Form
Form
Eredivisie 2026-2027 • Matchweek 9
Preview
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
9th place
Form
VS
18:00
16 Oct 2026
Excelsior
Excelsior
10th place
Form
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Match Info -
1 - X - 2 -
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Heerenveen vs Excelsior: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 16 October, 2026 13:00

No prediction data available for this match.

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Prediction League
Eredivisie 2026-2027
• 18:00
Heerenveen W 42%
:
Excelsior W 33%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

No lambda data available for this match.

Eredivisie 2026-2027

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
8
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
d w l
>
3
1
1
1
5
5
0
4
9
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
w d l
>
3
1
1
1
3
4
-1
4
10
Excelsior
Excelsior
w l
>
2
1
0
1
5
2
3
3
11
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
l w
>
2
1
0
1
5
3
2
3
Eredivisie 2026-2027

No predictions available for this match

No predictions available for this match

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Heerenveen vs Excelsior Friday, Oct 16th, 2026 at 13:00 Football

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Heerenveen vs Excelsior

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Trends for Heerenveen vs Excelsior Football 16 Oct, 2026 13:00

Team Form Comparison

Heerenveen Home
Form Index 57
Goals 7:4
PPG 2.00
Excelsior Away
Form Index 59
Goals 13:7
PPG 2.20
HERWSITWAJADTWEWZWOL
HERDZWODGROWSPAWCAMW
3/5
Won
3/5
3/5
Scored
5/5
2/5
Scored 2+
4/5
2/5
Clean sheet
1/5
1/5
Conceded 2+
3/5
2/5
Over 2.5
4/5
2/5
BTTS
4/5

Heerenveen

HERWSITWAJADTWEWZWOL
Won 3/5
Scored 3/5
Scored 2+ 2/5
Clean sheet 2/5
Conceded 2+ 1/5
Over 2.5 2/5
BTTS 2/5

Excelsior

HERDZWODGROWSPAWCAMW
Won 3/5
Scored 5/5
Scored 2+ 4/5
Clean sheet 1/5
Conceded 2+ 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
BTTS 4/5
Head-to-Head · Last 4
BTTS 2/4
Over 2.5 4/4
Heerenveen unbeaten 2/2

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 1 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Heerenveen create high-quality chances consistently (1.75 xG avg) — strong attacking threat

Period Timing Analysis

Goal timing patterns across match periods for betting insights.

Heerenveen Home
Excelsior Away
Main Prediction by Periods
  • Second half: Heerenveen is stronger (16 vs 12).

Recommendation: Teams are evenly matched. Consider draw or exact score markets.

Home Early Strength Weak 20 matches
Away Early Strength Moderate 20 matches
Home Momentum 0.29 factor
Home Pressure 0.06 Away 0.07

Match Periods

Goals scored in sample Avg / match
3 0.15
Fast Start (0–15)
4 0.20
9 0.45
First Half (0–45)
10 0.50
16 0.80
Second Half (46–90)
12 0.60
4 0.20
Final Stage (76–90)
4 0.20

Fast start = 0–15 · First half ≈ early + half-time spurts · Second half ≈ restart + late surge · Final stage = 76–90.

Factor Breakdown

Momentum Away +0.018 Weak
Pressure Away +0.010 Weak
Timing Home +0.007 Weak
Defense Home +0.000 Weak

Momentum

Heerenveen Metric Excelsior
8 Positive Sequences 5
7 Comeback Goals 10
3 Negative Sequences 2
8 Killer Goals 9

Pressure

Heerenveen Metric Excelsior
3 Early Pressure 4
4 Late Pressure 4
0 Pressure Goals 0
0 Set Pieces 0

Timing Patterns

Heerenveen Metric Excelsior
3 Fast Starts 4
6 Half-time Spurts 6
12 Second Half Starts 8
4 Late Surges 4

Defense

Heerenveen Metric Excelsior
3 Early Conceded 3
6 Late Conceded 6
0 Set Piece Conceded 0
0 Pressure Conceded 0

Betting Recommendations

  • Second half winner: high probability of Heerenveen winning the second half.
  • Match outcome: teams are evenly matched — consider draw or exact score markets.

Summary

Heerenveen

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Excelsior

Momentum: very strong — maintains success and responds well. Pressure: low — rarely creates clear chances. Defense: vulnerable early in matches.

Final advice

Teams look evenly matched across periods. Consider draw, low totals, or exact score.

Heerenveen
Excelsior

Heerenveen vs Excelsior Head-to-head statistics for Fri 16 Oct, 2026 @ 13:00 Eredivisie

2 Played 1
50% 1-0-1 Win Rate 100% 1-0-0
— Form Index —
6.94 Team Rating 7.55
28 eScored Comparison Category scores Margin-weighted average per category, then averaged. Heerenveen Excelsior Results 20 80 Attack 0 100 Defense 0 100 Control 70 30 Discipline 50 50 Efficiency 25 75 Average 28 72 72

Attack

0.50
Goals
4
0.62
Expected Goals
3.35
12.5
Shots
18
4.5
Shots on Target
9
4.5
Corners
8

Defense

1
Conceded
0
1.67
Expected Goals Against
0.70
19
Shots Allowed
11
-0.50
Goal Difference
+4
50%
Clean Sheets
100%

Possession & Passing

55%
Possession
53%
84%
Pass Accuracy
82%
543
Passes
430
458
Accurate Passes
354

Discipline

1.50
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
6.5
Fouls
11
1
Offsides
1

Efficiency

1.50
PPG
3
-0.12
Goals vs xG
+0.65
4%
Shot Conversion
22%
80%
Save %
50%
Team comparison

Heerenveen vs Excelsior: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Heerenveen and away matches for Excelsior

Number of goals
Heerenveen
Under
Over
Excelsior
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
10% 1
90% 9
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
60% 6
40% 4
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Both teams to score
Heerenveen
Excelsior
Yes
40% 4
70% 7
No
60% 6
30% 3
1X2
Heerenveen
Excelsior
1
40% 4
40% 4
X
20% 2
30% 3
2
40% 4
30% 3
Double Chance
Heerenveen
Excelsior
12
80% 8
70% 7
1X
60% 6
70% 7
X2
60% 6
60% 6
Total Goals
Heerenveen
Excelsior
0-1
20% 2
0% 0
2-3
50% 5
50% 5
4+
30% 3
50% 5
Total Corners
Heerenveen
Under
Over
Excelsior
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Heerenveen
Excelsior
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
Heerenveen
Excelsior
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
0% 0
HT X - FT X
10% 1
20% 2
xG(xGa)
Heerenveen
Excelsior
xG
1.51
1.57
xGa
1.58
1.69
Number of goals
Heerenveen
Under
Over
Excelsior
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Heerenveen
Excelsior
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2
Heerenveen
Excelsior
1
20% 2
40% 4
X
50% 5
30% 3
2
30% 3
30% 3
Double Chance
Heerenveen
Excelsior
12
50% 5
70% 7
1X
70% 7
70% 7
X2
80% 8
60% 6
Total Goals
Heerenveen
Excelsior
0-1
60% 6
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Heerenveen
Excelsior
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6
Number of goals
Heerenveen
Under
Over
Excelsior
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Heerenveen
Excelsior
Yes
10% 1
40% 4
No
90% 9
60% 6
1X2
Heerenveen
Excelsior
1
50% 5
40% 4
X
10% 1
40% 4
2
40% 4
20% 2
Double Chance
Heerenveen
Excelsior
12
90% 9
60% 6
1X
60% 6
80% 8
X2
50% 5
60% 6
Total Goals
Heerenveen
Excelsior
0-1
70% 7
40% 4
2-3
20% 2
50% 5
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Heerenveen
Excelsior
Yes
60% 6
40% 4
No
40% 4
60% 6
1.59 Expected goals 1.39
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Goal 5
10 Shots Off Goal 9
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
No Posts Found
In this exciting Eredivisie 2026-2027 matchup, Heerenveen will take on Excelsior as part of the 2026-2027 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 9 and will take place on 2026-10-16 at 2026-10-16 in the famous Abe Lenstra Stadion. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Heerenveen, and the visiting side, Excelsior. The scoreline predictions suggest . Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-10-16 Time: 18:00 Location: Abe Lenstra Stadion Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Responsible Gambling Disclaimer

eScored content is provided for informational and analytical purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or encouragement to gamble. Predictions and statistics do not guarantee winnings. Betting involves the risk of financial loss and is intended only for adults of legal gambling age. You are solely responsible for your decisions and any resulting consequences. Always follow the laws of your jurisdiction and gamble responsibly.