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Serie A 2025-2026 | Matchweek 18
3 Jan 2026-14:00
Genoa
Genoa
16th place
- : -
3 Jan 2026 14:00
Pisa
Pisa
19th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

Genoa vs Pisa: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 3 January, 2026 14:00

1×2 Prediction
Genoa
43%25%32%
GenoaDrawPisa
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
52%48%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
55%45%
YesNo
Team Total - Genoa
Under 1.5
57%43%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Pisa
Under 1.5
66%34%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Genoa/Draw
68%32%
1XNOT 1X
Asian Handicap
Genoa +0.5
67%33%
Home +0.5NOT Home +0.5
Best Tip Value
Asian Handicap Pisa +1.5
Odds: 1.29
79.7%
EV: +2.8%
Bet Now
Prediction League
Serie A 2025-2026
14:00
Genoa W 43%
:
Pisa W 32%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.51 vs 1.32
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.01%
0:1
7.87%
0:2
5.16%
0:3
2.25%
0:4
0.74%
0:5
0.19%
1
1:0
8.98%
1:1
11.85%
🔥
1:2
7.82%
1:3
3.44%
1:4
1.13%
1:5
0.3%
2
2:0
6.71%
2:1
8.92%
2:2
5.93%
2:3
2.63%
2:4
0.87%
2:5
0.23%
3
3:0
3.34%
3:1
4.48%
3:2
3%
3:3
1.34%
3:4
0.45%
3:5
0.12%
4
4:0
1.25%
4:1
1.69%
4:2
1.14%
4:3
0.51%
4:4
0.17%
4:5
0.05%
5
5:0
0.37%
5:1
0.51%
5:2
0.34%
5:3
0.16%
5:4
0.05%
5:5
0.01%
Hotspot: 1:1 (11.8%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

6.0%
0
16.8%
1
23.7%
2
22.3%
3
15.8%
4
9.0%
5
4.2%
6
1.5%
7
0.4%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
15
Cagliari
d l w l d
>
16
3
6
7
17
23
-6
15
16
Genoa
d w w l l
>
16
3
5
8
16
24
-8
14
17
Parma
d w l w l
>
15
3
5
7
10
18
-8
14
18
Verona
d l l w w
>
15
2
6
7
13
22
-9
12
19
Pisa
d l l l d
>
16
1
8
7
12
22
-10
11
20
Fiorentina
d l l l w
>
16
1
6
9
17
27
-10
9
1.65 xG 1.79
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 3
10 Shots Off Goal 8
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
Last 6 Matches
Genoa
VS
Pisa
2/6 (33%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
1.33 PPG 0.83
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
83% BTTS % 33%
17% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
1.39 Avg xG 1.23
Genoa
D W W L L
Serie A 2025-2026
21 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Genoa
0 1
Atalanta
Serie A 2025-2026
14 Dec 2025 - 17:00
Genoa
1 2
Inter
Serie A 2025-2026
8 Dec 2025 - 17:00
Udinese
1 2
Genoa
Serie A 2025-2026
29 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Genoa
2 1
Verona
Serie A 2025-2026
22 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Cagliari
3 3
Genoa
Serie A 2025-2026
9 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Genoa
2 2
Fiorentina
Pisa
D L L L D
Serie A 2025-2026
21 Dec 2025 - 11:30
Cagliari
2 2
Pisa
Serie A 2025-2026
12 Dec 2025 - 19:45
Lecce
1 0
Pisa
Serie A 2025-2026
8 Dec 2025 - 14:00
Pisa
0 1
Parma
Serie A 2025-2026
30 Nov 2025 - 14:00
Pisa
0 2
Inter
Serie A 2025-2026
24 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Sassuolo
2 2
Pisa
Serie A 2025-2026
7 Nov 2025 - 19:45
Pisa
1 0
Cremonese
In this exciting Serie A 2025-2026 matchup, Genoa will take on Pisa as part of the 2025-2026 season in Serie A. This match is part of Matchweek 18 and will take place on 2026-01-03 at 2026-01-03 in the famous Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Genoa, and the visiting side, Pisa. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : Genoa or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-03 Time: 14:00 Location: Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Genoa vs Pisa Saturday, Jan 3rd, 2026 at 14:00 Football

Value Bets

3 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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Value
Win to Nil Genoa NOT Win to Nil
Odds: 1.40
81.2%
EV: +13.7% Stake: $6.25
Bet Now
Value
Double Chance 12
Odds: 1.39
75.1%
EV: +4.3% Stake: $6.41
Bet Now
Best Tip Value
Asian Handicap Pisa +1.5
Odds: 1.29
79.7%
EV: +2.8% Stake: $8.62
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-26 02:02:16
spinner

Trends for Genoa vs Pisa Football 3 Jan, 2026 14:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    Genoa struggle to score — failed to find net in 6/9 recent home matches

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

🎯 Betting Analysis

Genoa vs Pisa

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Genoa

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.04

✈️ Pisa

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
16
Momentum
0.35
Pressure
0.05

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Genoa - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1

✈️ Pisa - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.13
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.44
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.38
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.19

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Genoa - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
1
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
2
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
2
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
9

✈️ Pisa - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: Genoa has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider Genoa handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.149
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.008
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.006 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.024 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Genoa):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Pisa):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Genoa
Pisa

Genoa vs Pisa Head-to-head statistics for Sat 3 Jan, 2026 @ 14:00 Serie A

Genoa vs Pisa: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Genoa and away matches for Pisa

Number of goals
Genoa
Under
Over
Pisa
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
50% 5
50% 5
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Genoa
Pisa
Yes
70% 7
40% 4
No
30% 3
60% 6
1X2
Genoa
Pisa
1
30% 3
10% 1
X
30% 3
60% 6
2
40% 4
30% 3
Double Chance
Genoa
Pisa
12
70% 7
40% 4
1X
60% 6
70% 7
X2
70% 7
90% 9
Total Goals
Genoa
Pisa
0-1
20% 2
50% 5
2-3
60% 6
10% 1
4+
20% 2
40% 4
Total Corners
Genoa
Under
Over
Pisa
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Genoa
Pisa
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Genoa
Pisa
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
0% 0
HT 1 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT X - FT X
30% 3
40% 4
xG(xGa)
Genoa
Pisa
xG
1.34
1.16
xGa
1.3
1.32
Number of goals
Genoa
Under
Over
Pisa
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
70% 7
30% 3
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Genoa
Pisa
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2
Genoa
Pisa
1
30% 3
10% 1
X
50% 5
70% 7
2
20% 2
20% 2
Double Chance
Genoa
Pisa
12
50% 5
30% 3
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
70% 7
90% 9
Total Goals
Genoa
Pisa
0-1
60% 6
80% 8
2-3
30% 3
10% 1
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Genoa
Pisa
Yes
50% 5
60% 6
No
50% 5
40% 4
Number of goals
Genoa
Under
Over
Pisa
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Genoa
Pisa
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2
Genoa
Pisa
1
20% 2
20% 2
X
50% 5
50% 5
2
30% 3
30% 3
Double Chance
Genoa
Pisa
12
50% 5
50% 5
1X
70% 7
70% 7
X2
80% 8
80% 8
Total Goals
Genoa
Pisa
0-1
50% 5
60% 6
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Genoa
Pisa
Yes
30% 3
50% 5
No
70% 7
50% 5
Team comparison
Prediction
Pisa AH+1.5
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
7.9%
Low
7.80
5.0%
Low
N/A
-2
14.1%
Low
7.10
9.8%
Low
N/A
-1.5
20.3%
Low
3.85
14.6%
Low
12.00
-1
31.0%
Low
2.92
23.9%
Low
9.80
-0.5
41.6%
Low
1.98
33.3%
Low
4.65
+0.5
66.7%
Medium
1.21
58.4%
Medium
1.97
+1
76.1%
High
1.00
69.0%
Medium
1.44
+1.5
85.4%
High
1.03
79.7%
High
1.29
+2
90.2%
High
N/A
85.9%
High
1.10
+2.5
95.0%
High
N/A
92.1%
High
1.05
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.96%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.544.53%Low2.38
Under 1.555.47%Medium1.61
AwayOver 1.538.18%Low4.90
Under 1.561.82%Medium1.21
HomeOver 2.519.35%Low5.60
Under 2.580.65%High1.16
AwayOver 2.514.86%Low17.00
Under 2.585.14%High1.03
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
club logo
Genoa
Pisa
Played: 0
Wins
0
Draws
0
Wins
0
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
Home Away All
Played 9 7 16
Wins 1 2 3
Draws 3 2 5
Losses 5 3 8
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 0.6 5 1.6 11 1 16
Goals Conceded 1.3 12 1.7 12 1.5 24
Yellow Cards 2 18 2.6 18 2.3 36
Red Cards 0.1 1 0.1 1 0.1 2
Clean Sheets 0.2 2 0 0.1 2
Corners 3.4 31 3.7 26 3.6 57
Fouls 14.2 128 13.3 93 13.8 221
Offsides 1.2 11 1.7 12 1.4 23
Shots 10.9 98 10.6 74 10.8 172
Shots on Goal 3.4 31 4.4 31 3.9 62
Home Away All
Played 8 8 16
Wins 1 0 1
Draws 3 5 8
Losses 4 3 7
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 0.1 1 1.4 11 0.8 12
Goals Conceded 0.6 5 2.1 17 1.4 22
Yellow Cards 1.9 15 1.8 14 1.8 29
Red Cards 0.1 1 0.1 1 0.1 2
Clean Sheets 0.5 4 0 0.3 4
Corners 4 32 2.8 22 3.4 54
Fouls 12.8 102 13 104 12.9 206
Offsides 1.3 10 1.4 11 1.3 21
Shots 10.4 83 9.4 75 9.9 158
Shots on Goal 2.3 18 2.4 19 2.3 37
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