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Form
Form
Bundesliga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 17
Preview
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
9th place
Form
VS
19:30
4 Mar 2026
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
6th place
Form
AI Prediction Draw or Bayer Leverkusen
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 4 March, 2026 13:30

Winner (1x2)-
Bayer Leverkusen to Win
Probability 54%
Total Goals-
Over 2.5
Probability 61%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 64%
Hamburger SV Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 86%
Bayer Leverkusen Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 68%
Double Chance-
Draw/Bayer Leverkusen
Probability 78%
Asian Handicap-
Bayer Leverkusen +2.5
Probability 98%

Betting Tip

Draw or Bayer Leverkusen

No high-confidence tip found, displaying main verdict.

Prediction League
Bundesliga 2025-2026
19:30
Hamburger SV W 22%
:
Bayer Leverkusen W 54%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Hamburger SV
d d d w w
11 Played
5 Wins
4 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (18 total)
xG
1.40 (15.2 total)
Shots per Match
14 (154 total)
Shots on Target
5.4 (38% acc)
Corners
3.8 (42 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
11.9 (131 total)
Offsides
1.6 (18 total)
10 Played
1 Wins
3 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.6 (6 total)
xG
0.80 (7.9 total)
Shots per Match
11.2 (112 total)
Shots on Target
4.1 (37% acc)
Corners
4 (40 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.4 (4 total)
Fouls
12.4 (124 total)
Offsides
2.5 (25 total)
21 Played
6 Wins
7 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (24 total)
xG
1.10 (23.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.7 (266 total)
Shots on Target
4.8 (38% acc)
Corners
3.9 (82 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (6 total)
Fouls
12.1 (255 total)
Offsides
2 (43 total)
Bayer Leverkusen
w w w d w
15 Played
8 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1 (32 total)
xG
1.80 (27.0 total)
Shots per Match
14.5 (218 total)
Shots on Target
5.3 (37% acc)
Corners
5.7 (86 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (47%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
8.1 (121 total)
Offsides
1.4 (21 total)
14 Played
7 Wins
3 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (24 total)
xG
1.40 (19.0 total)
Shots per Match
10.9 (152 total)
Shots on Target
3.7 (34% acc)
Corners
4.1 (57 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.4 (132 total)
Offsides
0.9 (12 total)
29 Played
15 Wins
6 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (56 total)
xG
1.60 (46.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.8 (370 total)
Shots on Target
4.6 (36% acc)
Corners
4.9 (143 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
8.7 (253 total)
Offsides
1.1 (33 total)

No lambda data available for this match.

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Hamburger SVHDPBayer Leverkusen
2.4%
Very Low
-2.5
13.2%
Very Low
5.4%
Very Low
-2
21.4%
Low
8.4%
Very Low
-1.5
29.6%
Low
15.6%
Very Low
-1
41.6%
Medium
22.8%
Low
-0.5
53.5%
Medium
46.5%
Medium
+0.5
77.2%
High
58.4%
Medium
+1
84.4%
Very High
70.4%
High
+1.5
91.6%
Very High
78.6%
High
+2
94.6%
Very High
86.8%
Very High
+2.5
97.6%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

Hamburger SVOutcomeBayer Leverkusen
37.0%
Low
Over 1.5
58.9%
Medium
63.0%
High
Under 1.5
41.1%
Medium
14.1%
Very Low
Over 2.5
31.8%
Low
85.9%
Very High
Under 2.5
68.2%
High
In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Hamburger SV will take on Bayer Leverkusen as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 17 and will take place on 2026-03-04 at 2026-03-04 in the famous Volksparkstadion. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Hamburger SV, and the visiting side, Bayer Leverkusen. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Bayer Leverkusen. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-03-04 Time: 19:30 Location: Volksparkstadion Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen Wednesday, Mar 4th, 2026 at 13:30 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Trends for Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen Football 4 Mar, 2026 13:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 63% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Hamburger SV rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

+2 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Bayer Leverkusen is stronger in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 5).
⏰ First Half: Bayer Leverkusen is stronger in the first half (17 vs 11).
🔄 Second Half: Hamburger SV is stronger in the second half (14 vs 10).
⚡ Final Stage: Hamburger SV is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 3).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Hamburger SV

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.35
Pressure
0.15

✈️ Bayer Leverkusen

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.08
Pressure
0.15

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Hamburger SV - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

✈️ Bayer Leverkusen - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Hamburger SV - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
9
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
5

✈️ Bayer Leverkusen - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
7
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
9
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
9
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
3

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Bayer Leverkusen often scores in the first 15 minutes (9 vs 5)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Bayer Leverkusen scoring first
  • ⏰ Away First Half: Bayer Leverkusen is stronger in the first half (17 vs 11)
  • First Half Result: Consider Bayer Leverkusen to win the first half
  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Hamburger SV shows superior performance after the break (14 vs 10 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Hamburger SV winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Hamburger SV excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 3 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Hamburger SV scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Bayer Leverkusen has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Bayer Leverkusen handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.264
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.002
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.015

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Hamburger SV):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Bayer Leverkusen):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and home team victory.

Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen

Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen Head-to-head statistics for Wed 4 Mar, 2026 @ 13:30 Bundesliga

Bundesliga

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
5
RB Leipzig
w d l w d
>
22
12
4
6
42
30
12
40
6
Bayer Leverkusen
l w w d w
>
21
12
3
6
43
27
16
39
7
22
8
7
7
44
46
-2
31
8
SC Freiburg
d w l w l
>
22
8
6
8
32
36
-4
30
9
Hamburger SV
d d d w w
>
21
6
7
8
24
31
-7
25
10
Union Berlin
d l l d l
>
22
6
7
9
28
37
-9
25
Team comparison
Prediction
Draw or Bayer Leverkusen
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Hamburger SV
VS
Bayer Leverkusen
2/6 (33%) Victories 4/6 (67%)
3/6 (50%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
1.50 PPG 1.67
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 2.00
1.00 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
50% BTTS % 33%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 50%
1.27 Avg xG 1.59
Hamburger SV
D D D W W
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Feb 2026 - 14:30
Hamburger SV
3 2
Union Berlin
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Feb 2026 - 14:30
1. FC Heidenheim
0 2
Hamburger SV
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
31 Jan 2026 - 17:30
Hamburger SV
2 2
Bayern München
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Jan 2026 - 19:30
FC St. Pauli
0 0
Hamburger SV
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
17 Jan 2026 - 14:30
Hamburger SV
0 0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
10 Jan 2026 - 14:30
SC Freiburg
2 1
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
W W W D W
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Feb 2026 - 14:30
Bayer Leverkusen
4 0
FC St. Pauli
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Feb 2026 - 17:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 1
Bayer Leverkusen
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
31 Jan 2026 - 14:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 3
Bayer Leverkusen
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
28 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Bayer Leverkusen
3 0
Villarreal
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
24 Jan 2026 - 14:30
Bayer Leverkusen
1 0
Werder Bremen
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
20 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Olympiakos Piraeus
2 0
Bayer Leverkusen

Hamburger SV vs Bayer Leverkusen: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Hamburger SV and away matches for Bayer Leverkusen

Number of goals
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
Bayer Leverkusen
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
Yes
70% 7
40% 4
No
30% 3
60% 6
1X2
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
1
40% 4
60% 6
X
40% 4
10% 1
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
12
60% 6
90% 9
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
60% 6
40% 4
Total Goals
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
0-1
20% 2
20% 2
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
40% 4
40% 4
Total Corners
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
Bayer Leverkusen
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1X2 HT - FT
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
50% 5
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT X
40% 4
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
xG
1.08
1.74
xGa
1.43
1.02
Number of goals
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
Bayer Leverkusen
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
1
30% 3
50% 5
X
50% 5
20% 2
2
20% 2
30% 3
Double Chance
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
12
50% 5
80% 8
1X
80% 8
70% 7
X2
70% 7
50% 5
Total Goals
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
0-1
60% 6
30% 3
2-3
40% 4
60% 6
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
Yes
50% 5
50% 5
No
50% 5
50% 5
Number of goals
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
Bayer Leverkusen
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
Yes
60% 6
10% 1
No
40% 4
90% 9
1X2
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
1
20% 2
50% 5
X
60% 6
50% 5
2
20% 2
0% 0
Double Chance
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
12
40% 4
50% 5
1X
80% 8
100% 10
X2
80% 8
50% 5
Total Goals
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
0-1
40% 4
70% 7
2-3
50% 5
30% 3
4+
10% 1
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
Yes
40% 4
90% 9
No
60% 6
10% 1
1.42 xG 1.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots Off Goal 7
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
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