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Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 26 February, 2026 11:45
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
16
Played
5
Wins
4
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.5
(24 total)
xG
1.60
(24.9 total)
Shots per Match
15.9
(255 total)
Shots on Target
4.6
(29% acc)
Corners
6
(96 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.10
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
11.4
(183 total)
Offsides
2.1
(33 total)
17
Played
4
Wins
5
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(19 total)
xG
1.20
(20.7 total)
Shots per Match
11.4
(193 total)
Shots on Target
3.2
(28% acc)
Corners
3.7
(63 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0.2
(3 total)
Fouls
12.3
(209 total)
Offsides
2
(34 total)
33
Played
9
Wins
9
Draws
15
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3
(43 total)
xG
1.40
(45.6 total)
Shots per Match
13.6
(448 total)
Shots on Target
3.8
(28% acc)
Corners
4.8
(159 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(4 total)
Fouls
11.9
(392 total)
Offsides
2
(67 total)
14
Played
10
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2.4
(33 total)
xG
0.30
(4.6 total)
Shots per Match
13.6
(191 total)
Shots on Target
5.1
(38% acc)
Corners
4.4
(62 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
0.40
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(36%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
10.6
(148 total)
Offsides
1.4
(20 total)
18
Played
6
Wins
10
Draws
2
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(20 total)
xG
0.10
(2.3 total)
Shots per Match
10.1
(181 total)
Shots on Target
3.6
(36% acc)
Corners
3.9
(71 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.8
per match
xGa
0.30
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
10.7
(193 total)
Offsides
1.8
(33 total)
32
Played
16
Wins
11
Draws
5
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.7
(53 total)
xG
0.20
(6.8 total)
Shots per Match
11.6
(372 total)
Shots on Target
4.3
(37% acc)
Corners
4.2
(133 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
0.30
per match
Clean Sheets
11
(34%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.2
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
10.7
(341 total)
Offsides
1.7
(53 total)
No lambda data available for this match.
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
In this exciting UEFA Conference League 2025-2026 - Knockout play-offs matchup, Fiorentina will take on Jagiellonia as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Conference League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-26 at 2026-02-26 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Fiorentina, and the visiting side, Jagiellonia. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : Fiorentina or draw and -3.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-26
Time: 17:45
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia Football 26 Feb, 2026 11:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 7 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Jagiellonia have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
xG Defensive Battle
Both teams rarely concede quality chances (xGA ≤1.0) — tactical stalemate with limited clear opportunities
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Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia.
🏆 Match Winner
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Unlock Streak TrendsFiorentina1 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Fiorentina score 1.75 goals/match at home (+28% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsJagiellonia3 TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
Jagiellonia concede only 0.67 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak TrendsUnbeatenRecent
Jagiellonia are unbeaten in 11 of their last 12 UEFA Conference League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsEfficient ScoringRecent
Jagiellonia efficiently convert chances (high accuracy) in 11 of their last 12 UEFA Conference League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score
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Unlock Streak TrendsJagiellonia1 TrendsBTTS FriendlyLeague
Jagiellonia score (1.00/match) and concede (0.67/match) regularly in away matches - BTTS in 67% of matches (league avg: 48%)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
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Unlock Streak TrendsFiorentina1 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Fiorentina score 1.75 goals/match at home (+28% above league average)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined 1.8 goals per match average • Low scoring average but offensive form suggests potential for goals
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance
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Unlock Streak TrendsJagiellonia3 TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
Jagiellonia concede only 0.67 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak TrendsUndefeated at HTRecent
Jagiellonia are undefeated at half time in their last 12 12 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsUnbeatenRecent
Jagiellonia are unbeaten in 11 of their last 12 UEFA Conference League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends⚡ Team Total Goals
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Unlock Streak TrendsFiorentina2 TrendsAbove League AverageLeague
Fiorentina score 1.75 goals/match at home (+28% above league average)
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 1+Recent
Fiorentina scored 1+ goals in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Conference League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsJagiellonia2 TrendsLeague Best DefenseLeague
Jagiellonia concede only 0.67 goals/match in away matches (excellent defense)
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Unlock Streak TrendsScored 1+Recent
Jagiellonia scored 1+ goals in 11 of their last 12 UEFA Conference League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsFiorentina2 Trends — avg 2.6 (+9% above league)Low Card MatchesLeague
Fiorentina average 2.0 cards/match in all matches (-13% below league avg 2.3)
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Unlock Streak TrendsMany CardsRecent
Fiorentina receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Conference League matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsJagiellonia1 Trends — avg 2.3 (-4% below league)Many CardsRecent
Jagiellonia receive 2+ cards in 10 of their last 12 UEFA Conference League matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Fiorentina disciplined play balances Jagiellonia aggression —
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Unlock Streak TrendsFiorentina1 Trends — avg 6.5 (+44% above league)Many CornersLeague
Fiorentina average 6.5 corners/match at home (+44% above league avg 4.5)
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Unlock Streak TrendsJagiellonia1 Trends — avg 5.0 (+11% above league)Many CornersLeague
Jagiellonia average 5.0 corners/match in away matches (+11% above league avg 4.5)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Combined average: 11.5 corners/match (Fiorentina 6.5 + Jagiellonia 5.0)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⚡ Final Stage: Jagiellonia is stronger in the final minutes (8 vs 5).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Fiorentina
Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.35
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Jagiellonia
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.3
Pressure
0.11
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Fiorentina - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
✈️ Jagiellonia - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.4
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Fiorentina - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
10
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
5
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
4
Second Half Starts
10
Late Surges
5
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
4
✈️ Jagiellonia - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
3
Comeback Goals
9
Negative Sequences
1
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
8
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
8
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
5
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Jagiellonia excels in the closing minutes (8 vs 5 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Jagiellonia scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Jagiellonia has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Jagiellonia handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.048
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.039
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.005 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.038
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Fiorentina):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Jagiellonia):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.
Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia Head-to-head statistics for Thu 26 Feb, 2026 @ 11:45 UEFA Conference League
Team comparison
Prediction
Combo Double chance : Fiorentina or draw and -3.5 goals
Under/Over:
-3.5*
Goals Home:
-1.5*
Goals Away:
-1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Fiorentina
VS
Jagiellonia
2/6 (33%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
0.00
PPG
0.00
1.50
Avg Goals Scored
1.50
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded
0.83
100%
BTTS %
67%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
1.64
Avg xG
-
Fiorentina vs Jagiellonia: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Fiorentina and away matches for Jagiellonia
Number of goals
Fiorentina
Under
Over
Jagiellonia
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
Yes
80%
8
60%
6
No
20%
2
40%
4
1X2
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
1
40%
4
40%
4
X
30%
3
40%
4
2
30%
3
20%
2
Double Chance
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
12
70%
7
60%
6
1X
70%
7
80%
8
X2
60%
6
60%
6
Total Goals
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
0-1
20%
2
40%
4
2-3
50%
5
40%
4
4+
30%
3
20%
2
Total Corners
Fiorentina
Under
Over
Jagiellonia
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
Yes
10%
1
40%
4
No
90%
9
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
HT 1 - FT 1
30%
3
10%
1
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
30%
3
HT X - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT X - FT X
20%
2
40%
4
xG(xGa)
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
xG
1.78
0.86
xGa
1.26
1.07
Number of goals
Fiorentina
Under
Over
Jagiellonia
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
80%
8
20%
2
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
90%
9
10%
1
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
Yes
0%
0
50%
5
No
100%
10
50%
5
1X2
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
1
30%
3
10%
1
X
40%
4
90%
9
2
30%
3
0%
0
Double Chance
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
12
60%
6
10%
1
1X
70%
7
100%
10
X2
70%
7
90%
9
Total Goals
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
0-1
80%
8
50%
5
2-3
20%
2
50%
5
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
Yes
70%
7
50%
5
No
30%
3
50%
5
Number of goals
Fiorentina
Under
Over
Jagiellonia
Under
Over
0.5
20%
2
80%
8
60%
6
40%
4
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
Yes
70%
7
10%
1
No
30%
3
90%
9
1X2
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
1
30%
3
40%
4
X
50%
5
40%
4
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
12
50%
5
60%
6
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
70%
7
60%
6
Total Goals
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
0-1
30%
3
80%
8
2-3
60%
6
20%
2
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Fiorentina
Jagiellonia
Yes
10%
1
70%
7
No
90%
9
30%
3
2.15
xG
1.03
66%
Ball Possession
34%
17
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
3
11
Shots Off Goal
6
7
Corners
3
3
Yellow Cards
3
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