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Form
Form
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 20
Preview
Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
10th place
Form
VS
12:00
31 Jan 2026
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
18th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : Holstein Kiel or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Holstein Kiel vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 31 January, 2026 6:00

Winner (1x2)1.72
Holstein Kiel to Win
Probability 57%
Total Goals1.72
Over 2.5
Probability 71%
Both Teams to Score1.68
Yes
Probability 70%
Holstein Kiel Total1.36
Home Under 2.5
Probability 59%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Total1.35
Away Under 1.5
Probability 57%
Double Chance1.22
Holstein Kiel/Draw
Probability 77%
Asian Handicap1.20
SpVgg Greuther Fürth +2
Probability 73%
Best Tip
Value
Goals Over/Under +2.5
Odds 1.72
Win Prob. 70.7% EV: +21.7%
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Prediction League
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026
12:00
Holstein Kiel W 57%
:
SpVgg Greuther Fürth W 23%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Holstein Kiel
d d w w d
9 Played
4 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (11 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.6 (113 total)
Shots on Target
4.3 (35% acc)
Corners
4.9 (44 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
11.8 (106 total)
Offsides
1.6 (14 total)
10 Played
2 Wins
4 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (13 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
11.2 (112 total)
Shots on Target
3.3 (29% acc)
Corners
3.9 (39 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.3 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (3 total)
Fouls
13.6 (136 total)
Offsides
1.5 (15 total)
19 Played
6 Wins
6 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (24 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
11.8 (225 total)
Shots on Target
3.8 (32% acc)
Corners
4.4 (83 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (26%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
12.7 (242 total)
Offsides
1.5 (29 total)
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
d d l l d
9 Played
2 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (10 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
9.6 (86 total)
Shots on Target
3 (31% acc)
Corners
4.4 (40 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
10 (90 total)
Offsides
1.7 (15 total)
10 Played
2 Wins
1 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (16 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
11.7 (117 total)
Shots on Target
4.7 (40% acc)
Corners
4 (40 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.7 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.8 (128 total)
Offsides
0.6 (6 total)
19 Played
4 Wins
4 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (26 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
10.7 (203 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (36% acc)
Corners
4.2 (80 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.4 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
11.5 (218 total)
Offsides
1.1 (21 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.33 vs 1.46
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.38%
0:1
3.44%
0:2
2.48%
0:3
1.2%
0:4
0.43%
0:5
0.12%
1
1:0
5.51%
1:1
7.99%
1:2
5.8%
1:3
2.8%
1:4
1.02%
1:5
0.3%
2
2:0
6.37%
2:1
9.29%
🔥
2:2
6.77%
2:3
3.29%
2:4
1.2%
2:5
0.35%
3
3:0
4.92%
3:1
7.2%
3:2
5.27%
3:3
2.57%
3:4
0.94%
3:5
0.28%
4
4:0
2.85%
4:1
4.19%
4:2
3.08%
4:3
1.51%
4:4
0.55%
4:5
0.16%
5
5:0
1.32%
5:1
1.95%
5:2
1.44%
5:3
0.71%
5:4
0.26%
5:5
0.08%
Hotspot: 2:1 (9.3%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

2.4%
0
8.9%
1
16.8%
2
21.2%
3
20.1%
4
15.2%
5
9.1%
6
4.2%
7
1.5%
8
0.4%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Holstein KielHDPSpVgg Greuther Fürth
19.1%
Very Low@ 5.50
-2.5
3.6%
Very Low
27.5%
Low@ 4.55
-2
6.9%
Very Low
35.9%
Low@ 2.90
-1.5
10.2%
@ 9.50Very Low
46.5%
Medium@ 2.24
-1
16.8%
@ 9.00Very Low
57.0%
Medium@ 1.72
-0.5
23.3%
@ 4.50Low
76.6%
High@ 1.19
+0.5
43.0%
@ 2.20Medium
83.2%
Very High@ 1.05
+1
53.5%
@ 1.70Medium
89.8%
Very High@ 1.04
+1.5
64.1%
@ 1.45High
93.1%
Very High
+2
72.5%
@ 1.20High
96.4%
Very High
+2.5
80.9%
@ 1.15Very High

Team Total Predictions

Holstein KielOutcomeSpVgg Greuther Fürth
90.3%
Very High@ 1.15
Over 0.5
76.8%
@ 1.46High
9.7%
Very Low@ 6.00
Under 0.5
23.2%
@ 2.75Low
67.6%
High@ 1.68
Over 1.5
42.9%
@ 3.25Medium
32.4%
Low@ 2.20
Under 1.5
57.1%
@ 1.35Medium
41.2%
Medium@ 3.25
Over 2.5
18.1%
@ 10.00Very Low
58.8%
Medium@ 1.36
Under 2.5
81.9%
@ 1.08Very High
20.7%
Low@ 7.00
Over 3.5
6.1%
@ 26.00Very Low
79.3%
High@ 1.12
Under 3.5
93.9%
@ 1.02Very High
In this exciting 2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Holstein Kiel will take on SpVgg Greuther Fürth as part of the 2025-2026 season in 2. Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 20 and will take place on 2026-01-31 at 2026-01-31 in the famous Holstein-Stadion. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Holstein Kiel, and the visiting side, SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Holstein Kiel or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-31 Time: 12:00 Location: Holstein-Stadion Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Holstein Kiel vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Saturday, Jan 31st, 2026 at 6:00 Football

AI Value Bets
5 Found

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Goals O/U Over 2.5
High Value
Prob: 70.7%
EV: +21.7%
Stake: $3.47
1.72
BTTS Yes
High Value
Prob: 70.1%
EV: +17.8%
Stake: $3.68
1.68
Home Total Holstein Kiel Over 1.5
Value
Prob: 67.6%
EV: +13.6%
Stake: $3.68
1.68
Win to Nil Holstein Kiel NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 79.9%
EV: +5.4%
Stake: $7.81
1.32
Double Chance 12
Value
Prob: 80.3%
EV: +2.8%
Stake: $8.93
1.28
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-27 02:30:21
spinner

Trends for Holstein Kiel vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Football 31 Jan, 2026 6:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 1 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

🎯 Betting Analysis

Holstein Kiel vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: SpVgg Greuther Fürth is stronger in the second half (22 vs 10).
⚡ Final Stage: SpVgg Greuther Fürth is stronger in the final minutes (13 vs 6).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Holstein Kiel

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.25
Pressure
0.07

✈️ SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.18

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Holstein Kiel - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

✈️ SpVgg Greuther Fürth - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
22
Avg. Goals per Match
1.1
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Holstein Kiel - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4

✈️ SpVgg Greuther Fürth - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
13
Negative Sequences
9
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
13
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
13
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
10

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: SpVgg Greuther Fürth shows superior performance after the break (22 vs 10 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of SpVgg Greuther Fürth winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: SpVgg Greuther Fürth excels in the closing minutes (13 vs 6 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of SpVgg Greuther Fürth scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Holstein Kiel has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Holstein Kiel handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.054
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.108
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.033 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.105

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Holstein Kiel):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (SpVgg Greuther Fürth):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.

Holstein Kiel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Holstein Kiel vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Head-to-head statistics for Sat 31 Jan, 2026 @ 6:00 2. Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
9
1. FC Nürnberg
d l w w l
>
19
7
4
8
22
27
-5
25
10
Holstein Kiel
d d w w d
>
19
6
6
7
24
24
0
24
11
VfL Bochum
w d d d d
>
19
6
5
8
27
26
1
23

17
Dynamo Dresden
l l l w w
>
19
5
4
10
28
35
-7
19
18
19
4
4
11
26
46
-20
16
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Holstein Kiel or draw
Goals Home: +1.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Holstein Kiel
VS
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (2)
0 (0)
Shots
17 (17)
15 (15)
Shots on Target
4 (4)
2 (2)
Corners
3 (3)
6 (6)
Defense
Conceded
0 (0)
2 (2)
Clean Sheets
1 (100%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
8 (8)
3 (3)
Fouls
18 (18)
13 (13)
Offsides
4 (4)
1 (1)
24 Aug
- 11:30
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Holstein Kiel
0
2
Last 6 Matches
Holstein Kiel
VS
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2/6 (33%) Victories 0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
1.50 PPG 0.50
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.00
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 2.00
67% BTTS % 50%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
Holstein Kiel
D D W W D
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Jan 2026 - 17:30
Arminia Bielefeld
2 2
Holstein Kiel
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
18 Jan 2026 - 12:30
Holstein Kiel
2 0
SC Paderborn 07
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Dec 2025 - 19:30
Holstein Kiel
2 1
Dynamo Dresden
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 12:00
1. FC Magdeburg
3 3
Holstein Kiel
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 12:30
Eintracht Braunschweig
1 1
Holstein Kiel
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 12:00
Holstein Kiel
0 1
Hertha BSC
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
D D L L D
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Jan 2026 - 12:00
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0 0
Eintracht Braunschweig
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
17 Jan 2026 - 12:00
Dynamo Dresden
2 0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Dec 2025 - 12:00
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2 1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
12 Dec 2025 - 17:30
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
3 3
Hertha BSC
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 12:30
1. FC Nürnberg
2 2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 12:00
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0 3
VfL Bochum

Holstein Kiel vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Holstein Kiel and away matches for SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Number of goals
Holstein Kiel
Under
Over
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Holstein Kiel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Yes
70% 7
60% 6
No
30% 3
40% 4
1X2
Holstein Kiel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
30% 3
10% 1
X
40% 4
30% 3
2
30% 3
60% 6
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
12
60% 6
70% 7
1X
70% 7
40% 4
X2
70% 7
90% 9
Total Goals
Holstein Kiel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0-1
20% 2
20% 2
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
30% 3
40% 4
Total Corners
Holstein Kiel
Under
Over
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Holstein Kiel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
50% 5
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
20% 2
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Holstein Kiel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Number of goals
Holstein Kiel
Under
Over
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
80% 8
20% 2
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Holstein Kiel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8
1X2
Holstein Kiel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
30% 3
0% 0
X
50% 5
40% 4
2
20% 2
60% 6
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
12
50% 5
60% 6
1X
80% 8
40% 4
X2
70% 7
100% 10
Total Goals
Holstein Kiel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0-1
50% 5
60% 6
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Yes
60% 6
30% 3
No
40% 4
70% 7
Number of goals
Holstein Kiel
Under
Over
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Holstein Kiel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Yes
20% 2
60% 6
No
80% 8
40% 4
1X2
Holstein Kiel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
40% 4
20% 2
X
30% 3
50% 5
2
30% 3
30% 3
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
12
70% 7
50% 5
1X
70% 7
70% 7
X2
60% 6
80% 8
Total Goals
Holstein Kiel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0-1
60% 6
40% 4
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
0% 0
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Yes
50% 5
30% 3
No
50% 5
70% 7
Missing Players
Holstein Kiel
4
m
- Injured - Concussion
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2.77 xG 1.34
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 8
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
HSV player scores in stoppage time despite not having played a minute in the Bundesliga
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