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Union St. Gilloise
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Genk
Genk vs SC Freiburg: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 12 March, 2026 15:00
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
20
Played
7
Wins
6
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(28 total)
xG
1.50
(30.8 total)
Shots per Match
16.5
(329 total)
Shots on Target
5.7
(35% acc)
Corners
6.1
(122 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(15%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.2
(203 total)
Offsides
2
(40 total)
20
Played
10
Wins
4
Draws
6
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.8
(35 total)
xG
1.20
(24.0 total)
Shots per Match
13
(259 total)
Shots on Target
5.7
(44% acc)
Corners
3.9
(77 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(15%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.1
(201 total)
Offsides
1.3
(25 total)
40
Played
17
Wins
10
Draws
13
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6
(63 total)
xG
1.40
(54.8 total)
Shots per Match
14.7
(588 total)
Shots on Target
5.7
(39% acc)
Corners
5
(199 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(15%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
10.1
(404 total)
Offsides
1.6
(65 total)
16
Played
11
Wins
4
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9
(30 total)
xG
1.80
(29.2 total)
Shots per Match
15.5
(248 total)
Shots on Target
5.5
(35% acc)
Corners
5.1
(82 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
0.90
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
9.3
(148 total)
Offsides
1.7
(27 total)
17
Played
3
Wins
5
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(17 total)
xG
1.20
(19.6 total)
Shots per Match
10.5
(178 total)
Shots on Target
3.5
(34% acc)
Corners
4
(68 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
10.4
(177 total)
Offsides
1.8
(31 total)
33
Played
14
Wins
9
Draws
10
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(47 total)
xG
1.50
(48.8 total)
Shots per Match
12.9
(426 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(35% acc)
Corners
4.5
(150 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
9
(27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(4 total)
Fouls
9.8
(325 total)
Offsides
1.8
(58 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.81 vs 1.48
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
1.85%
0:1
2.56%
0:2
1.32%
0:3
0.49%
0:4
0.14%
0:5
0.03%
1
1:0
5.41%
1:1
6.36%
1:2
4.09%
1:3
1.68%
1:4
0.51%
1:5
0.12%
2
2:0
6.34%
2:1
8.96%
🔥
2:2
6.2%
2:3
2.8%
2:4
0.94%
2:5
0.25%
3
3:0
5.17%
⭐
3:1
8.08%
⭐
3:2
6.14%
⭐
3:3
3.04%
⭐
3:4
1.1%
⭐
3:5
0.31%
⭐
4
4:0
3.16%
⭐
4:1
5.41%
⭐
4:2
4.49%
⭐
4:3
2.41%
⭐
4:4
0.95%
⭐
4:5
0.29%
⭐
5
5:0
1.55%
⭐
5:1
2.88%
⭐
5:2
2.59%
⭐
5:3
1.51%
⭐
5:4
0.64%
⭐
5:5
0.21%
Hotspot:
2:1 (9.0%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase matchup, Genk will take on SC Freiburg as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Europa League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-03-12 at 2026-03-12 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Genk, and the visiting side, SC Freiburg. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or SC Freiburg.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-03-12
Time: 20:00
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Genk vs SC Freiburg Thursday, Mar 12th, 2026 at 15:00 Football
AI Value Bets
5 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Genk vs SC Freiburg Football 12 Mar, 2026 15:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 6 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
SC Freiburg have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 67% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
+4 more advanced patterns are hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Genk vs SC Freiburg.
🏆 Match Winner — Genk @ 2.71 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsGenk
High xG PerformanceRecent
Genk create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 7 of their last 7 UEFA Europa League (Home) matches
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Unlock Streak Trends7 / 7100%
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh xG PerformanceRecent
Genk create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 14 of their last 14 UEFA Europa League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends14 / 14100%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Genk demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 1.65 
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Unlock Streak TrendsGenk1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Genk score (1.33/match) and concede (1.33/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 50%)
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Unlock Streak Trends4 / 667%
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — SC Freiburg Win or Draw @ 1.52 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsSC Freiburg
League Best DefenseLeague
SC Freiburg concede only 0.75 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak Trends4 / 470%
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Unlock Streak TrendsUnbeatenRecent
SC Freiburg are unbeaten in 11 of their last 14 UEFA Europa League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends11 / 1479%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡SC Freiburg demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals — SC Freiburg Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.37 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsSC Freiburg
Scored 1+Recent
SC Freiburg scored 1+ goals in 11 of their last 14 UEFA Europa League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends11 / 1479%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡SC Freiburg's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
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Unlock Streak Trends🟨 Cards Over/Under
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Unlock Streak TrendsGenk1 Trends — avg 1.6 (-28% below league)Low Card MatchesLeague
Genk average 1.5 cards/match in all matches (-27% below league avg 2.1) — rank #5 lowest in league
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Unlock Streak Trends12 / 1290%
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Unlock Streak TrendsSC Freiburg1 Trends — avg 1.2 (-46% below league)Low Card MatchesLeague
SC Freiburg average 1.4 cards/match in all matches (-34% below league avg 2.1) — rank #3 lowest in league
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Unlock Streak Trends8 / 890%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Both teams disciplined -
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.25 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsGenk1 Trends — avg 5.5 (+19% above league)Many CornersLeague
Genk average 5.5 corners/match at home (+19% above league avg 4.6)
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Unlock Streak Trends6 / 684%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Genk drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 2.25
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Genk vs SC Freiburg
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: SC Freiburg is stronger in the second half (25 vs 17).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Genk
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.12
Pressure
0.16
✈️ SC Freiburg
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.23
Pressure
0.16
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Genk - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
17
Avg. Goals per Match
0.85
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
✈️ SC Freiburg - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
25
Avg. Goals per Match
1.25
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Genk - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
7
Late Conceded
7
✈️ SC Freiburg - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
11
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
14
Late Surges
11
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
2
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: SC Freiburg shows superior performance after the break (25 vs 17 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of SC Freiburg winning the second half
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.108
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.007
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.098 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Genk):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (SC Freiburg):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
Genk vs SC Freiburg Head-to-head statistics for Thu 12 Mar, 2026 @ 15:00 UEFA Europa League
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or SC Freiburg
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Genk
VS
SC Freiburg
3/6 (50%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
3/6 (50%)
0.00
PPG
0.00
2.17
Avg Goals Scored
1.00
1.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.67
67%
BTTS %
33%
67%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
2.04
Avg xG
1.10
Genk vs SC Freiburg: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Genk and away matches for SC Freiburg
Number of goals
Genk
Under
Over
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
30%
3
70%
7
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
60%
6
40%
4
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Genk
SC Freiburg
Yes
70%
7
40%
4
No
30%
3
60%
6
1X2
Genk
SC Freiburg
1
60%
6
40%
4
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Genk
SC Freiburg
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
40%
4
60%
6
Total Goals
Genk
SC Freiburg
0-1
0%
0
40%
4
2-3
70%
7
40%
4
4+
30%
3
20%
2
Total Corners
Genk
Under
Over
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Genk
SC Freiburg
Yes
20%
2
20%
2
No
80%
8
80%
8
1X2 HT - FT
Genk
SC Freiburg
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
30%
3
10%
1
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
40%
4
HT X - FT X
0%
0
20%
2
xG(xGa)
Genk
SC Freiburg
xG
1.85
1.33
xGa
1.12
1.11
Number of goals
Genk
Under
Over
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Genk
SC Freiburg
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
Genk
SC Freiburg
1
40%
4
30%
3
X
30%
3
70%
7
2
30%
3
0%
0
Double Chance
Genk
SC Freiburg
12
70%
7
30%
3
1X
70%
7
100%
10
X2
60%
6
70%
7
Total Goals
Genk
SC Freiburg
0-1
50%
5
80%
8
2-3
50%
5
10%
1
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Genk
SC Freiburg
Yes
40%
4
80%
8
No
60%
6
20%
2
Number of goals
Genk
Under
Over
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
60%
6
40%
4
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Genk
SC Freiburg
Yes
30%
3
30%
3
No
70%
7
70%
7
1X2
Genk
SC Freiburg
1
60%
6
10%
1
X
10%
1
50%
5
2
30%
3
40%
4
Double Chance
Genk
SC Freiburg
12
90%
9
50%
5
1X
70%
7
60%
6
X2
40%
4
90%
9
Total Goals
Genk
SC Freiburg
0-1
50%
5
50%
5
2-3
40%
4
40%
4
4+
10%
1
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Genk
SC Freiburg
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
2.42
xG
1.48
56%
Ball Possession
44%
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
9
Shots Off Goal
7
6
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
2
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