Fiorentina vs Verona: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 14 December, 2025 14:00
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Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Serie A 2025-2026 – Regular Season
Fiorentina
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Fiorentina vs Verona Sunday, Dec 14th, 2025 at 14:00 Football
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Trends for Fiorentina vs Verona Football 14 Dec, 2025 14:00
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
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⚽
BTTS Magnet
Both teams score in 83% of recent matches — strong BTTS pattern
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📈
Dominant Chance Creation
Verona create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Fiorentina vs Verona, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner — Verona @ 5.25 ✅ 
✅Verona
- High xG PerformanceRecent16/16100%Verona create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 16 of their last 16 Serie A (Away) matches
❌Fiorentina
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Fiorentina are currently 19th in the table (2nd from bottom)
⚽ Both Teams To Score — Yes @ 2.06 ⚠️ 
Fiorentina(1 trends)
- BTTS FriendlyLeague5/683%Fiorentina score (1.00/match) and concede (1.83/match) regularly at home - BTTS in 83% of matches (league avg: 47%)
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.76 ✅ 
Verona(4 trends)
- Few GoalsH2H7/888%Verona scored 0-1 goals in 7 of their last 8 Serie A matches vs Fiorentina
- Few GoalsRecent15/1694%Verona scored 0-1 goals in 15 of their last 16 Serie A (Away) matches
- Few GoalsRecent28/3093%Verona scored 0-1 goals in 28 of their last 30 Serie A matches
- Under 2.5 GoalsRecent12/1675%Under 2.5 goals in 12 of their last 16 Serie A (Away) matches
🛡️ Double Chance — Fiorentina Win or Draw @ 1.22 ✅ 
✅Fiorentina
- Undefeated at HTH2H7/888%Fiorentina are undefeated at half time in their last 7 8 matches vs Verona
- UnbeatenH2H6/875%Fiorentina are unbeaten in 6 of their last 8 Serie A matches vs Verona
❌Verona
- Not WinH2H6/875%Verona have not won in 6 of their last 8 Serie A matches vs Fiorentina
- Relegation BattleLeague90%Verona are currently last in the table (last from bottom)
- Not WinRecent13/1681%Verona have not won in 13 of their last 16 Serie A (Away) matches
⚡ Team Total Goals — Fiorentina Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.03 ⚠️ 
✅Fiorentina
- Scored 1+H2H7/888%Fiorentina scored 1+ goals in 7 of their last 8 Serie A matches vs Verona
- Scored 1+Recent12/1580%Fiorentina scored 1+ goals in 12 of their last 15 Serie A (Home) matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Fiorentina(2 trends)
- High Card MatchesLeague13/1390%Fiorentina average 2.4 cards/match in all matches (+18% above league avg 2.0)
- Many CardsRecent24/3080%Fiorentina receive 2+ cards in 24 of their last 30 Serie A matches
Verona(4 trends)
- Many CardsH2H7/888%Verona receive 2+ cards in 7 of their last 8 Serie A matches vs Fiorentina
- High Card MatchesLeague13/1390%Verona average 2.6 cards/match in all matches (+29% above league avg 2.0) — rank #2 in league
- Many CardsRecent25/3083%Verona receive 2+ cards in 25 of their last 30 Serie A matches
- Many CardsRecent12/1675%Verona receive 2+ cards in 12 of their last 16 Serie A (Away) matches
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 1.63 ⚠️ 
Verona(2 trends) — avg 2.7 (-39% below league)
- Few CornersH2H7/888%Verona win 4 or fewer corners in 7 of their last 8 Serie A matches vs Fiorentina
- Few CornersLeague7/785%Verona average 2.7 corners/match in away matches (-39% below league avg 4.4)
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Fiorentina vs Verona
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: Verona is stronger in the first half (12 vs 4).
🔄 Second Half: Fiorentina is stronger in the second half (13 vs 5).
⚡ Final Stage: Fiorentina is stronger in the final minutes (10 vs 3).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Fiorentina
✈️ Verona
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Fiorentina - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
✈️ Verona - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Fiorentina - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
✈️ Verona - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
⚡ Pressure Analysis
⏰ Timing Patterns
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🚀 Away Fast Start: Verona often scores in the first 15 minutes (6 vs 3)
- First Goal Away: High probability of Verona scoring first
- ⏰ Away First Half: Verona is stronger in the first half (12 vs 4)
- First Half Result: Consider Verona to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Fiorentina shows superior performance after the break (13 vs 5 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Fiorentina winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Fiorentina excels in the closing minutes (10 vs 3 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Fiorentina scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Fiorentina has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Fiorentina handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Fiorentina):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Verona):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Home team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and home team victory.
Fiorentina vs Verona Head-to-head statistics for Sun 14 Dec, 2025 @ 14:00 Serie A
Fiorentina vs Verona: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Fiorentina and away matches for Verona
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Total Corners
Clean Sheet
1X2 HT - FT
xG(xGa)
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Number of goals
Both teams to score
1X2
Double Chance
Total Goals
Clean Sheet
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions
| Handicap | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9.5% Low 6.80 | 1.9% Low N/A |
| -2 | 17.0% Low 5.75 | 4.7% Low N/A |
| -1.5 | 24.6% Low 3.32 | 7.6% Low 11.50 |
| -1 | 37.2% Low 2.49 | 15.3% Low 9.10 |
| -0.5 | 49.9% Low 1.83 | 23.0% Low 4.50 |
| +0.5 | 76.9% High 1.19 | 50.1% Medium 2.11 |
| +1 | 84.7% High 1.00 | 62.8% Medium 1.60 |
| +1.5 | 92.4% High 1.03 | 75.4% High 1.37 |
| +2 | 95.3% High N/A | 83.0% High 1.14 |
| +2.5 | 98.1% High N/A | 90.5% High 1.10 |
📊 Asian Handicap Details
- Total outcomes: 20
- Sum of probabilities: 999.98%
- Expected: ~300% (multiple independent pairs)
- ⚠️ High total - this is normal for Asian Handicap (multiple independent pairs)
Match Prediction: Home vs Away
Team Total Predictions
| Team | Outcome | Probability | Confidence | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | Over 1.5 | 41.85% | Low | 2.03 |
| Under 1.5 | 58.15% | Medium | 1.80 | |
| Away | Over 1.5 | 22.02% | Low | 4.33 |
| Under 1.5 | 77.98% | High | 1.23 | |
| Home | Over 2.5 | 17.38% | Low | 4.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 82.62% | High | 1.23 | |
| Away | Over 2.5 | 5.96% | Low | 15.00 |
| Under 2.5 | 94.04% | High | 1.04 |
Team Total Details
- Thresholds: 1.5, 2.5 goals
- Markets: Total - Home, Total - Away
- Each team has Over/Under predictions for each threshold
4
2
2
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | |||
| Wins | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Draws | 2 | 4 | 6 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1 | 6 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 | 10 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 11 | 1.4 | 10 | 1.6 | 21 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.3 | 14 | 2.3 | 16 | 2.3 | 30 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 2 | |
| Corners | 4.8 | 29 | 4.4 | 31 | 4.6 | 60 |
| Fouls | 14.3 | 86 | 12.4 | 87 | 13.3 | 173 |
| Offsides | 2 | 12 | 1.9 | 13 | 1.9 | 25 |
| Shots | 13.3 | 80 | 9.9 | 69 | 11.5 | 149 |
| Shots on Goal | 3.2 | 19 | 2.3 | 16 | 2.7 | 35 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | |||
| Wins | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 3 | 6 | |||
| Losses | 3 | 4 | 7 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 0.8 | 5 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 | 8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 8 | 1.7 | 12 | 1.5 | 20 |
| Yellow Cards | 2.5 | 15 | 2.7 | 19 | 2.6 | 34 |
| Red Cards | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| Clean Sheets | 0.2 | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 3 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 29 | 2.7 | 19 | 3.7 | 48 |
| Fouls | 17.2 | 103 | 17.1 | 120 | 17.2 | 223 |
| Offsides | 1.8 | 11 | 2.1 | 15 | 2 | 26 |
| Shots | 12.8 | 77 | 11.1 | 78 | 11.9 | 155 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.2 | 31 | 4 | 28 | 4.5 | 59 |


Serie A 2025-2026