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Süper Lig 2025-2026 | Matchweek 15
7 Dec 2025-14:00
Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor
8th place
- : -
7 Dec 2025 8:00
Kasimpasa
Kasimpasa
14th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Kocaelispor vs Kasimpasa: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 7 December, 2025 8:00

1×2 Prediction
Kocaelispor
52%30%18%
KocaelisporDrawKasimpasa
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
70%30%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
No
66%34%
NoYes
Team Total - Kocaelispor
Under 1.5
63%37%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Kasimpasa
Under 1.5
86%14%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Kocaelispor/Draw
83%17%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Kasimpasa +1
61%39%
Away +1NOT Away +1
Best Tip Value
Goals Over/Under -2.5
Odds: 1.79
69.5%
EV: +24.4%
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ACCA Safe Tip High Safety
Total - Away Kasimpasa Under 1.5 Goals
Odds: 1.26
86.3%
EV: +8.7%
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Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.20 vs 0.52
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
18.16%
0:1
9.19%
0:2
2.32%
0:3
0.39%
0:4
0.05%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
21.58%
🔥
1:1
11.16%
1:2
2.88%
1:3
0.5%
1:4
0.06%
1:5
0.01%
2
2:0
12.82%
2:1
6.78%
2:2
1.79%
2:3
0.31%
2:4
0.04%
2:5
0%
3
3:0
5.08%
3:1
2.74%
3:2
0.74%
3:3
0.13%
3:4
0.02%
3:5
0%
4
4:0
1.51%
4:1
0.83%
4:2
0.23%
4:3
0.04%
4:4
0.01%
4:5
0%
5
5:0
0.36%
5:1
0.2%
5:2
0.06%
5:3
0.01%
5:4
0%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 1:0 (21.6%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

18.2%
0
30.8%
1
26.3%
2
15.1%
3
6.6%
4
2.3%
5
0.6%
6
0.1%
7
0.0%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Kocaelispor
vs
Kasimpasa
Dec 7, 14:00
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Süper Lig 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
7
14
6
4
4
21
22
-1
22
8
Kocaelispor
w l w d w
>
14
5
3
6
12
15
-3
18
9
14
4
4
6
19
16
3
16

13
Antalyaspor
l w l d l
>
14
4
2
8
14
25
-11
14
14
Kasimpasa
d l l w l
>
14
3
4
7
14
21
-7
13
15
Eyüpspor
l l l d w
>
14
3
3
8
9
17
-8
12
Last 6 Matches
Kocaelispor
VS
Kasimpasa
4/6 (67%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 4/6 (67%)
2.17 PPG 0.67
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.00
0.50 Avg Goals Conceded 2.00
17% BTTS % 67%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
0.98 Avg xG 0.71
Kocaelispor
W L W D W
Süper Lig 2025-2026
28 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Kocaelispor
1 0
Genclerbirligi
Süper Lig 2025-2026
23 Nov 2025 - 11:30
Goztepe
0 0
Kocaelispor
Süper Lig 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Kocaelispor
1 0
Galatasaray
Süper Lig 2025-2026
31 Oct 2025 - 17:00
Istanbul Basaksehir
1 0
Kocaelispor
Süper Lig 2025-2026
25 Oct 2025 - 14:00
Kocaelispor
2 0
Alanyaspor
Süper Lig 2025-2026
18 Oct 2025 - 11:30
Konyaspor
2 3
Kocaelispor
Kasimpasa
D L L W L
Süper Lig 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Kasimpasa
1 3
Istanbul Basaksehir
Süper Lig 2025-2026
23 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Alanyaspor
1 2
Kasimpasa
Süper Lig 2025-2026
8 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Kasimpasa
0 2
Goztepe
Süper Lig 2025-2026
2 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Kayserispor
3 2
Kasimpasa
Süper Lig 2025-2026
26 Oct 2025 - 17:00
Kasimpasa
1 1
Besiktas
Süper Lig 2025-2026
20 Oct 2025 - 17:00
Eyüpspor
2 0
Kasimpasa
Missing Players
Kocaelispor
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
Kasimpasa
- Injured - Knee Injury
25
g
- Injured - Suspended
8
m
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
53% Draw 16%
30% Over 2.5 70%
34% Both Teams Score 66%
2.06 xPTS 0.94
1.22 xG [Total: 1.75] 0.53
2 Yellow Cards [Total: 5] 2
5 Corners [Total: 10] 5
3 Offsides [Total: 5] 2
17 Fouls [Total: 32] 16
5 Shots on Goal [Total: 8] 3
In this exciting Süper Lig 2025-2026 matchup, Kocaelispor will take on Kasimpasa as part of the 2025-2026 season in Süper Lig. This match is part of Matchweek 15 and will take place on 2025-12-07 at 2025-12-07 in the famous Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Kocaelispor, and the visiting side, Kasimpasa. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : Kocaelispor or draw and -3.5 goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-07 Time: 14:00 Location: Yıldız Entegre Kocaeli Stadyumu Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Kocaelispor vs Kasimpasa Sunday, Dec 7th, 2025 at 8:00 Football

Value Bets

6 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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High Value
Correct Score 1:0
Odds: 6.65
21.2%
EV: +41.2% Kelly: $3.64
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Best Tip High Value
Goals O/U Under 2.5
Odds: 1.78
69.5%
EV: +23.7% Kelly: $15.21
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Safe Tip Value
Away Total Kasimpasa Under 1.5
Odds: 1.26
86.3%
EV: +8.7% Kelly: $16.71
Bet Now
Value
Double Chance 1X
Odds: 1.23
82.5%
EV: +1.5% Kelly: $3.21
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Value
Asian Handicap Kasimpasa +1.5
Odds: 1.34
75.6%
EV: +1.3% Kelly: $1.94
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 12:39:14
spinner

Trends for Kocaelispor vs Kasimpasa Football 7 Dec, 2025 8:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Kocaelispor have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Kocaelispor rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Kocaelispor vs Kasimpasa

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

⏰ First Half: Kasimpasa is stronger in the first half (9 vs 5).

💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Kocaelispor

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
14
Momentum
0.18
Pressure
0.16

✈️ Kasimpasa

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.14
Pressure
0.07

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Kocaelispor - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.21
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.36
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.71
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5

✈️ Kasimpasa - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Kocaelispor - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
2
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
2

✈️ Kasimpasa - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
0
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • ⏰ Away First Half: Kasimpasa is stronger in the first half (9 vs 5)
  • First Half Result: Consider Kasimpasa to win the first half
  • Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
  • Draw: Consider draw bets
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.046
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.089
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.011 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.084

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Kocaelispor):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Kasimpasa):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Kocaelispor
Kasimpasa

Kocaelispor vs Kasimpasa Head-to-head statistics for Sun 7 Dec, 2025 @ 8:00 Süper Lig

Kocaelispor vs Kasimpasa: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Kocaelispor and away matches for Kasimpasa

Number of goals

Number of goals
Kocaelispor
Under
Over
Kasimpasa
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Kocaelispor
Kasimpasa
Yes
30% 3
70% 7
No
70% 7
30% 3

1X2

1X2
Kocaelispor
Kasimpasa
1
50% 5
20% 2
X
20% 2
40% 4
2
30% 3
40% 4

Double Chance

Double Chance
Kocaelispor
Kasimpasa
12
80% 8
60% 6
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
50% 5
80% 8

Total Goals

Total Goals
Kocaelispor
Kasimpasa
0-1
50% 5
10% 1
2-3
30% 3
70% 7
4+
20% 2
20% 2

Total Corners

Total Corners
Kocaelispor
Under
Over
Kasimpasa
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Kocaelispor
Kasimpasa
Yes
50% 5
10% 1
No
50% 5
90% 9

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Kocaelispor
Kasimpasa
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT X
20% 2
20% 2

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Kocaelispor
Kasimpasa
xG
0.89
0.8
xGa
0.96
1.32

Number of goals

Number of goals
Kocaelispor
Under
Over
Kasimpasa
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Kocaelispor
Kasimpasa
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8

1X2

1X2
Kocaelispor
Kasimpasa
1
30% 3
10% 1
X
60% 6
30% 3
2
10% 1
60% 6

Double Chance

Double Chance
Kocaelispor
Kasimpasa
12
40% 4
70% 7
1X
90% 9
40% 4
X2
70% 7
90% 9

Total Goals

Total Goals
Kocaelispor
Kasimpasa
0-1
80% 8
70% 7
2-3
20% 2
30% 3
4+
0% 0
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Kocaelispor
Kasimpasa
Yes
80% 8
30% 3
No
20% 2
70% 7

Number of goals

Number of goals
Kocaelispor
Under
Over
Kasimpasa
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Kocaelispor
Kasimpasa
Yes
20% 2
30% 3
No
80% 8
70% 7

1X2

1X2
Kocaelispor
Kasimpasa
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
60% 6
50% 5
2
20% 2
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
Kocaelispor
Kasimpasa
12
40% 4
50% 5
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
80% 8
70% 7

Total Goals

Total Goals
Kocaelispor
Kasimpasa
0-1
60% 6
50% 5
2-3
30% 3
50% 5
4+
10% 1
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Kocaelispor
Kasimpasa
Yes
60% 6
50% 5
No
40% 4
50% 5
Team comparison
Prediction
-2.5 goals
Under/Over: -3.5*
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
8.2%
Low
6.75
0.5%
Low
17.00
-2
16.1%
Low
6.40
2.0%
Low
N/A
-1.5
23.9%
Low
3.51
3.4%
Low
9.50
-1
38.5%
Low
2.65
9.6%
Low
8.70
-0.5
53.0%
Medium
1.88
15.8%
Low
4.51
+0.5
84.2%
High
1.22
47.0%
Low
2.03
+1
90.4%
High
1.01
61.5%
Medium
1.52
+1.5
96.6%
High
1.04
76.1%
High
1.34
+2
98.0%
High
N/A
83.9%
High
1.12
+2.5
99.5%
High
1.01
91.8%
High
1.04
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 1,000.00%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.533.79%Low2.10
Under 1.566.21%Medium1.76
AwayOver 1.59.61%Low3.82
Under 1.590.39%High1.26
HomeOver 2.512.09%Low4.50
Under 2.587.91%High1.22
AwayOver 2.51.59%Low13.00
Under 2.598.41%High1.05
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
club logo
Kocaelispor
Kasimpasa
Played: 0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
0
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
Home Away All
Played 7 7 14
Wins 4 1 5
Draws 2 1 3
Losses 1 5 6
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1 7 0.7 5 0.9 12
Goals Conceded 0.4 3 1.7 12 1.1 15
Yellow Cards 2 14 3 21 2.5 35
Red Cards 0.1 1 0.1 1 0.1 2
Clean Sheets 0.6 4 0.1 1 0.4 5
Corners 4.1 29 4.6 32 4.4 61
Fouls 13.6 95 15 105 14.3 200
Offsides 2.6 18 1.4 10 2 28
Shots 11.9 83 8 56 9.9 139
Shots on Goal 4.3 30 2.6 18 3.4 48
Home Away All
Played 7 7 14
Wins 0 3 3
Draws 3 1 4
Losses 4 3 7
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 0.9 6 1.1 8 1 14
Goals Conceded 1.7 12 1.3 9 1.5 21
Yellow Cards 2.3 16 2 14 2.1 30
Red Cards 0.1 1 0.1 1 0.1 2
Clean Sheets 0 0.3 2 0.1 2
Corners 6.3 44 4.4 31 5.4 75
Fouls 13.4 94 15.6 109 14.5 203
Offsides 1.4 10 1.6 11 1.5 21
Shots 13 91 9.4 66 11.2 157
Shots on Goal 3 21 2.7 19 2.9 40
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