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Süper Lig 2025-2026 | Matchweek 15
6 Dec 2025-17:00
Istanbul Basaksehir
Istanbul Basaksehir
9th place
- : -
6 Dec 2025 12:00
Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce
2nd place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Fenerbahce: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 6 December, 2025 12:00

1×2 Prediction
Fenerbahce
19%20%61%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawFenerbahce
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5
64%36%
Over 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
61%39%
YesNo
Team Total - Istanbul Basaksehir
Under 1.5
68%32%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Fenerbahce
Over 1.5
64%36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
Double Chance
Draw/Fenerbahce
81%19%
X2NOT X2
Asian Handicap
Istanbul Basaksehir +1.5
61%39%
Home +1.5NOT Home +1.5
Best Tip Value
Goals Over/Under +2.5
Odds: 1.75
64.4%
EV: +12.6%
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Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.20 vs 2.27
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.28%
0:1
7.38%
0:2
8.31%
0:3
6.24%
0:4
3.51%
0:5
1.58%
1
1:0
3.87%
1:1
8.77%
1:2
9.93%
🔥
1:3
7.49%
1:4
4.24%
1:5
1.92%
2
2:0
2.28%
2:1
5.2%
2:2
5.93%
2:3
4.5%
2:4
2.56%
2:5
1.17%
3
3:0
0.9%
3:1
2.06%
3:2
2.36%
3:3
1.8%
3:4
1.03%
3:5
0.47%
4
4:0
0.27%
4:1
0.61%
4:2
0.7%
4:3
0.54%
4:4
0.31%
4:5
0.14%
5
5:0
0.06%
5:1
0.15%
5:2
0.17%
5:3
0.13%
5:4
0.08%
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot: 1:2 (9.9%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

3.3%
0
11.3%
1
19.4%
2
22.3%
3
19.3%
4
13.4%
5
7.1%
6
2.9%
7
0.9%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

Istanbul Basaksehir
vs
Fenerbahce
Dec 6, 17:00
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Süper Lig 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
Galatasaray
w d l w d
>
14
10
3
1
29
9
20
33
2
Fenerbahce
w w w w d
>
14
9
5
0
31
13
18
32
3
Trabzonspor
w d d w w
>
14
9
4
1
25
12
13
31

8
Kocaelispor
w l w d w
>
14
5
3
6
12
15
-3
18
9
14
4
4
6
19
16
3
16
10
Alanyaspor
l d d l d
>
14
3
7
4
14
15
-1
16
Last 6 Matches
Istanbul Basaksehir
VS
Fenerbahce
3/6 (50%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 0/6 (0%)
1.67 PPG 2.67
2.00 Avg Goals Scored 2.33
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
50% BTTS % 83%
50% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 50%
1.48 Avg xG 1.73
Istanbul Basaksehir
W W L L W
Süper Lig 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Kasimpasa
1 3
Istanbul Basaksehir
Süper Lig 2025-2026
24 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Istanbul Basaksehir
3 4
Trabzonspor
Süper Lig 2025-2026
7 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Genclerbirligi
2 1
Istanbul Basaksehir
Süper Lig 2025-2026
31 Oct 2025 - 17:00
Istanbul Basaksehir
1 0
Kocaelispor
Süper Lig 2025-2026
26 Oct 2025 - 11:30
Antalyaspor
0 4
Istanbul Basaksehir
Süper Lig 2025-2026
22 Oct 2025 - 17:00
Rizespor
0 0
Istanbul Basaksehir
Fenerbahce
D W W D D
Süper Lig 2025-2026
1 Dec 2025 - 17:00
Fenerbahce
1 1
Galatasaray
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
27 Nov 2025 - 17:45
Fenerbahce
1 1
Ferencvarosi TC
Süper Lig 2025-2026
23 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Rizespor
2 5
Fenerbahce
Süper Lig 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Fenerbahce
4 2
Kayserispor
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
6 Nov 2025 - 20:00
Plzen
0 0
Fenerbahce
Süper Lig 2025-2026
2 Nov 2025 - 17:00
Besiktas
2 3
Fenerbahce
Missing Players
Istanbul Basaksehir
3
d
- Suspended - Yellow Cards
7
m
- Injured - Injury
9
f
- Suspended - Red Card
Fenerbahce
- Injured - Ankle injury
- Suspended - Yellow Cards
- Injured - (questionable) Knee Injury
- Injured - (questionable) Muscle Injury
19% Draw 61%
64% Over 2.5 36%
61% Both Teams Score 39%
0.86 xPTS 2.14
1.18 xG [Total: 3.38] 2.20
2 Yellow Cards [Total: 5] 3
5 Corners [Total: 10] 5
1 Offsides [Total: 3] 2
13 Fouls [Total: 26] 13
4 Shots on Goal [Total: 9] 5
In this exciting Süper Lig 2025-2026 matchup, Istanbul Basaksehir will take on Fenerbahce as part of the 2025-2026 season in Süper Lig. This match is part of Matchweek 15 and will take place on 2025-12-06 at 2025-12-06 in the famous Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Istanbul Basaksehir, and the visiting side, Fenerbahce. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : draw or Fenerbahçe and +1.5 goals. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-06 Time: 17:00 Location: Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Istanbul Basaksehir vs Fenerbahce Saturday, Dec 6th, 2025 at 12:00 Football

Value Bets

4 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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Best Tip Value
Goals O/U Over 2.5
Odds: 1.72
64.4%
EV: +10.7% Kelly: $7.42
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Value
Match Winner Fenerbahce
Odds: 1.67
60.8%
EV: +1.6% Kelly: $1.16
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 09:37:17
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Trends for Istanbul Basaksehir vs Fenerbahce Football 6 Dec, 2025 12:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Fenerbahce have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 📈
    Chance Creation Masterclass

    Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances

+4 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Fenerbahce

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Fenerbahce is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).
⚡ Final Stage: Istanbul Basaksehir is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 4).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Istanbul Basaksehir

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.07

✈️ Fenerbahce

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.02
Pressure
0.11

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Istanbul Basaksehir - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

✈️ Fenerbahce - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Istanbul Basaksehir - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
7

✈️ Fenerbahce - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Fenerbahce often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Fenerbahce scoring first
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Istanbul Basaksehir excels in the closing minutes (7 vs 4 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Istanbul Basaksehir scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Fenerbahce has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Fenerbahce handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.068
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.033
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.023

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Istanbul Basaksehir):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Fenerbahce):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Istanbul Basaksehir
Fenerbahce

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Fenerbahce Head-to-head statistics for Sat 6 Dec, 2025 @ 12:00 Süper Lig

Istanbul Basaksehir vs Fenerbahce: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Istanbul Basaksehir and away matches for Fenerbahce

Number of goals

Number of goals
Istanbul Basaksehir
Under
Over
Fenerbahce
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Istanbul Basaksehir
Fenerbahce
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4

1X2

1X2
Istanbul Basaksehir
Fenerbahce
1
30% 3
60% 6
X
20% 2
40% 4
2
50% 5
0% 0

Double Chance

Double Chance
Istanbul Basaksehir
Fenerbahce
12
80% 8
60% 6
1X
50% 5
100% 10
X2
70% 7
40% 4

Total Goals

Total Goals
Istanbul Basaksehir
Fenerbahce
0-1
30% 3
30% 3
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
30% 3
40% 4

Total Corners

Total Corners
Istanbul Basaksehir
Under
Over
Fenerbahce
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Istanbul Basaksehir
Fenerbahce
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
Istanbul Basaksehir
Fenerbahce
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
40% 4
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
40% 4
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT X
10% 1
30% 3

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
Istanbul Basaksehir
Fenerbahce
xG
1.45
1.73
xGa
1.59
0.86

Number of goals

Number of goals
Istanbul Basaksehir
Under
Over
Fenerbahce
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Istanbul Basaksehir
Fenerbahce
Yes
10% 1
10% 1
No
90% 9
90% 9

1X2

1X2
Istanbul Basaksehir
Fenerbahce
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
20% 2
40% 4
2
40% 4
20% 2

Double Chance

Double Chance
Istanbul Basaksehir
Fenerbahce
12
80% 8
60% 6
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
60% 6
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
Istanbul Basaksehir
Fenerbahce
0-1
60% 6
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
0% 0
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Istanbul Basaksehir
Fenerbahce
Yes
50% 5
70% 7
No
50% 5
30% 3

Number of goals

Number of goals
Istanbul Basaksehir
Under
Over
Fenerbahce
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
Istanbul Basaksehir
Fenerbahce
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8

1X2

1X2
Istanbul Basaksehir
Fenerbahce
1
30% 3
40% 4
X
50% 5
50% 5
2
20% 2
10% 1

Double Chance

Double Chance
Istanbul Basaksehir
Fenerbahce
12
50% 5
50% 5
1X
80% 8
90% 9
X2
70% 7
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
Istanbul Basaksehir
Fenerbahce
0-1
50% 5
60% 6
2-3
40% 4
20% 2
4+
10% 1
20% 2

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
Istanbul Basaksehir
Fenerbahce
Yes
50% 5
70% 7
No
50% 5
30% 3
Team comparison
Prediction
+2.5 goals
Under/Over: +1.5*
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: +1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
2.2%
Low
N/A
20.8%
Low
5.00
-2
4.7%
Low
N/A
30.0%
Low
4.49
-1.5
7.3%
Low
9.40
39.2%
Low
2.77
-1
13.1%
Low
9.00
50.3%
Medium
2.15
-0.5
19.0%
Low
5.25
61.5%
Medium
1.67
+0.5
38.5%
Low
2.47
81.0%
High
1.16
+1
49.6%
Low
1.85
86.9%
High
1.01
+1.5
60.8%
Medium
1.50
92.7%
High
1.03
+2
70.0%
Medium
1.23
95.3%
High
N/A
+2.5
79.1%
High
1.17
97.8%
High
N/A
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.87%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.533.61%Low3.40
Under 1.566.39%Medium1.33
AwayOver 1.566.16%Medium1.66
Under 1.533.84%Low2.43
HomeOver 2.511.98%Low10.00
Under 2.588.02%High1.07
AwayOver 2.539.53%Low3.05
Under 2.560.47%Medium1.40
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
9 May
- 17:00
Istanbul Basaksehir
Fenerbahce
1.46
xG
2.53
1
4
15 Dec
- 16:00
Fenerbahce
Istanbul Basaksehir
1.21
xG
0.64
3
1
24 Jan
- 17:00
Istanbul Basaksehir
Fenerbahce
0
1
28 Sep
- 17:00
Fenerbahce
Istanbul Basaksehir
4
0
club logo
Istanbul Basaksehir
Fenerbahce
Played: 4
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
4
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
2
0.5
Goals
3
12
12
3
Goals Conceded
0.5
2
13
3.3
Yellow Cards
3.3
13
4
1
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0.5
2
8
2
Corners
10
40
43
10.8
Fouls
16.5
66
7
1.8
Offsides
1.8
7
27
6.8
Shots
21
84
8
2
Shots on Goal
7.3
29
Home Away All
Played 6 8 14
Wins 1 3 4
Draws 3 1 4
Losses 2 4 6
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1.2 7 1.5 12 1.4 19
Goals Conceded 1.3 8 1 8 1.1 16
Yellow Cards 2.5 15 2.4 19 2.4 34
Red Cards 0.2 1 0.3 2 0.2 3
Clean Sheets 0.3 2 0.4 3 0.4 5
Corners 4.3 26 5.9 47 5.2 73
Fouls 13.7 82 11.3 90 12.3 172
Offsides 1.2 7 1.8 14 1.5 21
Shots 10.5 63 12.6 101 11.7 164
Shots on Goal 3.5 21 3.8 30 3.6 51
Home Away All
Played 7 7 14
Wins 5 4 9
Draws 2 3 5
Losses 0 0 0
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 2.1 15 2.3 16 2.2 31
Goals Conceded 1 7 0.9 6 0.9 13
Yellow Cards 2.4 17 2.3 16 2.4 33
Red Cards 0 0.1 1 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.3 2 0.4 3 0.4 5
Corners 6.3 44 5.6 39 5.9 83
Fouls 12.3 86 12.9 90 12.6 176
Offsides 2 14 1.3 9 1.6 23
Shots 21.4 150 15.3 107 18.4 257
Shots on Goal 7.4 52 6 42 6.7 94
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