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Guimaraes
1
4
Sporting CP
Guimaraes vs Nacional: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 2 January, 2026 15:45
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.02 vs 1.06
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
14.81%
🔥
0:1
13.2%
⭐
0:2
5.88%
0:3
1.75%
⭐
0:4
0.39%
0:5
0.07%
1
1:0
12.61%
1:1
13.74%
⭐
1:2
7.24%
1:3
2.48%
⭐
1:4
0.63%
⭐
1:5
0.12%
⭐
2
2:0
5.37%
⭐
2:1
6.91%
2:2
4.24%
2:3
1.67%
2:4
0.48%
⭐
2:5
0.11%
⭐
3
3:0
1.52%
3:1
2.26%
⭐
3:2
1.59%
3:3
0.71%
⭐
3:4
0.23%
⭐
3:5
0.06%
⭐
4
4:0
0.32%
4:1
0.55%
4:2
0.43%
4:3
0.22%
⭐
4:4
0.08%
⭐
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.06%
⭐
5:1
0.1%
5:2
0.09%
⭐
5:3
0.05%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
0:0 (14.8%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
7
▲
6
3
6
21
24
-3
21
8
▼
6
3
6
16
21
-5
21
9
▲
4
5
6
23
25
-2
17
11
▼
3
8
4
19
24
-5
17
12
▼
4
4
7
17
21
-4
16
13
▼
4
4
7
11
15
-4
16
1.13
xG
0.93
57%
Ball Possession
43%
15
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
10
Shots Off Goal
8
6
Corners
4
3
Yellow Cards
3
Last 6 Matches
Guimaraes
VS
Nacional
3/6 (50%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
1.67
PPG
0.83
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
1.17
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded
1.33
17%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.02
Avg xG
0.96
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Guimaraes will take on Nacional as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 17 and will take place on 2026-01-02 at 2026-01-02 in the famous Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Guimaraes, and the visiting side, Nacional. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Guimaraes or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-02
Time: 20:45
Location: Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Guimaraes vs Nacional Football 2 Jan, 2026 15:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Nacional have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 63% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Guimaraes vs Nacional, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
Guimaraes(2 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H2/2100%Guimaraes are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
- Efficient ScoringH2H2/2100%Guimaraes efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 2 of their last 2 Primeira Liga matches
Nacional(2 trends)
- Not WinH2H2/2100%Nacional have not won in 2 of their last 2 Primeira Liga matches
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Nacional concede only 0.88 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
⚽ Both Teams To Score
Guimaraes(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/863%Guimaraes score (1.50/match) and concede (1.50/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 63% of matches (league avg: 44%)
Nacional(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague4/850%Nacional score (1.00/match) and concede (0.88/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 50% of matches (league avg: 44%)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Both Teams ScoredH2H2/2100%Both teams scored in 2 of their last 2 H2H matches (100.0%%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H2/2100%Over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2 H2H matches (100.0%%)
Offensive trends suggest potential for goals
🛡️ Double Chance
Guimaraes(2 trends)
- UnbeatenH2H2/2100%Guimaraes are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
- Undefeated at HTH2H2/2100%Guimaraes are undefeated at half time in their last 2 2 matches
Nacional(2 trends)
- Not WinH2H2/2100%Nacional have not won in 2 of their last 2 Primeira Liga matches
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Nacional concede only 0.88 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
⚡ Team Total Goals
Guimaraes(4 trends)
- Scored 1+Recent2/2100%Guimaraes scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
- Scored 2+Recent2/2100%Guimaraes scored 2+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
- First Half SpecialistsRecent2/2100%Guimaraes score in first half in their last 2 2 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent2/2100%Guimaraes score in second half in their last 2 2 matches
Nacional(3 trends)
- League Best DefenseLeague8/870%Nacional concede only 0.88 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
- Scored 1+Recent2/2100%Nacional scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
- Second Half SpecialistsRecent2/2100%Nacional score in second half in their last 2 2 matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Guimaraes(1 trends) — avg 2.7
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Guimaraes receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Nacional(2 trends) — avg 2.8 (+4% above league)
- Few CardsH2H2/2100%Nacional receive 0-1 card in 2 of their last 2 Primeira Liga matches
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Nacional receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Low Card MatchesH2H%Average 3.0 cards per match in their last 2 H2H matches
Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under
Nacional(1 trends) — avg 4.0 (-12% below league)
- Few CornersLeague8/877%Nacional average 4.0 corners/match in away matches (-12% below league avg 4.6)
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+3 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Guimaraes vs Nacional
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Guimaraes is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Guimaraes
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.17
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Nacional
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.05
Pressure
0.11
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Guimaraes - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ Nacional - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Guimaraes - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
2
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Nacional - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
9
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Home First Half: Guimaraes is stronger in the first half (12 vs 6)
- First Half Result: Consider Guimaraes to win the first half
- Overall Result: Guimaraes has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Guimaraes handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.126
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.042
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.015 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.03
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Guimaraes):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Nacional):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Guimaraes vs Nacional Head-to-head statistics for Fri 2 Jan, 2026 @ 15:45 Primeira Liga
Guimaraes vs Nacional: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Guimaraes and away matches for Nacional
Number of goals
Guimaraes
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Guimaraes
Nacional
Yes
30%
3
70%
7
No
70%
7
30%
3
1X2
Guimaraes
Nacional
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
40%
4
40%
4
Double Chance
Guimaraes
Nacional
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
60%
6
60%
6
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Guimaraes
Nacional
0-1
30%
3
30%
3
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
20%
2
30%
3
Total Corners
Guimaraes
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Guimaraes
Nacional
Yes
40%
4
10%
1
No
60%
6
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Guimaraes
Nacional
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
30%
3
10%
1
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
30%
3
HT X - FT X
20%
2
0%
0
xG(xGa)
Guimaraes
Nacional
xG
1.12
1.3
xGa
1.16
1.78
Number of goals
Guimaraes
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Guimaraes
Nacional
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2
Guimaraes
Nacional
1
20%
2
30%
3
X
40%
4
50%
5
2
40%
4
20%
2
Double Chance
Guimaraes
Nacional
12
60%
6
50%
5
1X
60%
6
80%
8
X2
80%
8
70%
7
Total Goals
Guimaraes
Nacional
0-1
70%
7
80%
8
2-3
30%
3
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Guimaraes
Nacional
Yes
50%
5
70%
7
No
50%
5
30%
3
Number of goals
Guimaraes
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Guimaraes
Nacional
Yes
10%
1
40%
4
No
90%
9
60%
6
1X2
Guimaraes
Nacional
1
30%
3
30%
3
X
30%
3
20%
2
2
40%
4
50%
5
Double Chance
Guimaraes
Nacional
12
70%
7
80%
8
1X
60%
6
50%
5
X2
70%
7
70%
7
Total Goals
Guimaraes
Nacional
0-1
70%
7
50%
5
2-3
30%
3
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Guimaraes
Nacional
Yes
60%
6
30%
3
No
40%
4
70%
7
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Guimaraes or draw
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 1,000.00%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 27.16% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 72.84% | High | N/A | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 28.63% | Low | N/A |
| Under 1.5 | 71.37% | High | N/A | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 8.40% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 91.60% | High | N/A | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 9.17% | Low | N/A |
| Under 2.5 | 90.83% | High | N/A |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Guimaraes
Nacional
Played:
2
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Wins
0
0
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
4
2
Goals
1.5
3
3
1.5
Goals Conceded
2
4
4
2
Yellow Cards
1
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Clean Sheets
0
10
5
Corners
3.5
7
28
14
Fouls
12.5
25
1
0.5
Offsides
1.5
3
27
13.5
Shots
12
24
7
3.5
Shots on Goal
2
4
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 7 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 0 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 4 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.5 | 12 | 0.6 | 4 | 1.1 | 16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 12 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.4 | 21 |
| Yellow Cards | 3 | 24 | 1.9 | 13 | 2.5 | 37 |
| Red Cards | 0.3 | 2 | 0 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0.3 | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.3 | 5 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 36 | 4.3 | 30 | 4.4 | 66 |
| Fouls | 14.6 | 117 | 13 | 91 | 13.9 | 208 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 1.9 | 29 |
| Shots | 12.4 | 99 | 12.9 | 90 | 12.6 | 189 |
| Shots on Goal | 4 | 32 | 3.1 | 22 | 3.6 | 54 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 2 | 4 | |||
| Draws | 0 | 4 | 4 | |||
| Losses | 5 | 2 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.3 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 1.1 | 17 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 14 | 0.9 | 7 | 1.4 | 21 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.7 | 19 | 2.5 | 20 | 2.6 | 39 |
| Red Cards | 0.6 | 4 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.3 | 5 |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Corners | 4.1 | 29 | 4 | 32 | 4.1 | 61 |
| Fouls | 13.6 | 95 | 14.5 | 116 | 14.1 | 211 |
| Offsides | 2.3 | 16 | 1.5 | 12 | 1.9 | 28 |
| Shots | 9.9 | 69 | 12.8 | 102 | 11.4 | 171 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.9 | 27 | 3.9 | 31 | 3.9 | 58 |
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