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Fortuna Sittard
1
1
Heracles
Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 6 December, 2025 11:45
Premium Tip
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Upgrade to PremiumProbable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.68 vs 1.25
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.36%
⭐
0:1
6.92%
0:2
3.77%
0:3
1.37%
0:4
0.37%
0:5
0.08%
1
1:0
9.65%
⭐
1:1
11.51%
🔥
1:2
6.82%
1:3
2.67%
1:4
0.78%
1:5
0.18%
2
2:0
7.32%
⭐
2:1
9.5%
⭐
2:2
6.08%
2:3
2.57%
2:4
0.81%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
3.7%
⭐
3:1
5.19%
⭐
3:2
3.58%
⭐
3:3
1.62%
3:4
0.54%
3:5
0.14%
4
4:0
1.4%
⭐
4:1
2.12%
⭐
4:2
1.56%
⭐
4:3
0.76%
⭐
4:4
0.27%
4:5
0.08%
5
5:0
0.43%
⭐
5:1
0.69%
⭐
5:2
0.54%
⭐
5:3
0.28%
⭐
5:4
0.11%
⭐
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot:
1:1 (11.5%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
Last 6 Matches
Fortuna Sittard
VS
Ajax
1/6 (17%)
Victories
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
4/6 (67%)
0.83
PPG
1.17
1.17
Avg Goals Scored
0.83
1.67
Avg Goals Conceded
1.67
67%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
0%
1.26
Avg xG
0.82
Missing Players
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Ankle Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Back Injury
-
Injured - Groin Injury
-
Injured - (questionable) Injury
1.67
xG [Total: 2.94]
1.27
2
Yellow Cards [Total: 4]
2
6
Corners [Total: 11]
5
2
Offsides [Total: 3]
1
13
Fouls [Total: 23]
10
4
Shots on Goal [Total: 9]
5
In this exciting Eredivisie 2025-2026 matchup, Fortuna Sittard will take on Ajax as part of the 2025-2026 season in Eredivisie. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2025-12-06 at 2025-12-06 in the famous Fortuna Sittard Stadion.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Fortuna Sittard, and the visiting side, Ajax. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : draw or Ajax.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2025-12-06
Time: 17:45
Location: Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Saturday, Dec 6th, 2025 at 11:45 Football
Value Bets
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Best Tip
High Value
Asian Handicap
Fortuna Sittard +1
Odds:
1.64↑
81.2%
EV: +33.1%
Kelly: $25.86
Trends for Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Football 6 Dec, 2025 11:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 5 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Second Half Surge
Ajax score in 2nd half 83% of matches — expect late goals
-
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 100% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
+3 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 5 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Ajax @ 1.82 ✅ 
Ajax
- UnbeatenH2H3/3100%Ajax are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches vs Fortuna Sittard
- Above League AverageLeague6/670.5%Ajax score 2.00 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
- Efficient ScoringRecent13/1493%Ajax efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 13 of their last 14 Eredivisie (Away) matches
- Efficient ScoringRecent27/3090%Ajax efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 27 of their last 30 Eredivisie matches
- UnbeatenRecent12/1486%Ajax are unbeaten in 12 of their last 14 Eredivisie (Away) matches
- UnbeatenRecent25/3083%Ajax are unbeaten in 25 of their last 30 Eredivisie matches
- Good Goal RatioRecent24/3080%Ajax have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 24 of their last 30 Eredivisie matches
Ajax dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 2.30 ⚠️ 
Ajax(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague6/6100%Ajax score (2.00/match) and concede (2.00/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 100% of matches (league avg: 63%)
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- BTTS NoH2H3/3100%At least one team failed to score in their last 3 Eredivisie H2H matches
Fortuna Sittard rarely concede (100% clean sheet rate)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 2.29 ✅ 
Fortuna Sittard(1 trends)
- Few GoalsRecent12/1580%Fortuna Sittard scored 0-1 goals in 12 of their last 15 Eredivisie (Home) matches
Ajax(2 trends)
- Above League AverageLeague6/670.5%Ajax score 2.00 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
- Good Goal RatioRecent24/3080%Ajax have good goal ratio (1.5+) in 24 of their last 30 Eredivisie matches
Combined 2.0 goals per match average • Defensive strength dominates - Under 2.5 likely
🛡️ Double Chance — Ajax Win or Draw @ 1.25 ✅ 
Ajax
- UnbeatenH2H3/3100%Ajax are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches vs Fortuna Sittard
- Undefeated at HTH2H3/3100%Ajax are undefeated at half time in their last 3 3 matches vs Fortuna Sittard
- UnbeatenRecent12/1486%Ajax are unbeaten in 12 of their last 14 Eredivisie (Away) matches
- UnbeatenRecent25/3083%Ajax are unbeaten in 25 of their last 30 Eredivisie matches
- Undefeated at HTRecent23/3077%Ajax are undefeated at half time in 23 of their last 30 Eredivisie matches
Ajax dominate both recent form and H2H trends, strongly supporting a win bet.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Ajax Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.70 ✅
Ajax
- Above League AverageLeague6/670.5%Ajax score 2.00 goals/match in away matches (+21% above league average)
Fortuna Sittard
- Haven't ScoredH2H3/3100%Fortuna Sittard haven't scored in their last 3 3 matches vs Ajax
Despite Fortuna Sittard's form, Fortuna Sittard's defensive vulnerabilities suggest goals.
🟨 Cards Over/Under — Over 3.5 Cards @ 2.10 ⚠️ 
Fortuna Sittard(2 trends)
- Many CardsH2H3/3100%Fortuna Sittard receive 2+ cards in 3 of their last 3 Eredivisie matches vs Ajax
- High Card MatchesLeague14/1490%Fortuna Sittard average 2.3 cards/match in all matches (+29% above league avg 1.8) — rank #3 in league
Fortuna Sittard aggressive (100% H2H) drives cards - Over 3.5 Cards @ 2.10 • H2H average: 4.7 total cards/match
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.90 ⚠️ 
Fortuna Sittard(1 trends) — avg 5.9 (+18% above league)
- Many CornersLeague7/783%Fortuna Sittard average 5.9 corners/match at home (+18% above league avg 4.9)
Fortuna Sittard drive corners - Over 9.5 Corners @ 1.90
+17 Streak trends are hidden
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Ajax is stronger in the second half (13 vs 9).
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
💡 Recommendation: Teams are equal in strength. Consider bets on draw or exact score.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Fortuna Sittard
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.02
Pressure
0.13
✈️ Ajax
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.04
Pressure
0.12
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Fortuna Sittard - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
14
Avg. Goals per Match
0.7
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ Ajax - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Fortuna Sittard - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
2
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
2
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
6
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
6
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
4
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Ajax - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
4
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
8
Second Half Starts
8
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Ajax shows superior performance after the break (13 vs 9 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Ajax winning the second half
- Overall Result: Teams are equal in strength
- Draw: Consider draw bets
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.063
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.013
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.008 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Fortuna Sittard):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Ajax):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Head-to-head statistics for Sat 6 Dec, 2025 @ 11:45 Eredivisie
Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Fortuna Sittard and away matches for Ajax
Number of goals
Number of goals
Fortuna Sittard
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
Yes
50%
5
60%
6
No
50%
5
40%
4
1X2
1X2
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
20%
2
20%
2
2
50%
5
60%
6
Double Chance
Double Chance
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
12
80%
8
80%
8
1X
50%
5
40%
4
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
0-1
30%
3
0%
0
2-3
50%
5
70%
7
4+
20%
2
30%
3
Total Corners
Total Corners
Fortuna Sittard
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
7.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
1X2 HT - FT
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
50%
5
50%
5
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
xG(xGa)
xG(xGa)
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
xG
1.09
1.01
xGa
1.35
1.81
Number of goals
Number of goals
Fortuna Sittard
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
Yes
0%
0
20%
2
No
100%
10
80%
8
1X2
1X2
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
1
30%
3
20%
2
X
10%
1
20%
2
2
60%
6
60%
6
Double Chance
Double Chance
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
12
90%
9
80%
8
1X
40%
4
40%
4
X2
70%
7
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
0-1
90%
9
70%
7
2-3
10%
1
20%
2
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
Yes
40%
4
30%
3
No
60%
6
70%
7
Number of goals
Number of goals
Fortuna Sittard
Under
Over
Ajax
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
Yes
30%
3
40%
4
No
70%
7
60%
6
1X2
1X2
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
1
20%
2
20%
2
X
60%
6
40%
4
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Double Chance
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
12
40%
4
60%
6
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
80%
8
80%
8
Total Goals
Total Goals
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
0-1
60%
6
50%
5
2-3
20%
2
30%
3
4+
20%
2
20%
2
Clean Sheet
Clean Sheet
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
Yes
50%
5
20%
2
No
50%
5
80%
8
Team comparison
Prediction
Fortuna Sittard AH+1
Goals Home:
-2.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
Legend: High ConfidenceMedium ConfidenceLow Confidence
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.93%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 49.93% | Low | 3.00 |
| Under 1.5 | 50.07% | Medium | 1.40 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 35.44% | Low | 1.70 |
| Under 1.5 | 64.56% | Medium | 2.20 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 23.65% | Low | 8.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 76.35% | High | 1.09 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 13.09% | Low | 3.25 |
| Under 2.5 | 86.91% | High | 1.36 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
Played:
3
Wins
0
0
Draws
1
1
Wins
2
2
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
0
Goals
2.3
7
7
2.3
Goals Conceded
0
8
2.7
Yellow Cards
1.7
5
1
0.3
Red Cards
0
1
0.3
Clean Sheets
1
3
8
2.7
Corners
8.7
26
48
16
Fouls
12.7
38
4
1.3
Offsides
2.3
7
24
8
Shots
15.3
46
7
2.3
Shots on Goal
8
24
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 4 | 1 | 5 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 5 | 6 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.6 | 11 | 1.3 | 9 | 1.4 | 20 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 7 | 2.1 | 15 | 1.6 | 22 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.6 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 2.3 | 32 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 3 | 0 | 0.2 | 3 | |
| Corners | 5.9 | 41 | 3.1 | 22 | 4.5 | 63 |
| Fouls | 13.7 | 96 | 13.1 | 92 | 13.4 | 188 |
| Offsides | 1.7 | 12 | 1.9 | 13 | 1.8 | 25 |
| Shots | 15.9 | 111 | 9.9 | 69 | 12.9 | 180 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.6 | 32 | 4.4 | 31 | 4.5 | 63 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 8 | 6 | 14 | |||
| Wins | 5 | 1 | 6 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 4 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.6 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 1.8 | 25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 1.4 | 19 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.4 | 11 | 2.3 | 14 | 1.8 | 25 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.4 | 3 | 0 | 0.2 | 3 | |
| Corners | 6.1 | 49 | 4.7 | 28 | 5.5 | 77 |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 84 | 11.7 | 70 | 11 | 154 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 15 | 1.3 | 8 | 1.6 | 23 |
| Shots | 14.6 | 117 | 13.7 | 82 | 14.2 | 199 |
| Shots on Goal | 6.3 | 50 | 5.7 | 34 | 6 | 84 |
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