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Fenerbahce vs Nottingham Forest: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Thursday, 19 February, 2026 11:45
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Upgrade to PremiumPrediction League
16
Played
10
Wins
5
Draws
1
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(32 total)
xG
1.80
(29.0 total)
Shots per Match
18.4
(295 total)
Shots on Target
7
(38% acc)
Corners
5.6
(90 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
0.60
per match
Clean Sheets
5
(31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
11.9
(191 total)
Offsides
2.1
(34 total)
18
Played
9
Wins
6
Draws
3
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9
(35 total)
xG
1.30
(23.6 total)
Shots per Match
13.1
(235 total)
Shots on Target
4.9
(38% acc)
Corners
5.3
(96 total)
Defense
Conceded
1
per match
xGa
0.80
per match
Clean Sheets
7
(39%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
12.2
(219 total)
Offsides
1.9
(34 total)
34
Played
19
Wins
11
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
2
(67 total)
xG
1.50
(52.5 total)
Shots per Match
15.6
(530 total)
Shots on Target
5.9
(38% acc)
Corners
5.5
(186 total)
Defense
Conceded
0.9
per match
xGa
0.70
per match
Clean Sheets
12
(35%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.6
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
12.1
(410 total)
Offsides
2
(68 total)
17
Played
6
Wins
4
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4
(24 total)
xG
1.60
(26.9 total)
Shots per Match
15.5
(264 total)
Shots on Target
4.9
(32% acc)
Corners
6.1
(104 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.2
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
6
(35%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.7
(182 total)
Offsides
1.2
(21 total)
18
Played
5
Wins
5
Draws
8
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(19 total)
xG
1.20
(21.5 total)
Shots per Match
12.1
(218 total)
Shots on Target
4.6
(38% acc)
Corners
4.6
(82 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
12.1
(218 total)
Offsides
1.3
(24 total)
35
Played
11
Wins
9
Draws
15
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.2
(43 total)
xG
1.40
(48.4 total)
Shots per Match
13.8
(482 total)
Shots on Target
4.8
(35% acc)
Corners
5.3
(186 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
10
(29%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(2 total)
Fouls
11.4
(400 total)
Offsides
1.3
(45 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 2.61 vs 1.21
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.15%
0:1
2.84%
0:2
1.28%
0:3
0.38%
0:4
0.09%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
7.25%
1:1
7.51%
1:2
3.82%
1:3
1.28%
1:4
0.32%
1:5
0.06%
2
2:0
8.34%
2:1
9.75%
🔥
2:2
5.55%
2:3
2.06%
2:4
0.56%
2:5
0.12%
3
3:0
6.4%
⭐
3:1
8.33%
⭐
3:2
5.25%
⭐
3:3
2.15%
⭐
3:4
0.64%
⭐
3:5
0.15%
⭐
4
4:0
3.68%
⭐
4:1
5.28%
⭐
4:2
3.66%
⭐
4:3
1.64%
⭐
4:4
0.53%
⭐
4:5
0.14%
5
5:0
1.69%
⭐
5:1
2.66%
⭐
5:2
2.01%
⭐
5:3
0.98%
⭐
5:4
0.35%
5:5
0.1%
Hotspot:
2:1 (9.7%)
Total Boundaries:
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting UEFA Europa League 2025-2026 - Knockout play-offs matchup, Fenerbahce will take on Nottingham Forest as part of the 2025-2026 season in UEFA Europa League. This match is part of Matchweek 1 and will take place on 2026-02-19 at 2026-02-19 in the famous .
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, Fenerbahce, and the visiting side, Nottingham Forest. The scoreline predictions suggest Combo Double chance : draw or Nottingham Forest and -3.5 goals.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-19
Time: 17:45
Location:
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for Fenerbahce vs Nottingham Forest Thursday, Feb 19th, 2026 at 11:45 Football
AI Value Bets
10 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for Fenerbahce vs Nottingham Forest Football 19 Feb, 2026 11:45
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 4 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Defensive Fortress
Fenerbahce have league's best defense — hard to break down
-
Chance Creation Masterclass
Both teams create high-quality chances (xG 1.5+) — expect end-to-end attacking football with multiple big chances
+2 more advanced patterns are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 4 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for Fenerbahce vs Nottingham Forest.
🏆 Match Winner — Fenerbahce @ 2.38 ✅ 
Fenerbahce
League Best DefenseLeague
Fenerbahce concede only 0.75 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
4 / 470%
High xG PerformanceRecent
Fenerbahce create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 8 of their last 8 UEFA Europa League matches
8 / 8100%
UnbeatenRecent
Fenerbahce are unbeaten in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Europa League matches
6 / 875%
💡Fenerbahce demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.94 ⚠️
Fenerbahce1 TrendsFew GoalsRecent
Fenerbahce scored 0-1 goals in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Europa League matches
6 / 875%
💡Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match • Strong defensive records support Under 2.5
🛡️ Double Chance — Fenerbahce Win or Draw @ 1.40 ✅ 
Fenerbahce
League Best DefenseLeague
Fenerbahce concede only 0.75 goals/match at home (excellent defense)
4 / 470%
Undefeated at HTRecent
Fenerbahce are undefeated at half time in 7 of their last 8 UEFA Europa League matches
7 / 888%
UnbeatenRecent
Fenerbahce are unbeaten in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Europa League matches
6 / 875%
💡Fenerbahce demonstrate superior form across all key metrics.
⚡ Team Total Goals — Fenerbahce Over 1.5 Goals @ 2.27 ✅ 
Fenerbahce
Scored 1+Recent
Fenerbahce scored 1+ goals in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Europa League matches
6 / 875%
💡Fenerbahce's consistent scoring makes Over 1.5 a statistically sound pick.
🟨 Cards Over/Under
Fenerbahce2 Trends — avg 3.6 (+61% above league)High Card MatchesLeague
Fenerbahce average 3.6 cards/match in all matches (+74% above league avg 2.1) — rank #1 in league
8 / 890%
Many CardsRecent
Fenerbahce receive 2+ cards in 7 of their last 8 UEFA Europa League matches
7 / 888%
Nottingham Forest2 Trends — avg 2.4 (+7% above league)High Card MatchesLeague
Nottingham Forest average 2.4 cards/match in all matches (+14% above league avg 2.1)
8 / 886%
Many CardsRecent
Nottingham Forest receive 2+ cards in 6 of their last 8 UEFA Europa League matches
6 / 875%
💡Both teams show aggressive play -
🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.00 ⚠️ 
Nottingham Forest1 Trends — avg 3.2 (-29% below league)Few CornersLeague
Nottingham Forest average 3.2 corners/match in away matches (-29% below league avg 4.6)
4 / 485%
💡Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.00
🎯 Betting Analysis
Fenerbahce vs Nottingham Forest
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: Nottingham Forest is stronger in the second half (10 vs 4).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the home team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 Fenerbahce
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
-0.01
Pressure
0.07
✈️ Nottingham Forest
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.14
Pressure
0.05
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 Fenerbahce - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.25
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
✈️ Nottingham Forest - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 Fenerbahce - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
6
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
6
Killer Goals
12
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
1
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
7
✈️ Nottingham Forest - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
2
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
3
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
7
Late Surges
3
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
1
Late Conceded
10
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: Nottingham Forest shows superior performance after the break (10 vs 4 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of Nottingham Forest winning the second half
- Overall Result: Fenerbahce has an advantage in the match
- Home Handicap: Consider Fenerbahce handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.149
Pressure (Advantage)
Home +0.02
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.007 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (Fenerbahce):
Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Nottingham Forest):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
Fenerbahce vs Nottingham Forest Head-to-head statistics for Thu 19 Feb, 2026 @ 11:45 UEFA Europa League
Team comparison
Prediction
Fenerbahce or Draw
Under/Over:
-3.5*
Goals Home:
-1.5*
Goals Away:
-2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Last 6 Matches
Fenerbahce
VS
Nottingham Forest
3/6 (50%)
Victories
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Defeats
2/6 (33%)
0.00
PPG
0.00
1.67
Avg Goals Scored
1.33
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded
0.83
67%
BTTS %
33%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.31
Avg xG
1.45
Fenerbahce vs Nottingham Forest: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for Fenerbahce and away matches for Nottingham Forest
Number of goals
Fenerbahce
Under
Over
Nottingham Forest
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
30%
3
70%
7
1.5
30%
3
70%
7
60%
6
40%
4
2.5
40%
4
60%
6
80%
8
20%
2
3.5
80%
8
20%
2
90%
9
10%
1
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Fenerbahce
Nottingham Forest
Yes
50%
5
50%
5
No
50%
5
50%
5
1X2
Fenerbahce
Nottingham Forest
1
70%
7
30%
3
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
10%
1
30%
3
Double Chance
Fenerbahce
Nottingham Forest
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
90%
9
70%
7
X2
30%
3
70%
7
Total Goals
Fenerbahce
Nottingham Forest
0-1
10%
1
30%
3
2-3
40%
4
30%
3
4+
50%
5
40%
4
Total Corners
Fenerbahce
Under
Over
Nottingham Forest
Under
Over
7.5
80%
8
20%
2
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Fenerbahce
Nottingham Forest
Yes
40%
4
40%
4
No
60%
6
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
Fenerbahce
Nottingham Forest
HT 1 - FT 1
50%
5
20%
2
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
0%
0
HT 1 - FT X
10%
1
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
10%
1
10%
1
HT 2 - FT 2
10%
1
20%
2
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
10%
1
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT X
10%
1
30%
3
xG(xGa)
Fenerbahce
Nottingham Forest
xG
1.8
1.49
xGa
0.88
1.43
Number of goals
Fenerbahce
Under
Over
Nottingham Forest
Under
Over
0.5
10%
1
90%
9
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
50%
5
50%
5
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
70%
7
30%
3
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Fenerbahce
Nottingham Forest
Yes
30%
3
10%
1
No
70%
7
90%
9
1X2
Fenerbahce
Nottingham Forest
1
60%
6
20%
2
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
20%
2
40%
4
Double Chance
Fenerbahce
Nottingham Forest
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
80%
8
60%
6
X2
40%
4
80%
8
Total Goals
Fenerbahce
Nottingham Forest
0-1
30%
3
60%
6
2-3
60%
6
40%
4
4+
10%
1
0%
0
Clean Sheet
Fenerbahce
Nottingham Forest
Yes
60%
6
50%
5
No
40%
4
50%
5
Number of goals
Fenerbahce
Under
Over
Nottingham Forest
Under
Over
0.5
40%
4
60%
6
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
Fenerbahce
Nottingham Forest
Yes
0%
0
30%
3
No
100%
10
70%
7
1X2
Fenerbahce
Nottingham Forest
1
60%
6
40%
4
X
20%
2
40%
4
2
20%
2
20%
2
Double Chance
Fenerbahce
Nottingham Forest
12
80%
8
60%
6
1X
80%
8
80%
8
X2
40%
4
60%
6
Total Goals
Fenerbahce
Nottingham Forest
0-1
90%
9
50%
5
2-3
10%
1
40%
4
4+
0%
0
10%
1
Clean Sheet
Fenerbahce
Nottingham Forest
Yes
80%
8
60%
6
No
20%
2
40%
4
Missing Players
-
Injured - Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - Groin Injury
-
Injured - Knee Injury
-
Injured - Inactive
-
Injured - (questionable) Calf Injury
1.99
xG
1.39
48%
Ball Possession
52%
11
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
5
7
Shots Off Goal
7
5
Corners
5
3
Yellow Cards
2
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