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KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen vs Dender: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 27 December, 2025 11:15
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Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.90 vs 1.11
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.13%
0:1
5.56%
0:2
3.01%
0:3
1.09%
0:4
0.29%
0:5
0.06%
1
1:0
9.62%
1:1
10.55%
🔥
1:2
5.79%
1:3
2.12%
1:4
0.58%
1:5
0.13%
2
2:0
9.02%
⭐
2:1
10.02%
2:2
5.56%
2:3
2.06%
2:4
0.57%
2:5
0.13%
3
3:0
5.64%
⭐
3:1
6.34%
⭐
3:2
3.57%
3:3
1.34%
3:4
0.38%
3:5
0.08%
4
4:0
2.64%
⭐
4:1
3.01%
⭐
4:2
1.71%
⭐
4:3
0.65%
⭐
4:4
0.18%
4:5
0.04%
5
5:0
0.99%
⭐
5:1
1.14%
⭐
5:2
0.66%
⭐
5:3
0.25%
⭐
5:4
0.07%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot:
1:1 (10.6%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
2.08
xG
1.05
53%
Ball Possession
47%
13
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots Off Goal
9
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
Last 6 Matches
KV Mechelen
VS
Dender
3/6 (50%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.67
PPG
1.33
1.00
Avg Goals Scored
1.50
0.83
Avg Goals Conceded
2.00
33%
BTTS %
83%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
0.95
Avg xG
1.21
In this exciting Belgian Pro League 2025-2026 matchup, KV Mechelen will take on Dender as part of the 2025-2026 season in Belgian Pro League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2025-12-27 at 2025-12-27 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, KV Mechelen, and the visiting side, Dender. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : KV Mechelen or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-27
Time: 17:15
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for KV Mechelen vs Dender Saturday, Dec 27th, 2025 at 11:15 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for KV Mechelen vs Dender Football 27 Dec, 2025 11:15
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 67% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for KV Mechelen vs Dender, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — KV Mechelen @ 2.18 ⚠️ 
KV Mechelen
- Efficient ScoringRecent16/1984%KV Mechelen efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 16 of their last 19 Belgian Pro League matches
Dender
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Dender are currently last in the table (last from bottom)
KV Mechelen confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.68 ⚠️ 
KV Mechelen(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague6/967%KV Mechelen score (1.11/match) and concede (1.11/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 54%)
Dender(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/978%Dender score (1.00/match) and concede (1.78/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 78% of matches (league avg: 54%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.05 ⚠️ 
Dender(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent15/1979%Dender scored 0-1 goals in 15 of their last 19 Belgian Pro League matches
Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match • Strong defensive records support Under 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — KV Mechelen Win or Draw @ 1.36 ⚠️ 
KV Mechelen
- Undefeated at HTRecent17/1989%KV Mechelen are undefeated at half time in 17 of their last 19 Belgian Pro League matches
Dender
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Dender are currently last in the table (last from bottom)
KV Mechelen confirm their superiority through current form statistics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — KV Mechelen Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.04 ⚠️ 
KV Mechelen
- Scored 1+Recent16/1984%KV Mechelen scored 1+ goals in 16 of their last 19 Belgian Pro League matches
KV Mechelen's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.65 ⚠️
KV Mechelen(1 trends) — avg 2 (+1% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague19/1990%KV Mechelen average 2.4 cards/match in all matches (+20% above league avg 2.0) — rank #3 in league
KV Mechelen aggressive drives cards - Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.65
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.96 ⚠️
Dender(2 trends) — avg 2.9 (-40% below league)
- Few CornersLeague9/985%Dender average 2.9 corners/match in away matches (-40% below league avg 4.8)
- Few CornersRecent15/1883%Dender win 4 or fewer corners in 15 of their last 18 Belgian Pro League matches
Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.96
+2 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
KV Mechelen vs Dender
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 KV Mechelen
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0
Pressure
0.13
✈️ Dender
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
19
Momentum
-0.01
Pressure
0.1
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 KV Mechelen - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
✈️ Dender - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.16
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.32
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.53
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.32
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 KV Mechelen - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
1
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Dender - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
0
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: KV Mechelen has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider KV Mechelen handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.016
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.028
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.052
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (KV Mechelen):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Dender):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
KV Mechelen vs Dender Head-to-head statistics for Sat 27 Dec, 2025 @ 11:15 Belgian Pro League
KV Mechelen vs Dender: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for KV Mechelen and away matches for Dender
Number of goals
KV Mechelen
Under
Over
Dender
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
KV Mechelen
Dender
Yes
60%
6
90%
9
No
40%
4
10%
1
1X2
KV Mechelen
Dender
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
40%
4
50%
5
Double Chance
KV Mechelen
Dender
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
60%
6
50%
5
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
KV Mechelen
Dender
0-1
40%
4
10%
1
2-3
20%
2
50%
5
4+
40%
4
40%
4
Total Corners
KV Mechelen
Under
Over
Dender
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
KV Mechelen
Dender
Yes
20%
2
0%
0
No
80%
8
100%
10
1X2 HT - FT
KV Mechelen
Dender
HT 1 - FT 1
40%
4
0%
0
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
30%
3
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
xG(xGa)
KV Mechelen
Dender
xG
0.99
1.18
xGa
1.54
1.47
Number of goals
KV Mechelen
Under
Over
Dender
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
KV Mechelen
Dender
Yes
10%
1
30%
3
No
90%
9
70%
7
1X2
KV Mechelen
Dender
1
50%
5
30%
3
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
20%
2
30%
3
Double Chance
KV Mechelen
Dender
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
80%
8
70%
7
X2
50%
5
70%
7
Total Goals
KV Mechelen
Dender
0-1
80%
8
60%
6
2-3
20%
2
40%
4
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
KV Mechelen
Dender
Yes
80%
8
40%
4
No
20%
2
60%
6
Number of goals
KV Mechelen
Under
Over
Dender
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
KV Mechelen
Dender
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
1X2
KV Mechelen
Dender
1
10%
1
30%
3
X
50%
5
10%
1
2
40%
4
60%
6
Double Chance
KV Mechelen
Dender
12
50%
5
90%
9
1X
60%
6
40%
4
X2
90%
9
70%
7
Total Goals
KV Mechelen
Dender
0-1
50%
5
50%
5
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
KV Mechelen
Dender
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
Team comparison
Prediction
KV Mechelen or Draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.86%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 55.22% | Medium | 2.04 |
| Under 1.5 | 44.78% | Low | 1.80 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 28.63% | Low | 2.71 |
| Under 1.5 | 71.37% | High | 1.47 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 28.31% | Low | 4.30 |
| Under 2.5 | 71.69% | High | 1.22 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 9.17% | Low | 7.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 90.83% | High | 1.12 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
KV Mechelen
Dender
Played:
1
Wins
1
1
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
3
3
Goals
1
1
1
1
Goals Conceded
3
3
0
Yellow Cards
1
1
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0
3
3
Corners
4
4
12
12
Fouls
16
16
0
Offsides
1
1
11
11
Shots
15
15
6
6
Shots on Goal
4
4
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 5 | 8 | |||
| Draws | 4 | 2 | 6 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 3 | 5 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.1 | 10 | 1.4 | 14 | 1.3 | 24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 10 | 1.1 | 11 | 1.1 | 21 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.3 | 21 | 2.4 | 24 | 2.4 | 45 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0.3 | 3 | 0.3 | 5 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 40 | 5.3 | 53 | 4.9 | 93 |
| Fouls | 9.9 | 89 | 9.4 | 94 | 9.6 | 183 |
| Offsides | 1.4 | 13 | 1.3 | 13 | 1.4 | 26 |
| Shots | 10.2 | 92 | 10.5 | 105 | 10.4 | 197 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.6 | 32 | 4.2 | 42 | 3.9 | 74 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | |||
| Wins | 0 | 2 | 2 | |||
| Draws | 4 | 2 | 6 | |||
| Losses | 6 | 5 | 11 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.6 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 0.8 | 15 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 17 | 1.8 | 16 | 1.7 | 33 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.5 | 15 | 1.8 | 16 | 1.6 | 31 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.3 | 3 | 0.2 | 3 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Corners | 3.1 | 31 | 2.9 | 26 | 3 | 57 |
| Fouls | 9.8 | 98 | 11.7 | 105 | 10.7 | 203 |
| Offsides | 1.8 | 18 | 1.9 | 17 | 1.8 | 35 |
| Shots | 8.8 | 88 | 10.2 | 92 | 9.5 | 180 |
| Shots on Goal | 2.8 | 28 | 3.9 | 35 | 3.3 | 63 |
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