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Gremio
Gremio vs Atletico-MG: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Wednesday, 25 February, 2026 18:30
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1
Played
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
5
(5 total)
xG
3.20
(3.2 total)
Shots per Match
14
(14 total)
Shots on Target
8
(57% acc)
Corners
4
(4 total)
Defense
Conceded
3
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
0
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
12
(12 total)
Offsides
1
(1 total)
2
Played
0
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.5
(1 total)
xG
0.90
(1.9 total)
Shots per Match
8.5
(17 total)
Shots on Target
2
(24% acc)
Corners
4.5
(9 total)
Defense
Conceded
2
per match
xGa
3.30
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0.5
(1 total)
Fouls
14
(28 total)
Offsides
1
(2 total)
3
Played
1
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(6 total)
xG
1.70
(5.1 total)
Shots per Match
10.3
(31 total)
Shots on Target
4
(39% acc)
Corners
4.3
(13 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.3
per match
xGa
2.60
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(1 total)
Fouls
13.3
(40 total)
Offsides
1
(3 total)
2
Played
0
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.5
(5 total)
xG
1.60
(3.2 total)
Shots per Match
16.5
(33 total)
Shots on Target
5
(30% acc)
Corners
5.5
(11 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.5
per match
xGa
1.70
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
12
(24 total)
Offsides
3
(6 total)
1
Played
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0
(0 total)
xG
0.40
(0.4 total)
Shots per Match
11
(11 total)
Shots on Target
2
(18% acc)
Corners
12
(12 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
8
(8 total)
Offsides
5
(5 total)
3
Played
0
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(5 total)
xG
1.20
(3.6 total)
Shots per Match
14.7
(44 total)
Shots on Target
4
(27% acc)
Corners
7.7
(23 total)
Defense
Conceded
2
per match
xGa
1.60
per match
Clean Sheets
0
(0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.7
(32 total)
Offsides
3.7
(11 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.59 vs 0.80
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
11.27%
⭐
0:1
6.75%
0:2
2.02%
0:3
0.4%
0:4
0.06%
0:5
0.01%
1
1:0
15.65%
🔥
⭐
1:1
11.64%
1:2
4.17%
1:3
0.97%
1:4
0.17%
1:5
0.02%
2
2:0
10.87%
⭐
2:1
9.66%
2:2
4.06%
2:3
1.09%
2:4
0.21%
2:5
0.03%
3
3:0
5.04%
⭐
3:1
5.2%
3:2
2.53%
3:3
0.78%
3:4
0.17%
3:5
0.03%
4
4:0
1.75%
⭐
4:1
2.06%
⭐
4:2
1.14%
4:3
0.4%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.02%
5
5:0
0.49%
5:1
0.64%
5:2
0.4%
5:3
0.16%
5:4
0.04%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot:
1:0 (15.7%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Serie A BR 2026 matchup, Gremio will take on Atletico-MG as part of the 2026 season in Serie A BR. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-26 at 2026-02-26 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Gremio, and the visiting side, Atletico-MG. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Gremio or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-26
Time: 00:30
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Gremio vs Atletico-MG Wednesday, Feb 25th, 2026 at 18:30 Football
AI Value Bets
8 Found
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Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Gremio vs Atletico-MG Football 25 Feb, 2026 18:30
ℹ️ No advanced patterns detected for this match.
Comprehensive betting trends for Gremio vs Atletico-MG.
🏆 Match Winner — Gremio @ 2.18 ✅ 
Gremio
WonH2H
Gremio have won their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
UnbeatenH2H
Gremio are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Efficient ScoringH2H
Gremio efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
Atletico-MG
Not WinH2H
Atletico-MG have not won their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
LostH2H
Atletico-MG have lost their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Gremio to win looks justified.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.76 ⚠️ 
🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Both Teams ScoredH2H
Both teams scored in 2 of their last 2 H2H matches (100.0%%)
2 / 2100%
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Over 2.5 @ 1.97 ⚠️
🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
Over 2.5 GoalsH2H
Over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2 H2H matches (100.0%%)
2 / 2100%
💡Offensive trends suggest potential for goals • Recent scoring patterns lean toward Over 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Gremio Win or Draw @ 1.34 ✅ 
Gremio
UnbeatenH2H
Gremio are unbeaten in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Undefeated at HTH2H
Gremio are undefeated at half time in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Atletico-MG
Not WinH2H
Atletico-MG have not won their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Gremio to win looks justified.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Gremio Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.20 ✅ 
Gremio
Scored 1+Recent
Gremio scored 1+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
Scored 2+Recent
Gremio scored 2+ goals in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
First Half SpecialistsRecent
Gremio score in first half in their last 2 2 matches
2 / 2100%
💡Gremio maintain strong offensive output at home — value on Over 1.5 goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Gremio1 Trends — avg 2.6 (+2% above league)Many CardsH2H
Gremio receive 2+ cards in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
🆚Head-to-Head1 Trend
High Card MatchesH2H
Average 6.0 cards per match in their last 2 H2H matches
%
💡Atletico-MG disciplined play balances Gremio aggression —
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.15 ⚠️ 
Gremio1 Trends — avg 4.2 (-16% below league)Few CornersH2H
Gremio win 4 or fewer corners in 2 of their last 2 Serie A BR matches
2 / 2100%
💡Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.15
🎯 Betting Analysis
Gremio vs Atletico-MG
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Gremio is stronger in the second half (21 vs 11).
⚡ Final Stage: Gremio is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚡ Final Stage: Gremio is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Gremio
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.17
Pressure
0.15
✈️ Atletico-MG
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.01
Pressure
0.11
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Gremio - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
21
Avg. Goals per Match
1.05
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
✈️ Atletico-MG - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Gremio - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
11
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
4
✈️ Atletico-MG - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
10
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
4
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
4
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
9
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Gremio shows superior performance after the break (21 vs 11 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Gremio winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Gremio excels in the closing minutes (10 vs 4 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Gremio scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.165
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.047
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.018 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.038
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Gremio):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Atletico-MG):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.
Gremio vs Atletico-MG Head-to-head statistics for Wed 25 Feb, 2026 @ 18:30 Serie A BR
Team comparison
Prediction
Gremio or Draw
Goals Home:
-3.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Gremio
VS
Atletico-MG
Last 2 Head-to-Head Matches
2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2.5 (5)
1 (2)
xG
0.90
1.30
Shots
10 (20)
16 (32)
Shots on Target
4.5 (9)
5 (10)
Corners
2.5 (5)
7.5 (15)
Defense
Conceded
1 (2)
2.5 (5)
xGa
1.30
0.90
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3 (6)
1 (2)
Red Cards
1 (2)
1 (2)
Fouls
15.5 (31)
12 (24)
Offsides
0.5 (1)
2.5 (5)
Last 6 Matches
Gremio
VS
Atletico-MG
3/6 (50%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
1.00
PPG
0.67
2.00
Avg Goals Scored
1.67
2.33
Avg Goals Conceded
2.00
67%
BTTS %
67%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.65
Avg xG
1.26
Gremio vs Atletico-MG: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Gremio and away matches for Atletico-MG
Number of goals
Gremio
Under
Over
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
40%
4
60%
6
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
3.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
Both teams to score
Gremio
Atletico-MG
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
1X2
Gremio
Atletico-MG
1
40%
4
20%
2
X
10%
1
40%
4
2
50%
5
40%
4
Double Chance
Gremio
Atletico-MG
12
90%
9
60%
6
1X
50%
5
60%
6
X2
60%
6
80%
8
Total Goals
Gremio
Atletico-MG
0-1
10%
1
20%
2
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
50%
5
50%
5
Total Corners
Gremio
Under
Over
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Gremio
Atletico-MG
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
Gremio
Atletico-MG
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
40%
4
30%
3
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
10%
1
HT X - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Gremio
Atletico-MG
xG
1.66
1.3
xGa
1.5
1.53
Number of goals
Gremio
Under
Over
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Gremio
Atletico-MG
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
Gremio
Atletico-MG
1
20%
2
30%
3
X
30%
3
30%
3
2
50%
5
40%
4
Double Chance
Gremio
Atletico-MG
12
70%
7
70%
7
1X
50%
5
60%
6
X2
80%
8
70%
7
Total Goals
Gremio
Atletico-MG
0-1
50%
5
50%
5
2-3
50%
5
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Gremio
Atletico-MG
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
Number of goals
Gremio
Under
Over
Atletico-MG
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Gremio
Atletico-MG
Yes
50%
5
40%
4
No
50%
5
60%
6
1X2
Gremio
Atletico-MG
1
50%
5
20%
2
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Gremio
Atletico-MG
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
50%
5
80%
8
Total Goals
Gremio
Atletico-MG
0-1
40%
4
40%
4
2-3
50%
5
30%
3
4+
10%
1
30%
3
Clean Sheet
Gremio
Atletico-MG
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
Missing Players
-
Injured - Achilles Tendon Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Suspended - Red Card
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
2.50
xG
0.53
57%
Ball Possession
43%
16
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Goal
3
10
Shots Off Goal
8
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2
No Posts Found