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Form
Form
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 18
Preview
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
4th place
Form
VS
15:30
17 Jan 2026
Nacional
Nacional
14th place
Form
AI Prediction Nacional AH+1.5
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

GIL Vicente vs Nacional: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 17 January, 2026 9:30

Winner (1x2)1.71
GIL Vicente to Win
Probability 39%
Total Goals1.82
Under 2.5
Probability 70%
Both Teams to Score1.85
No (NG)
Probability 60%
GIL Vicente Total1.28
Home Under 2.5
Probability 91%
Nacional Total1.24
Away Under 1.5
Probability 79%
Double Chance1.19
GIL Vicente/Draw
Probability 75%
Asian Handicap1.22
GIL Vicente +0.5
Probability 74%
Best Tip
Value
Asian Handicap Nacional +1.5
Odds 1.42
Win Prob. 87.2% EV: +23.8%
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Prediction League
Primeira Liga 2025-2026
15:30
GIL Vicente W 39%
:
Nacional W 25%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
GIL Vicente
d d d d d
8 Played
4 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (10 total)
xG
1.30 (10.3 total)
Shots per Match
15 (120 total)
Shots on Target
4.4 (29% acc)
Corners
5.5 (44 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
14.3 (114 total)
Offsides
0.6 (5 total)
9 Played
3 Wins
5 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (12 total)
xG
1.20 (10.5 total)
Shots per Match
12.7 (114 total)
Shots on Target
4.4 (35% acc)
Corners
6.2 (56 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (56%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3.3 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (2 total)
Fouls
14.3 (129 total)
Offsides
1.9 (17 total)
17 Played
7 Wins
7 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (22 total)
xG
1.20 (20.8 total)
Shots per Match
13.8 (234 total)
Shots on Target
4.4 (32% acc)
Corners
5.9 (100 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.7 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (53%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.8 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
14.3 (243 total)
Offsides
1.3 (22 total)
Nacional
l w d l d
8 Played
2 Wins
1 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (12 total)
xG
1.40 (11.1 total)
Shots per Match
10.3 (82 total)
Shots on Target
4 (39% acc)
Corners
3.9 (31 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1 per match
xGa
2.00 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9 avg
Red Cards
0.5 (4 total)
Fouls
13.6 (109 total)
Offsides
2.1 (17 total)
9 Played
2 Wins
4 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (9 total)
xG
1.00 (9.2 total)
Shots per Match
12.9 (116 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (30% acc)
Corners
3.9 (35 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.4 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
14.8 (133 total)
Offsides
1.6 (14 total)
17 Played
4 Wins
5 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (21 total)
xG
1.20 (20.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.6 (198 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (34% acc)
Corners
3.9 (66 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (12%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (5 total)
Fouls
14.2 (242 total)
Offsides
1.8 (31 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.05 vs 0.85
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
18.4%
🔥
0:1
11.84%
0:2
3.81%
0:3
0.82%
0:4
0.13%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
15.53%
1:1
13.79%
1:2
5.66%
1:3
1.48%
1:4
0.28%
1:5
0.04%
2
2:0
6.55%
2:1
7.42%
2:2
3.81%
2:3
1.21%
2:4
0.27%
2:5
0.05%
3
3:0
1.84%
3:1
2.54%
3:2
1.58%
3:3
0.6%
3:4
0.16%
3:5
0.03%
4
4:0
0.39%
4:1
0.63%
4:2
0.46%
4:3
0.21%
4:4
0.06%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.07%
5:1
0.12%
5:2
0.1%
5:3
0.05%
5:4
0.02%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 0:0 (18.4%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

18.4%
0
27.4%
1
24.2%
2
15.7%
3
8.3%
4
3.8%
5
1.5%
6
0.5%
7
0.2%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

GIL VicenteHDPNacional
3.2%
Very Low@ 5.90
-2.5
1.4%
Very Low
8.0%
Very Low@ 4.80
-2
4.1%
Very Low
12.8%
Very Low@ 2.97
-1.5
6.9%
@ 11.00Very Low
25.2%
Low@ 2.26
-1
16.4%
@ 9.30Very Low
37.6%
Low@ 1.69
-0.5
25.8%
@ 5.50Low
74.2%
High@ 1.22
+0.5
62.5%
@ 2.31High
83.6%
Very High@ 1.03
+1
74.8%
@ 1.70High
93.1%
Very High@ 1.02
+1.5
87.2%
@ 1.44Very High
95.9%
Very High
+2
92.0%
@ 1.18Very High
98.6%
Very High
+2.5
96.8%
@ 1.13Very High

Team Total Predictions

GIL VicenteOutcomeNacional
65.0%
High@ 1.17
Over 0.5
57.3%
@ 1.74Medium
35.0%
Low@ 5.00
Under 0.5
42.7%
@ 2.24Medium
28.3%
Low@ 1.85
Over 1.5
20.9%
@ 4.55Low
71.7%
High@ 1.96
Under 1.5
79.1%
@ 1.24High
9.0%
Very Low@ 3.75
Over 2.5
5.5%
@ 15.00Very Low
91.0%
Very High@ 1.28
Under 2.5
94.5%
@ 1.04Very High
2.2%
Very Low@ 9.00
Over 3.5
1.1%
@ 51.00Very Low
97.8%
Very High@ 1.08
Under 3.5
98.9%
@ 1.00Very High
In this exciting Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, GIL Vicente will take on Nacional as part of the 2025-2026 season in Primeira Liga. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2026-01-17 at 2026-01-17 in the famous Estádio Cidade de Barcelos. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, GIL Vicente, and the visiting side, Nacional. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : GIL Vicente or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-17 Time: 15:30 Location: Estádio Cidade de Barcelos Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for GIL Vicente vs Nacional Saturday, Jan 17th, 2026 at 9:30 Football

AI Value Bets
10 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

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Correct Score 0:0
High Value
Prob: 18.4%
EV: +74.7%
Stake: $0.29
9.50
Double Chance X2
High Value
Prob: 61.3%
EV: +39.2%
Stake: $1.97
2.27
Premium Tip GIL Vicente Under 1.5
💎 Locked
Available for Premium users
Total Home Under 1.5
High Value
Prob: 71.7%
EV: +37.7%
Stake: $2.72
1.92
Double Chance X2
High Value
Prob: 61.3%
EV: +34.9%
Stake: $2.08
2.20
Goals O/U Under 2.5
High Value
Prob: 69.9%
EV: +27.3%
Stake: $3.05
1.82
Asian Handicap Nacional +1
High Value
Prob: 74.8%
EV: +27.2%
Stake: $3.57
1.70
Asian Handicap Nacional +1.5
High Value
Prob: 87.2%
EV: +25.5%
Stake: $5.68
1.44
Win to Nil GIL Vicente NOT Win to Nil
Value
Prob: 75.2%
EV: +11.2%
Stake: $5.21
1.48
BTTS No
Value
Prob: 59.8%
EV: +10.7%
Stake: $2.94
1.85
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-15 02:37:16
spinner

Trends for GIL Vicente vs Nacional Football 17 Jan, 2026 9:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Stalemate

    Both teams boast solid defenses — low-scoring tactical battle expected with few goals

  • 🔒
    Low Scoring Lock

    Both teams consistently play low-scoring matches — Under 2.5 goals highly probable

+4 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 6 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

GIL Vicente vs Nacional

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 GIL Vicente

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.18
Pressure
0.12

✈️ Nacional

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.1
Pressure
0.12

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 GIL Vicente - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

✈️ Nacional - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 GIL Vicente - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
0

✈️ Nacional - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
6
Late Conceded
9

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: GIL Vicente has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider GIL Vicente handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.087
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.003
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.113

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (GIL Vicente):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Nacional):

Momentum: Moderate - team shows stable play. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

GIL Vicente
Nacional

GIL Vicente vs Nacional Head-to-head statistics for Sat 17 Jan, 2026 @ 9:30 Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga 2025-2026 – Group #1

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
3
Benfica
d w w d w
>
17
11
6
0
36
11
25
39
4
GIL Vicente
d d d d d
>
17
7
7
3
22
12
10
28
5
SC Braga
w w l d d
>
17
7
6
4
31
18
13
27

13
Santa Clara
w l d l d
>
17
4
5
8
14
19
-5
17
14
Nacional
l w d l d
>
17
4
5
8
21
26
-5
17
15
Casa Pia
l d w d l
>
17
3
5
9
17
32
-15
14
Team comparison
Prediction
Nacional AH+1.5
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
GIL Vicente
VS
Nacional
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
3 Wins
0 Draws
0 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2.3 (7)
0.3 (1)
xG
1.00
1.20
Shots
12.3 (37)
17.7 (53)
Shots on Target
3.3 (10)
5.3 (16)
Corners
4 (12)
9.7 (29)
Defense
Conceded
0.3 (1)
2.3 (7)
xGa
1.20
1.00
Clean Sheets
2 (67%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
4 (12)
2.3 (7)
Red Cards
0 (0)
0.3 (1)
Fouls
13 (39)
15 (45)
Offsides
1 (3)
2.7 (8)
9 Aug
- 14:30
Nacional
GIL Vicente
0.78
xG
0.64
0
2
19 Apr
- 14:30
Nacional
GIL Vicente
0.79
xG
1.62
0
3
7 Dec
- 15:30
GIL Vicente
Nacional
0.65
xG
2.01
2
1
Last 6 Matches
GIL Vicente
VS
Nacional
0/6 (0%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
0.83 PPG 0.83
1.00 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
67% BTTS % 83%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 33%
0.94 Avg xG 1.25
GIL Vicente
D D D D D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Jan 2026 - 18:45
GIL Vicente
1 1
Sporting CP
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Dec 2025 - 15:30
Arouca
2 2
GIL Vicente
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Dec 2025 - 18:00
GIL Vicente
2 2
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 15:30
Casa Pia
1 1
GIL Vicente
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Dec 2025 - 20:30
Guimaraes
0 0
GIL Vicente
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 20:30
GIL Vicente
0 1
Tondela
Nacional
L W D L D
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
11 Jan 2026 - 15:30
Nacional
3 3
Santa Clara
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
2 Jan 2026 - 20:45
Guimaraes
2 1
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Dec 2025 - 15:30
AVS
2 2
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
15 Dec 2025 - 17:30
Nacional
3 1
Tondela
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 18:00
Alverca
1 0
Nacional
Primeira Liga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 18:00
Nacional
1 2
Benfica

GIL Vicente vs Nacional: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for GIL Vicente and away matches for Nacional

Number of goals
GIL Vicente
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
0.5
20% 2
80% 8
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
GIL Vicente
Nacional
Yes
50% 5
80% 8
No
50% 5
20% 2
1X2
GIL Vicente
Nacional
1
30% 3
20% 2
X
60% 6
40% 4
2
10% 1
40% 4
Double Chance
GIL Vicente
Nacional
12
40% 4
60% 6
1X
90% 9
60% 6
X2
70% 7
80% 8
Total Goals
GIL Vicente
Nacional
0-1
30% 3
20% 2
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
30% 3
40% 4
Total Corners
GIL Vicente
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
7.5
60% 6
40% 4
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
GIL Vicente
Nacional
Yes
40% 4
0% 0
No
60% 6
100% 10
1X2 HT - FT
GIL Vicente
Nacional
HT 1 - FT 1
30% 3
0% 0
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
20% 2
20% 2
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
20% 2
HT X - FT 2
0% 0
30% 3
HT X - FT X
20% 2
10% 1
xG(xGa)
GIL Vicente
Nacional
xG
1.13
1.32
xGa
0.95
1.96
Number of goals
GIL Vicente
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
GIL Vicente
Nacional
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
GIL Vicente
Nacional
1
50% 5
20% 2
X
20% 2
60% 6
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
GIL Vicente
Nacional
12
80% 8
40% 4
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
50% 5
80% 8
Total Goals
GIL Vicente
Nacional
0-1
60% 6
70% 7
2-3
40% 4
20% 2
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
GIL Vicente
Nacional
Yes
60% 6
60% 6
No
40% 4
40% 4
Number of goals
GIL Vicente
Under
Over
Nacional
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
70% 7
30% 3
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
GIL Vicente
Nacional
Yes
10% 1
50% 5
No
90% 9
50% 5
1X2
GIL Vicente
Nacional
1
30% 3
30% 3
X
50% 5
20% 2
2
20% 2
50% 5
Double Chance
GIL Vicente
Nacional
12
50% 5
80% 8
1X
80% 8
50% 5
X2
70% 7
70% 7
Total Goals
GIL Vicente
Nacional
0-1
80% 8
40% 4
2-3
20% 2
50% 5
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
GIL Vicente
Nacional
Yes
70% 7
20% 2
No
30% 3
80% 8
1.11 xG 0.73
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Goal 4
10 Shots Off Goal 9
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
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