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Form
Form
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026 • Matchweek 27
Preview
Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia
3rd place
Form
VS
18:15
4 Apr 2026
Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
1st place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Lech Poznan
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Jagiellonia vs Lech Poznan: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 4 April, 2026 13:15

Winner (1x2)-
Jagiellonia to Win
Probability 40%
Total Goals-
Under 2.5
Probability 58%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 50%
Jagiellonia Total1.96
Home Under 1.5
Probability 64%
Lech Poznan Total1.75
Away Under 1.5
Probability 68%
Double Chance-
Jagiellonia/Draw
Probability 68%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
18:15
Jagiellonia W 40%
:
Lech Poznan W 32%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Jagiellonia
d l l w l
20 Played
11 Wins
3 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (40 total)
xG
0.70 (13.2 total)
Shots per Match
14.2 (284 total)
Shots on Target
4.9 (34% acc)
Corners
4.8 (95 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
0.60 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
11.2 (223 total)
Offsides
1.8 (35 total)
20 Played
7 Wins
10 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (24 total)
xG
0.30 (5.7 total)
Shots per Match
10.4 (208 total)
Shots on Target
3.8 (37% acc)
Corners
4.2 (83 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
0.40 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (30%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
11.2 (223 total)
Offsides
1.8 (36 total)
40 Played
18 Wins
13 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (64 total)
xG
0.50 (18.8 total)
Shots per Match
12.3 (492 total)
Shots on Target
4.3 (35% acc)
Corners
4.5 (178 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
0.50 per match
Clean Sheets
11 (28%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
11.2 (446 total)
Offsides
1.8 (71 total)
Lech Poznan
l l w w w
21 Played
10 Wins
5 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.2 (47 total)
xG
0.90 (19.1 total)
Shots per Match
15.3 (322 total)
Shots on Target
5.6 (37% acc)
Corners
4.7 (99 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
0.50 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.9 (207 total)
Offsides
1 (21 total)
21 Played
11 Wins
5 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (30 total)
xG
0.90 (19.3 total)
Shots per Match
13 (273 total)
Shots on Target
4.5 (35% acc)
Corners
4.8 (101 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
0.40 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
10.1 (213 total)
Offsides
1.1 (23 total)
42 Played
21 Wins
10 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (77 total)
xG
0.90 (38.4 total)
Shots per Match
14.2 (595 total)
Shots on Target
5.1 (36% acc)
Corners
4.8 (200 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
0.50 per match
Clean Sheets
11 (26%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
10 (420 total)
Offsides
1 (44 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.26 vs 1.14
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
10.7%
0:1
10.46%
0:2
5.12%
0:3
1.67%
0:4
0.41%
0:5
0.08%
1
1:0
11.75%
1:1
13.22%
🔥
1:2
7.31%
1:3
2.66%
1:4
0.72%
1:5
0.15%
2
2:0
6.45%
2:1
8.21%
2:2
5.09%
2:3
2.05%
2:4
0.61%
2:5
0.14%
3
3:0
2.36%
3:1
3.35%
3:2
2.3%
3:3
1.03%
3:4
0.33%
3:5
0.09%
4
4:0
0.65%
4:1
1.02%
4:2
0.77%
4:3
0.37%
4:4
0.13%
4:5
0.04%
5
5:0
0.14%
5:1
0.24%
5:2
0.2%
5:3
0.11%
5:4
0.04%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:1 (13.2%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

10.7%
0
22.2%
1
24.8%
2
19.6%
3
12.2%
4
6.3%
5
2.8%
6
1.1%
7
0.3%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

JagielloniaHDPLech Poznan
5.7%
Very Low@ 8.50
-2.5
4.0%
@ 9.00Very Low
11.3%
Very Low@ 7.90
-2
8.6%
@ 8.30Very Low
16.9%
Very Low@ 4.50
-1.5
13.2%
@ 5.10Very Low
27.9%
Low@ 4.01
-1
23.1%
@ 4.18Low
38.9%
Low@ 2.54
-0.5
33.0%
@ 2.75Low
67.0%
High@ 1.50
+0.5
61.1%
@ 1.63High
76.9%
High@ 1.24
+1
72.1%
@ 1.25High
86.8%
Very High@ 1.18
+1.5
83.1%
@ 1.22Very High
91.4%
Very High@ 1.01
+2
88.7%
@ 1.02Very High
96.0%
Very High@ 1.01
+2.5
94.3%
@ 1.06Very High

Team Total Predictions

JagielloniaOutcomeLech Poznan
35.9%
Low@ 2.01
Over 1.5
31.6%
@ 2.10Low
64.1%
High@ 1.96
Under 1.5
68.4%
@ 1.75High
13.4%
Very Low@ 4.13
Over 2.5
10.8%
@ 4.50Very Low
86.6%
Very High@ 1.27
Under 2.5
89.2%
@ 1.22Very High
In this exciting Ekstraklasa 2025-2026 matchup, Jagiellonia will take on Lech Poznan as part of the 2025-2026 season in Ekstraklasa. This match is part of Matchweek 27 and will take place on 2026-04-04 at 2026-04-04 in the famous . The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Jagiellonia, and the visiting side, Lech Poznan. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Lech Poznan. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-04-04 Time: 18:15 Location: Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Jagiellonia vs Lech Poznan Saturday, Apr 4th, 2026 at 13:15 Football

AI Value Bets
4 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.

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Goals O/U Under 2.5
High Value
Prob: 57.5%
EV: +42.7%
Stake: $1.69
2.48
Asian Handicap Jagiellonia +1.5
Value
Prob: 86.8%
EV: +2.5%
Stake: $10.00
1.18
Double Chance 1X
Value
Prob: 67.9%
EV: +1.9%
Stake: $5.00
1.50
Asian Handicap Lech Poznan +1.5
Value
Prob: 83.1%
EV: +1.4%
Stake: $10.00
1.22
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-03-30 02:46:17
spinner

Trends for Jagiellonia vs Lech Poznan Football 4 Apr, 2026 13:15

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

  • 🚩
    Corner Fest

    High corner count in recent matches — expect 10+ corners with attacking pressure

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Jagiellonia vs Lech Poznan

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Jagiellonia

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.21
Pressure
0.12

✈️ Lech Poznan

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.12

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Jagiellonia - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ Lech Poznan - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Jagiellonia - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
5

✈️ Lech Poznan - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
7
Late Conceded
2

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Lech Poznan has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Lech Poznan handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.19
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.003
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.053

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Jagiellonia):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Lech Poznan):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan

Jagiellonia vs Lech Poznan Head-to-head statistics for Sat 4 Apr, 2026 @ 13:15 Ekstraklasa

Ekstraklasa 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
Lech Poznan
w w l w w
>
26
12
8
6
46
37
9
44
2
Zaglebie Lubin
w w w l l
>
26
11
8
7
40
30
10
41
3
Jagiellonia
d l l w l
>
26
11
8
7
43
34
9
41
4
Gornik Zabrze
l l d w d
>
26
11
6
9
36
32
4
39
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Lech Poznan
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Jagiellonia
VS
Lech Poznan
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (4)
2.7 (8)
xG
0.90
2.30
Shots
9.3 (28)
14.7 (44)
Shots on Target
1.3 (4)
4.3 (13)
Corners
3.7 (11)
5 (15)
Defense
Conceded
2.7 (8)
1.3 (4)
xGa
2.30
0.90
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3 (9)
1.7 (5)
Red Cards
0.3 (1)
0 (0)
Fouls
15 (45)
13.3 (40)
Offsides
1.3 (4)
1.7 (5)
28 Sep
- 12:45
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
2
2
16 Mar
- 19:15
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
1.54
xG
1.61
2
1
14 Sep
- 18:15
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia
3.03
xG
0.16
5
0
Last 6 Matches
Jagiellonia
VS
Lech Poznan
2/6 (33%) Victories 4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
0.83 PPG 2.50
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 2.17
2.00 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
83% BTTS % 83%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
1.55 Avg xG 1.99
Jagiellonia
D L L W L
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
21 Mar 2026 - 19:15
Jagiellonia
1 2
Wisla Plock
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
17 Mar 2026 - 18:00
Jagiellonia
2 1
GKS Katowice
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
14 Mar 2026 - 13:45
Jagiellonia
1 2
Piast Gliwice
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
6 Mar 2026 - 19:30
Lechia Gdansk
3 0
Jagiellonia
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
1 Mar 2026 - 13:45
Jagiellonia
2 2
Legia Warszawa
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - Knockout play-offs
26 Feb 2026 - 17:45
Fiorentina
2 4
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
L L W W W
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
22 Mar 2026 - 13:45
Lech Poznan
4 1
Nieciecza
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
19 Mar 2026 - 20:00
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 2
Lech Poznan
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
15 Mar 2026 - 13:45
Zaglebie Lubin
0 1
Lech Poznan
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
12 Mar 2026 - 17:45
Lech Poznan
1 3
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
7 Mar 2026 - 19:15
Widzew Łódź
2 1
Lech Poznan
Ekstraklasa 2025-2026
1 Mar 2026 - 16:30
Lech Poznan
4 3
Raków Częstochowa

Jagiellonia vs Lech Poznan: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Jagiellonia and away matches for Lech Poznan

Number of goals
Jagiellonia
Under
Over
Lech Poznan
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
0% 0
100% 10
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
Yes
70% 7
60% 6
No
30% 3
40% 4
1X2
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
1
30% 3
80% 8
X
30% 3
0% 0
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
12
70% 7
100% 10
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
70% 7
20% 2
Total Goals
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
0-1
10% 1
20% 2
2-3
60% 6
50% 5
4+
30% 3
30% 3
Total Corners
Jagiellonia
Under
Over
Lech Poznan
Under
Over
7.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
Yes
10% 1
40% 4
No
90% 9
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
60% 6
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
xG
1.43
2.03
xGa
1.2
0.83
Number of goals
Jagiellonia
Under
Over
Lech Poznan
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
1
30% 3
60% 6
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
30% 3
10% 1
Double Chance
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
70% 7
90% 9
X2
70% 7
40% 4
Total Goals
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
0-1
50% 5
30% 3
2-3
50% 5
60% 6
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
Yes
50% 5
70% 7
No
50% 5
30% 3
Number of goals
Jagiellonia
Under
Over
Lech Poznan
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
1
10% 1
30% 3
X
50% 5
30% 3
2
40% 4
40% 4
Double Chance
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
12
50% 5
70% 7
1X
60% 6
60% 6
X2
90% 9
70% 7
Total Goals
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
0-1
40% 4
70% 7
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
0.94 xG 1.09
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Goal 4
10 Shots Off Goal 9
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found