LE Havre vs Paris FC: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 7 December, 2025 11:15
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Crucial Mid-Table Clash
This matchup between LE Havre and Paris FC is pivotal for both sides as they look to escape the lower half of the Ligue 1 table. Currently, LE Havre sits in 14th place with 14 points, while Paris FC is just one position and a point ahead in 13th. A win for either team could provide a much-needed boost in their quest for safety and stability in the league.
Current Form & Trends
Both teams have been struggling to find consistent form, making this encounter all the more interesting.
- LE Havre: The home side has been particularly vulnerable lately, with only one win in their last five matches (1W-2D-2L). They have scored a meager 0.4 goals per match and have conceded an average of 1 goal. Their recent home performances have seen them draw three times, indicating a lack of finishing ability in front of goal.
- Paris FC: In contrast, Paris FC has shown slightly more attacking prowess, averaging 1.4 goals per match over their last five outings. However, their defensive frailties are evident, as they concede an average of 1.8 goals per game. Their away form has been mixed, with two wins and two losses in their last five, demonstrating their inconsistency on the road.
Head-to-Head
Historically, LE Havre and Paris FC have yet to face off in competitive matches this season, making it difficult to analyze any past dominance. Given the recent struggles of both teams, this match could serve as a fresh start for either side to establish a psychological advantage moving forward.
Tactical Analysis & Key Players
LE Havre will likely need to tighten their defensive shape to avoid leaking goals against a Paris FC side that can be dangerous when given space. I. Soumaré could play a critical role up front, as he has been one of their more impactful players this season. For Paris FC, I. Kebbal's ability to control the midfield and create chances will be crucial in unlocking LE Havre's defense. Expect both teams to adopt a cautious approach, prioritizing stability over risk in this crucial encounter.
AI Prediction
Winner Prediction: Draw.
Predicted Score: LE Havre 1 - 1 Paris FC
Reasoning: Both teams are struggling for form and have shown vulnerabilities in defense, making a drawn result the most likely outcome. The low xG values indicate a lack of finishing ability, further supporting this prediction.
Betting Tips
- Safe Bet: Double Chance - X2 @ 1.5 (65.5%).
- Value Bet: Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 1.76 (52.7%).
Bet responsibly.
Probable Scores Heatmap
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
LE Havre
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for LE Havre vs Paris FC Sunday, Dec 7th, 2025 at 11:15 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for LE Havre vs Paris FC Football 7 Dec, 2025 11:15
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
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⚽
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 71% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
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🔐
Chance Suppression
LE Havre rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for LE Havre vs Paris FC, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — LE Havre @ 2.80 ✅ 
✅LE Havre
- Efficient ScoringRecent13/1587%LE Havre efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 13 of their last 15 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent24/3080%LE Havre efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 24 of their last 30 Ligue 1 matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.79 ✅ 
LE Havre(2 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/771%LE Havre score (1.29/match) and concede (1.14/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 71% of matches (league avg: 50%)
- Both Teams ScoredRecent12/1580%Both teams scored in 12 of their last 15 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
Paris FC(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/771%Paris FC score (1.29/match) and concede (2.00/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 71% of matches (league avg: 50%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.89 ⚠️ 
LE Havre(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent12/1580%LE Havre scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 15 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
🛡️ Double Chance — Paris FC Win or Draw @ 1.50 ⚠️ 
❌LE Havre
- Not WinRecent12/1580%LE Havre have not won in 12 of their last 15 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
⚡ Team Total Goals — LE Havre Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.62 ✅ 
✅LE Havre
- Scored 1+Recent13/1587%LE Havre scored 1+ goals in 13 of their last 15 Ligue 1 (Home) matches
- Scored 1+Recent24/3080%LE Havre scored 1+ goals in 24 of their last 30 Ligue 1 matches
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.75 ⚠️ 
LE Havre(1 trends) — avg 5.8 (+25% above league)
- Many CornersLeague7/785%LE Havre average 5.8 corners/match at home (+25% above league avg 4.7)
Paris FC(1 trends) — avg 3.4 (-27% below league)
- Few CornersLeague7/785%Paris FC average 3.4 corners/match in away matches (-27% below league avg 4.7)
+3 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
LE Havre vs Paris FC
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 LE Havre
✈️ Paris FC
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 LE Havre - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
✈️ Paris FC - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 LE Havre - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
✈️ Paris FC - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Paris FC has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Paris FC handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (LE Havre):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Paris FC):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
LE Havre vs Paris FC Head-to-head statistics for Sun 7 Dec, 2025 @ 11:15 Ligue 1
LE Havre vs Paris FC: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for LE Havre and away matches for Paris FC
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Total Corners
Clean Sheet
1X2 HT - FT
xG(xGa)
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
| Handicap | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4.5% Low 13.00 | 5.0% Low 13.50 |
| -2 | 9.3% Low 12.00 | 10.3% Low 12.00 |
| -1.5 | 14.2% Low 5.50 | 15.5% Low 5.50 |
| -1 | 24.5% Low 4.81 | 26.2% Low 4.80 |
| -0.5 | 34.8% Low 2.73 | 36.9% Low 2.74 |
| +0.5 | 63.1% Medium 1.50 | 65.2% Medium 1.50 |
| +1 | 73.8% High 1.21 | 75.5% High 1.21 |
| +1.5 | 84.5% High 1.15 | 85.8% High 1.15 |
| +2 | 89.7% High 1.03 | 90.7% High 1.03 |
| +2.5 | 95.0% High 1.03 | 95.5% High 1.02 |
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.99%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 35.00% | Low | 2.62 |
| Under 1.5 | 65.00% | Medium | 1.55 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 36.48% | Low | 2.63 |
| Under 1.5 | 63.52% | Medium | 1.54 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 12.82% | Low | 6.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 87.18% | High | 1.13 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 13.75% | Low | 6.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 86.25% | High | 1.13 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
0
0
0
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 4 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 9 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.9 | 13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 8 | 1.9 | 13 | 1.5 | 21 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.9 | 13 | 1.7 | 12 | 1.8 | 25 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Corners | 5 | 35 | 3.3 | 23 | 4.1 | 58 |
| Fouls | 14.7 | 103 | 12.3 | 86 | 13.5 | 189 |
| Offsides | 1.6 | 11 | 1.7 | 12 | 1.6 | 23 |
| Shots | 13.4 | 94 | 9.1 | 64 | 11.3 | 158 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.4 | 31 | 3 | 21 | 3.7 | 52 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.7 | 12 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.5 | 21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 12 | 2 | 14 | 1.9 | 26 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.1 | 15 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.7 | 24 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Corners | 6 | 42 | 3.4 | 24 | 4.7 | 66 |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 76 | 11.1 | 78 | 11 | 154 |
| Offsides | 3 | 21 | 1.6 | 11 | 2.3 | 32 |
| Shots | 15.1 | 106 | 9.7 | 68 | 12.4 | 174 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.1 | 29 | 3.6 | 25 | 3.9 | 54 |


Ligue 1 2025-2026