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Serie A 2025-2026 • Matchweek 28
Preview
Lazio
Lazio
11th place
Form
VS
days
:
hours
:
minutes
:
seconds
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
9th place
Form
AI Prediction Lazio or Draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Lazio vs Sassuolo: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Monday, 9 March, 2026 14:45

Winner (1x2)2.33
Lazio to Win
Probability 49%
Total Goals1.76
Under 2.5
Probability 55%
Both Teams to Score1.95
Yes
Probability 51%
Lazio Total1.28
Home Over 0.5
Probability 77%
Sassuolo Total1.38
Away Under 1.5
Probability 73%
Double Chance1.34
Lazio/Draw
Probability 76%
Asian Handicap1.21
Sassuolo +1.5
Probability 84%
Best Tip
Value
Double Chance Lazio or Draw
Odds 1.34
Win Prob. 76% EV: +1.9%
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Prediction League
Serie A 2025-2026
14:45
Lazio W 49%
:
Sassuolo W 24%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Lazio
w d l d l
13 Played
5 Wins
4 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (18 total)
xG
1.30 (16.5 total)
Shots per Match
12.5 (163 total)
Shots on Target
4.5 (36% acc)
Corners
4.9 (64 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (4 total)
Fouls
10.8 (141 total)
Offsides
0.7 (9 total)
14 Played
3 Wins
6 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.6 (8 total)
xG
0.70 (9.9 total)
Shots per Match
9.6 (135 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (33% acc)
Corners
2.9 (41 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
9.6 (135 total)
Offsides
0.9 (12 total)
27 Played
8 Wins
10 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (26 total)
xG
1.00 (26.3 total)
Shots per Match
11 (298 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (35% acc)
Corners
3.9 (105 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
12 (44%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (6 total)
Fouls
10.2 (276 total)
Offsides
0.8 (21 total)
Sassuolo
w l w w w
14 Played
6 Wins
2 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (17 total)
xG
1.00 (13.9 total)
Shots per Match
10.4 (145 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (35% acc)
Corners
3.8 (53 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (4 total)
Fouls
10.8 (151 total)
Offsides
1.6 (23 total)
13 Played
5 Wins
3 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (17 total)
xG
1.10 (14.4 total)
Shots per Match
10.8 (140 total)
Shots on Target
4 (37% acc)
Corners
3.4 (44 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.5 (162 total)
Offsides
2.1 (27 total)
27 Played
11 Wins
5 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (34 total)
xG
1.10 (28.4 total)
Shots per Match
10.6 (285 total)
Shots on Target
3.8 (36% acc)
Corners
3.6 (97 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (4 total)
Fouls
11.6 (313 total)
Offsides
1.9 (50 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.48 vs 1.01
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
10.15%
0:1
8.52%
0:2
3.13%
0:3
0.8%
0:4
0.15%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
13.55%
🔥
1:1
12.29%
1:2
5.85%
1:3
1.75%
1:4
0.38%
1:5
0.07%
2
2:0
8.14%
2:1
9.43%
2:2
5.16%
2:3
1.79%
2:4
0.45%
2:5
0.09%
3
3:0
3.36%
3:1
4.55%
3:2
2.89%
3:3
1.16%
3:4
0.33%
3:5
0.07%
4
4:0
1.04%
4:1
1.61%
4:2
1.17%
4:3
0.53%
4:4
0.17%
4:5
0.04%
5
5:0
0.26%
5:1
0.45%
5:2
0.37%
5:3
0.19%
5:4
0.07%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 1:0 (13.5%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

10.1%
0
22.1%
1
23.6%
2
19.4%
3
12.6%
4
7.0%
5
3.3%
6
1.3%
7
0.4%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

LazioHDPSassuolo
7.1%
Very Low@ 10.00
-2.5
2.0%
@ 13.00Very Low
13.8%
Very Low@ 9.00
-2
5.1%
Very Low
20.5%
Low@ 4.50
-1.5
8.2%
@ 7.10Very Low
33.0%
Low@ 3.85
-1
16.7%
@ 6.05Very Low
45.6%
Medium@ 2.37
-0.5
25.2%
@ 3.40Low
74.8%
High@ 1.36
+0.5
54.4%
@ 1.66Medium
83.3%
Very High@ 1.12
+1
67.0%
@ 1.30High
91.9%
Very High@ 1.08
+1.5
79.5%
@ 1.19High
94.9%
Very High
+2
86.2%
@ 1.02Very High
98.0%
Very High@ 1.01
+2.5
92.9%
@ 1.03Very High

Team Total Predictions

LazioOutcomeSassuolo
39.8%
Low@ 2.49
Over 1.5
26.3%
@ 3.25Low
60.2%
High@ 1.59
Under 1.5
73.2%
@ 1.39High
16.7%
Very Low@ 6.50
Over 2.5
8.2%
@ 9.00Very Low
83.3%
Very High@ 1.15
Under 2.5
91.8%
@ 1.08Very High
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Lazio will take on Sassuolo as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 28 and will take place on 2026-03-09 at 2026-03-09 in the famous Stadio Olimpico. The referee for the game will be A. Arena. Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Lazio, and the visiting side, Sassuolo. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Lazio or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-03-09 Time: 19:45 Location: Stadio Olimpico Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Lazio vs Sassuolo Monday, Mar 9th, 2026 at 14:45 Football

AI Value Bets
7 Found

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Correct Score 1:0
Value
Prob: 13.5%
EV: +7.6%
Stake: $0.36
7.99
Double Chance 1X
Value
Prob: 76%
EV: +2.6%
Stake: $7.14
1.35
Double Chance 1X
Value
Prob: 76%
EV: +1.9%
Stake: $7.35
1.34
Asian Handicap Sassuolo +1.5
Value
Prob: 83.7%
EV: +1.3%
Stake: $10.00
1.21
Win to Nil Sassuolo NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 87.1%
EV: +1.1%
Stake: $10.00
1.16
Premium Tip Sassuolo Under 1.5
💎 Locked
Available for Premium users
Total Away Under 1.5
Value
Prob: 73.2%
EV: +1.0%
Stake: $6.58
1.38
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-03-09 12:01:57
spinner

Trends for Lazio vs Sassuolo Football 9 Mar, 2026 14:45

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Lazio have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • Second Half Surge

    Sassuolo score in 2nd half 75% of matches — expect late goals

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Lazio vs Sassuolo

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Sassuolo is stronger in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 2).
⏰ First Half: Sassuolo is stronger in the first half (11 vs 3).
⚡ Final Stage: Lazio is stronger in the final minutes (6 vs 3).

💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Lazio

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.03
Pressure
0.06

✈️ Sassuolo

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.1
Pressure
0.12

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Lazio - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

✈️ Sassuolo - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Lazio - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
1
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4

✈️ Sassuolo - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
7
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
7
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Sassuolo often scores in the first 15 minutes (7 vs 2)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Sassuolo scoring first
  • ⏰ Away First Half: Sassuolo is stronger in the first half (11 vs 3)
  • First Half Result: Consider Sassuolo to win the first half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Lazio excels in the closing minutes (6 vs 3 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Lazio scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
  • Draw: Consider draw bets
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.072
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.057
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.013 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.038

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Lazio):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Sassuolo):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Lazio
Sassuolo

Lazio vs Sassuolo Head-to-head statistics for Mon 9 Mar, 2026 @ 14:45 Serie A

Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
8
Bologna
l w w w l
>
28
11
6
11
37
34
3
39
9
Sassuolo
w l w w w
>
27
11
5
11
34
36
-2
38
10
Udinese
l l l w d
>
28
10
6
12
33
41
-8
36
11
Lazio
w d l d l
>
27
8
10
9
26
27
-1
34
12
Parma
w w w d d
>
28
8
10
10
20
32
-12
34
Team comparison
Prediction
Lazio or Draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Lazio
VS
Sassuolo
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
4 Wins
1 Draws
2 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (10)
0.7 (5)
xG
0.70
1.10
Shots
12 (84)
12.7 (89)
Shots on Target
4.3 (30)
3.3 (23)
Corners
3.9 (27)
4.1 (29)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 (5)
1.4 (10)
xGa
1.10
0.70
Clean Sheets
3 (43%)
1 (14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9 (20)
3.1 (22)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
11.6 (81)
11.3 (79)
Offsides
2.9 (20)
0.3 (2)
14 Sep
- 16:00
Sassuolo
Lazio
1.13
xG
0.74
1
0
26 May
- 18:45
Lazio
Sassuolo
1
1
21 Oct
- 18:45
Sassuolo
Lazio
0
2
3 May
- 19:00
Lazio
Sassuolo
2
0
15 Jan
- 11:30
Sassuolo
Lazio
0
2
2 Apr
- 16:00
Lazio
Sassuolo
2
1
12 Dec
- 17:00
Sassuolo
Lazio
2
1
Last 6 Matches
Lazio
VS
Sassuolo
1/6 (17%) Victories 5/6 (83%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
1.00 PPG 2.50
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
33% BTTS % 50%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
1.00 Avg xG 1.39
Lazio
W D L D L
Serie A 2025-2026
1 Mar 2026 - 17:00
Torino
2 0
Lazio
Serie A 2025-2026
21 Feb 2026 - 19:45
Cagliari
0 0
Lazio
Serie A 2025-2026
14 Feb 2026 - 17:00
Lazio
0 2
Atalanta
Serie A 2025-2026
8 Feb 2026 - 19:45
Juventus
2 2
Lazio
Serie A 2025-2026
30 Jan 2026 - 19:45
Lazio
3 2
Genoa
Serie A 2025-2026
24 Jan 2026 - 19:45
Lecce
0 0
Lazio
Sassuolo
W L W W W
Serie A 2025-2026
1 Mar 2026 - 14:00
Sassuolo
2 1
Atalanta
Serie A 2025-2026
20 Feb 2026 - 19:45
Sassuolo
3 0
Verona
Serie A 2025-2026
15 Feb 2026 - 11:30
Udinese
1 2
Sassuolo
Serie A 2025-2026
8 Feb 2026 - 17:00
Sassuolo
0 5
Inter
Serie A 2025-2026
31 Jan 2026 - 14:00
Pisa
1 3
Sassuolo
Serie A 2025-2026
25 Jan 2026 - 11:30
Sassuolo
1 0
Cremonese

Lazio vs Sassuolo: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Lazio and away matches for Sassuolo

Number of goals
Lazio
Under
Over
Sassuolo
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Lazio
Sassuolo
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1X2
Lazio
Sassuolo
1
20% 2
50% 5
X
40% 4
10% 1
2
40% 4
40% 4
Double Chance
Lazio
Sassuolo
12
60% 6
90% 9
1X
60% 6
60% 6
X2
80% 8
50% 5
Total Goals
Lazio
Sassuolo
0-1
30% 3
20% 2
2-3
40% 4
60% 6
4+
30% 3
20% 2
Total Corners
Lazio
Under
Over
Sassuolo
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Lazio
Sassuolo
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Lazio
Sassuolo
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
40% 4
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT X
30% 3
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Lazio
Sassuolo
xG
1.03
1.11
xGa
1.27
1.41
Number of goals
Lazio
Under
Over
Sassuolo
Under
Over
0.5
90% 9
10% 1
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Lazio
Sassuolo
Yes
0% 0
10% 1
No
100% 10
90% 9
1X2
Lazio
Sassuolo
1
10% 1
40% 4
X
50% 5
20% 2
2
40% 4
40% 4
Double Chance
Lazio
Sassuolo
12
50% 5
80% 8
1X
60% 6
60% 6
X2
90% 9
60% 6
Total Goals
Lazio
Sassuolo
0-1
80% 8
60% 6
2-3
20% 2
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Lazio
Sassuolo
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5
Number of goals
Lazio
Under
Over
Sassuolo
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Lazio
Sassuolo
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2
Lazio
Sassuolo
1
20% 2
20% 2
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
40% 4
30% 3
Double Chance
Lazio
Sassuolo
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
60% 6
70% 7
X2
80% 8
80% 8
Total Goals
Lazio
Sassuolo
0-1
70% 7
40% 4
2-3
10% 1
60% 6
4+
20% 2
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Lazio
Sassuolo
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5
Missing Players
Lazio
4
d
- Injured - Sprained ankle
2
d
- Injured - Ankle Injury
- Injured - Injury
26
m
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
- Injured - Shoulder Injury
Sassuolo
11
m
- Injured - Muscle Injury
5
d
- Injured - Knee Injury
18
m
- Suspended - Yellow Cards
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Suspended - Red Card
20
f
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
1.29 xG 1.19
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 4
10 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
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