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Bundesliga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 31
Preview
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05
10th place
Form
VS
13:30
25 Apr 2026
Bayern München
Bayern München
1st place
Form
AI Prediction Winner : Bayern München
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 25 April, 2026 8:30

Winner (1x2)1.63
Bayern München to Win
Probability 81%
Total Goals1.42
Over 2.5
Probability 74%
Both Teams to Score1.50
Yes
Probability 56%
FSV Mainz 05 Total1.48
Home Under 1.5
Probability 78%
Bayern München Total2.43
Away Over 2.5
Probability 59%
Double Chance1.22
Draw/Bayern München
Probability 93%
Asian Handicap1.99
Bayern München -1
Probability 72%
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Prediction League
Bundesliga 2025-2026
13:30
FSV Mainz 05 W 7%
:
Bayern München W 81%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
FSV Mainz 05
w w l l d
21 Played
10 Wins
5 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (30 total)
xG
1.50 (31.3 total)
Shots per Match
13.4 (282 total)
Shots on Target
4.2 (31% acc)
Corners
6 (126 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
11.7 (246 total)
Offsides
2.4 (51 total)
21 Played
5 Wins
7 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (22 total)
xG
1.10 (22.2 total)
Shots per Match
9.6 (202 total)
Shots on Target
3.2 (34% acc)
Corners
4 (85 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
10.3 (216 total)
Offsides
2.4 (50 total)
42 Played
15 Wins
12 Draws
15 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2 (52 total)
xG
1.30 (53.5 total)
Shots per Match
11.5 (484 total)
Shots on Target
3.7 (32% acc)
Corners
5 (211 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.30 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (21%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (6 total)
Fouls
11 (462 total)
Offsides
2.4 (101 total)
Bayern München
w w w w w
21 Played
19 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
3.8 (80 total)
xG
3.00 (62.4 total)
Shots per Match
21.1 (444 total)
Shots on Target
8.6 (41% acc)
Corners
6.9 (145 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.00 per match
Clean Sheets
7 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
9.2 (194 total)
Offsides
2 (43 total)
21 Played
17 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
3.2 (67 total)
xG
2.50 (52.3 total)
Shots per Match
16.6 (348 total)
Shots on Target
7.9 (47% acc)
Corners
5.1 (107 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
6 (29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
9.4 (198 total)
Offsides
2.2 (46 total)
42 Played
36 Wins
4 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
3.5 (147 total)
xG
2.70 (114.6 total)
Shots per Match
18.9 (792 total)
Shots on Target
8.2 (44% acc)
Corners
6 (252 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
1.10 per match
Clean Sheets
13 (31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.8 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (4 total)
Fouls
9.3 (392 total)
Offsides
2.1 (89 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 0.87 vs 3.05
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
2.53%
0:1
7.33%
0:2
10.64%
🔥
0:3
10.29%
0:4
7.46%
0:5
4.33%
1
1:0
1.82%
1:1
5.67%
1:2
8.76%
1:3
9%
1:4
6.91%
1:5
4.23%
2
2:0
0.66%
2:1
2.18%
2:2
3.58%
2:3
3.9%
2:4
3.16%
2:5
2.04%
3
3:0
0.16%
3:1
0.56%
3:2
0.97%
3:3
1.12%
3:4
0.95%
3:5
0.65%
4
4:0
0.03%
4:1
0.11%
4:2
0.2%
4:3
0.24%
4:4
0.21%
4:5
0.15%
5
5:0
0%
5:1
0.02%
5:2
0.03%
5:3
0.04%
5:4
0.04%
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot: 0:2 (10.6%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

2.5%
0
9.2%
1
17.0%
2
21.4%
3
20.6%
4
16.2%
5
8.7%
6
3.3%
7
0.9%
8
0.2%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

FSV Mainz 05HDPBayern München
0.4%
Very Low
-2.5
41.0%
@ 4.15Medium
1.0%
Very Low
-2
51.6%
@ 3.82Medium
1.7%
Very Low@ 9.90
-1.5
62.3%
@ 2.52High
4.2%
Very Low@ 8.80
-1
71.9%
@ 1.99High
6.6%
Very Low@ 4.80
-0.5
81.5%
@ 1.62Very High
18.6%
Very Low@ 2.42
+0.5
93.4%
@ 1.18Very High
28.1%
Low@ 1.94
+1
95.8%
@ 1.01Very High
37.7%
Low@ 1.62
+1.5
98.3%
@ 1.03Very High
48.4%
Medium@ 1.38
+2
99.0%
Very High
59.0%
Medium@ 1.22
+2.5
99.6%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

FSV Mainz 05OutcomeBayern München
21.7%
Low@ 2.71
Over 1.5
80.8%
@ 1.45Very High
78.3%
High@ 1.48
Under 1.5
19.2%
@ 2.81Very Low
5.8%
Very Low@ 7.00
Over 2.5
58.8%
@ 2.43Medium
94.2%
Very High@ 1.13
Under 2.5
41.2%
@ 1.59Medium

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München Saturday, Apr 25th, 2026 at 8:30 Football

AI Value Bets
9 Found

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Asian Handicap Bayern München -1.5
High Value
Prob: 62.3%
EV: +57.0%
Stake: $1.64
2.52
Asian Handicap Bayern München -1
High Value
Prob: 71.9%
EV: +43.0%
Stake: $2.53
1.99
Match Winner Bayern München
High Value
Prob: 80.6%
EV: +31.4%
Stake: $3.97
1.63
Away Total Bayern München Over 1.5
High Value
Prob: 80.8%
EV: +17.2%
Stake: $5.56
1.45
Home Total FSV Mainz 05 Under 1.5
High Value
Prob: 78.3%
EV: +15.9%
Stake: $5.21
1.48
Double Chance X2
Value
Prob: 93%
EV: +13.4%
Stake: $10.00
1.22
Correct Score 0:2
Value
Prob: 9.6%
EV: +8.3%
Stake: $0.24
11.25
Double Chance 12
Value
Prob: 87.7%
EV: +7.0%
Stake: $10.00
1.22
Goals O/U Over 2.5
Value
Prob: 73.9%
EV: +5.0%
Stake: $5.95
1.42
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-04-20 02:45:33
spinner

Trends for FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München Football 25 Apr, 2026 8:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🧱
    Defensive Fortress

    Bayern München have league's best defense — hard to break down

  • 📈
    Chance Creation Masterclass

    Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances

+5 more advanced patterns are hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 7 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: FSV Mainz 05 is stronger in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2).
⚡ Final Stage: FSV Mainz 05 is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 7).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 FSV Mainz 05

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.32
Pressure
0.18

✈️ Bayern München

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.08
Pressure
0.07

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 FSV Mainz 05 - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5

✈️ Bayern München - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 FSV Mainz 05 - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
6
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
10
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
10
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
4

✈️ Bayern München - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
9
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
13
Killer Goals
14
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
12
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
16

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: FSV Mainz 05 often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 2)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of FSV Mainz 05 scoring first
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: FSV Mainz 05 excels in the closing minutes (10 vs 7 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of FSV Mainz 05 scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: Bayern München has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Bayern München handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.396
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.106
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.015 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.09

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (FSV Mainz 05):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Bayern München):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München Head-to-head statistics for Sat 25 Apr, 2026 @ 8:30 Bundesliga

Bundesliga

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
1
Bayern München
d w w w w
>
30
25
4
1
109
29
80
79
2
30
19
7
4
61
31
30
64

9
FC Augsburg
l l d d w
>
30
10
6
14
38
54
-16
36
10
FSV Mainz 05
w w w l d
>
30
8
10
12
36
45
-9
34
11
Union Berlin
w l d l l
>
30
8
8
14
34
52
-18
32
Team comparison
Prediction
Winner : Bayern München
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: +1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
FSV Mainz 05
VS
Bayern München
Last 9 Head-to-Head Matches
3 Wins
1 Draws
5 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (15)
3 (27)
xG
0.70
2.20
Shots
11.7 (105)
16.4 (148)
Shots on Target
3.7 (33)
6.4 (58)
Corners
3.3 (30)
6 (54)
Defense
Conceded
3 (27)
1.7 (15)
xGa
2.20
0.70
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (11%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 (17)
1.9 (17)
Fouls
12.2 (110)
9.6 (86)
Offsides
1.4 (13)
1.6 (14)
14 Dec
- 16:30
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
4.24
xG
0.60
2
2
Prob 82%
Asian Handicap H-1.5
Odd 1.30
26 Apr
- 13:30
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
1.01
xG
0.44
3
0
14 Dec
- 14:30
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
1.06
xG
1.39
2
1
9 Mar
- 14:30
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
8
1
21 Oct
- 16:30
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
1
3
22 Apr
- 13:30
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
3
1
29 Oct
- 13:30
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
6
2
30 Apr
- 13:30
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
3
1
11 Dec
- 14:30
Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05
2
1
Last 6 Matches
FSV Mainz 05
VS
Bayern München
3/6 (50%) Victories 6/6 (100%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 0/6 (0%)
1.83 PPG 2.67
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 3.67
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
50% BTTS % 67%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 83%
1.24 Avg xG 3.33
FSV Mainz 05
W W L L D
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
19 Apr 2026 - 17:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 1
FSV Mainz 05
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
16 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Strasbourg
4 0
FSV Mainz 05
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
12 Apr 2026 - 17:30
FSV Mainz 05
0 1
SC Freiburg
UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - Knockout phase
9 Apr 2026 - 19:00
FSV Mainz 05
2 0
Strasbourg
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Apr 2026 - 13:30
1899 Hoffenheim
1 2
FSV Mainz 05
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Mar 2026 - 14:30
FSV Mainz 05
2 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bayern München
W W W W W
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
19 Apr 2026 - 15:30
Bayern München
4 2
VfB Stuttgart
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
15 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Bayern München
4 3
Real Madrid
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
11 Apr 2026 - 16:30
FC St. Pauli
0 5
Bayern München
UEFA Champions League 2025-2026 - Qualifying rounds
7 Apr 2026 - 19:00
Real Madrid
1 2
Bayern München
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
4 Apr 2026 - 13:30
SC Freiburg
2 3
Bayern München
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Mar 2026 - 14:30
Bayern München
4 0
Union Berlin

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for FSV Mainz 05 and away matches for Bayern München

Number of goals
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
Bayern München
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
0% 0
100% 10
1.5
40% 4
60% 6
10% 1
90% 9
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
20% 2
80% 8
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
30% 3
70% 7
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
Both teams to score
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
Yes
40% 4
80% 8
No
60% 6
20% 2
1X2
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
1
50% 5
90% 9
X
30% 3
10% 1
2
20% 2
0% 0
Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
12
70% 7
90% 9
1X
80% 8
100% 10
X2
50% 5
10% 1
Total Goals
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
0-1
20% 2
0% 0
2-3
60% 6
20% 2
4+
20% 2
80% 8
Total Corners
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
Bayern München
Under
Over
7.5
90% 9
10% 1
50% 5
50% 5
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
60% 6
40% 4
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
70% 7
30% 3
Clean Sheet
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
Yes
40% 4
20% 2
No
60% 6
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
70% 7
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
30% 3
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT X
10% 1
0% 0
xG(xGa)
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
xG
1.34
3.24
xGa
1.02
1.4
Number of goals
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
Bayern München
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
50% 5
50% 5
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
1
30% 3
70% 7
X
50% 5
10% 1
2
20% 2
20% 2
Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
12
50% 5
90% 9
1X
80% 8
80% 8
X2
70% 7
30% 3
Total Goals
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
0-1
60% 6
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
30% 3
4+
0% 0
20% 2
Clean Sheet
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
Yes
60% 6
70% 7
No
40% 4
30% 3
Number of goals
FSV Mainz 05
Under
Over
Bayern München
Under
Over
0.5
40% 4
60% 6
0% 0
100% 10
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
30% 3
70% 7
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
60% 6
40% 4
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
Yes
10% 1
60% 6
No
90% 9
40% 4
1X2
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
1
50% 5
80% 8
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
30% 3
0% 0
Double Chance
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
70% 7
100% 10
X2
50% 5
20% 2
Total Goals
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
0-1
70% 7
10% 1
2-3
30% 3
50% 5
4+
0% 0
40% 4
Clean Sheet
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
Yes
70% 7
40% 4
No
30% 3
60% 6
0.87 xG 2.91
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Goal 6
8 Shots Off Goal 8
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
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In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, FSV Mainz 05 will take on Bayern München as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 31 and will take place on 2026-04-25 at 2026-04-25 in the famous MEWA ARENA. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, FSV Mainz 05, and the visiting side, Bayern München. The scoreline predictions suggest Winner : Bayern München. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-04-25 Time: 13:30 Location: MEWA ARENA Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!