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Cremonese
Lazio vs Napoli: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 4 January, 2026 6:30
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Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.15 vs 0.77
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
14.73%
⭐
0:1
11.23%
0:2
4.28%
0:3
1.09%
0:4
0.21%
0:5
0.03%
1
1:0
16.87%
🔥
⭐
1:1
12.99%
1:2
5%
1:3
1.28%
1:4
0.25%
1:5
0.04%
2
2:0
9.66%
⭐
2:1
7.52%
2:2
2.92%
2:3
0.76%
2:4
0.15%
2:5
0.02%
3
3:0
3.69%
⭐
3:1
2.9%
⭐
3:2
1.14%
3:3
0.3%
3:4
0.06%
3:5
0.01%
4
4:0
1.06%
⭐
4:1
0.84%
⭐
4:2
0.33%
4:3
0.09%
4:4
0.02%
4:5
0%
5
5:0
0.24%
⭐
5:1
0.19%
⭐
5:2
0.08%
5:3
0.02%
5:4
0%
5:5
0%
Hotspot:
1:0 (16.9%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
2
9
5
1
24
13
11
32
3
10
1
4
22
13
9
31
4
10
0
6
17
10
7
30
7
6
6
3
19
12
7
24
8
6
5
5
17
11
6
23
9
▲
5
7
4
20
18
2
22
1.20
xG
0.63
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots Off Goal
8
6
Corners
4
3
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
Lazio
VS
Napoli
2/6 (33%)
Victories
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.33
PPG
1.67
0.67
Avg Goals Scored
1.33
0.67
Avg Goals Conceded
0.83
17%
BTTS %
33%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.02
Avg xG
1.51
Missing Players
-
Injured - Sprained ankle
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Lazio will take on Napoli as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2026-01-04 at 2026-01-04 in the famous Stadio Olimpico.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Lazio, and the visiting side, Napoli. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : Lazio or draw and -3.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-04
Time: 11:30
Location: Stadio Olimpico
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Lazio vs Napoli Sunday, Jan 4th, 2026 at 6:30 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for Lazio vs Napoli Football 4 Jan, 2026 6:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Stalemate
Both teams boast solid defenses — low-scoring tactical battle expected with few goals
-
Clean Match Expected
Both teams disciplined in recent matches — expect technical, fair-play football
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Lazio vs Napoli, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Lazio @ 3.35 ✅ 
Lazio
- Efficient ScoringH2H6/875%Lazio efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 6 of their last 8 Serie A matches
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Lazio score 1.63 goals/match at home (+39% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Lazio concede only 0.63 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
Strong alignment between defensive solidity and scoring consistency — Lazio to win looks justified.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.78 ⚠️ 
Lazio(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague6/875%Lazio score well (1.63/match) but have strong defense at home (0.63 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 75% of matches
Napoli(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague6/875%Napoli score well (1.00/match) but have strong defense in away matches (0.88 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 75% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 2.60 ✅
Lazio(2 trends)
- Few GoalsH2H6/875%Lazio scored 0-1 goals in 6 of their last 8 Serie A matches
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Lazio score 1.63 goals/match at home (+39% above league average)
Napoli(1 trends)
- Good Goal RatioH2H6/875%Napoli have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 6 of their last 8 Serie A matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H5/862.5%Over 2.5 goals in 5 of their last 8 H2H matches (62.5%%)
Combined 1.6 goals per match average • Defensive strength dominates - Under 2.5 likely
🛡️ Double Chance — Napoli Win or Draw @ 1.38 ✅ 
Napoli
- Undefeated at HTH2H8/8100%Napoli are undefeated at half time in their last 8 8 matches
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Napoli concede only 0.88 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Napoli are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
Napoli demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Lazio Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.55 ✅
Lazio
- Above League AverageLeague8/875%Lazio score 1.63 goals/match at home (+39% above league average)
Lazio's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Lazio(1 trends) — avg 2.4 (+9% above league)
- Many CardsH2H8/8100%Lazio receive 2+ cards in 8 of their last 8 Serie A matches
Napoli(2 trends) — avg 1.5 (-32% below league)
- Many CardsH2H6/875%Napoli receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 8 Serie A matches
- Low Card MatchesLeague15/1590%Napoli average 1.5 cards/match in all matches (-28% below league avg 2.0) — rank #2 lowest in league
Napoli disciplined play balances Lazio aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.02 ✅
Lazio(2 trends) — avg 5.1 (+17% above league)
- Few CornersH2H6/875%Lazio win 4 or fewer corners in 6 of their last 8 Serie A matches
- Many CornersLeague8/882%Lazio average 5.1 corners/match at home (+17% above league avg 4.4)
Napoli(1 trends) — avg 4.9 (+11% above league)
- Many CornersLeague8/876%Napoli average 4.9 corners/match in away matches (+11% above league avg 4.4)
Combined average: 10.0 corners/match (Lazio 5.1 + Napoli 4.9) • Lazio dominance pushes total over threshold
+5 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Lazio vs Napoli
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Napoli is stronger in the second half (14 vs 8).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Lazio
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.09
Pressure
0.11
✈️ Napoli
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.23
Pressure
0.11
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Lazio - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ Napoli - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Lazio - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3
✈️ Napoli - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
2
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Napoli shows superior performance after the break (14 vs 8 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Napoli winning the second half
- Overall Result: Lazio has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Lazio handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.135
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.006
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Lazio):
Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Napoli):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
Lazio vs Napoli Head-to-head statistics for Sun 4 Jan, 2026 @ 6:30 Serie A
Lazio vs Napoli: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Lazio and away matches for Napoli
Number of goals
Lazio
Under
Over
Napoli
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Lazio
Napoli
Yes
10%
1
20%
2
No
90%
9
80%
8
1X2
Lazio
Napoli
1
40%
4
50%
5
X
40%
4
20%
2
2
20%
2
30%
3
Double Chance
Lazio
Napoli
12
60%
6
80%
8
1X
80%
8
70%
7
X2
60%
6
50%
5
Total Goals
Lazio
Napoli
0-1
60%
6
50%
5
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Total Corners
Lazio
Under
Over
Napoli
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Lazio
Napoli
Yes
70%
7
50%
5
No
30%
3
50%
5
1X2 HT - FT
Lazio
Napoli
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT X
40%
4
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Lazio
Napoli
xG
0.82
1.22
xGa
1.25
0.87
Number of goals
Lazio
Under
Over
Napoli
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Lazio
Napoli
Yes
10%
1
0%
0
No
90%
9
100%
10
1X2
Lazio
Napoli
1
20%
2
30%
3
X
70%
7
60%
6
2
10%
1
10%
1
Double Chance
Lazio
Napoli
12
30%
3
40%
4
1X
90%
9
90%
9
X2
80%
8
70%
7
Total Goals
Lazio
Napoli
0-1
90%
9
90%
9
2-3
10%
1
10%
1
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Lazio
Napoli
Yes
80%
8
90%
9
No
20%
2
10%
1
Number of goals
Lazio
Under
Over
Napoli
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Lazio
Napoli
Yes
0%
0
10%
1
No
100%
10
90%
9
1X2
Lazio
Napoli
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
50%
5
40%
4
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Lazio
Napoli
12
50%
5
60%
6
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
Lazio
Napoli
0-1
90%
9
70%
7
2-3
10%
1
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Lazio
Napoli
Yes
80%
8
50%
5
No
20%
2
50%
5
Team comparison
Prediction
Napoli Under 1.5 Goals
Under/Over:
-3.5*
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 1,000.00%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 30.12% | Low | 3.55 |
| Under 1.5 | 69.88% | Medium | 1.34 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 16.42% | Low | 2.75 |
| Under 1.5 | 83.58% | High | 1.48 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 9.97% | Low | 10.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 90.03% | High | 1.07 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 3.71% | Low | 7.20 |
| Under 2.5 | 96.29% | High | 1.12 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Lazio
Napoli
Played:
8
Wins
3
3
Draws
2
2
Wins
3
3
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
8
1
Goals
1.4
11
11
1.4
Goals Conceded
1
8
23
2.9
Yellow Cards
1.5
12
0
Red Cards
0
3
0.4
Clean Sheets
0.3
2
28
3.5
Corners
4.9
39
87
10.9
Fouls
13.1
105
7
0.9
Offsides
1.8
14
67
8.4
Shots
13.8
110
25
3.1
Shots on Goal
3.9
31
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 2 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 4 | 5 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.6 | 13 | 0.5 | 4 | 1.1 | 17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.6 | 5 | 0.8 | 6 | 0.7 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.8 | 14 | 1.9 | 15 | 1.8 | 29 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.6 | 5 | 0.5 | 4 | 0.6 | 9 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 41 | 2.3 | 18 | 3.7 | 59 |
| Fouls | 11 | 88 | 10.5 | 84 | 10.8 | 172 |
| Offsides | 0.4 | 3 | 0.8 | 6 | 0.6 | 9 |
| Shots | 12.8 | 102 | 9.3 | 74 | 11 | 176 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.6 | 37 | 3.9 | 31 | 4.3 | 68 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 6 | 4 | 10 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 4 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 1.5 | 22 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 6 | 0.9 | 7 | 0.9 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.7 | 12 | 1.3 | 10 | 1.5 | 22 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.3 | 5 |
| Corners | 6 | 42 | 4.9 | 39 | 5.4 | 81 |
| Fouls | 12.7 | 89 | 11.9 | 95 | 12.3 | 184 |
| Offsides | 1.6 | 11 | 0.6 | 5 | 1.1 | 16 |
| Shots | 12.6 | 88 | 12.1 | 97 | 12.3 | 185 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.3 | 37 | 4.3 | 34 | 4.7 | 71 |
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