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UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 – Knockout play-offs • Knockout round play-offs
Preview
KuPS
KuPS
Form
VS
17:45
19 Feb 2026
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
Form
AI Prediction Lech Poznan Under 2.5 Goals
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

KuPS vs Lech Poznan: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 19 February, 2026 11:45

Winner (1x2)6.91
KuPS to Win
Probability 49%
Total Goals2.10
Under 2.5
Probability 55%
Both Teams to Score2.00
No (NG)
Probability 59%
KuPS Total1.23
Home Under 1.5
Probability 54%
Lech Poznan Total1.40
Away Under 2.5
Probability 94%
Double Chance2.68
KuPS/Draw
Probability 82%
Asian Handicap1.20
KuPS +2.5
Probability 99%
Best Tip
Value
Total - Away Lech Poznan Under 2.5 Goals
Odds 1.4
Win Prob. 93.8% EV: +31.3%
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Prediction League
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - Knockout play-offs
17:45
KuPS W 49%
:
Lech Poznan W 18%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
KuPS
d w l d d
7 Played
4 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (8 total)
xG
0.40 (2.5 total)
Shots per Match
6.3 (44 total)
Shots on Target
2.3 (36% acc)
Corners
1.6 (11 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.6 per match
xGa
0.50 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (57%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
6.3 (44 total)
Offsides
0.3 (2 total)
7 Played
1 Wins
3 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.6 (4 total)
xG
0.30 (2.0 total)
Shots per Match
3.1 (22 total)
Shots on Target
1 (32% acc)
Corners
2.3 (16 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
0.60 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
5.4 (38 total)
Offsides
0.7 (5 total)
14 Played
5 Wins
5 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (12 total)
xG
0.30 (4.5 total)
Shots per Match
4.7 (66 total)
Shots on Target
1.6 (35% acc)
Corners
1.9 (27 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
0.60 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (43%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.1 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
5.9 (82 total)
Offsides
0.5 (7 total)
Lech Poznan
w l l w w
17 Played
7 Wins
5 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.2 (37 total)
xG
0.60 (10.2 total)
Shots per Match
14.7 (250 total)
Shots on Target
5.4 (36% acc)
Corners
4.8 (81 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
0.30 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (12%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.5 (162 total)
Offsides
1.1 (19 total)
16 Played
7 Wins
5 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (22 total)
xG
0.60 (9.5 total)
Shots per Match
12.2 (195 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (32% acc)
Corners
4.8 (77 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
0.40 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
9.9 (159 total)
Offsides
0.9 (15 total)
33 Played
14 Wins
10 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (59 total)
xG
0.60 (19.7 total)
Shots per Match
13.5 (445 total)
Shots on Target
4.7 (35% acc)
Corners
4.8 (158 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
0.40 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
9.7 (321 total)
Offsides
1 (34 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.70 vs 0.88
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.48%
0:1
6.3%
0:2
2.09%
0:3
0.46%
0:4
0.08%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
14.07%
🔥
1:1
11.39%
1:2
4.46%
1:3
1.14%
1:4
0.21%
1:5
0.03%
2
2:0
10.44%
2:1
9.97%
2:2
4.54%
2:3
1.33%
2:4
0.28%
2:5
0.05%
3
3:0
5.17%
3:1
5.68%
3:2
2.96%
3:3
0.98%
3:4
0.23%
3:5
0.04%
4
4:0
1.92%
4:1
2.39%
4:2
1.41%
4:3
0.52%
4:4
0.14%
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
0.57%
5:1
0.79%
5:2
0.52%
5:3
0.22%
5:4
0.06%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:0 (14.1%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

9.5%
0
20.4%
1
23.9%
2
20.1%
3
13.4%
4
7.5%
5
3.5%
6
1.3%
7
0.4%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

KuPSHDPLech Poznan
10.5%
Very Low
-2.5
1.1%
@ 5.00Very Low
18.7%
Very Low
-2
3.3%
@ 3.63Very Low
26.9%
Low@ 12.00
-1.5
5.4%
@ 2.63Very Low
40.3%
Medium@ 12.50
-1
12.2%
@ 1.87Very Low
53.7%
Medium@ 5.75
-0.5
19.0%
@ 1.63Very Low
81.0%
Very High@ 2.71
+0.5
46.3%
@ 1.14Medium
87.8%
Very High@ 2.06
+1
59.7%
@ 1.01Medium
94.6%
Very High@ 1.63
+1.5
73.1%
@ 1.03High
96.8%
Very High@ 1.28
+2
81.3%
Very High
98.9%
Very High@ 1.20
+2.5
89.6%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

KuPSOutcomeLech Poznan
45.6%
Medium@ 4.60
Over 1.5
22.4%
@ 1.62Low
54.4%
Medium@ 1.23
Under 1.5
77.6%
@ 2.37High
21.3%
Low@ 15.00
Over 2.5
6.3%
@ 2.88Very Low
78.7%
High@ 1.04
Under 2.5
93.8%
@ 1.40Very High
In this exciting UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - Knockout play-offs matchup, KuPS will take on Lech Poznan as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Conference League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-19 at 2026-02-19 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, KuPS, and the visiting side, Lech Poznan. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : KuPS or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-19 Time: 17:45 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for KuPS vs Lech Poznan Thursday, Feb 19th, 2026 at 11:45 Football

AI Value Bets
10 Found

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Correct Score 1:0
High Value
Prob: 14%
EV: +130.2%
Stake: $0.16
16.50
Double Chance 1X
High Value
Prob: 82.2%
EV: +120.3%
Stake: $1.49
2.68
Double Chance 1X
High Value
Prob: 82.2%
EV: +120.3%
Stake: $1.49
2.68
Away Total Lech Poznan Under 1.5
High Value
Prob: 77.6%
EV: +83.9%
Stake: $1.82
2.37
Asian Handicap KuPS +1
High Value
Prob: 87.8%
EV: +80.9%
Stake: $2.36
2.06
Asian Handicap KuPS +1.5
High Value
Prob: 94.6%
EV: +54.2%
Stake: $3.97
1.63
Premium Tip Lech Poznan NOT Win to Nil
💎 Locked
Available for Premium users
Win To Nil Away No
High Value
Prob: 91.1%
EV: +35.8%
Stake: $5.10
1.49
Away Total Lech Poznan Under 2.5
High Value
Prob: 93.8%
EV: +31.3%
Stake: $6.25
1.40
Total Away Under 2.5
High Value
Prob: 93.8%
EV: +31.3%
Stake: $6.25
1.40
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-02-16 02:21:14
spinner

Trends for KuPS vs Lech Poznan Football 19 Feb, 2026 11:45

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    KuPS have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 100% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

+4 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

KuPS vs Lech Poznan

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Lech Poznan is stronger in the second half (17 vs 12).
⚡ Final Stage: Lech Poznan is stronger in the final minutes (12 vs 6).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 KuPS

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.16
Pressure
0.07

✈️ Lech Poznan

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.16

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 KuPS - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

✈️ Lech Poznan - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 KuPS - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
1

✈️ Lech Poznan - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
14
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
12
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
12
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
3

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Lech Poznan shows superior performance after the break (17 vs 12 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Lech Poznan winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Lech Poznan excels in the closing minutes (12 vs 6 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Lech Poznan scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Lech Poznan has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Lech Poznan handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.241
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.085
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.02 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.06

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (KuPS):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Lech Poznan):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.

KuPS
Lech Poznan

KuPS vs Lech Poznan Head-to-head statistics for Thu 19 Feb, 2026 @ 11:45 UEFA Conference League

Team comparison
Prediction
Lech Poznan Under 2.5 Goals
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
KuPS
VS
Lech Poznan
1/6 (17%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
4/6 (67%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
0.00 PPG 0.00
1.00 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.00
50% BTTS % 50%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
0.75 Avg xG -
KuPS
D W L D D
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
18 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Crystal Palace
2 2
KuPS
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
11 Dec 2025 - 20:00
KuPS
0 0
Lausanne
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
27 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Jagiellonia
1 0
KuPS
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
6 Nov 2025 - 17:45
KuPS
3 1
Slovan Bratislava
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
23 Oct 2025 - 16:45
Breidablik
0 0
KuPS
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
2 Oct 2025 - 16:45
KuPS
1 1
Drita
Lech Poznan
W L L W W
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
15 Feb 2026 - 16:30
Lech Poznan
3 0
Piast Gliwice
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
7 Feb 2026 - 19:15
Gornik Zabrze
0 1
Lech Poznan
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
3 Feb 2026 - 19:30
Piast Gliwice
1 0
Lech Poznan
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
31 Jan 2026 - 19:15
Lech Poznan
1 3
Lechia Gdansk
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
18 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Sigma Olomouc
1 2
Lech Poznan
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
11 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Lech Poznan
1 1
FSV Mainz 05

KuPS vs Lech Poznan: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for KuPS and away matches for Lech Poznan

Number of goals
KuPS
Under
Over
Lech Poznan
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
KuPS
Lech Poznan
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5
1X2
KuPS
Lech Poznan
1
30% 3
50% 5
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
KuPS
Lech Poznan
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
70% 7
50% 5
Total Goals
KuPS
Lech Poznan
0-1
40% 4
30% 3
2-3
30% 3
40% 4
4+
30% 3
30% 3
Total Corners
KuPS
Under
Over
Lech Poznan
Under
Over
7.5
100% 8
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
100% 8
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
100% 8
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 8
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
KuPS
Lech Poznan
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
KuPS
Lech Poznan
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT X - FT X
30% 3
30% 3
xG(xGa)
KuPS
Lech Poznan
xG
0.75
1.88
xGa
1.31
1.13
Number of goals
KuPS
Under
Over
Lech Poznan
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
KuPS
Lech Poznan
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2
KuPS
Lech Poznan
1
10% 1
40% 4
X
70% 7
60% 6
2
20% 2
0% 0
Double Chance
KuPS
Lech Poznan
12
30% 3
40% 4
1X
80% 8
100% 10
X2
90% 9
60% 6
Total Goals
KuPS
Lech Poznan
0-1
70% 7
50% 5
2-3
30% 3
50% 5
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
KuPS
Lech Poznan
Yes
70% 7
70% 7
No
30% 3
30% 3
Number of goals
KuPS
Under
Over
Lech Poznan
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
KuPS
Lech Poznan
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
KuPS
Lech Poznan
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
40% 4
30% 3
Double Chance
KuPS
Lech Poznan
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
60% 6
70% 7
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
KuPS
Lech Poznan
0-1
50% 5
60% 6
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
KuPS
Lech Poznan
Yes
40% 4
50% 5
No
60% 6
50% 5
1.97 xG 1.48
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots Off Goal 9
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found