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Guimaraes
Guimaraes vs Moreirense: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 30 January, 2026 14:45
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10
Played
4
Wins
3
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(14 total)
xG
1.10
(11.2 total)
Shots per Match
12.8
(128 total)
Shots on Target
3.9
(30% acc)
Corners
4.4
(44 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(3 total)
Fouls
15.5
(155 total)
Offsides
1.8
(18 total)
9
Played
3
Wins
1
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7
(6 total)
xG
1.10
(10.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.9
(116 total)
Shots on Target
3.1
(24% acc)
Corners
3.9
(35 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(44%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
13.2
(119 total)
Offsides
1.9
(17 total)
19
Played
7
Wins
4
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(20 total)
xG
1.10
(21.3 total)
Shots per Match
12.8
(244 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(27% acc)
Corners
4.2
(79 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(32%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
14.4
(274 total)
Offsides
1.8
(35 total)
9
Played
6
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(14 total)
xG
0.80
(7.2 total)
Shots per Match
9.4
(85 total)
Shots on Target
3.4
(36% acc)
Corners
4.7
(42 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.00
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
13.3
(120 total)
Offsides
1
(9 total)
10
Played
3
Wins
2
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(12 total)
xG
1.30
(12.7 total)
Shots per Match
9.1
(91 total)
Shots on Target
3.4
(37% acc)
Corners
3.2
(32 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
13.7
(137 total)
Offsides
1.5
(15 total)
19
Played
9
Wins
3
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(26 total)
xG
1.00
(19.9 total)
Shots per Match
9.3
(176 total)
Shots on Target
3.4
(37% acc)
Corners
3.9
(74 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.30
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(37%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
13.5
(257 total)
Offsides
1.3
(24 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.43 vs 1.52
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.74%
0:1
8.8%
0:2
5%
⭐
0:3
1.89%
⭐
0:4
0.54%
⭐
0:5
0.12%
⭐
1
1:0
8.1%
1:1
12.18%
🔥
1:2
8.61%
⭐
1:3
3.9%
⭐
1:4
1.29%
⭐
1:5
0.33%
⭐
2
2:0
4.24%
2:1
7.93%
2:2
6.84%
⭐
2:3
3.69%
⭐
2:4
1.42%
⭐
2:5
0.42%
⭐
3
3:0
1.48%
3:1
3.31%
3:2
3.4%
⭐
3:3
2.16%
⭐
3:4
0.97%
⭐
3:5
0.33%
4
4:0
0.39%
4:1
1.01%
4:2
1.21%
⭐
4:3
0.89%
⭐
4:4
0.46%
⭐
4:5
0.18%
5
5:0
0.08%
5:1
0.24%
5:2
0.33%
5:3
0.28%
⭐
5:4
0.16%
5:5
0.07%
Hotspot:
1:1 (12.2%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Guimaraes will take on Moreirense as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 20 and will take place on 2026-01-30 at 2026-01-30 in the famous Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Guimaraes, and the visiting side, Moreirense. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Moreirense.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-01-30
Time: 20:45
Location: Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Guimaraes vs Moreirense Friday, Jan 30th, 2026 at 14:45 Football
AI Value Bets
5 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Guimaraes vs Moreirense Football 30 Jan, 2026 14:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 63% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Guimaraes vs Moreirense, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.87 ⚠️ 
Guimaraes(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/863%Guimaraes score (1.50/match) and concede (1.50/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 63% of matches (league avg: 44%)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- BTTS NoH2H4/580%At least one team failed to score in 4 of their last 5 Primeira Liga matches
Guimaraes rarely concede (80% clean sheet rate)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.69 ⚠️ 
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Under 2.5 GoalsH2H4/580%Under 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 H2H matches (80.0%%)
Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match • Strong defensive records support Under 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Guimaraes Win or Draw @ 1.28 ✅
Guimaraes
- Undefeated at HTH2H5/5100%Guimaraes are undefeated at half time in their last 5 5 matches
Guimaraes demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Guimaraes(2 trends) — avg 2.5 (-7% below league)
- Many CardsH2H4/580%Guimaraes receive 2+ cards in 4 of their last 5 Primeira Liga matches
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Guimaraes receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Moreirense(1 trends) — avg 2.7 (+1% above league)
- Many CardsRecent12/1580%Moreirense receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 15 Primeira Liga matches
Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.71 ✅ 
Guimaraes(2 trends) — avg 6.3 (+25% above league)
- Many CornersH2H4/580%Guimaraes win 6+ corners in 4 of their last 5 Primeira Liga matches
- Corner DominanceH2H4/580%Guimaraes dominate corners (5+ and more than opponent) in 4 of their last 5 Primeira Liga matches
Moreirense(2 trends) — avg 4.0 (-12% below league)
- Few CornersH2H5/5100%Moreirense win 4 or fewer corners in 5 of their last 5 Primeira Liga matches
- Few CornersLeague8/877%Moreirense average 4.0 corners/match in away matches (-12% below league avg 4.6)
Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.71
+1 Streak trend is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Guimaraes vs Moreirense
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Guimaraes is stronger in the first half (9 vs 2).
🔄 Second Half: Moreirense is stronger in the second half (17 vs 13).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
🔄 Second Half: Moreirense is stronger in the second half (17 vs 13).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Guimaraes
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Moreirense
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.21
Pressure
0.11
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Guimaraes - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ Moreirense - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Guimaraes - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
6
✈️ Moreirense - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
0
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Home First Half: Guimaraes is stronger in the first half (9 vs 2)
- First Half Result: Consider Guimaraes to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Moreirense shows superior performance after the break (17 vs 13 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Moreirense winning the second half
- Overall Result: Moreirense has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Moreirense handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.009
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.034
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.008 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.068
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Guimaraes):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Moreirense):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Guimaraes vs Moreirense Head-to-head statistics for Fri 30 Jan, 2026 @ 14:45 Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
5
▼
8
7
4
24
16
8
31
6
9
3
7
26
26
0
30
7
8
5
6
24
14
10
29
8
▲
7
5
7
37
31
6
26
9
▼
7
4
8
20
27
-7
25
10
7
2
10
19
33
-14
23
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Moreirense
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Guimaraes
VS
Moreirense
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8 (4)
1 (5)
xG
0.60
0.80
Shots
12 (60)
10 (50)
Shots on Target
3.2 (16)
2.8 (14)
Corners
7.6 (38)
3 (15)
Defense
Conceded
1 (5)
0.8 (4)
xGa
0.80
0.60
Clean Sheets
2 (40%)
2 (40%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 (11)
2.2 (11)
Fouls
14.8 (74)
13.2 (66)
Offsides
1.6 (8)
1.6 (8)
Last 6 Matches
Guimaraes
VS
Moreirense
2/6 (33%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
1.17
PPG
1.67
1.00
Avg Goals Scored
0.83
1.67
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
50%
BTTS %
17%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.32
Avg xG
0.85
Guimaraes vs Moreirense: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Guimaraes and away matches for Moreirense
Number of goals
Guimaraes
Under
Over
Moreirense
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Guimaraes
Moreirense
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2
Guimaraes
Moreirense
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
40%
4
30%
3
Double Chance
Guimaraes
Moreirense
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
60%
6
70%
7
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Guimaraes
Moreirense
0-1
50%
5
30%
3
2-3
20%
2
40%
4
4+
30%
3
30%
3
Total Corners
Guimaraes
Under
Over
Moreirense
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Guimaraes
Moreirense
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
1X2 HT - FT
Guimaraes
Moreirense
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
10%
1
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Guimaraes
Moreirense
xG
1.16
1.02
xGa
1.35
1.13
Number of goals
Guimaraes
Under
Over
Moreirense
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Guimaraes
Moreirense
Yes
10%
1
10%
1
No
90%
9
90%
9
1X2
Guimaraes
Moreirense
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
60%
6
50%
5
2
10%
1
30%
3
Double Chance
Guimaraes
Moreirense
12
40%
4
50%
5
1X
90%
9
70%
7
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
Guimaraes
Moreirense
0-1
70%
7
80%
8
2-3
30%
3
20%
2
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Guimaraes
Moreirense
Yes
80%
8
60%
6
No
20%
2
40%
4
Number of goals
Guimaraes
Under
Over
Moreirense
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Guimaraes
Moreirense
Yes
20%
2
40%
4
No
80%
8
60%
6
1X2
Guimaraes
Moreirense
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
40%
4
20%
2
Double Chance
Guimaraes
Moreirense
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
60%
6
80%
8
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Guimaraes
Moreirense
0-1
60%
6
50%
5
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Guimaraes
Moreirense
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
1.37
xG
1.36
58%
Ball Possession
42%
13
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Goal
3
9
Shots Off Goal
6
5
Corners
4
3
Yellow Cards
2
No Posts Found