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Serie A 2025-2026 • Matchweek 31
Preview
Lazio
Lazio
8th place
Form
VS
18:45
4 Apr 2026
Parma
Parma
12th place
Form
AI Prediction Combo Double chance : Lazio or draw and -3.5 goals
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Lazio vs Parma: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 4 April, 2026 13:45

Winner (1x2)1.89
Lazio to Win
Probability 49%
Total Goals1.69
Under 2.5
Probability 64%
Both Teams to Score1.72
No (NG)
Probability 57%
Lazio Total1.75
Home Under 1.5
Probability 62%
Parma Total1.04
Away Under 2.5
Probability 95%
Double Chance1.22
Lazio/Draw
Probability 78%
Asian Handicap1.34
Parma +1.5
Probability 78%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Serie A 2025-2026
18:45
Lazio W 49%
:
Parma W 22%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Lazio
d l w w w
15 Played
7 Wins
4 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (21 total)
xG
1.30 (19.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.1 (182 total)
Shots on Target
4.3 (36% acc)
Corners
4.4 (66 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (5 total)
Fouls
10.3 (154 total)
Offsides
0.9 (14 total)
15 Played
4 Wins
6 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (10 total)
xG
0.80 (11.5 total)
Shots per Match
9.6 (144 total)
Shots on Target
3.3 (35% acc)
Corners
2.8 (42 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (53%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
9.5 (143 total)
Offsides
0.9 (13 total)
30 Played
11 Wins
10 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (31 total)
xG
1.00 (30.4 total)
Shots per Match
10.9 (326 total)
Shots on Target
3.8 (35% acc)
Corners
3.6 (108 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
14 (47%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (7 total)
Fouls
9.9 (297 total)
Offsides
0.9 (27 total)
Parma
w d d l l
15 Played
3 Wins
5 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (11 total)
xG
0.90 (13.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.1 (181 total)
Shots on Target
2.8 (23% acc)
Corners
4.1 (61 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
11 (165 total)
Offsides
1.3 (19 total)
15 Played
5 Wins
5 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (10 total)
xG
0.80 (12.0 total)
Shots per Match
9.5 (142 total)
Shots on Target
2.7 (29% acc)
Corners
3.5 (53 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (47%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
11.1 (166 total)
Offsides
1 (15 total)
30 Played
8 Wins
10 Draws
12 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (21 total)
xG
0.80 (25.1 total)
Shots per Match
10.8 (323 total)
Shots on Target
2.8 (26% acc)
Corners
3.8 (114 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
10 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (4 total)
Fouls
11 (331 total)
Offsides
1.1 (34 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.32 vs 0.83
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
12.93%
0:1
9.42%
0:2
3.43%
0:3
0.83%
0:4
0.15%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
15.75%
🔥
1:1
12.79%
1:2
5.13%
1:3
1.36%
1:4
0.27%
1:5
0.04%
2
2:0
9.59%
2:1
8.59%
2:2
3.78%
2:3
1.09%
2:4
0.23%
2:5
0.04%
3
3:0
3.89%
3:1
3.81%
3:2
1.83%
3:3
0.57%
3:4
0.13%
3:5
0.02%
4
4:0
1.19%
4:1
1.26%
4:2
0.65%
4:3
0.22%
4:4
0.05%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.29%
5:1
0.33%
5:2
0.18%
5:3
0.07%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 1:0 (15.8%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

12.9%
0
25.2%
1
25.8%
2
18.5%
3
10.3%
4
4.8%
5
1.8%
6
0.6%
7
0.1%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

LazioHDPParma
7.7%
Very Low@ 7.20
-2.5
1.5%
Very Low
14.8%
Very Low@ 6.35
-2
4.1%
Very Low
21.9%
Low@ 3.57
-1.5
6.8%
@ 12.00Very Low
34.9%
Low@ 2.65
-1
14.7%
@ 10.50Very Low
47.9%
Medium@ 1.83
-0.5
22.6%
@ 4.84Low
77.4%
High@ 1.20
+0.5
52.1%
@ 2.07Medium
85.3%
Very High@ 1.02
+1
65.1%
@ 1.53High
93.2%
Very High@ 1.03
+1.5
78.1%
@ 1.33High
95.9%
Very High
+2
85.2%
@ 1.12Very High
98.5%
Very High
+2.5
92.3%
@ 1.10Very High

Team Total Predictions

LazioOutcomeParma
38.0%
Low@ 2.16
Over 1.5
20.2%
@ 4.55Low
62.0%
High@ 1.73
Under 1.5
79.8%
@ 1.21High
14.8%
Very Low@ 4.65
Over 2.5
5.2%
@ 15.00Very Low
85.3%
Very High@ 1.20
Under 2.5
94.8%
@ 1.04Very High
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Lazio will take on Parma as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 31 and will take place on 2026-04-04 at 2026-04-04 in the famous Stadio Olimpico. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Lazio, and the visiting side, Parma. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : Lazio or draw and -3.5 goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-04-04 Time: 18:45 Location: Stadio Olimpico Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Lazio vs Parma Saturday, Apr 4th, 2026 at 13:45 Football

AI Value Bets
2 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.

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Goals O/U Under 2.5
Value
Prob: 63.7%
EV: +8.4%
Stake: $3.57
1.70
Asian Handicap Parma +1.5
Value
Prob: 78.1%
EV: +3.9%
Stake: $7.58
1.33
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-03-29 03:01:04
spinner

Trends for Lazio vs Parma Football 4 Apr, 2026 13:45

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Lazio have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    Parma struggle to score — failed to find net in 5/7 recent away matches

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Lazio vs Parma

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Parma is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Lazio

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.02
Pressure
0.06

✈️ Parma

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.1
Pressure
0.11

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Lazio - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

✈️ Parma - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Lazio - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
1
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
5

✈️ Parma - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
1
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Parma often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Parma scoring first
  • Overall Result: Lazio has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Lazio handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.112
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.048
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.015

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Lazio):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Parma):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Lazio
Parma

Lazio vs Parma Head-to-head statistics for Sat 4 Apr, 2026 @ 13:45 Serie A

Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
7
Atalanta
w l d d w
>
30
13
11
6
41
27
14
50
8
Lazio
d l w w w
>
30
11
10
9
31
28
3
43
9
Bologna
w w l w l
>
30
12
6
12
38
36
2
42

11
Udinese
l w d l w
>
30
11
6
13
35
42
-7
39
12
Parma
w d d l l
>
30
8
10
12
21
38
-17
34
13
Genoa
w l w w l
>
30
8
9
13
36
42
-6
33
Team comparison
Prediction
Combo Double chance : Lazio or draw and -3.5 goals
Under/Over: -3.5*
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Lazio
VS
Parma
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (4)
1.7 (5)
xG
1.80
1.10
Shots
17.3 (52)
12 (36)
Shots on Target
6.7 (20)
4.7 (14)
Corners
6.3 (19)
3 (9)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 (5)
1.3 (4)
xGa
1.10
1.80
Clean Sheets
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 (5)
3 (9)
Red Cards
0.7 (2)
0 (0)
Fouls
11 (33)
14 (42)
Offsides
3 (9)
1 (3)
13 Dec
- 17:00
Parma
Lazio
0.78
xG
1.35
0
1
Prob 79%
Home Total Under 1.5
Odd 1.31
28 Apr
- 18:45
Lazio
Parma
1.44
xG
0.87
2
2
1 Dec
- 14:00
Parma
Lazio
1.55
xG
2.60
3
1
Last 6 Matches
Lazio
VS
Parma
3/6 (50%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.67 PPG 1.33
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
17% BTTS % 50%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.12 Avg xG 0.72
Lazio
D L W W W
Serie A 2025-2026
22 Mar 2026 - 14:00
Bologna
0 2
Lazio
Serie A 2025-2026
15 Mar 2026 - 19:45
Lazio
1 0
AC Milan
Serie A 2025-2026
9 Mar 2026 - 19:45
Lazio
2 1
Sassuolo
Serie A 2025-2026
1 Mar 2026 - 17:00
Torino
2 0
Lazio
Serie A 2025-2026
21 Feb 2026 - 19:45
Cagliari
0 0
Lazio
Serie A 2025-2026
14 Feb 2026 - 17:00
Lazio
0 2
Atalanta
Parma
W D D L L
Serie A 2025-2026
21 Mar 2026 - 14:00
Parma
0 2
Cremonese
Serie A 2025-2026
13 Mar 2026 - 19:45
Torino
4 1
Parma
Serie A 2025-2026
8 Mar 2026 - 14:00
Fiorentina
0 0
Parma
Serie A 2025-2026
27 Feb 2026 - 19:45
Parma
1 1
Cagliari
Serie A 2025-2026
22 Feb 2026 - 17:00
AC Milan
0 1
Parma
Serie A 2025-2026
15 Feb 2026 - 14:00
Parma
2 1
Verona

Lazio vs Parma: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Lazio and away matches for Parma

Number of goals
Lazio
Under
Over
Parma
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Lazio
Parma
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1X2
Lazio
Parma
1
40% 4
30% 3
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
30% 3
40% 4
Double Chance
Lazio
Parma
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
60% 6
70% 7
Total Goals
Lazio
Parma
0-1
30% 3
40% 4
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
20% 2
30% 3
Total Corners
Lazio
Under
Over
Parma
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Lazio
Parma
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
Lazio
Parma
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
30% 3
30% 3
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT X
20% 2
30% 3
xG(xGa)
Lazio
Parma
xG
1.04
0.67
xGa
1.2
1.57
Number of goals
Lazio
Under
Over
Parma
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Lazio
Parma
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2
Lazio
Parma
1
20% 2
0% 0
X
50% 5
80% 8
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
Lazio
Parma
12
50% 5
20% 2
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
80% 8
100% 10
Total Goals
Lazio
Parma
0-1
80% 8
60% 6
2-3
20% 2
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Lazio
Parma
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4
Number of goals
Lazio
Under
Over
Parma
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Lazio
Parma
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
Lazio
Parma
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
40% 4
40% 4
Double Chance
Lazio
Parma
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
60% 6
60% 6
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
Lazio
Parma
0-1
70% 7
50% 5
2-3
20% 2
50% 5
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Lazio
Parma
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
1.26 xG 0.69
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 3
10 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
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