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Form
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
11th place
Form
VS
19:00
20 Feb 2026
Excelsior
Excelsior
12th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : draw or Excelsior
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 20 February, 2026 13:00

Winner (1x2)2.40
Fortuna Sittard to Win
Probability 53%
Total Goals1.87
Over 2.5
Probability 67%
Both Teams to Score1.67
Yes
Probability 61%
Fortuna Sittard Total2.20
Home Over 1.5
Probability 58%
Excelsior Total1.54
Away Under 1.5
Probability 65%
Double Chance1.42
Fortuna Sittard/Draw
Probability 80%
Asian Handicap1.44
Fortuna Sittard +0.5
Probability 78%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Eredivisie 2025-2026
19:00
Fortuna Sittard W 56%
:
Excelsior W 23%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
Fortuna Sittard
l w l d l
11 Played
5 Wins
3 Draws
3 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7 (19 total)
xG
1.40 (15.5 total)
Shots per Match
15.2 (167 total)
Shots on Target
4.5 (29% acc)
Corners
5.2 (57 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
13.5 (149 total)
Offsides
1.8 (20 total)
12 Played
2 Wins
2 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (15 total)
xG
0.80 (9.2 total)
Shots per Match
10.1 (121 total)
Shots on Target
4.3 (42% acc)
Corners
3.6 (43 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1 per match
xGa
1.70 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.7 (152 total)
Offsides
1.6 (19 total)
23 Played
7 Wins
5 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5 (34 total)
xG
1.10 (24.7 total)
Shots per Match
12.5 (288 total)
Shots on Target
4.3 (35% acc)
Corners
4.3 (100 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
13.1 (301 total)
Offsides
1.7 (39 total)
Excelsior
d d d w l
12 Played
4 Wins
2 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (13 total)
xG
1.30 (15.3 total)
Shots per Match
11.6 (139 total)
Shots on Target
3.6 (31% acc)
Corners
4.1 (49 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.3 per match
xGa
1.80 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (3 total)
Fouls
11.9 (143 total)
Offsides
1.3 (15 total)
11 Played
3 Wins
3 Draws
5 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (12 total)
xG
1.10 (11.7 total)
Shots per Match
10.5 (116 total)
Shots on Target
3.9 (37% acc)
Corners
4.3 (47 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1 per match
xGa
1.80 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
12.8 (141 total)
Offsides
0.5 (5 total)
23 Played
7 Wins
5 Draws
11 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (25 total)
xG
1.20 (27.1 total)
Shots per Match
11.1 (255 total)
Shots on Target
3.7 (34% acc)
Corners
4.2 (96 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.80 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (3 total)
Fouls
12.3 (284 total)
Offsides
0.9 (20 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 2.15 vs 1.29
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.35%
0:1
4.39%
0:2
2.22%
0:3
0.75%
0:4
0.19%
0:5
0.04%
1
1:0
8.13%
1:1
9.43%
1:2
5.38%
1:3
2.02%
1:4
0.56%
1:5
0.12%
2
2:0
7.6%
2:1
9.96%
🔥
2:2
6.35%
2:3
2.64%
2:4
0.81%
2:5
0.19%
3
3:0
4.74%
3:1
6.92%
3:2
4.89%
3:3
2.24%
3:4
0.75%
3:5
0.2%
4
4:0
2.22%
4:1
3.57%
4:2
2.77%
4:3
1.39%
4:4
0.51%
4:5
0.14%
5
5:0
0.83%
5:1
1.46%
5:2
1.24%
5:3
0.67%
5:4
0.27%
5:5
0.08%
Hotspot: 2:1 (10.0%)
Total Boundaries: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

4.3%
0
12.5%
1
19.3%
2
20.8%
3
17.7%
4
12.5%
5
7.4%
6
3.6%
7
1.4%
8
0.4%
9
0.1%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

Fortuna SittardHDPExcelsior
13.8%
Very Low@ 9.50
-2.5
2.3%
@ 12.00Very Low
22.2%
Low@ 7.80
-2
5.2%
@ 10.50Very Low
30.5%
Low@ 4.50
-1.5
8.0%
@ 6.00Very Low
42.5%
Medium@ 3.74
-1
15.1%
@ 5.00Very Low
54.5%
Medium@ 2.37
-0.5
22.1%
@ 2.90Low
77.9%
High@ 1.44
+0.5
45.5%
@ 1.63Medium
84.9%
Very High@ 1.17
+1
57.5%
@ 1.31Medium
92.0%
Very High@ 1.13
+1.5
69.5%
@ 1.19High
94.8%
Very High@ 1.01
+2
77.8%
@ 1.11High
97.7%
Very High@ 1.02
+2.5
86.2%
@ 1.04Very High

Team Total Predictions

Fortuna SittardOutcomeExcelsior
58.0%
Medium@ 2.20
Over 1.5
34.5%
@ 2.55Low
42.0%
Medium@ 1.73
Under 1.5
65.5%
@ 1.52High
31.0%
Low@ 5.00
Over 2.5
13.0%
@ 6.00Very Low
69.0%
High@ 1.19
Under 2.5
87.0%
@ 1.13Very High
In this exciting Eredivisie 2025-2026 matchup, Fortuna Sittard will take on Excelsior as part of the 2025-2026 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-20 at 2026-02-20 in the famous Fortuna Sittard Stadion. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Fortuna Sittard, and the visiting side, Excelsior. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Excelsior. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-02-20 Time: 19:00 Location: Fortuna Sittard Stadion Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior Friday, Feb 20th, 2026 at 13:00 Football

AI Value Bets
4 Found

💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator

Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.

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Match Winner Fortuna Sittard
High Value
Prob: 53%
EV: +27.3%
Stake: $1.79
2.40
Goals O/U Over 2.5
High Value
Prob: 67%
EV: +25.3%
Stake: $2.87
1.87
Double Chance 1X
Value
Prob: 79.6%
EV: +13.1%
Stake: $5.95
1.42
BTTS Yes
Value
Prob: 61.1%
EV: +2.1%
Stake: $3.73
1.67
Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-02-17 03:01:16
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Trends for Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior Football 20 Feb, 2026 13:00

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    Fortuna Sittard create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

  • 🟨
    Physical Battle Expected

    High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

Unlock Premium Insights

🎯 Betting Analysis

Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Fortuna Sittard is stronger in the first 15 minutes (10 vs 5).
⏰ First Half: Fortuna Sittard is stronger in the first half (19 vs 9).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 Fortuna Sittard

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.01
Pressure
0.2

✈️ Excelsior

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.22
Pressure
0.13

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 Fortuna Sittard - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
19
Avg. Goals per Match
0.95
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35

✈️ Excelsior - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 Fortuna Sittard - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
15
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
10
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
10
Half-time Spurts
9
Second Half Starts
3
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
7

✈️ Excelsior - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
2
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
8

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Home Fast Start: Fortuna Sittard often scores in the first 15 minutes (10 vs 5)
  • First Goal Home: High probability of Fortuna Sittard scoring first
  • ⏰ Home First Half: Fortuna Sittard is stronger in the first half (19 vs 9)
  • First Half Result: Consider Fortuna Sittard to win the first half
  • Overall Result: Excelsior has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Excelsior handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.233
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.075
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.03 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (Fortuna Sittard):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Excelsior):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior

Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior Head-to-head statistics for Fri 20 Feb, 2026 @ 13:00 Eredivisie

Eredivisie

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : draw or Excelsior
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Fortuna Sittard
VS
Excelsior
Last 2 Head-to-Head Matches
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (2)
1.5 (3)
xG
1.10
1.10
Shots
14 (28)
10 (20)
Shots on Target
5.5 (11)
5.5 (11)
Corners
4 (8)
2 (4)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 (3)
1 (2)
xGa
1.10
1.10
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 (5)
0.5 (1)
Fouls
12.5 (25)
7.5 (15)
Offsides
3 (6)
0.5 (1)
19 Oct
- 12:30
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
1.08
xG
1.06
1
0
26 Aug
- 19:00
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
2
2
Last 6 Matches
Fortuna Sittard
VS
Excelsior
1/6 (17%) Victories 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 4/6 (67%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 1/6 (17%)
0.83 PPG 1.17
1.50 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
2.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
100% BTTS % 67%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 0%
0.68 Avg xG 0.99
Fortuna Sittard
L W L D L
Eredivisie 2025-2026
14 Feb 2026 - 19:00
Ajax
4 1
Fortuna Sittard
Eredivisie 2025-2026
7 Feb 2026 - 20:00
Fortuna Sittard
2 2
Sparta Rotterdam
Eredivisie 2025-2026
1 Feb 2026 - 13:30
Heracles
2 1
Fortuna Sittard
Eredivisie 2025-2026
25 Jan 2026 - 13:30
Groningen
1 2
Fortuna Sittard
Eredivisie 2025-2026
17 Jan 2026 - 19:00
Fortuna Sittard
1 2
PSV Eindhoven
Eredivisie 2025-2026
11 Jan 2026 - 13:30
GO Ahead Eagles
2 2
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
D D D W L
Eredivisie 2025-2026
14 Feb 2026 - 17:45
Excelsior
1 2
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie 2025-2026
6 Feb 2026 - 19:00
NAC Breda
0 2
Excelsior
Eredivisie 2025-2026
1 Feb 2026 - 11:15
Excelsior
2 2
Ajax
Eredivisie 2025-2026
24 Jan 2026 - 20:00
Twente
0 0
Excelsior
Eredivisie 2025-2026
21 Jan 2026 - 17:45
AZ Alkmaar
1 1
Excelsior
Eredivisie 2025-2026
17 Jan 2026 - 19:00
Excelsior
2 2
Telstar

Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for Fortuna Sittard and away matches for Excelsior

Number of goals
Fortuna Sittard
Under
Over
Excelsior
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
90% 9
10% 1
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
Yes
90% 9
60% 6
No
10% 1
40% 4
1X2
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
30% 3
40% 4
2
50% 5
30% 3
Double Chance
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
12
70% 7
60% 6
1X
50% 5
70% 7
X2
80% 8
70% 7
Total Goals
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
0-1
10% 1
20% 2
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
50% 5
30% 3
Total Corners
Fortuna Sittard
Under
Over
Excelsior
Under
Over
7.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
80% 8
20% 2
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
Yes
0% 0
30% 3
No
100% 10
70% 7
1X2 HT - FT
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
10% 1
HT 1 - FT X
20% 2
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
30% 3
10% 1
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
10% 1
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
10% 1
HT X - FT X
10% 1
30% 3
xG(xGa)
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
xG
0.99
1.1
xGa
1.7
1.69
Number of goals
Fortuna Sittard
Under
Over
Excelsior
Under
Over
0.5
10% 1
90% 9
50% 5
50% 5
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
Yes
70% 7
10% 1
No
30% 3
90% 9
1X2
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
1
30% 3
40% 4
X
40% 4
40% 4
2
30% 3
20% 2
Double Chance
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
12
60% 6
60% 6
1X
70% 7
80% 8
X2
70% 7
60% 6
Total Goals
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
0-1
30% 3
70% 7
2-3
50% 5
20% 2
4+
20% 2
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
Yes
20% 2
80% 8
No
80% 8
20% 2
Number of goals
Fortuna Sittard
Under
Over
Excelsior
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
1X2
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
1
10% 1
10% 1
X
40% 4
60% 6
2
50% 5
30% 3
Double Chance
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
12
60% 6
40% 4
1X
50% 5
70% 7
X2
90% 9
90% 9
Total Goals
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
0-1
60% 6
40% 4
2-3
40% 4
50% 5
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
Yes
30% 3
40% 4
No
70% 7
60% 6
Missing Players
Fortuna Sittard
Excelsior
20
m
- Injured - Jumpers knee
2.03 xG 1.22
56% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots Off Goal 7
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
No Posts Found