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AEK Larnaca
HNK Rijeka vs Celje: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 11 December, 2025 14:00
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Upgrade to PremiumProbable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.32 vs 1.47
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.05%
0:1
9.71%
0:2
5.85%
⭐
0:3
2.35%
⭐
0:4
0.71%
⭐
0:5
0.17%
⭐
1
1:0
8.5%
1:1
12.38%
🔥
1:2
8.74%
⭐
1:3
4.03%
⭐
1:4
1.37%
⭐
1:5
0.37%
⭐
2
2:0
4.49%
2:1
7.66%
2:2
6.25%
2:3
3.28%
⭐
2:4
1.26%
⭐
2:5
0.38%
⭐
3
3:0
1.58%
3:1
3.09%
3:2
2.87%
3:3
1.71%
⭐
3:4
0.73%
⭐
3:5
0.24%
⭐
4
4:0
0.42%
4:1
0.92%
4:2
0.96%
4:3
0.64%
⭐
4:4
0.31%
⭐
4:5
0.11%
5
5:0
0.09%
5:1
0.22%
5:2
0.25%
5:3
0.19%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.04%
Hotspot:
1:1 (12.4%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Last 6 Matches
HNK Rijeka
VS
Celje
2/6 (33%)
Victories
5/6 (83%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
1.25
PPG
2.25
0.50
Avg Goals Scored
1.83
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
0.67
17%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
-
Avg xG
-
1.32
xG [Total: 2.79]
1.47
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 5]
2
5
Corners [Total: 7]
3
1
Offsides [Total: 3]
2
11
Fouls [Total: 20]
10
5
Shots on Goal [Total: 9]
4
In this exciting UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase matchup, HNK Rijeka will take on Celje as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Conference League. This match is part of Matchweek 5 and will take place on 2025-12-11 at 2025-12-11 in the famous Stadion HNK Rijeka.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, HNK Rijeka, and the visiting side, Celje. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : HNK Rijeka or draw and -3.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-11
Time: 20:00
Location: Stadion HNK Rijeka
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for HNK Rijeka vs Celje Thursday, Dec 11th, 2025 at 14:00 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for HNK Rijeka vs Celje Football 11 Dec, 2025 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Stalemate
Both teams boast solid defenses — low-scoring tactical battle expected with few goals
-
Dominant Chance Creation
Celje create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+4 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for HNK Rijeka vs Celje, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Celje @ 3.45 ✅ 
Celje
- Above League AverageLeague4/475%Celje score 2.50 goals/match in away matches (+79% above league average)
- League Best DefenseLeague4/470%Celje concede only 0.50 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- High xG PerformanceRecent14/14100%Celje create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 14 of their last 14 UEFA Conference League (Away) matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent21/2875%Celje efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 21 of their last 28 UEFA Conference League matches
Strong alignment between defensive solidity and scoring consistency — Celje to win looks justified.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 2.07 ⚠️
Celje(1 trends)
- Strong DefenseLeague3/475%Celje score well (2.50/match) but have strong defense in away matches (0.50 conceded) - opponents fail to score in 75% of matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.90 ✅
HNK Rijeka(2 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsRecent5/683%Under 2.5 goals in their last 5 UEFA Conference League (Home) matches
- Few GoalsRecent9/1275%HNK Rijeka scored 0-1 goals in 9 of their last 12 UEFA Conference League matches
Celje(1 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague4/475%Celje score 2.50 goals/match in away matches (+79% above league average)
Teams average combined 2.5 goals per match • Defensive consistency suggests Under 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — HNK Rijeka Win or Draw @ 1.34 ✅ 
HNK Rijeka
- UnbeatenRecent6/6100%HNK Rijeka are unbeaten in their last 6 6 matches
- Undefeated at HTRecent6/6100%HNK Rijeka are undefeated at half time in their last 6 6 matches
HNK Rijeka demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Celje Over 1.5 Goals @ 3.00 ✅ 
Celje
- Above League AverageLeague4/475%Celje score 2.50 goals/match in away matches (+79% above league average)
Celje's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Celje(2 trends)
- Low Card MatchesLeague8/890%Celje average 1.9 cards/match in all matches (-20% below league avg 2.3)
- Many CardsRecent11/1479%Celje receive 2+ cards in 11 of their last 14 UEFA Conference League (Away) matches
Both teams disciplined -
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.68 ⚠️ 
HNK Rijeka(1 trends) — avg 7 (+46% above league)
- Many CornersRecent3/475%HNK Rijeka win 6+ corners in 3 of their last 4 UEFA Conference League (Home) matches
Celje(1 trends) — avg 3.3 (-27% below league)
- Few CornersLeague4/485%Celje average 3.3 corners/match in away matches (-27% below league avg 4.5)
Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.68
+10 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
HNK Rijeka vs Celje
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 HNK Rijeka
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.11
Pressure
0.15
✈️ Celje
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.07
Pressure
0.13
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 HNK Rijeka - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ Celje - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 HNK Rijeka - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
0
Late Conceded
3
✈️ Celje - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
7
Killer Goals
14
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
8
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Celje has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Celje handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.177
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.023
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.113
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (HNK Rijeka):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Celje):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
HNK Rijeka vs Celje Head-to-head statistics for Thu 11 Dec, 2025 @ 14:00 UEFA Conference League
HNK Rijeka vs Celje: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for HNK Rijeka and away matches for Celje
Number of goals
Number of goals
HNK Rijeka
Under
Over
Celje
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
0%
0
100%
10
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
20%
2
80%
8
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
60%
6
40%
4
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
HNK Rijeka
Celje
Yes
40%
4
60%
6
No
60%
6
40%
4
1X2
1X2
HNK Rijeka
Celje
1
30%
3
70%
7
X
30%
3
10%
1
2
40%
4
20%
2
Double Chance
Double Chance
HNK Rijeka
Celje
12
70%
7
90%
9
1X
60%
6
80%
8
X2
70%
7
30%
3
Total Goals
Total Goals
HNK Rijeka
Celje
0-1
50%
5
10%
1
2-3
20%
2
40%
4
4+
30%
3
50%
5
Total Corners
Total Corners
HNK Rijeka
Under
Over
Celje
Under
Over
7.5
100%
7
0%
0
100%
5
0%
0
8.5
100%
7
0%
0
100%
5
0%
0
9.5
100%
7
0%
0
100%
5
0%
0
10.5
100%
7
0%
0
100%
5
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
HNK Rijeka
Celje
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
HNK Rijeka
Celje
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
40%
4
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
HNK Rijeka
Celje
xG
0.6
1.48
xGa
1.12
1.44
Number of goals
Number of goals
HNK Rijeka
Under
Over
Celje
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
10%
1
90%
9
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
HNK Rijeka
Celje
Yes
0%
0
50%
5
No
100%
10
50%
5
1X2
1X2
HNK Rijeka
Celje
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
HNK Rijeka
Celje
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
HNK Rijeka
Celje
0-1
90%
9
20%
2
2-3
10%
1
80%
8
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
HNK Rijeka
Celje
Yes
70%
7
40%
4
No
30%
3
60%
6
Number of goals
Number of goals
HNK Rijeka
Under
Over
Celje
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
HNK Rijeka
Celje
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
1X2
HNK Rijeka
Celje
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
40%
4
50%
5
2
40%
4
10%
1
Double Chance
Double Chance
HNK Rijeka
Celje
12
60%
6
50%
5
1X
60%
6
90%
9
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
HNK Rijeka
Celje
0-1
60%
6
40%
4
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
0%
0
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
HNK Rijeka
Celje
Yes
50%
5
80%
8
No
50%
5
20%
2
Team comparison
Prediction
Combo Double chance : HNK Rijeka or draw and -3.5 goals
Under/Over:
-3.5*
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.97%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 38.02% | Low | 2.25 |
| Under 1.5 | 61.98% | Medium | 1.75 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 43.21% | Low | 3.00 |
| Under 1.5 | 56.79% | Medium | 1.43 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 14.75% | Low | 5.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 85.25% | High | 1.20 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 18.37% | Low | 9.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 81.63% | High | 1.09 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
HNK Rijeka
Celje
Played:
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Wins | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Losses | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 2 | |
| Yellow Cards | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.3 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.5 | 2 | |
| Corners | 5 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 |
| Fouls | 12.5 | 25 | 15.5 | 31 | 14 | 56 |
| Offsides | 2.5 | 5 | 0.5 | 1 | 1.5 | 6 |
| Shots | 14 | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 40 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.5 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 3.3 | 13 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2 | 8 | 2.5 | 10 | 2.3 | 18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 6 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.5 | 6 | 2.3 | 9 | 1.9 | 15 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 1 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.5 | 4 |
| Corners | 1.3 | 5 | 2.5 | 10 | 1.9 | 15 |
| Fouls | 6.8 | 27 | 8.3 | 33 | 7.5 | 60 |
| Offsides | 1.8 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 1.9 | 15 |
| Shots | 8 | 32 | 10.3 | 41 | 9.1 | 73 |
| Shots on Goal | 2.5 | 10 | 4.5 | 18 | 3.5 | 28 |
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