
A. Gallo
6
Gallo 25
Tiago Gabriel
6
Gabriel 44
J. Siebert
6.3
Siebert 5
Danilo Veiga
6.3
Veiga 17
Y. Ramadani
6.9
90'
Ramadani 20
R. Sottil
6.7
79'
Sottil 23
Y. Maleh
6.6
69'
Maleh 93
M. Kaba
7
Kaba 77
S. Pierotti
6.9
79'
Pierotti 50
N. Štulić
6.2
69'
Štulić 9
J. Butez
7.3
Butez 1
Alberto Moreno
6.9
Moreno 18
Diego Carlos
5.9
78'
Carlos 34
Jacobo Ramón
7.5
Ramón 14
I. Smolčić
6.7
46'
Smolčić 28
L. da Cunha
6.3
Cunha 33
M. Perrone
7
Perrone 23
Jesús Rodríguez
6.2
78'
Rodríguez 17
N. Paz
8.7
90'
Paz 10
M. Vojvoda
7.9
84'
Vojvoda 31
A. Douvikas
8.2
Douvikas 11
field field
Substitutes
Camarda
6.7
69'
Camarda 22
N’Dri
6.6
69'
N’Dri 11
Helgason
6.5
79'
Helgason 14
Sala
6.6
79'
Sala 6
Gorter
90'
Gorter 28
Brempt
6.3
46'
Brempt 77
Kühn
6.5
78'
Kühn 19
Kempf
6.5
78'
Kempf 2
Baturina
6.7
84'
Baturina 20
LineUps
Lecce
30
g
7.2
6.3
6.3
6
25
d
6
81'90'
6.9
79'
6.9
77
m
7
93
m
69'
6.6
23
f
22'79'
6.7
69'
6.2
Substitutes
33
g
32
g
18
d
13
d
3
d
79'
6.6
90'
79'
6.5
22
f
69'
6.7
11
f
69'
6.6
Como
1
g
54'
7.3
34'46'
6.7
66'
7.5
56'78'
5.9
6.9
23
m
71'
7
6.3
31
d
84'
7.9
10
m
20'90'
8.7
78'
6.2
75'
8.2
Substitutes
46'
6.3
2
d
78'
6.5
27
d
84'
6.7
99
f
19
m
78'
6.5
Missing Players
Lecce
- Injured - Jumpers knee
19
m
- Injured - International duty
- Injured - International duty
4
d
- Suspended - Yellow Cards
19
d
- Injured - Knee Injury
75
m
- Injured - Muscle Injury
8
m
- Injured - Inactive
19
m
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
10
m
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
- Injured - Inactive
Como
- Injured - Thigh Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Heel Injury
- Injured - Injury
- Injured - Thigh Injury
42
m
- Injured - (questionable) Thigh Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Inactive

Lecce vs Como Head-to-head statistics for Sat 27 Dec, 2025 @ 8:00 Serie A

Lecce
Como
Off Target 5 Blocked 2
On Target 3
On Target 6
Off Target 6 Blocked 3
0 Goals 3
39 Ball Possession 61
10 Shots 12
3 Shots on Goal 6
5 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 9
4 Shots outsidebox 3
270 Total passes 441
74 Passes accurate % 85
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
10 Fouls 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
2 Offsides 2
4 Corners 6
0.49 Expected Goals 1.63

Stats for Lecce vs Como Saturday, Dec 27th, 2025 at 8:00 Football

Lecce
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Como
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Best Players of the Match
1
N. Paz
8.7
Midfielder
2
T. Douvikas
8.2
3
W. Falcone
Goalkeeper
7.2
4
M. Kaba
Midfielder
7.0