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Ligue 1 2025-2026 | Matchweek 15
7 Dec 2025-16:15
LE Havre
LE Havre
14th place
- : -
7 Dec 2025 11:15
Paris FC
Paris FC
13th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

LE Havre vs Paris FC: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 7 December, 2025 11:15

1×2 Prediction
Paris FC
34%28%38%
LE HavreDrawParis FC
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
54%46%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
53%47%
YesNo
Team Total - LE Havre
Under 1.5
66%34%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Paris FC
Under 1.5
62%38%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Draw/Paris FC
66%34%
X2NOT X2
Asian Handicap
Paris FC +1
77%23%
Away +1NOT Away +1
Best Tip Value
Total - Home LE Havre Under 1.5 Goals
Odds: 1.55
65.6%
EV: +1.7%
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LE Havre vs Paris FC: Ligue 1 Match Preview

Crucial Mid-Table Clash

This matchup between LE Havre and Paris FC is pivotal for both sides as they look to escape the lower half of the Ligue 1 table. Currently, LE Havre sits in 14th place with 14 points, while Paris FC is just one position and a point ahead in 13th. A win for either team could provide a much-needed boost in their quest for safety and stability in the league.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams have been struggling to find consistent form, making this encounter all the more interesting.

  • LE Havre: The home side has been particularly vulnerable lately, with only one win in their last five matches (1W-2D-2L). They have scored a meager 0.4 goals per match and have conceded an average of 1 goal. Their recent home performances have seen them draw three times, indicating a lack of finishing ability in front of goal.
  • Paris FC: In contrast, Paris FC has shown slightly more attacking prowess, averaging 1.4 goals per match over their last five outings. However, their defensive frailties are evident, as they concede an average of 1.8 goals per game. Their away form has been mixed, with two wins and two losses in their last five, demonstrating their inconsistency on the road.

Head-to-Head

Historically, LE Havre and Paris FC have yet to face off in competitive matches this season, making it difficult to analyze any past dominance. Given the recent struggles of both teams, this match could serve as a fresh start for either side to establish a psychological advantage moving forward.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

LE Havre will likely need to tighten their defensive shape to avoid leaking goals against a Paris FC side that can be dangerous when given space. I. Soumaré could play a critical role up front, as he has been one of their more impactful players this season. For Paris FC, I. Kebbal's ability to control the midfield and create chances will be crucial in unlocking LE Havre's defense. Expect both teams to adopt a cautious approach, prioritizing stability over risk in this crucial encounter.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Draw.
Predicted Score: LE Havre 1 - 1 Paris FC
Reasoning: Both teams are struggling for form and have shown vulnerabilities in defense, making a drawn result the most likely outcome. The low xG values indicate a lack of finishing ability, further supporting this prediction.

Betting Tips

  • Safe Bet: Double Chance - X2 @ 1.5 (65.5%).
  • Value Bet: Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 1.76 (52.7%).

Bet responsibly.

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.24 vs 1.28
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.01%
0:1
10.59%
0:2
6.23%
0:3
2.44%
0:4
0.72%
0:5
0.17%
1
1:0
10.22%
1:1
12.92%
🔥
1:2
8.13%
1:3
3.39%
1:4
1.06%
1:5
0.26%
2
2:0
5.8%
2:1
7.84%
2:2
5.26%
2:3
2.33%
2:4
0.77%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
2.19%
3:1
3.16%
3:2
2.25%
3:3
1.06%
3:4
0.37%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
0.62%
4:1
0.95%
4:2
0.72%
4:3
0.36%
4:4
0.13%
4:5
0.04%
5
5:0
0.14%
5:1
0.23%
5:2
0.18%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.04%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:1 (12.9%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

9.0%
0
20.8%
1
24.9%
2
20.6%
3
13.2%
4
6.9%
5
3.0%
6
1.1%
7
0.3%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

LE Havre
vs
Paris FC
Dec 7, 16:15
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Ligue 1 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
12
Angers
d l w w l
>
14
4
4
6
12
17
-5
16
13
Paris FC
d w l l d
>
14
4
3
7
21
26
-5
15
14
LE Havre
w d d l l
>
14
3
5
6
13
21
-8
14
15
Lorient
d l d d w
>
14
3
5
6
18
28
-10
14
Last 6 Matches
LE Havre
VS
Paris FC
2/6 (33%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
1.33 PPG 0.83
0.50 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
17% BTTS % 67%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
0.97 Avg xG 1.21
LE Havre
W D D L L
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 16:15
LE Havre
0 1
Lille
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Nov 2025 - 20:05
Paris Saint Germain
3 0
LE Havre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Nov 2025 - 18:00
LE Havre
1 1
Nantes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Nov 2025 - 16:15
Toulouse
0 0
LE Havre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Oct 2025 - 18:00
LE Havre
1 0
Stade Brestois 29
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
26 Oct 2025 - 16:15
Auxerre
0 1
LE Havre
Paris FC
D W L L D
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Paris FC
1 1
Auxerre
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Lille
4 2
Paris FC
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Paris FC
0 1
Rennes
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Monaco
0 1
Paris FC
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Oct 2025 - 20:05
Paris FC
3 3
Lyon
Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Oct 2025 - 18:45
Paris FC
1 2
Nantes
Missing Players
LE Havre
23
d
- Injured - Toe Injury
94
m
- Injured - Injury
- Injured - Injury
Paris FC
- Injured - Injury
- Injured - Hamstring Injury
29
f
- Injured - Calf Injury
- Injured - Shin Injury
21
m
- Injured - Leg Injury
37% Draw 35%
46% Over 2.5 54%
53% Both Teams Score 47%
1.47 xPTS 1.53
1.19 xG [Total: 2.52] 1.33
2 Yellow Cards [Total: 3] 2
4 Corners [Total: 9] 4
2 Offsides [Total: 3] 2
14 Fouls [Total: 28] 14
4 Shots on Goal [Total: 8] 4
In this exciting Ligue 1 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, LE Havre will take on Paris FC as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ligue 1. This match is part of Matchweek 15 and will take place on 2025-12-07 at 2025-12-07 in the famous Stade Océane. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, LE Havre, and the visiting side, Paris FC. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Paris FC. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-07 Time: 16:15 Location: Stade Océane Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for LE Havre vs Paris FC Sunday, Dec 7th, 2025 at 11:15 Football

Value Bets

2 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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Best Tip Value
Home Total LE Havre Under 1.5
Odds: 1.55
65.6%
EV: +1.7% Kelly: $1.54
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Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 18:37:17
spinner

Trends for LE Havre vs Paris FC Football 7 Dec, 2025 11:15

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 71% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    LE Havre rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

LE Havre vs Paris FC

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 LE Havre

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.11

✈️ Paris FC

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
14
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.17

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 LE Havre - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ Paris FC - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.14
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.43
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.79
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.64

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 LE Havre - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
8

✈️ Paris FC - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
9
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Paris FC has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Paris FC handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.214
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.06
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.016 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.011 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (LE Havre):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Paris FC):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

LE Havre
Paris FC

LE Havre vs Paris FC Head-to-head statistics for Sun 7 Dec, 2025 @ 11:15 Ligue 1

LE Havre vs Paris FC: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for LE Havre and away matches for Paris FC

Number of goals

Number of goals
LE Havre
Under
Over
Paris FC
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
LE Havre
Paris FC
Yes
40% 4
70% 7
No
60% 6
30% 3

1X2

1X2
LE Havre
Paris FC
1
20% 2
20% 2
X
50% 5
30% 3
2
30% 3
50% 5

Double Chance

Double Chance
LE Havre
Paris FC
12
50% 5
70% 7
1X
70% 7
50% 5
X2
80% 8
80% 8

Total Goals

Total Goals
LE Havre
Paris FC
0-1
50% 5
20% 2
2-3
30% 3
50% 5
4+
20% 2
30% 3

Total Corners

Total Corners
LE Havre
Under
Over
Paris FC
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
LE Havre
Paris FC
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
LE Havre
Paris FC
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
30% 3
20% 2
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
30% 3
HT X - FT X
20% 2
10% 1

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
LE Havre
Paris FC
xG
1.04
1.23
xGa
1.29
1.31

Number of goals

Number of goals
LE Havre
Under
Over
Paris FC
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
LE Havre
Paris FC
Yes
20% 2
40% 4
No
80% 8
60% 6

1X2

1X2
LE Havre
Paris FC
1
0% 0
10% 1
X
60% 6
50% 5
2
40% 4
40% 4

Double Chance

Double Chance
LE Havre
Paris FC
12
40% 4
50% 5
1X
60% 6
60% 6
X2
100% 10
90% 9

Total Goals

Total Goals
LE Havre
Paris FC
0-1
80% 8
50% 5
2-3
20% 2
50% 5
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
LE Havre
Paris FC
Yes
50% 5
30% 3
No
50% 5
70% 7

Number of goals

Number of goals
LE Havre
Under
Over
Paris FC
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
LE Havre
Paris FC
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7

1X2

1X2
LE Havre
Paris FC
1
50% 5
30% 3
X
20% 2
40% 4
2
30% 3
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
LE Havre
Paris FC
12
80% 8
60% 6
1X
70% 7
70% 7
X2
50% 5
70% 7

Total Goals

Total Goals
LE Havre
Paris FC
0-1
80% 8
70% 7
2-3
10% 1
0% 0
4+
10% 1
30% 3

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
LE Havre
Paris FC
Yes
70% 7
50% 5
No
30% 3
50% 5
Team comparison
Prediction
LE Havre Under 1.5 Goals
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
4.5%
Low
13.00
5.0%
Low
13.50
-2
9.3%
Low
12.00
10.3%
Low
12.00
-1.5
14.2%
Low
5.50
15.5%
Low
5.50
-1
24.5%
Low
4.81
26.2%
Low
4.80
-0.5
34.8%
Low
2.73
36.9%
Low
2.74
+0.5
63.1%
Medium
1.50
65.2%
Medium
1.50
+1
73.8%
High
1.21
75.5%
High
1.21
+1.5
84.5%
High
1.15
85.8%
High
1.15
+2
89.7%
High
1.03
90.7%
High
1.03
+2.5
95.0%
High
1.03
95.5%
High
1.02
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.99%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.535.00%Low2.62
Under 1.565.00%Medium1.55
AwayOver 1.536.48%Low2.63
Under 1.563.52%Medium1.54
HomeOver 2.512.82%Low6.50
Under 2.587.18%High1.13
AwayOver 2.513.75%Low6.50
Under 2.586.25%High1.13
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
club logo
LE Havre
Paris FC
Played: 0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
0
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
Home Away All
Played 7 7 14
Wins 2 1 3
Draws 3 2 5
Losses 2 4 6
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.3 9 0.6 4 0.9 13
Goals Conceded 1.1 8 1.9 13 1.5 21
Yellow Cards 1.9 13 1.7 12 1.8 25
Red Cards 0 0.1 1 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.1 1 0.4 3 0.3 4
Corners 5 35 3.3 23 4.1 58
Fouls 14.7 103 12.3 86 13.5 189
Offsides 1.6 11 1.7 12 1.6 23
Shots 13.4 94 9.1 64 11.3 158
Shots on Goal 4.4 31 3 21 3.7 52
Home Away All
Played 7 7 14
Wins 2 2 4
Draws 2 1 3
Losses 3 4 7
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.7 12 1.3 9 1.5 21
Goals Conceded 1.7 12 2 14 1.9 26
Yellow Cards 2.1 15 1.3 9 1.7 24
Red Cards 0.1 1 0.1 1 0.1 2
Clean Sheets 0.1 1 0.1 1 0.1 2
Corners 6 42 3.4 24 4.7 66
Fouls 10.9 76 11.1 78 11 154
Offsides 3 21 1.6 11 2.3 32
Shots 15.1 106 9.7 68 12.4 174
Shots on Goal 4.1 29 3.6 25 3.9 54
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