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Jagiellonia
Jagiellonia vs Fiorentina: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 19 February, 2026 14:00
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14
Played
10
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.4
(33 total)
xG
0.30
(4.6 total)
Shots per Match
13.6
(191 total)
Shots on Target
5.1
(38% acc)
Corners
4.4
(62 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
0.40
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.6
(148 total)
Offsides
1.4
(20 total)
18
Played
6
Wins
10
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(20 total)
xG
0.10
(2.3 total)
Shots per Match
10.1
(181 total)
Shots on Target
3.6
(36% acc)
Corners
3.9
(71 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
0.30
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
10.7
(193 total)
Offsides
1.8
(33 total)
32
Played
16
Wins
11
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(53 total)
xG
0.20
(6.8 total)
Shots per Match
11.6
(372 total)
Shots on Target
4.3
(37% acc)
Corners
4.2
(133 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
0.30
per match
Clean Sheets
11
(34%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
10.7
(341 total)
Offsides
1.7
(53 total)
16
Played
5
Wins
4
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(24 total)
xG
1.60
(24.9 total)
Shots per Match
15.9
(255 total)
Shots on Target
4.6
(29% acc)
Corners
6
(96 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
11.4
(183 total)
Offsides
2.1
(33 total)
17
Played
4
Wins
5
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(19 total)
xG
1.20
(20.7 total)
Shots per Match
11.4
(193 total)
Shots on Target
3.2
(28% acc)
Corners
3.7
(63 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
12.3
(209 total)
Offsides
2
(34 total)
33
Played
9
Wins
9
Draws
15
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(43 total)
xG
1.40
(45.6 total)
Shots per Match
13.6
(448 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(28% acc)
Corners
4.8
(159 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(4 total)
Fouls
11.9
(392 total)
Offsides
2
(67 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 3.33 vs 0.81
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.13%
0:1
1.38%
0:2
0.45%
0:3
0.1%
0:4
0.02%
0:5
0%
1
1:0
6.76%
1:1
4.71%
1:2
1.64%
1:3
0.38%
1:4
0.06%
1:5
0.01%
2
2:0
10.7%
⭐
2:1
8.02%
2:2
2.98%
2:3
0.73%
2:4
0.13%
2:5
0.02%
3
3:0
11.29%
🔥
⭐
3:1
9.05%
⭐
3:2
3.58%
⭐
3:3
0.93%
3:4
0.18%
3:5
0.03%
4
4:0
8.93%
⭐
4:1
7.62%
⭐
4:2
3.2%
⭐
4:3
0.89%
⭐
4:4
0.18%
4:5
0.03%
5
5:0
5.66%
⭐
5:1
5.12%
⭐
5:2
2.28%
⭐
5:3
0.67%
⭐
5:4
0.14%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot:
3:0 (11.3%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - Knockout play-offs matchup, Jagiellonia will take on Fiorentina as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Conference League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-19 at 2026-02-19 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Jagiellonia, and the visiting side, Fiorentina. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : draw or Fiorentina and -3.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-19
Time: 20:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Jagiellonia vs Fiorentina Thursday, Feb 19th, 2026 at 14:00 Football
AI Value Bets
10 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Jagiellonia vs Fiorentina Football 19 Feb, 2026 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Stalemate
Both teams boast solid defenses — low-scoring tactical battle expected with few goals
-
Clean Match Expected
Both teams disciplined in recent matches — expect technical, fair-play football
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Jagiellonia vs Fiorentina.
🏆 Match Winner — Jagiellonia @ 3.75 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsJagiellonia
Above League AverageLeague
Jagiellonia score 1.83 goals/match at home (+34% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 675%
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Unlock Streak TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
Jagiellonia concede only 0.83 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak TrendsUnbeatenRecent
Jagiellonia are unbeaten in 11 of their last 12 UEFA Conference League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsEfficient ScoringRecent
Jagiellonia efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 11 of their last 12 UEFA Conference League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Strong alignment between defensive solidity and scoring consistency — Jagiellonia to win looks justified.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 2.10 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsFiorentina1 TrendsStrong DefenseLeague
Fiorentina score well (1.75/match) but have strong defense in away matches (0.75 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 75% of matches
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.94 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsJagiellonia1 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Jagiellonia score 1.83 goals/match at home (+34% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsFiorentina1 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Fiorentina score 1.75 goals/match in away matches (+28% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams average 3.6 combined goals per match • Offensive trends outweigh defensive stats
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Jagiellonia Win or Draw @ 1.74 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsJagiellonia
League Best DefenseLeague
Jagiellonia concede only 0.83 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 670%
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Unlock Streak TrendsUndefeated at HTRecent
Jagiellonia are undefeated at half time in their last 12 12 matches
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Unlock Streak Trends12 / 12100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsUnbeatenRecent
Jagiellonia are unbeaten in 11 of their last 12 UEFA Conference League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Jagiellonia demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — Jagiellonia Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.05 ✅
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Unlock Streak TrendsJagiellonia
Above League AverageLeague
Jagiellonia score 1.83 goals/match at home (+34% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 1+Recent
Jagiellonia scored 1+ goals in 11 of their last 12 UEFA Conference League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Jagiellonia's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsJagiellonia1 Trends — avg 2.3 (-4% below league)Many CardsRecent
Jagiellonia receive 2+ cards in 10 of their last 12 UEFA Conference League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsFiorentina2 Trends — avg 2.6 (+9% above league)Low Card MatchesLeague
Fiorentina average 2.0 cards/match in all matches (-13% below league avg 2.3)
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Fiorentina receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Conference League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Fiorentina disciplined play balances Jagiellonia aggression —
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.75 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsJagiellonia1 Trends — avg 5.5 (+22% above league)Many CornersLeague
Jagiellonia average 5.5 corners/match at home (+22% above league avg 4.5)
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Unlock Streak TrendsFiorentina1 Trends — avg 4.0 (-11% below league)Few CornersLeague
Fiorentina average 4.0 corners/match in away matches (-11% below league avg 4.5)
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Unlock Streak Trends4 / 476%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined average: 9.5 corners/match (Jagiellonia 5.5 + Fiorentina 4.0)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Jagiellonia vs Fiorentina
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⚡ Final Stage: Jagiellonia is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Jagiellonia
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.3
Pressure
0.11
✈️ Fiorentina
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.35
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Jagiellonia - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
✈️ Fiorentina - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Jagiellonia - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5
✈️ Fiorentina - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
10
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Jagiellonia excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 5 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Jagiellonia scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Jagiellonia has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Jagiellonia handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.048
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.039
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.038 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Jagiellonia):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Fiorentina):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Jagiellonia vs Fiorentina Head-to-head statistics for Thu 19 Feb, 2026 @ 14:00 UEFA Conference League
Team comparison
Prediction
Jagiellonia AH+1
Under/Over:
-3.5*
Goals Home:
-1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Jagiellonia
VS
Fiorentina
2/6 (33%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
0.00
PPG
0.00
1.50
Avg Goals Scored
1.50
0.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.50
67%
BTTS %
100%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
-
Avg xG
1.64
Jagiellonia vs Fiorentina: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Jagiellonia and away matches for Fiorentina
Number of goals
Jagiellonia
Under
Over
Fiorentina
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
Yes
60%
6
80%
8
No
40%
4
20%
2
1X2
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
20%
2
30%
3
Double Chance
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
80%
8
70%
7
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
0-1
40%
4
20%
2
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
20%
2
30%
3
Total Corners
Jagiellonia
Under
Over
Fiorentina
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
Yes
40%
4
10%
1
No
60%
6
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
0%
0
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
30%
3
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT X
40%
4
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
xG
0.86
1.78
xGa
1.07
1.26
Number of goals
Jagiellonia
Under
Over
Fiorentina
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
Yes
50%
5
0%
0
No
50%
5
100%
10
1X2
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
1
10%
1
30%
3
X
90%
9
40%
4
2
0%
0
30%
3
Double Chance
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
12
10%
1
60%
6
1X
100%
10
70%
7
X2
90%
9
70%
7
Total Goals
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
0-1
50%
5
80%
8
2-3
50%
5
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
Yes
50%
5
70%
7
No
50%
5
30%
3
Number of goals
Jagiellonia
Under
Over
Fiorentina
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
Yes
10%
1
70%
7
No
90%
9
30%
3
1X2
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
40%
4
50%
5
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
12
60%
6
50%
5
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
0-1
80%
8
30%
3
2-3
20%
2
60%
6
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Jagiellonia
Fiorentina
Yes
70%
7
10%
1
No
30%
3
90%
9
2.58
xG
1.44
51%
Ball Possession
49%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
7
4
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
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