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Form
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 18
Preview
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
7th place
Form
VS
20:30
18 Jan 2026
FC Porto
FC Porto
1st place
Form
AI Prediction FC Porto to Win
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Guimaraes vs FC Porto: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 18 January, 2026 14:30

Winner (1x2)1.54
FC Porto to Win
Probability 71%
Total Goals1.80
Under 2.5
Probability 50%
Both Teams to Score1.67
No (NG)
Probability 57%
Guimaraes Total1.15
Home Under 1.5
Probability 86%
FC Porto Total1.75
Away Over 1.5
Probability 61%
Double Chance1.12
Draw/FC Porto
Probability 92%
Asian Handicap1.23
Guimaraes +2
Probability 67%
Best Tip
Value
Match Winner FC Porto to Win
Odds 1.54
Win Prob. 71.4% EV: +10.0%
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Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
20:30
Guimaraes W 8%
:
FC Porto W 71%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Guimaraes
d w l d w
9 Played
4 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (14 total)
xG
1.10 (9.8 total)
Shots per Match
12 (108 total)
Shots on Target
4 (33% acc)
Corners
4.2 (38 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
15.2 (137 total)
Offsides
2 (18 total)
8 Played
3 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.5 (4 total)
xG
1.00 (8.0 total)
Shots per Match
12.9 (103 total)
Shots on Target
3 (23% acc)
Corners
4.1 (33 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.6 (101 total)
Offsides
2 (16 total)
17 Played
7 Wins
4 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (18 total)
xG
1.00 (17.8 total)
Shots per Match
12.4 (211 total)
Shots on Target
3.5 (28% acc)
Corners
4.2 (71 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (35%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
14 (238 total)
Offsides
2 (34 total)
FC Porto
w w w w w
11 Played
10 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.1 (23 total)
xG
2.00 (21.5 total)
Shots per Match
14.5 (159 total)
Shots on Target
5.6 (39% acc)
Corners
4.9 (54 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.4 per match
xGa
0.50 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (64%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.2 (134 total)
Offsides
1.6 (18 total)
12 Played
10 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8 (22 total)
xG
1.50 (18.6 total)
Shots per Match
14.4 (173 total)
Shots on Target
5.3 (37% acc)
Corners
6 (72 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.4 per match
xGa
0.70 per match
Clean Sheets
8 (67%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
13.6 (163 total)
Offsides
1.9 (23 total)
23 Played
20 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (45 total)
xG
1.70 (40.1 total)
Shots per Match
14.4 (332 total)
Shots on Target
5.5 (38% acc)
Corners
5.5 (126 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.4 per match
xGa
0.60 per match
Clean Sheets
15 (65%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
12.9 (297 total)
Offsides
1.8 (41 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.64 vs 2.06
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.6%
0:1
15.76%
🔥
0:2
14.44%
0:3
8.82%
0:4
4.04%
0:5
1.48%
1
1:0
3.55%
1:1
8.46%
1:2
9.54%
1:3
6.92%
1:4
3.67%
1:5
1.53%
2
2:0
0.73%
2:1
2.15%
2:2
2.93%
2:3
2.51%
2:4
1.54%
2:5
0.73%
3
3:0
0.1%
3:1
0.35%
3:2
0.57%
3:3
0.57%
3:4
0.4%
3:5
0.22%
4
4:0
0.01%
4:1
0.04%
4:2
0.08%
4:3
0.09%
4:4
0.07%
4:5
0.05%
5
5:0
0%
5:1
0%
5:2
0.01%
5:3
0.01%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 0:1 (15.8%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

8.6%
0
19.3%
1
23.6%
2
20.6%
3
14.3%
4
8.3%
5
3.7%
6
1.2%
7
0.3%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

GuimaraesHDPFC Porto
0.2%
Very Low
-2.5
21.7%
@ 4.50Low
0.7%
Very Low
-2
33.1%
@ 3.85Low
1.3%
Very Low
-1.5
44.4%
@ 2.44Medium
4.4%
Very Low
-1
58.3%
@ 1.83Medium
7.6%
Very Low@ 7.00
-0.5
72.2%
@ 1.50High
27.8%
Low@ 2.87
+0.5
92.4%
@ 1.10Very High
41.7%
Medium@ 2.13
+1
95.5%
Very High
55.5%
Medium@ 1.61
+1.5
98.7%
Very High
66.9%
High@ 1.27
+2
99.2%
Very High
78.2%
High@ 1.20
+2.5
99.8%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

GuimaraesOutcomeFC Porto
47.3%
Medium@ 1.93
Over 0.5
87.3%
@ 1.16Very High
52.7%
Medium@ 1.92
Under 0.5
12.8%
@ 6.00Very Low
13.5%
Very Low@ 6.00
Over 1.5
61.0%
@ 1.73High
86.5%
Very High@ 1.14
Under 1.5
39.0%
@ 2.20Low
2.7%
Very Low@ 23.00
Over 2.5
34.0%
@ 3.25Low
97.3%
Very High@ 1.02
Under 2.5
66.0%
@ 1.34High
0.4%
Very Low
Over 3.5
15.4%
@ 7.00Very Low
99.6%
Very High
Under 3.5
84.6%
@ 1.11Very High
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, Guimaraes will take on FC Porto as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2026-01-18 at 2026-01-18 in the famous Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Guimaraes, and the visiting side, FC Porto. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : FC Porto. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-18 Time: 20:30 Location: Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Guimaraes vs FC Porto Sunday, Jan 18th, 2026 at 14:30 Football

AI Value Bets
3 Found

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Match Winner FC Porto
Value
Prob: 71.4%
EV: +7.1%
Stake: $5.00
1.50
Total Away Over 1.5
Value
Prob: 61%
EV: +6.7%
Stake: $3.33
1.75
Asian Handicap FC Porto -1
Value
Prob: 58.3%
EV: +6.7%
Stake: $3.01
1.83
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-15 02:37:16
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Trends for Guimaraes vs FC Porto Football 18 Jan, 2026 14:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 8 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    FC Porto have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • BTTS Magnet

    Both teams score in 63% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern

+6 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 8 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

Guimaraes vs FC Porto

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: Guimaraes is stronger in the second half (12 vs 5).
⚡ Final Stage: Guimaraes is stronger in the final minutes (6 vs 3).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Guimaraes

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.21
Pressure
0.06

✈️ FC Porto

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.09
Pressure
0.05

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Guimaraes - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

✈️ FC Porto - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Guimaraes - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
6
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
6

✈️ FC Porto - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
1
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
4

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Guimaraes shows superior performance after the break (12 vs 5 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of Guimaraes winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Guimaraes excels in the closing minutes (6 vs 3 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Guimaraes scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: FC Porto has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider FC Porto handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.295
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.013
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.023 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Guimaraes):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (FC Porto):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.

Guimaraes
FC Porto

Guimaraes vs FC Porto Head-to-head statistics for Sun 18 Jan, 2026 @ 14:30 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
FC Porto
w w w w w
>
17
16
1
0
36
4
32
49
2
Sporting CP
d w w w d
>
17
13
3
1
47
9
38
42

6
Moreirense
d l d w w
>
17
8
3
6
24
24
0
27
7
Guimaraes
d w l d w
>
17
7
4
6
18
22
-4
25
8
Famalicao
l w l l l
>
17
6
5
6
20
14
6
23
Team comparison
Prediction
FC Porto to Win
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Guimaraes
VS
FC Porto
Last 7 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
1 Draws
5 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0.6 (4)
2 (14)
xG
0.70
1.60
Shots
8.6 (60)
14.4 (101)
Shots on Target
2.6 (18)
5.3 (37)
Corners
4.6 (32)
6.4 (45)
Defense
Conceded
2 (14)
0.6 (4)
xGa
1.60
0.70
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
4 (57%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
4.3 (30)
2.6 (18)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
15.4 (108)
15.6 (109)
Offsides
1.9 (13)
1.6 (11)
11 Aug
- 19:45
FC Porto
Guimaraes
2.16
xG
0.64
3
0
24 Feb
- 20:15
FC Porto
Guimaraes
1.02
xG
1.26
1
1
21 Sep
- 17:00
Guimaraes
FC Porto
0.21
xG
1.53
0
3
7 Apr
- 19:30
FC Porto
Guimaraes
1
2
11 Nov
- 20:30
Guimaraes
FC Porto
1
2
27 May
- 17:00
FC Porto
Guimaraes
3
0
21 Jan
- 20:30
Guimaraes
FC Porto
0
1
Last 6 Matches
Guimaraes
VS
FC Porto
3/6 (50%) Victories 6/6 (100%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 0/6 (0%)
1.83 PPG 3.00
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 2.17
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.33
33% BTTS % 33%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
1.08 Avg xG 2.06
Guimaraes
D W L D W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Jan 2026 - 20:45
Guimaraes
2 1
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Dec 2025 - 15:30
Casa Pia
0 0
Guimaraes
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Dec 2025 - 20:45
Guimaraes
1 4
Sporting CP
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Rio Ave
0 1
Guimaraes
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Guimaraes
0 0
GIL Vicente
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Nov 2025 - 20:15
Guimaraes
4 0
AVS
FC Porto
W W W W W
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Jan 2026 - 18:00
Santa Clara
0 1
FC Porto
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Dec 2025 - 20:15
FC Porto
2 0
AVS
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Dec 2025 - 18:45
Alverca
0 3
FC Porto
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Dec 2025 - 20:45
FC Porto
3 1
Estrela
UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - League phase
11 Dec 2025 - 20:00
FC Porto
2 1
Malmo FF
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Tondela
0 2
FC Porto

Guimaraes vs FC Porto: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Guimaraes and away matches for FC Porto

Number of goals
Guimaraes
Under
Over
FC Porto
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
0% 0
100% 10
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
40% 4
60% 6
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Guimaraes
FC Porto
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2
Guimaraes
FC Porto
1
50% 5
90% 9
X
20% 2
10% 1
2
30% 3
0% 0
Double Chance
Guimaraes
FC Porto
12
80% 8
90% 9
1X
70% 7
100% 10
X2
50% 5
10% 1
Total Goals
Guimaraes
FC Porto
0-1
40% 4
30% 3
2-3
40% 4
60% 6
4+
20% 2
10% 1
Total Corners
Guimaraes
Under
Over
FC Porto
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Guimaraes
FC Porto
Yes
50% 5
70% 7
No
50% 5
30% 3
1X2 HT - FT
Guimaraes
FC Porto
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
60% 6
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
20% 2
30% 3
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT X
20% 2
10% 1
xG(xGa)
Guimaraes
FC Porto
xG
1.07
1.77
xGa
1.09
0.54
Number of goals
Guimaraes
Under
Over
FC Porto
Under
Over
0.5
80% 8
20% 2
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Guimaraes
FC Porto
Yes
0% 0
0% 0
No
100% 10
100% 10
1X2
Guimaraes
FC Porto
1
20% 2
60% 6
X
50% 5
40% 4
2
30% 3
0% 0
Double Chance
Guimaraes
FC Porto
12
50% 5
60% 6
1X
70% 7
100% 10
X2
80% 8
40% 4
Total Goals
Guimaraes
FC Porto
0-1
80% 8
80% 8
2-3
20% 2
20% 2
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Guimaraes
FC Porto
Yes
70% 7
100% 10
No
30% 3
0% 0
Number of goals
Guimaraes
Under
Over
FC Porto
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Guimaraes
FC Porto
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
Guimaraes
FC Porto
1
40% 4
60% 6
X
30% 3
30% 3
2
30% 3
10% 1
Double Chance
Guimaraes
FC Porto
12
70% 7
70% 7
1X
70% 7
90% 9
X2
60% 6
40% 4
Total Goals
Guimaraes
FC Porto
0-1
60% 6
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Guimaraes
FC Porto
Yes
60% 6
70% 7
No
40% 4
30% 3
0.56 xG 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Goal 5
8 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
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