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Heerenveen
Heerenveen vs Groningen: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 18 January, 2026 5:15
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8
Played
3
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9
(15 total)
xG
2.20
(17.5 total)
Shots per Match
16.1
(129 total)
Shots on Target
5.3
(33% acc)
Corners
6.3
(50 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
9.1
(73 total)
Offsides
1.5
(12 total)
9
Played
3
Wins
2
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(14 total)
xG
1.40
(13.0 total)
Shots per Match
14.9
(134 total)
Shots on Target
5.7
(38% acc)
Corners
6.2
(56 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
13.6
(122 total)
Offsides
1.3
(12 total)
17
Played
6
Wins
5
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(29 total)
xG
1.80
(30.5 total)
Shots per Match
15.5
(263 total)
Shots on Target
5.5
(35% acc)
Corners
6.2
(106 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(12%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
11.5
(195 total)
Offsides
1.4
(24 total)
8
Played
4
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(14 total)
xG
1.70
(13.5 total)
Shots per Match
16.8
(134 total)
Shots on Target
5.6
(34% acc)
Corners
7.9
(63 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.3
(82 total)
Offsides
1.8
(14 total)
9
Played
4
Wins
1
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(11 total)
xG
1.60
(14.7 total)
Shots per Match
14.4
(130 total)
Shots on Target
6.8
(47% acc)
Corners
4.8
(43 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
11.1
(100 total)
Offsides
1.3
(12 total)
17
Played
8
Wins
3
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(25 total)
xG
1.70
(28.2 total)
Shots per Match
15.5
(264 total)
Shots on Target
6.2
(40% acc)
Corners
6.2
(106 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
10.7
(182 total)
Offsides
1.5
(26 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.68 vs 1.96
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
1.27%
0:1
2.23%
0:2
1.96%
0:3
1.15%
0:4
0.51%
0:5
0.18%
1
1:0
3.15%
1:1
5.79%
1:2
5.31%
1:3
3.24%
1:4
1.48%
⭐
1:5
0.54%
⭐
2
2:0
3.9%
2:1
7.49%
🔥
2:2
7.17%
2:3
4.56%
⭐
2:4
2.17%
⭐
2:5
0.82%
⭐
3
3:0
3.22%
3:1
6.45%
⭐
3:2
6.42%
⭐
3:3
4.25%
⭐
3:4
2.1%
⭐
3:5
0.82%
⭐
4
4:0
1.99%
⭐
4:1
4.16%
⭐
4:2
4.3%
⭐
4:3
2.95%
⭐
4:4
1.51%
⭐
4:5
0.62%
⭐
5
5:0
0.99%
⭐
5:1
2.14%
⭐
5:2
2.3%
⭐
5:3
1.64%
⭐
5:4
0.87%
⭐
5:5
0.37%
Hotspot:
2:1 (7.5%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Eredivisie 2025-2026 matchup, Heerenveen will take on Groningen as part of the 2025-2026 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-01-18 at 2026-01-18 in the famous Abe Lenstra Stadion.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Heerenveen, and the visiting side, Groningen. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Heerenveen or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-18
Time: 11:15
Location: Abe Lenstra Stadion
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Heerenveen vs Groningen Sunday, Jan 18th, 2026 at 5:15 Football
AI Value Bets
9 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Heerenveen vs Groningen Football 18 Jan, 2026 5:15
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Chance Creation Masterclass
Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances
-
Second Half Surge
Heerenveen score in 2nd half 86% of matches — expect late goals
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Heerenveen vs Groningen, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Groningen @ 3.15 ⚠️ 
Groningen
- High xG PerformanceH2H3/3100%Groningen create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 3 of their last 3 Eredivisie matches
- High xG PerformanceRecent17/17100%Groningen create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 17 of their last 17 Eredivisie matches
Groningen demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.62 ⚠️ 
Heerenveen(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague7/888%Heerenveen score (1.88/match) and concede (1.75/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 88% of matches (league avg: 62%)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H2/366.7%Both teams scored in 2 of their last 3 H2H matches (66.7%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.76 
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H2/366.7%Over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 H2H matches (66.7%%)
Balanced match with potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance — Heerenveen Win or Draw @ 1.39 ✅ 
Heerenveen
- Undefeated at HTH2H3/3100%Heerenveen are undefeated at half time in their last 3 3 matches
Heerenveen demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Groningen Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.50 ⚠️
Groningen
- Scored 1+Recent3/3100%Groningen scored 1+ goals in their last 3 3 matches
Groningen's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesH2H%Average 6.0 cards per match in their last 2 H2H matches
Both teams disciplined -
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.73 ⚠️
Heerenveen(1 trends) — avg 6.2 (+22% above league)
- Many CornersLeague8/885%Heerenveen average 6.2 corners/match at home (+22% above league avg 5.1)
Heerenveen drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.73
🎯 Betting Analysis
Heerenveen vs Groningen
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Heerenveen
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.23
Pressure
0.14
✈️ Groningen
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.31
Pressure
0.12
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Heerenveen - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
✈️ Groningen - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Heerenveen - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Groningen - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
3
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- Overall Result: Heerenveen has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Heerenveen handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.081
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.02
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Heerenveen):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Groningen):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Heerenveen vs Groningen Head-to-head statistics for Sun 18 Jan, 2026 @ 5:15 Eredivisie
Team comparison
Prediction
+2.5 goals
Goals Home:
+1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Heerenveen
VS
Groningen
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
1
Wins
0
Draws
2
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (3)
1.3 (4)
xG
1.40
0.60
Shots
15.3 (46)
7 (21)
Shots on Target
5 (15)
4.7 (14)
Corners
6.7 (20)
3.7 (11)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 (4)
1 (3)
xGa
0.60
1.40
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1 (3)
2.3 (7)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.7 (2)
Fouls
12 (36)
10 (30)
Offsides
2 (6)
1.3 (4)
Last 6 Matches
Heerenveen
VS
Groningen
3/6 (50%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.50
PPG
1.33
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
1.33
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
33%
BTTS %
33%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.54
Avg xG
2.02
Heerenveen vs Groningen: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Heerenveen and away matches for Groningen
Number of goals
Heerenveen
Under
Over
Groningen
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
50%
5
50%
5
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Heerenveen
Groningen
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
1X2
Heerenveen
Groningen
1
50%
5
40%
4
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
30%
3
30%
3
Double Chance
Heerenveen
Groningen
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
70%
7
70%
7
X2
50%
5
60%
6
Total Goals
Heerenveen
Groningen
0-1
0%
0
0%
0
2-3
70%
7
90%
9
4+
30%
3
10%
1
Total Corners
Heerenveen
Under
Over
Groningen
Under
Over
7.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Heerenveen
Groningen
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Heerenveen
Groningen
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Heerenveen
Groningen
xG
1.67
1.93
xGa
1.15
1.04
Number of goals
Heerenveen
Under
Over
Groningen
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Heerenveen
Groningen
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
Heerenveen
Groningen
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
Heerenveen
Groningen
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Heerenveen
Groningen
0-1
60%
6
90%
9
2-3
40%
4
10%
1
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Heerenveen
Groningen
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
Number of goals
Heerenveen
Under
Over
Groningen
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Heerenveen
Groningen
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2
Heerenveen
Groningen
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
40%
4
40%
4
2
20%
2
30%
3
Double Chance
Heerenveen
Groningen
12
60%
6
60%
6
1X
80%
8
70%
7
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Heerenveen
Groningen
0-1
30%
3
30%
3
2-3
60%
6
70%
7
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Heerenveen
Groningen
Yes
60%
6
30%
3
No
40%
4
70%
7
2.83
xG
1.68
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Goal
5
9
Shots Off Goal
7
6
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
1
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