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Hamburger SV
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VfB Stuttgart
Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 7 December, 2025 8:30
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Upgrade to PremiumHamburger SV vs. Werder Bremen: A Crucial Clash in the Bundesliga
Intro Title
This match between Hamburger SV and Werder Bremen carries significant weight as both teams fight for crucial points in the Bundesliga. Currently, Hamburger SV sits in 13th place with 12 points, while Werder Bremen is in 9th with 16 points. A victory for either side could steer them away from the relegation zone and boost their confidence as they head into the second half of the season.
Current Form & Trends
Both teams are navigating through a patchy run of form, making this encounter even more intriguing.
- Hamburger SV: The hosts have struggled recently, managing only one win in their last five matches (1W-1D-3L). Their attack has been particularly vulnerable, averaging only 0.8 goals per match while conceding 1.6. However, their recent home performance shows promise, with three wins in their last five home games, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- Werder Bremen: The visitors have been slightly more consistent, with two wins and two draws in their last five matches (2W-2D-1L). They average a goal per match but are also conceding at a rate of one per game. Their away form has been less than impressive, with just one win in their last five away fixtures, highlighting their challenges in securing points on the road.
Head-to-Head
The historical record between these two teams is nonexistent in recent years, with no wins recorded for either side in their last five encounters. This lack of head-to-head results adds an element of unpredictability to the match, as both teams will be eager to establish dominance.
Tactical Analysis & Key Players
From a tactical perspective, Hamburger SV will likely rely on their home advantage, looking to press high and exploit Werder Bremen's vulnerabilities in defense. Key player Jean-Luc Dompe could be pivotal in this strategy, using his pace and creativity to break down the Bremen backline. On the other hand, Werder Bremen will aim for a solid defensive structure while utilizing the counter-attack, with midfield dynamo J. Stage potentially orchestrating their forward movements. The matchup between Hamburger SV's attacking intent and Werder Bremen's defensive resilience will be crucial in determining the outcome.
AI Prediction
Winner Prediction: Draw.
Predicted Score: Hamburger SV 1 - 1 Werder Bremen
Reasoning: Based on the recent form and statistical averages, both teams are struggling to find the back of the net consistently. The predicted xG values suggest a tight contest, making a draw a likely outcome.
Betting Tips
- Safe Bet: Match Winner - Draw @ 3.8 (27.4%).
- Value Bet: Both Teams To Score - Yes @ 1.58 (57.6%).
Bet responsibly.
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.43 vs 1.32
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.73%
⭐
0:1
8.81%
⭐
0:2
5.02%
0:3
1.91%
0:4
0.54%
0:5
0.12%
1
1:0
9.65%
⭐
1:1
12.37%
🔥
1:2
7.84%
1:3
3.27%
1:4
1.02%
1:5
0.25%
2
2:0
6.02%
2:1
8.58%
2:2
5.99%
2:3
2.74%
2:4
0.93%
2:5
0.25%
3
3:0
2.5%
3:1
3.93%
3:2
3%
3:3
1.5%
3:4
0.55%
3:5
0.16%
4
4:0
0.78%
4:1
1.34%
4:2
1.11%
4:3
0.6%
4:4
0.24%
4:5
0.07%
5
5:0
0.19%
5:1
0.36%
5:2
0.33%
5:3
0.19%
5:4
0.08%
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot:
1:1 (12.4%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Bundesliga
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
8
▲
4
4
4
19
20
-1
16
9
4
4
4
16
21
-5
16
10
4
3
5
21
20
1
15
12
3
4
5
16
19
-3
13
13
▲
3
3
6
11
18
-7
12
14
▼
3
1
8
15
27
-12
10
Last 6 Matches
Hamburger SV
VS
Werder Bremen
1/6 (17%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
4/6 (67%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
0.67
PPG
1.50
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
1.67
Avg Goals Conceded
1.17
67%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.04
Avg xG
1.03
Missing Players
-
Injured - Groin Injury
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Suspended - Red Card
1.43
xG [Total: 2.72]
1.29
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
2
4
Corners [Total: 8]
4
2
Offsides [Total: 4]
2
15
Fouls [Total: 24]
9
6
Shots on Goal [Total: 11]
5
In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Hamburger SV will take on Werder Bremen as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 13 and will take place on 2025-12-07 at 2025-12-07 in the famous Volksparkstadion.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Hamburger SV, and the visiting side, Werder Bremen. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Werder Bremen.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-07
Time: 14:30
Location: Volksparkstadion
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen Sunday, Dec 7th, 2025 at 8:30 Football
Value Bets
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Trends for Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen Football 7 Dec, 2025 8:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 1 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
Comprehensive betting trends for Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Hamburger SV @ 2.37 ⚠️ 
Hamburger SV
- Good Goal RatioRecent6/786%Hamburger SV have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 6 of their last 7 Bundesliga (Home) matches
Hamburger SV demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.74 ✅
Hamburger SV(2 trends)
- Good Goal RatioRecent6/786%Hamburger SV have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 6 of their last 7 Bundesliga (Home) matches
- Few GoalsRecent11/1479%Hamburger SV scored 0-1 goals in 11 of their last 14 Bundesliga matches
Werder Bremen(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsRecent11/1479%Over 2.5 goals in 11 of their last 14 Bundesliga (Away) matches
Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.33 ✅ 
Hamburger SV(1 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague12/1290%Hamburger SV average 2.5 cards/match in all matches (+20% above league avg 2.1) — rank #5 in league
Werder Bremen(2 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague12/1290%Werder Bremen average 2.6 cards/match in all matches (+24% above league avg 2.1) — rank #4 in league
- Many CardsRecent23/3077%Werder Bremen receive 2+ cards in 23 of their last 30 Bundesliga matches
Both teams show aggressive play - Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.33
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.10 ✅ 
Hamburger SV(3 trends) — avg 3.5 (-28% below league)
- Few CornersLeague6/685%Hamburger SV average 3.5 corners/match at home (-28% below league avg 4.9)
- Few CornersRecent6/786%Hamburger SV win 4 or fewer corners in 6 of their last 7 Bundesliga (Home) matches
- Few CornersRecent11/1479%Hamburger SV win 4 or fewer corners in 11 of their last 14 Bundesliga matches
Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.10
+4 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🚀 Match Start: Hamburger SV is stronger in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1).
⚡ Final Stage: Werder Bremen is stronger in the final minutes (11 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: Werder Bremen is stronger in the final minutes (11 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Hamburger SV
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
14
Momentum
0.3
Pressure
0.15
✈️ Werder Bremen
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.26
Pressure
0.12
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Hamburger SV - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.29
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.43
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.64
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.36
✈️ Werder Bremen - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
1
Avg. Goals per Match
0.05
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Hamburger SV - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
1
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
2
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
1
✈️ Werder Bremen - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
1
Late Pressure
11
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
1
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
1
Late Surges
11
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
5
Late Conceded
6
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Home Fast Start: Hamburger SV often scores in the first 15 minutes (4 vs 1)
- First Goal Home: High probability of Hamburger SV scoring first
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Werder Bremen excels in the closing minutes (11 vs 5 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Werder Bremen scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Werder Bremen has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Werder Bremen handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.039
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.023
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.011 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.066
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Hamburger SV):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Werder Bremen):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.
Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen Head-to-head statistics for Sun 7 Dec, 2025 @ 8:30 Bundesliga
Hamburger SV vs Werder Bremen: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Hamburger SV and away matches for Werder Bremen
Number of goals
Number of goals
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
Werder Bremen
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
50%
5
30%
3
Double Chance
Double Chance
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
50%
5
70%
7
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
0-1
30%
3
20%
2
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
30%
3
30%
3
Total Corners
Total Corners
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
Werder Bremen
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
40%
4
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
10%
1
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
xG
1.2
1.15
xGa
1.47
1.56
Number of goals
Number of goals
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
Werder Bremen
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
Yes
0%
0
0%
0
No
100%
10
100%
10
1X2
1X2
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
Total Goals
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
0-1
80%
8
80%
8
2-3
10%
1
20%
2
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
Yes
60%
6
60%
6
No
40%
4
40%
4
Number of goals
Number of goals
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
Werder Bremen
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
Yes
50%
5
10%
1
No
50%
5
90%
9
1X2
1X2
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
1
10%
1
40%
4
X
60%
6
20%
2
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
12
40%
4
80%
8
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
90%
9
60%
6
Total Goals
Total Goals
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
0-1
40%
4
40%
4
2-3
50%
5
50%
5
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
Yes
30%
3
50%
5
No
70%
7
50%
5
Team comparison
Prediction
Hamburger SV or Draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.97%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 41.71% | Low | 2.03 |
| Under 1.5 | 58.29% | Medium | 1.86 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 37.95% | Low | 2.45 |
| Under 1.5 | 62.05% | Medium | 1.60 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 17.28% | Low | 4.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 82.72% | High | 1.23 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 14.70% | Low | 5.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 85.30% | High | 1.15 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
Played:
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 0 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 4 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.5 | 9 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.9 | 11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 1.5 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 12 | 2.2 | 13 | 2.1 | 25 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 2 | 0.5 | 3 | 0.4 | 5 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.3 | 3 |
| Corners | 3.5 | 21 | 3.7 | 22 | 3.6 | 43 |
| Fouls | 12.8 | 77 | 13.2 | 79 | 13 | 156 |
| Offsides | 1.7 | 10 | 3.5 | 21 | 2.6 | 31 |
| Shots | 13.5 | 81 | 11.7 | 70 | 12.6 | 151 |
| Shots on Goal | 5 | 30 | 3.8 | 23 | 4.4 | 53 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 1 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 3 | 4 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 8 | 1.3 | 8 | 1.3 | 16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 8 | 2.2 | 13 | 1.8 | 21 |
| Yellow Cards | 3 | 18 | 1.8 | 11 | 2.4 | 29 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 2 | 0 | 0.2 | 2 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 3 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 32 | 3 | 18 | 4.2 | 50 |
| Fouls | 10.2 | 61 | 8.5 | 51 | 9.3 | 112 |
| Offsides | 1.5 | 9 | 1.5 | 9 | 1.5 | 18 |
| Shots | 15.3 | 92 | 10 | 60 | 12.7 | 152 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.8 | 29 | 4.3 | 26 | 4.6 | 55 |