Login
Show privacy policy

— OR SIGN UP WITH —

Already subscribed? This will create your account and activate Premium!

Form
Form
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 18
Preview
Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
11th place
Form
VS
12:30
18 Jan 2026
SC Paderborn 07
SC Paderborn 07
4th place
Form
AI Prediction Draw or SC Paderborn 07
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Holstein Kiel vs SC Paderborn 07: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 18 January, 2026 6:30

Winner (1x2)2.48
SC Paderborn 07 to Win
Probability 55%
Total Goals1.82
Over 2.5
Probability 51%
Both Teams to Score1.65
Yes
Probability 54%
Holstein Kiel Total1.57
Home Under 1.5
Probability 74%
SC Paderborn 07 Total2.24
Away Over 1.5
Probability 53%
Double Chance1.40
Draw/SC Paderborn 07
Probability 78%
Asian Handicap1.44
SC Paderborn 07 +0.5
Probability 79%
Best Tip
Value
Double Chance Draw or SC Paderborn 07
Odds 1.4
Win Prob. 78.3% EV: +9.6%
Bet Now
Premium Tip 💎 PREMIUM

Premium Tip is available only for Premium subscribers.

Upgrade to Premium
Prediction League
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026
12:30
Holstein Kiel W 22%
:
SC Paderborn 07 W 55%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Holstein Kiel
l l d d w
8 Played
3 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (9 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
13.3 (106 total)
Shots on Target
4.5 (34% acc)
Corners
5.4 (43 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
11.8 (94 total)
Offsides
1.8 (14 total)
9 Played
2 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (11 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
11.6 (104 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (31% acc)
Corners
3.7 (33 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.4 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
13.3 (120 total)
Offsides
1.6 (14 total)
17 Played
5 Wins
5 Draws
7 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (20 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.4 (210 total)
Shots on Target
4 (32% acc)
Corners
4.5 (76 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
12.6 (214 total)
Offsides
1.6 (28 total)
SC Paderborn 07
l l l w d
9 Played
5 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (15 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
16.1 (145 total)
Shots on Target
5.6 (34% acc)
Corners
6.3 (57 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
12.6 (113 total)
Offsides
1.3 (12 total)
8 Played
5 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (13 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
15.1 (121 total)
Shots on Target
5 (33% acc)
Corners
4.6 (37 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.6 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12 (96 total)
Offsides
2.5 (20 total)
17 Played
10 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (28 total)
xG
0.00 (0.0 total)
Shots per Match
15.6 (266 total)
Shots on Target
5.3 (34% acc)
Corners
5.5 (94 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
0.00 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (35%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
12.3 (209 total)
Offsides
1.9 (32 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.99 vs 1.78
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.49%
0:1
11.39%
🔥
0:2
10%
0:3
5.85%
0:4
2.57%
0:5
0.9%
1
1:0
6.27%
1:1
11.16%
1:2
9.93%
1:3
5.89%
1:4
2.62%
1:5
0.93%
2
2:0
3.03%
2:1
5.46%
2:2
4.93%
2:3
2.97%
2:4
1.34%
2:5
0.48%
3
3:0
0.97%
3:1
1.78%
3:2
1.63%
3:3
0.99%
3:4
0.45%
3:5
0.17%
4
4:0
0.24%
4:1
0.44%
4:2
0.4%
4:3
0.25%
4:4
0.12%
4:5
0.04%
5
5:0
0.05%
5:1
0.09%
5:2
0.08%
5:3
0.05%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 0:1 (11.4%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

6.5%
0
17.7%
1
24.2%
2
22.2%
3
15.4%
4
8.6%
5
3.8%
6
1.3%
7
0.3%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Holstein KielHDPSC Paderborn 07
1.9%
Very Low@ 12.00
-2.5
14.2%
@ 10.00Very Low
4.5%
Very Low@ 11.00
-2
22.8%
@ 9.00Low
7.1%
Very Low@ 5.40
-1.5
31.4%
@ 4.70Low
13.8%
Very Low@ 4.82
-1
43.7%
@ 4.02Medium
20.6%
Low@ 2.80
-0.5
55.9%
@ 2.48Medium
44.0%
Medium@ 1.55
+0.5
79.4%
@ 1.44High
56.3%
Medium@ 1.24
+1
86.1%
@ 1.18Very High
68.6%
High@ 1.17
+1.5
92.9%
@ 1.13Very High
77.2%
High@ 1.04
+2
95.5%
@ 1.02Very High
85.8%
Very High@ 1.04
+2.5
98.1%
@ 1.01Very High

Team Total Predictions

Holstein KielOutcomeSC Paderborn 07
62.8%
High@ 1.29
Over 0.5
83.1%
@ 1.24Very High
37.2%
Low@ 3.50
Under 0.5
16.9%
@ 3.80Very Low
26.1%
Low@ 2.50
Over 1.5
53.1%
@ 2.24Medium
73.9%
High@ 1.57
Under 1.5
46.9%
@ 1.66Medium
7.9%
Very Low@ 6.00
Over 2.5
26.4%
@ 5.00Low
92.2%
Very High@ 1.12
Under 2.5
73.6%
@ 1.15High
1.8%
Very Low
Over 3.5
10.6%
@ 12.50Very Low
98.2%
Very High
Under 3.5
89.5%
@ 1.01Very High
In this exciting 2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Holstein Kiel will take on SC Paderborn 07 as part of the 2025-2026 season in 2. Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2026-01-18 at 2026-01-18 in the famous Holstein-Stadion. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Holstein Kiel, and the visiting side, SC Paderborn 07. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or SC Paderborn 07. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-18 Time: 12:30 Location: Holstein-Stadion Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Holstein Kiel vs SC Paderborn 07 Sunday, Jan 18th, 2026 at 6:30 Football

AI Value Bets
7 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.

Upgrade to Premium
Match Winner SC Paderborn 07
High Value
Prob: 54.6%
EV: +35.4%
Stake: $1.69
2.48
Premium Tip Holstein Kiel Under 1.5
💎 Locked
Available for Premium users
Total Home Under 1.5
High Value
Prob: 73.9%
EV: +16.1%
Stake: $4.39
1.57
Double Chance X2
Value
Prob: 78.3%
EV: +9.5%
Stake: $6.25
1.40
Double Chance X2
Value
Prob: 78.3%
EV: +9.5%
Stake: $6.25
1.40
Asian Handicap SC Paderborn 07 +1
Value
Prob: 86.1%
EV: +1.6%
Stake: $10.00
1.18
Correct Score 0:1
Value
Prob: 11.3%
EV: +1.4%
Stake: $0.31
9.00
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-21 12:20:17
spinner

Trends for Holstein Kiel vs SC Paderborn 07 Football 18 Jan, 2026 6:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    SC Paderborn 07 have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 🟩
    Clean Match Expected

    Both teams disciplined in recent matches — expect technical, fair-play football

🎯 Betting Analysis

Holstein Kiel vs SC Paderborn 07

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Holstein Kiel is stronger in the first 15 minutes (3 vs 0).
⏰ First Half: Holstein Kiel is stronger in the first half (8 vs 2).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Holstein Kiel

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.21
Pressure
0.07

✈️ SC Paderborn 07

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
17
Momentum
0.19
Pressure
0.05

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Holstein Kiel - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

✈️ SC Paderborn 07 - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
0
Avg. Goals per Match
0
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.12
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.71
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Holstein Kiel - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4

✈️ SC Paderborn 07 - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
0
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
0
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
6

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: Holstein Kiel often scores in the first 15 minutes (3 vs 0)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of Holstein Kiel scoring first
  • ⏰ Home First Half: Holstein Kiel is stronger in the first half (8 vs 2)
  • First Half Result: Consider Holstein Kiel to win the first half
  • Overall Result: SC Paderborn 07 has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider SC Paderborn 07 handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.016
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.021
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.004 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.046

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Holstein Kiel):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (SC Paderborn 07):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Holstein Kiel
SC Paderborn 07

Holstein Kiel vs SC Paderborn 07 Head-to-head statistics for Sun 18 Jan, 2026 @ 6:30 2. Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
3
SV Darmstadt 98
w d w w d
>
17
9
6
2
29
17
12
33
4
SC Paderborn 07
l l l w d
>
17
10
3
4
28
18
10
33
5
Hannover 96
w w d d l
>
17
8
5
4
30
22
8
29

10
VfL Bochum
l w w d d
>
17
6
3
8
23
22
1
21
11
Holstein Kiel
l l d d w
>
17
5
5
7
20
22
-2
20
12
17
5
5
7
22
26
-4
20
Team comparison
Prediction
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Holstein Kiel
VS
SC Paderborn 07
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (1)
2 (2)
Shots
7 (7)
9 (9)
Shots on Target
2 (2)
3 (3)
Corners
0 (0)
3 (3)
Defense
Conceded
2 (2)
1 (1)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3 (3)
1 (1)
Fouls
12 (12)
13 (13)
Offsides
1 (1)
3 (3)
2 Aug
- 11:00
SC Paderborn 07
Holstein Kiel
2
1
Last 6 Matches
Holstein Kiel
VS
SC Paderborn 07
2/6 (33%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
1.33 PPG 1.17
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.50
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
67% BTTS % 50%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
Holstein Kiel
L L D D W
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Dec 2025 - 19:30
Holstein Kiel
2 1
Dynamo Dresden
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 12:00
1. FC Magdeburg
3 3
Holstein Kiel
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 12:30
Eintracht Braunschweig
1 1
Holstein Kiel
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 12:00
Holstein Kiel
0 1
Hertha BSC
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Nov 2025 - 12:30
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4 1
Holstein Kiel
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 Nov 2025 - 12:30
Holstein Kiel
1 0
Fortuna Düsseldorf
SC Paderborn 07
L L L W D
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
19 Dec 2025 - 17:30
SC Paderborn 07
2 2
SV Darmstadt 98
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 12:00
Karlsruher SC
0 4
SC Paderborn 07
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 12:00
SC Paderborn 07
1 2
SV Elversberg
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Nov 2025 - 17:30
FC Schalke 04
2 1
SC Paderborn 07
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Nov 2025 - 12:00
SC Paderborn 07
0 2
Hannover 96
2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 Nov 2025 - 12:30
1. FC Magdeburg
0 1
SC Paderborn 07

Holstein Kiel vs SC Paderborn 07: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Holstein Kiel and away matches for SC Paderborn 07

Number of goals
Holstein Kiel
Under
Over
SC Paderborn 07
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Holstein Kiel
SC Paderborn 07
Yes
80% 8
70% 7
No
20% 2
30% 3
1X2
Holstein Kiel
SC Paderborn 07
1
20% 2
60% 6
X
50% 5
10% 1
2
30% 3
30% 3
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel
SC Paderborn 07
12
50% 5
90% 9
1X
70% 7
70% 7
X2
80% 8
40% 4
Total Goals
Holstein Kiel
SC Paderborn 07
0-1
20% 2
10% 1
2-3
60% 6
60% 6
4+
20% 2
30% 3
Total Corners
Holstein Kiel
Under
Over
SC Paderborn 07
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel
SC Paderborn 07
Yes
10% 1
20% 2
No
90% 9
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Holstein Kiel
SC Paderborn 07
HT 1 - FT 1
0% 0
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT X
30% 3
0% 0
xG(xGa)
Holstein Kiel
SC Paderborn 07
Number of goals
Holstein Kiel
Under
Over
SC Paderborn 07
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Holstein Kiel
SC Paderborn 07
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2
Holstein Kiel
SC Paderborn 07
1
10% 1
30% 3
X
60% 6
30% 3
2
30% 3
40% 4
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel
SC Paderborn 07
12
40% 4
70% 7
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
90% 9
70% 7
Total Goals
Holstein Kiel
SC Paderborn 07
0-1
60% 6
50% 5
2-3
30% 3
50% 5
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel
SC Paderborn 07
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6
Number of goals
Holstein Kiel
Under
Over
SC Paderborn 07
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Holstein Kiel
SC Paderborn 07
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1X2
Holstein Kiel
SC Paderborn 07
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
40% 4
50% 5
2
20% 2
10% 1
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel
SC Paderborn 07
12
60% 6
50% 5
1X
80% 8
90% 9
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
Holstein Kiel
SC Paderborn 07
0-1
60% 6
40% 4
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
0% 0
20% 2
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel
SC Paderborn 07
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
Missing Players
Holstein Kiel
4
m
- Injured - Concussion
SC Paderborn 07
1.14 xG 2.01
46% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Goal 5
8 Shots Off Goal 10
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
HSV player scores in stoppage time despite not having played a minute in the Bundesliga
Posted on