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Bundesliga 2025-2026 | Matchweek 13
5 Dec 2025-19:30
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
18th place
- : -
days
:
hours
:
minutes
:
seconds
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
12th place
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
Stats

FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 5 December, 2025 13:30

1×2 Prediction
Borussia Mönchengladbach
29%26%45%
FSV Mainz 05DrawBorussia Mönchengladbach
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5
54%46%
Over 2.5Under 2.5
Both Teams Score
Yes
58%42%
YesNo
Team Total - FSV Mainz 05
Under 1.5
65%35%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Team Total - Borussia Mönchengladbach
Under 1.5
51%49%
Under 1.5Over 1.5
Double Chance
Draw/Borussia Mönchengladbach
71%29%
X2NOT X2
Asian Handicap
Borussia Mönchengladbach +1
85%15%
Away +1NOT Away +1
Best Tip Value
Asian Handicap Borussia Mönchengladbach +1
Odds: 1.31
84.6%
EV: +10.9%
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Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.12 vs 1.74
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.92%
0:1
10.78%
0:2
8.39%
0:3
4.35%
0:4
1.69%
0:5
0.53%
1
1:0
6.52%
1:1
11.41%
🔥
1:2
9.86%
1:3
5.62%
1:4
2.39%
1:5
0.8%
2
2:0
3.07%
2:1
5.96%
2:2
5.68%
2:3
3.54%
2:4
1.64%
2:5
0.6%
3
3:0
0.96%
3:1
2.06%
3:2
2.14%
3:3
1.46%
3:4
0.73%
3:5
0.29%
4
4:0
0.23%
4:1
0.53%
4:2
0.6%
4:3
0.44%
4:4
0.24%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.04%
5:1
0.11%
5:2
0.13%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.06%
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot: 1:1 (11.4%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

6.9%
0
17.3%
1
22.9%
2
21.1%
3
15.3%
4
9.2%
5
4.6%
6
1.9%
7
0.6%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

Prediction League

Make your prediction for this match

FSV Mainz 05
vs
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Dec 5, 19:30
Result 1X2
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5
Both Teams Score BTTS
Score (bonus)
:

Bundesliga

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
11
Union Berlin
l d d w l
>
12
4
3
5
15
19
-4
15
12
12
3
4
5
16
19
-3
13
13
Hamburger SV
l l d l w
>
12
3
3
6
11
18
-7
12

17
FC St. Pauli
l l l l l
>
12
2
1
9
10
24
-14
7
18
FSV Mainz 05
l d l d l
>
12
1
3
8
11
23
-12
6
Last 6 Matches
FSV Mainz 05
VS
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1/6 (17%) Victories 3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 2/6 (33%)
0.33 PPG 1.67
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.50 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
50% BTTS % 33%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 50%
1.01 Avg xG 1.53
FSV Mainz 05
W L D L L
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 18:30
SC Freiburg
4 0
FSV Mainz 05
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
27 Nov 2025 - 17:45
Universitatea Craiova
1 0
FSV Mainz 05
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Nov 2025 - 19:30
FSV Mainz 05
1 1
1899 Hoffenheim
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
9 Nov 2025 - 18:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 0
FSV Mainz 05
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - League phase
6 Nov 2025 - 17:45
FSV Mainz 05
2 1
Fiorentina
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Nov 2025 - 14:30
FSV Mainz 05
1 1
Werder Bremen
Borussia Mönchengladbach
L W W W D
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Nov 2025 - 19:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0 0
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Nov 2025 - 14:30
1. FC Heidenheim
0 3
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Nov 2025 - 17:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3 1
1.FC Köln
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Nov 2025 - 14:30
FC St. Pauli
0 4
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
25 Oct 2025 - 13:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0 3
Bayern München
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
17 Oct 2025 - 18:30
Union Berlin
3 1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Missing Players
FSV Mainz 05
19
d
- Injured - Thigh Injury
34
d
- Injured - Knee Injury
31
d
- Suspended - Red Card
8
f
- Suspended - Red Card
27
g
- Injured - (questionable) Groin Injury
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Injured - Thigh Injury
10
f
- Injured - Muscle Injury
29
m
- Injured - Achilles Tendon Injury
1
g
- Injured - Muscle Injury
16
m
- Injured - Muscle Injury
40
f
- Injured - Illness
17
m
- Injured - (questionable) Illness
- Injured - (questionable) Injury
25
m
- Injured - (questionable) Knee Injury
25% Draw 50%
54% Over 2.5 46%
58% Both Teams Score 42%
1.07 xPTS 1.93
1.14 xG [Total: 2.91] 1.77
2 Yellow Cards [Total: 4] 2
6 Corners [Total: 11] 5
4 Offsides [Total: 6] 2
14 Fouls [Total: 24] 10
4 Shots on Goal [Total: 10] 6
In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, FSV Mainz 05 will take on Borussia Mönchengladbach as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 13 and will take place on 2025-12-05 at 2025-12-05 in the famous MEWA ARENA. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, FSV Mainz 05, and the visiting side, Borussia Mönchengladbach. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : Borussia Mönchengladbach. Kickoff Details: Date: 2025-12-05 Time: 19:30 Location: MEWA ARENA Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Friday, Dec 5th, 2025 at 13:30 Football

Value Bets

5 opportunities Min EV: 1.0%

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Value
Double Chance X2
Odds: 1.58
71%
EV: +12.2% Kelly: $10.53
Bet Now
Best Tip Value
Asian Handicap Borussia Mönchengladbach +1
Odds: 1.32
84.6%
EV: +11.7% Kelly: $18.32
Bet Now
Value
Asian Handicap Borussia Mönchengladbach +1.5
Odds: 1.18
92.1%
EV: +8.7% Kelly: $24.24
Bet Now
Value
Win to Nil FSV Mainz 05 NOT Win to Nil
Odds: 1.18
89.3%
EV: +5.4% Kelly: $14.86
Bet Now
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2025-12-05 06:27:15
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Trends for FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Football 5 Dec, 2025 13:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 📈
    Chance Creation Masterclass

    Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances

  • 🔐
    Chance Suppression

    Borussia Mönchengladbach rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — disciplined defensive structure limits opposition

🎯 Betting Analysis

FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods


💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 FSV Mainz 05

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.24
Pressure
0.14

✈️ Borussia Mönchengladbach

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.06
Pressure
0.15

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 FSV Mainz 05 - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45

✈️ Borussia Mönchengladbach - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 FSV Mainz 05 - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5

✈️ Borussia Mönchengladbach - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
10
Killer Goals
11
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
1
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
9

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • Overall Result: FSV Mainz 05 has an advantage in the match
  • Home Handicap: Consider FSV Mainz 05 handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.295
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.01
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.045

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (FSV Mainz 05):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Borussia Mönchengladbach):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach

FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Head-to-head statistics for Fri 5 Dec, 2025 @ 13:30 Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams

Home/Away: Shows home matches for FSV Mainz 05 and away matches for Borussia Mönchengladbach

Number of goals

Number of goals
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
60% 6
40% 4
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Yes
50% 5
40% 4
No
50% 5
60% 6

1X2

1X2
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
20% 2
30% 3
2
60% 6
40% 4

Double Chance

Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
12
80% 8
70% 7
1X
40% 4
60% 6
X2
80% 8
70% 7

Total Goals

Total Goals
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0-1
30% 3
20% 2
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
30% 3
50% 5

Total Corners

Total Corners
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Yes
10% 1
40% 4
No
90% 9
60% 6

1X2 HT - FT

1X2 HT - FT
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
30% 3
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
30% 3
10% 1
HT X - FT X
0% 0
30% 3

xG(xGa)

xG(xGa)
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
xG
1.24
1.34
xGa
1.66
1.51

Number of goals

Number of goals
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9

1X2

1X2
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
50% 5
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
50% 5
70% 7
X2
80% 8
70% 7

Total Goals

Total Goals
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0-1
60% 6
60% 6
2-3
30% 3
30% 3
4+
10% 1
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Yes
40% 4
70% 7
No
60% 6
30% 3

Number of goals

Number of goals
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0

Both teams to score

Both teams to score
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Yes
10% 1
30% 3
No
90% 9
70% 7

1X2

1X2
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
30% 3
40% 4
X
10% 1
30% 3
2
60% 6
30% 3

Double Chance

Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
12
90% 9
70% 7
1X
40% 4
70% 7
X2
70% 7
60% 6

Total Goals

Total Goals
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0-1
60% 6
30% 3
2-3
40% 4
60% 6
4+
0% 0
10% 1

Clean Sheet

Clean Sheet
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
Team comparison
Prediction
Borussia Mönchengladbach AH+1
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

HandicapHomeAway
-2.5
2.1%
Low
10.50
11.1%
Low
12.00
-2
5.0%
Low
9.30
19.0%
Low
11.00
-1.5
7.9%
Low
4.75
26.9%
Low
5.50
-1
15.3%
Low
4.00
39.3%
Low
4.76
-0.5
22.8%
Low
2.50
51.7%
Medium
2.80
+0.5
48.3%
Low
1.50
77.2%
High
1.62
+1
60.7%
Medium
1.21
84.6%
High
1.32
+1.5
73.1%
High
1.15
92.1%
High
1.18
+2
81.0%
High
1.04
95.0%
High
1.01
+2.5
88.9%
High
1.03
97.9%
High
1.04
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
  • Total outcomes: 20
  • Sum of probabilities: 999.91%
  • Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
  • ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)

Match Prediction: Home vs Away

Team Total Predictions

TeamOutcomeProbabilityConfidenceBest Odds
HomeOver 1.530.96%Low2.15
Under 1.569.04%Medium1.73
AwayOver 1.551.86%Medium2.32
Under 1.548.14%Low1.63
HomeOver 2.510.44%Low4.80
Under 2.589.56%High1.20
AwayOver 2.525.30%Low5.25
Under 2.574.70%High1.17
Team Total Details
  • Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
  • Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
  • Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
7 Mar
- 19:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05
1.29
xG
1.89
1
3
25 Oct
- 18:30
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.65
xG
0.60
1
1
2 Mar
- 14:30
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
1
6 Oct
- 18:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05
2
2
24 Feb
- 19:30
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4
0
4 Sep
- 15:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05
0
1
3 Apr
- 15:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FSV Mainz 05
1
1
5 Nov
- 19:30
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
1
club logo
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Played: 8
Wins
3
Draws
5
Wins
0
Total
Per Match
 
Per Match
Total
14
1.8
Goals
0.9
7
7
0.9
Goals Conceded
1.8
14
19
2.4
Yellow Cards
1.9
15
1
0.1
Red Cards
0.1
1
2
0.3
Clean Sheets
0
47
5.9
Corners
4.4
35
109
13.6
Fouls
10.3
82
16
2
Offsides
2.6
21
137
17.1
Shots
13.4
107
55
6.9
Shots on Goal
4.9
39
Home Away All
Played 6 6 12
Wins 0 1 1
Draws 2 1 3
Losses 4 4 8
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 0.8 5 1 6 0.9 11
Goals Conceded 1.7 10 2.2 13 1.9 23
Yellow Cards 2 12 2.8 17 2.4 29
Red Cards 0.5 3 0.3 2 0.4 5
Clean Sheets 0 0 0
Corners 4.7 28 4.7 28 4.7 56
Fouls 12.5 75 12.2 73 12.3 148
Offsides 3.5 21 1.8 11 2.7 32
Shots 12.8 77 9.2 55 11 132
Shots on Goal 3 18 2.3 14 2.7 32
Home Away All
Played 7 5 12
Wins 1 2 3
Draws 3 1 4
Losses 3 2 5
Home Away All
Per Match Total Per Match Total Per Match Total
Goals 1 7 1.8 9 1.3 16
Goals Conceded 2 14 1 5 1.6 19
Yellow Cards 1.4 10 1.6 8 1.5 18
Red Cards 0.1 1 0 0.1 1
Clean Sheets 0.4 3 0.4 2 0.4 5
Corners 4.4 31 5 25 4.7 56
Fouls 10.7 75 11 55 10.8 130
Offsides 2 14 2.2 11 2.1 25
Shots 10.4 73 13.4 67 11.7 140
Shots on Goal 3.6 25 5.8 29 4.5 54