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Form
Form
Bundesliga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 19
Preview
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
16th place
Form
VS
14:30
24 Jan 2026
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
11th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or VfL Wolfsburg
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 24 January, 2026 8:30

Winner (1x2)-
FSV Mainz 05 to Win
Probability 37%
Total Goals-
Under 2.5
Probability 55%
Both Teams to Score-
Yes
Probability 54%
FSV Mainz 05 Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 86%
VfL Wolfsburg Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 87%
Double Chance-
FSV Mainz 05/Draw
Probability 66%
Asian Handicap-
FSV Mainz 05 +2.5
Probability 96%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Bundesliga 2025-2026
14:30
FSV Mainz 05 W 37%
:
VfL Wolfsburg W 34%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
FSV Mainz 05
d w d d w
13 Played
5 Wins
3 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (16 total)
xG
1.30 (16.7 total)
Shots per Match
13.2 (171 total)
Shots on Target
3.5 (27% acc)
Corners
5.6 (73 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (3 total)
Fouls
11.9 (155 total)
Offsides
2.6 (34 total)
12 Played
2 Wins
4 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (13 total)
xG
0.90 (11.1 total)
Shots per Match
10 (120 total)
Shots on Target
2.8 (28% acc)
Corners
4.4 (53 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (8%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (3 total)
Fouls
11.3 (135 total)
Offsides
2 (24 total)
25 Played
7 Wins
7 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (29 total)
xG
1.10 (27.8 total)
Shots per Match
11.6 (291 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (27% acc)
Corners
5 (126 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (16%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.2 (6 total)
Fouls
11.6 (290 total)
Offsides
2.3 (58 total)
VfL Wolfsburg
w w l l w
9 Played
2 Wins
2 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (15 total)
xG
1.40 (12.6 total)
Shots per Match
12.7 (114 total)
Shots on Target
4.9 (39% acc)
Corners
4.1 (37 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.2 per match
xGa
1.90 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
11.6 (104 total)
Offsides
1.1 (10 total)
8 Played
3 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (11 total)
xG
1.20 (9.8 total)
Shots per Match
9.6 (77 total)
Shots on Target
3.4 (35% acc)
Corners
2.6 (21 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.1 (73 total)
Offsides
1.3 (10 total)
17 Played
5 Wins
3 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (26 total)
xG
1.30 (22.4 total)
Shots per Match
11.2 (191 total)
Shots on Target
4.2 (37% acc)
Corners
3.4 (58 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.2 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (6%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.4 (177 total)
Offsides
1.2 (20 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.31 vs 1.22
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
9.79%
0:1
9.96%
0:2
5.07%
0:3
1.72%
0:4
0.44%
0:5
0.09%
1
1:0
10.84%
1:1
13.02%
🔥
1:2
7.63%
1:3
2.93%
1:4
0.83%
1:5
0.19%
2
2:0
6.01%
2:1
8.31%
2:2
5.54%
2:3
2.4%
2:4
0.76%
2:5
0.19%
3
3:0
2.22%
3:1
3.47%
3:2
2.61%
3:3
1.26%
3:4
0.44%
3:5
0.12%
4
4:0
0.61%
4:1
1.07%
4:2
0.9%
4:3
0.48%
4:4
0.19%
4:5
0.06%
5
5:0
0.14%
5:1
0.26%
5:2
0.24%
5:3
0.14%
5:4
0.06%
5:5
0.02%
Hotspot: 1:1 (13.0%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

9.8%
0
20.8%
1
24.1%
2
19.9%
3
13.0%
4
7.1%
5
3.4%
6
1.4%
7
0.4%
8
0.1%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

FSV Mainz 05HDPVfL Wolfsburg
4.7%
Very Low
-2.5
3.6%
Very Low
10.0%
Very Low
-2
8.0%
Very Low
15.2%
Very Low
-1.5
12.4%
Very Low
26.3%
Low
-1
22.6%
Low
37.4%
Low
-0.5
32.9%
Low
67.1%
High
+0.5
62.6%
High
77.4%
High
+1
73.7%
High
87.6%
Very High
+1.5
84.8%
Very High
92.0%
Very High
+2
90.0%
Very High
96.4%
Very High
+2.5
95.3%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

FSV Mainz 05OutcomeVfL Wolfsburg
73.0%
High
Over 0.5
70.5%
High
27.0%
Low
Under 0.5
29.5%
Low
37.7%
Low
Over 1.5
34.5%
Low
62.3%
High
Under 1.5
65.5%
High
14.5%
Very Low
Over 2.5
12.5%
Very Low
85.5%
Very High
Under 2.5
87.5%
Very High
4.4%
Very Low
Over 3.5
3.6%
Very Low
95.6%
Very High
Under 3.5
96.5%
Very High
In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, FSV Mainz 05 will take on VfL Wolfsburg as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 19 and will take place on 2026-01-24 at 2026-01-24 in the famous MEWA ARENA. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, FSV Mainz 05, and the visiting side, VfL Wolfsburg. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or VfL Wolfsburg. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-24 Time: 14:30 Location: MEWA ARENA Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg Saturday, Jan 24th, 2026 at 8:30 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-15 15:01:34
spinner

Trends for FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg Football 24 Jan, 2026 8:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🚫
    Toothless Attack

    FSV Mainz 05 struggle to score — failed to find net in 5/8 recent home matches

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    FSV Mainz 05 create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

+3 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: VfL Wolfsburg is stronger in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 3).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 FSV Mainz 05

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.4
Pressure
0.14

✈️ VfL Wolfsburg

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.17
Pressure
0.18

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 FSV Mainz 05 - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5

✈️ VfL Wolfsburg - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 FSV Mainz 05 - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
11
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
3
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
2

✈️ VfL Wolfsburg - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
8
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
8
Half-time Spurts
1
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
7
Late Conceded
7

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: VfL Wolfsburg often scores in the first 15 minutes (8 vs 3)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of VfL Wolfsburg scoring first
  • Overall Result: FSV Mainz 05 has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider FSV Mainz 05 handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.232
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.045
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.007 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.098

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (FSV Mainz 05):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (VfL Wolfsburg):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg

FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg Head-to-head statistics for Sat 24 Jan, 2026 @ 8:30 Bundesliga

Bundesliga

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
10
17
5
4
8
23
29
-6
19
11
VfL Wolfsburg
w w l l w
>
17
5
3
9
26
37
-11
18
12
1.FC Köln
d l l d l
>
17
4
5
8
25
29
-4
17

15
FC Augsburg
l w l d l
>
16
4
2
10
17
32
-15
14
16
FSV Mainz 05
l d d d w
>
17
2
6
9
17
29
-12
12
17
FC St. Pauli
l d w d l
>
16
3
3
10
14
28
-14
12
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or VfL Wolfsburg
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
FSV Mainz 05
VS
VfL Wolfsburg
Last 9 Head-to-Head Matches
2 Wins
3 Draws
4 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (13)
2.2 (20)
xG
2.20
1.20
Shots
12.4 (112)
12.1 (109)
Shots on Target
3.9 (35)
3.8 (34)
Corners
6.1 (55)
3.2 (29)
Defense
Conceded
2.2 (20)
1.4 (13)
xGa
1.20
2.20
Clean Sheets
1 (11%)
3 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.7 (24)
1.8 (16)
Red Cards
0.1 (1)
0.1 (1)
Fouls
14.6 (131)
10.1 (91)
Offsides
1.9 (17)
1.1 (10)
31 Aug
- 13:30
VfL Wolfsburg
FSV Mainz 05
0.57
xG
1.69
1
1
19 Apr
- 13:30
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
2.57
xG
1.69
2
2
8 Dec
- 14:30
VfL Wolfsburg
FSV Mainz 05
1.23
xG
2.34
4
3
18 May
- 13:30
VfL Wolfsburg
FSV Mainz 05
1
3
13 Jan
- 14:30
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
1
1
30 Apr
- 15:30
VfL Wolfsburg
FSV Mainz 05
3
0
5 Nov
- 14:30
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
0
3
22 Apr
- 18:30
VfL Wolfsburg
FSV Mainz 05
5
0
4 Dec
- 14:30
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
3
0
Last 6 Matches
FSV Mainz 05
VS
VfL Wolfsburg
2/6 (33%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
4/6 (67%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
1.00 PPG 1.67
1.50 Avg Goals Scored 2.17
1.00 Avg Goals Conceded 2.67
67% BTTS % 100%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 50%
1.15 Avg xG 1.50
FSV Mainz 05
D W D D W
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Jan 2026 - 19:30
FSV Mainz 05
2 1
1. FC Heidenheim
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
10 Jan 2026 - 14:30
Union Berlin
2 2
FSV Mainz 05
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Dec 2025 - 14:30
FSV Mainz 05
0 0
FC St. Pauli
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
18 Dec 2025 - 20:00
FSV Mainz 05
2 0
Samsunspor
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Dec 2025 - 16:30
Bayern München
2 2
FSV Mainz 05
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
11 Dec 2025 - 20:00
Lech Poznan
1 1
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
W W L L W
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Jan 2026 - 17:30
VfL Wolfsburg
2 1
FC St. Pauli
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
11 Jan 2026 - 16:30
Bayern München
8 1
VfL Wolfsburg
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Dec 2025 - 14:30
VfL Wolfsburg
3 4
SC Freiburg
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 14:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 3
VfL Wolfsburg
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 14:30
VfL Wolfsburg
3 1
Union Berlin
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 16:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 1
VfL Wolfsburg

FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Wolfsburg: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for FSV Mainz 05 and away matches for VfL Wolfsburg

Number of goals
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
VfL Wolfsburg
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
0% 0
100% 10
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
Yes
50% 5
90% 9
No
50% 5
10% 1
1X2
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
1
20% 2
40% 4
X
50% 5
10% 1
2
30% 3
50% 5
Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
12
50% 5
90% 9
1X
70% 7
50% 5
X2
80% 8
60% 6
Total Goals
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
0-1
30% 3
10% 1
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
30% 3
60% 6
Total Corners
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
VfL Wolfsburg
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9
1X2 HT - FT
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
20% 2
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
20% 2
HT X - FT X
30% 3
10% 1
xG(xGa)
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
xG
1.08
1.33
xGa
1.9
1.8
Number of goals
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
VfL Wolfsburg
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
Yes
20% 2
50% 5
No
80% 8
50% 5
1X2
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
1
30% 3
40% 4
X
50% 5
40% 4
2
20% 2
20% 2
Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
12
50% 5
60% 6
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
70% 7
60% 6
Total Goals
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
0-1
70% 7
30% 3
2-3
30% 3
60% 6
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
Yes
60% 6
40% 4
No
40% 4
60% 6
Number of goals
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
VfL Wolfsburg
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
1X2
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
1
20% 2
20% 2
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
40% 4
40% 4
Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
60% 6
60% 6
X2
80% 8
80% 8
Total Goals
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
0-1
60% 6
40% 4
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
0% 0
20% 2
Clean Sheet
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
1.47 xG 1.15
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Goal 4
10 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
Newcastle player poised for Bundesliga transfer as two teams prepare bids – sources |
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Full-Time Result: Wolfsburg 1 - 3 Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga Match
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