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Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 4 March, 2026 13:30
Betting Tip
Draw or Bayer LeverkusenNo high-confidence tip found, displaying main verdict.
Prediction League
9
Played
4
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(13 total)
xG
1.20
(11.1 total)
Shots per Match
14.1
(127 total)
Shots on Target
5.7
(40% acc)
Corners
3.7
(33 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(2 total)
Fouls
12.1
(109 total)
Offsides
1.4
(13 total)
9
Played
0
Wins
3
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.4
(4 total)
xG
0.70
(6.4 total)
Shots per Match
10.9
(98 total)
Shots on Target
4
(37% acc)
Corners
3.6
(32 total)
Defense
Conceded
2
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.4
(4 total)
Fouls
12.6
(113 total)
Offsides
2.8
(25 total)
18
Played
4
Wins
6
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(17 total)
xG
1.00
(17.5 total)
Shots per Match
12.5
(225 total)
Shots on Target
4.8
(39% acc)
Corners
3.6
(65 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(28%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(6 total)
Fouls
12.3
(222 total)
Offsides
2.1
(38 total)
13
Played
6
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9
(25 total)
xG
1.80
(23.7 total)
Shots per Match
14.8
(192 total)
Shots on Target
5.1
(34% acc)
Corners
5.8
(75 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(38%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
8.5
(111 total)
Offsides
1.5
(19 total)
12
Played
6
Wins
2
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(20 total)
xG
1.50
(17.7 total)
Shots per Match
11.2
(134 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(35% acc)
Corners
4.3
(52 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.3
(111 total)
Offsides
0.7
(8 total)
25
Played
12
Wins
5
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(45 total)
xG
1.70
(41.4 total)
Shots per Match
13
(326 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(35% acc)
Corners
5.1
(127 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(28%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
8.9
(222 total)
Offsides
1.1
(27 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.12 vs 1.76
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7%
0:1
10.85%
⭐
0:2
8.4%
⭐
0:3
4.34%
⭐
0:4
1.68%
0:5
0.52%
⭐
1
1:0
6.37%
1:1
11.34%
🔥
⭐
1:2
9.93%
1:3
5.72%
1:4
2.44%
⭐
1:5
0.83%
2
2:0
2.9%
⭐
2:1
5.83%
2:2
5.71%
⭐
2:3
3.65%
2:4
1.71%
⭐
2:5
0.63%
⭐
3
3:0
0.88%
⭐
3:1
1.97%
3:2
2.14%
3:3
1.51%
3:4
0.78%
⭐
3:5
0.31%
⭐
4
4:0
0.2%
⭐
4:1
0.49%
4:2
0.59%
⭐
4:3
0.45%
⭐
4:4
0.26%
⭐
4:5
0.11%
⭐
5
5:0
0.04%
5:1
0.1%
5:2
0.13%
⭐
5:3
0.11%
5:4
0.07%
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot:
1:1 (11.3%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Hamburger SV will take on Bayer Leverkusen as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 17 and will take place on 2026-03-04 at 2026-03-04 in the famous Volksparkstadion.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Hamburger SV, and the visiting side, Bayer Leverkusen. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Bayer Leverkusen.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-03-04
Time: 19:30
Location: Volksparkstadion
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen Football 4 Mar, 2026 13:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 63% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Chance Suppression
Hamburger SV rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Bayer Leverkusen(4 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Bayer Leverkusen score 2.14 goals/match in away matches (+36% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/770%Bayer Leverkusen rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.14 goals/match vs league avg 3.16)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Bayer Leverkusen are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
- High ScoringRecent15/15100%Bayer Leverkusen score 2+ goals per match in 15 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Hamburger SV(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/863%Hamburger SV score (1.63/match) and concede (1.13/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 63% of matches (league avg: 55%)
Bayer Leverkusen(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/771%Bayer Leverkusen score (2.14/match) and concede (2.00/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 71% of matches (league avg: 55%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Bayer Leverkusen(3 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Bayer Leverkusen score 2.14 goals/match in away matches (+36% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/770%Bayer Leverkusen rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.14 goals/match vs league avg 3.16)
- High ScoringRecent15/15100%Bayer Leverkusen score 2+ goals per match in 15 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
Combined 2.1 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance
Bayer Leverkusen(1 trends)
- Top Table FormLeague65%Bayer Leverkusen are currently 3rd in the table (Top 3)
⚡ Team Total Goals
Bayer Leverkusen(2 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague7/775%Bayer Leverkusen score 2.14 goals/match in away matches (+36% above league average)
- League Top ScorerLeague7/770%Bayer Leverkusen rank 2 of 18 in scoring in away matches (2.14 goals/match vs league avg 3.16)
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Hamburger SV(1 trends) — avg 2.1 (+6% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague15/1581.5%Hamburger SV average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+11% above league avg 2.0)
Bayer Leverkusen(1 trends) — avg 2.2 (+11% above league)
- High Card MatchesLeague15/1587.5%Bayer Leverkusen average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+15% above league avg 2.0) — rank #5 in league
Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Hamburger SV(1 trends) — avg 3.9 (-21% below league)
- Few CornersLeague8/885%Hamburger SV average 3.9 corners/match at home (-21% below league avg 4.9)
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+6 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Bayer Leverkusen is stronger in the first half (15 vs 8).
🔄 Second Half: Hamburger SV is stronger in the second half (12 vs 8).
⚡ Final Stage: Hamburger SV is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
🔄 Second Half: Hamburger SV is stronger in the second half (12 vs 8).
⚡ Final Stage: Hamburger SV is stronger in the final minutes (7 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Hamburger SV
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.32
Pressure
0.14
✈️ Bayer Leverkusen
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.18
Pressure
0.07
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Hamburger SV - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ Bayer Leverkusen - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Hamburger SV - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3
✈️ Bayer Leverkusen - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
3
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Away First Half: Bayer Leverkusen is stronger in the first half (15 vs 8)
- First Half Result: Consider Bayer Leverkusen to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Hamburger SV shows superior performance after the break (12 vs 8 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Hamburger SV winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Hamburger SV excels in the closing minutes (7 vs 3 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Hamburger SV scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Bayer Leverkusen has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Bayer Leverkusen handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.132
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.064
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.007 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.03
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Hamburger SV):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Bayer Leverkusen):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.
Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen Head-to-head statistics for Wed 4 Mar, 2026 @ 13:30 Bundesliga
Bundesliga
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
5
▼
11
3
5
36
26
10
36
6
10
2
6
35
25
10
32
7
7
6
6
31
32
-1
27
13
5
4
10
22
36
-14
19
14
4
6
8
17
27
-10
18
15
4
6
9
21
37
-16
18
Team comparison
Prediction
Draw or Bayer Leverkusen
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Hamburger SV
VS
Bayer Leverkusen
1/6 (17%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Draws
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
1.00
PPG
1.50
1.00
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
67%
BTTS %
33%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
0.78
Avg xG
2.14
Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Hamburger SV and away matches for Bayer Leverkusen
Number of goals
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
Bayer Leverkusen
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
Yes
70%
7
40%
4
No
30%
3
60%
6
1X2
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
1
20%
2
40%
4
X
40%
4
10%
1
2
40%
4
50%
5
Double Chance
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
12
60%
6
90%
9
1X
60%
6
50%
5
X2
80%
8
60%
6
Total Goals
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
0-1
30%
3
20%
2
2-3
40%
4
50%
5
4+
30%
3
30%
3
Total Corners
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
Bayer Leverkusen
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
50%
5
50%
5
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
1X2 HT - FT
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
50%
5
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT X
40%
4
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
xG
0.76
1.71
xGa
1.37
1.36
Number of goals
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
Bayer Leverkusen
Under
Over
0.5
80%
8
20%
2
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
1
10%
1
40%
4
X
60%
6
10%
1
2
30%
3
50%
5
Double Chance
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
12
40%
4
90%
9
1X
70%
7
50%
5
X2
90%
9
60%
6
Total Goals
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
0-1
80%
8
60%
6
2-3
20%
2
30%
3
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
Yes
60%
6
40%
4
No
40%
4
60%
6
Number of goals
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
Bayer Leverkusen
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
Yes
60%
6
20%
2
No
40%
4
80%
8
1X2
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
1
10%
1
40%
4
X
50%
5
50%
5
2
40%
4
10%
1
Double Chance
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
12
50%
5
50%
5
1X
60%
6
90%
9
X2
90%
9
60%
6
Total Goals
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
0-1
40%
4
70%
7
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
20%
2
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
Yes
30%
3
80%
8
No
70%
7
20%
2
0.98
xG
1.68
51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
7
4
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
3
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