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FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 22 February, 2026 10:30
Betting Tip
Draw or Werder BremenNo high-confidence tip found, displaying main verdict.
Prediction League
10
Played
3
Wins
3
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(11 total)
xG
1.00
(10.2 total)
Shots per Match
11.3
(113 total)
Shots on Target
4.5
(40% acc)
Corners
6.3
(63 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
1
(10%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(1 total)
Fouls
10.1
(101 total)
Offsides
1.8
(18 total)
12
Played
1
Wins
2
Draws
9
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8
(9 total)
xG
0.70
(8.9 total)
Shots per Match
9.3
(112 total)
Shots on Target
2.4
(26% acc)
Corners
3.3
(40 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.8
(118 total)
Offsides
1.9
(23 total)
22
Played
4
Wins
5
Draws
13
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(20 total)
xG
0.90
(19.0 total)
Shots per Match
10.2
(225 total)
Shots on Target
3.4
(33% acc)
Corners
4.7
(103 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8
per match
xGa
1.40
per match
Clean Sheets
3
(14%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3
avg
Red Cards
0
(1 total)
Fouls
10
(219 total)
Offsides
1.9
(41 total)
11
Played
3
Wins
4
Draws
4
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1
(12 total)
xG
1.30
(14.2 total)
Shots per Match
15.5
(171 total)
Shots on Target
4.4
(28% acc)
Corners
4.6
(51 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9
per match
xGa
1.20
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.3
avg
Red Cards
0.3
(3 total)
Fouls
9.6
(106 total)
Offsides
1.5
(16 total)
11
Played
1
Wins
3
Draws
7
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9
(10 total)
xG
0.80
(8.6 total)
Shots per Match
10.6
(117 total)
Shots on Target
3.6
(34% acc)
Corners
4.4
(48 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9
per match
xGa
1.90
per match
Clean Sheets
2
(18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2
avg
Red Cards
0
(0 total)
Fouls
9.9
(109 total)
Offsides
1.5
(16 total)
22
Played
4
Wins
7
Draws
11
Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1
(22 total)
xG
1.00
(22.7 total)
Shots per Match
13.1
(288 total)
Shots on Target
4
(31% acc)
Corners
4.5
(99 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.9
per match
xGa
1.50
per match
Clean Sheets
4
(18%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1
avg
Red Cards
0.1
(3 total)
Fouls
9.8
(215 total)
Offsides
1.5
(32 total)
Probable Scores Heatmap
xG: 1.19 vs 1.51
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.84%
0:1
10.98%
0:2
6.82%
0:3
2.82%
0:4
0.88%
0:5
0.22%
1
1:0
8.15%
1:1
12.49%
🔥
1:2
9.23%
1:3
4.43%
⭐
1:4
1.56%
⭐
1:5
0.44%
⭐
2
2:0
3.76%
2:1
6.85%
2:2
5.93%
2:3
3.28%
⭐
2:4
1.31%
⭐
2:5
0.41%
⭐
3
3:0
1.15%
3:1
2.44%
3:2
2.43%
⭐
3:3
1.54%
⭐
3:4
0.7%
⭐
3:5
0.24%
⭐
4
4:0
0.27%
4:1
0.64%
4:2
0.72%
⭐
4:3
0.52%
⭐
4:4
0.26%
⭐
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
0.05%
5:1
0.13%
5:2
0.17%
5:3
0.13%
⭐
5:4
0.08%
5:5
0.03%
Hotspot:
1:1 (12.5%)
Total Boundaries:
0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Probability Distribution by Total Goals
Most Probable
In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, FC St. Pauli will take on Werder Bremen as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 23 and will take place on 2026-02-22 at 2026-02-22 in the famous Millerntor-Stadion.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, FC St. Pauli, and the visiting side, Werder Bremen. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : FC St. Pauli or draw.
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-02-22
Time: 16:30
Location: Millerntor-Stadion
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for FC St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen Sunday, Feb 22nd, 2026 at 10:30 Football
AI Value Bets
4 Found
💎 PREMIUM Your Bankroll Calculator
Kelly Criterion calculator is available for Premium subscribers only.
Upgrade to PremiumTrends for FC St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen Football 22 Feb, 2026 10:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Physical Battle Expected
High card rate in recent matches — expect aggressive, physical encounter with 4+ cards
-
Corner Fest
High corner count in recent matches — expect 10+ corners with attacking pressure
Comprehensive betting trends for FC St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen.
🏆 Match Winner — Werder Bremen @ 2.70 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsWerder Bremen
UnbeatenH2H
Werder Bremen are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsFC St. Pauli
Not WinH2H
FC St. Pauli have not won in 3 of their last 3 Bundesliga matches
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FC St. Pauli are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
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Unlock Streak TrendsNot WinRecent
FC St. Pauli have not won in 12 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Werder Bremen to win looks justified.
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Unlock Streak Trends⚽ Both Teams To Score — No @ 1.91 ⚠️ 
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BTTS NoH2H
At least one team failed to score in their last 3 Bundesliga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends3 / 3100%
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Unlock Streak Trends💡FC St. Pauli rarely concede (100% clean sheet rate)
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals — Under 2.5 @ 1.70 ⚠️
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Under 2.5 GoalsH2H
Under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3 H2H matches (100.0%%)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Defensive solidity suggests lower-scoring match • Strong defensive records support Under 2.5
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Unlock Streak Trends🛡️ Double Chance — Werder Bremen Win or Draw @ 1.44 ✅ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsWerder Bremen
UnbeatenH2H
Werder Bremen are unbeaten in their last 3 3 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsUndefeated at HTH2H
Werder Bremen are undefeated at half time in their last 3 3 matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsFC St. Pauli
Not WinH2H
FC St. Pauli have not won in 3 of their last 3 Bundesliga matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsRelegation BattleLeague
FC St. Pauli are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
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FC St. Pauli have not won in 12 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Strong alignment between stats and historical dominance — Werder Bremen to win looks justified.
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Unlock Streak TrendsFC St. Pauli1 Trends — avg 1.5 (-25% below league)Low Card MatchesLeague
FC St. Pauli average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-21% below league avg 2.0) — rank #3 lowest in league
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Unlock Streak TrendsWerder Bremen3 Trends — avg 2.3 (+16% above league)Many CardsH2H
Werder Bremen receive 2+ cards in 3 of their last 3 Bundesliga matches
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Unlock Streak TrendsHigh Card MatchesLeague
Werder Bremen average 2.7 cards/match in all matches (+31% above league avg 2.0) — rank #3 in league
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Werder Bremen receive 2+ cards in 13 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
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Unlock Streak Trends💡FC St. Pauli disciplined play balances Werder Bremen aggression —
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Unlock Streak Trends🚩 Corners Over/Under — Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.00 ⚠️ 
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Unlock Streak TrendsFC St. Pauli2 Trends — avg 7.0 (+43% above league)Few CornersH2H
FC St. Pauli win 4 or fewer corners in 2 of their last 2 Bundesliga matches
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FC St. Pauli average 7.0 corners/match at home (+43% above league avg 4.9)
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Unlock Streak Trends💡Low corner activity in recent matches - Under 9.5 Corners @ 2.00
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Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
FC St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
⏰ First Half: FC St. Pauli is stronger in the first half (13 vs 6).
🔄 Second Half: FC St. Pauli is stronger in the second half (16 vs 11).
⚡ Final Stage: Werder Bremen is stronger in the final minutes (11 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
🔄 Second Half: FC St. Pauli is stronger in the second half (16 vs 11).
⚡ Final Stage: Werder Bremen is stronger in the final minutes (11 vs 7).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 FC St. Pauli
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.13
Pressure
0.11
✈️ Werder Bremen
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.14
Pressure
0.15
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 FC St. Pauli - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
13
Avg. Goals per Match
0.65
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
16
Avg. Goals per Match
0.8
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.35
✈️ Werder Bremen - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 FC St. Pauli - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
5
Comeback Goals
5
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
10
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4
✈️ Werder Bremen - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
11
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
0
Late Surges
11
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
7
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- ⏰ Home First Half: FC St. Pauli is stronger in the first half (13 vs 6)
- First Half Result: Consider FC St. Pauli to win the first half
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: FC St. Pauli shows superior performance after the break (16 vs 11 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of FC St. Pauli winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: Werder Bremen excels in the closing minutes (11 vs 7 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of Werder Bremen scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: Werder Bremen has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider Werder Bremen handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.006
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.04
Timing (Advantage)
Home +0.03 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Home +0.023
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (FC St. Pauli):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (Werder Bremen):
Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team is stronger in the final minutes of the match. Consider bets on late goals, last goal scorer, and away team victory.
FC St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen Head-to-head statistics for Sun 22 Feb, 2026 @ 10:30 Bundesliga
Bundesliga
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
15
5
5
12
31
46
-15
20
16
4
7
11
22
42
-20
19
17
4
5
13
20
39
-19
17
18
3
4
15
19
48
-29
13
Team comparison
Prediction
Draw or Werder Bremen
Goals Home:
-1.5*
Goals Away:
-1.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
FC St. Pauli
VS
Werder Bremen
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
0
Wins
1
Draws
2
Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
0 (0)
1 (3)
xG
0.60
1.20
Shots
12.7 (38)
11 (33)
Shots on Target
3.7 (11)
3.7 (11)
Corners
2.3 (7)
3.7 (11)
Defense
Conceded
1 (3)
0 (0)
xGa
1.20
0.60
Clean Sheets
1 (33%)
3 (100%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 (4)
2.7 (8)
Fouls
11.7 (35)
8.3 (25)
Offsides
1.3 (4)
3.3 (10)
Last 6 Matches
FC St. Pauli
VS
Werder Bremen
1/6 (17%)
Victories
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
4/6 (67%)
0.83
PPG
0.33
1.00
Avg Goals Scored
0.67
1.83
Avg Goals Conceded
1.83
67%
BTTS %
33%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
17%
1.12
Avg xG
1.16
FC St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for FC St. Pauli and away matches for Werder Bremen
Number of goals
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
Werder Bremen
Under
Over
0.5
30%
3
70%
7
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
Yes
70%
7
30%
3
No
30%
3
70%
7
1X2
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
1
20%
2
0%
0
X
40%
4
30%
3
2
40%
4
70%
7
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
12
60%
6
70%
7
1X
60%
6
30%
3
X2
80%
8
100%
10
Total Goals
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
0-1
20%
2
30%
3
2-3
60%
6
40%
4
4+
20%
2
30%
3
Total Corners
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
Werder Bremen
Under
Over
7.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2 HT - FT
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
HT 1 - FT 1
20%
2
0%
0
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
20%
2
60%
6
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
0%
0
HT X - FT X
40%
4
30%
3
xG(xGa)
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
xG
0.88
0.92
xGa
1.41
1.33
Number of goals
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
Werder Bremen
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
80%
8
20%
2
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
Yes
20%
2
10%
1
No
80%
8
90%
9
1X2
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
1
20%
2
10%
1
X
60%
6
30%
3
2
20%
2
60%
6
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
12
40%
4
70%
7
1X
80%
8
40%
4
X2
80%
8
90%
9
Total Goals
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
0-1
70%
7
70%
7
2-3
30%
3
30%
3
4+
0%
0
0%
0
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
Yes
60%
6
30%
3
No
40%
4
70%
7
Number of goals
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
Werder Bremen
Under
Over
0.5
50%
5
50%
5
70%
7
30%
3
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
90%
9
10%
1
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
Yes
50%
5
30%
3
No
50%
5
70%
7
1X2
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
1
0%
0
0%
0
X
70%
7
50%
5
2
30%
3
50%
5
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
12
30%
3
50%
5
1X
70%
7
50%
5
X2
100%
10
100%
10
Total Goals
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
0-1
40%
4
50%
5
2-3
50%
5
30%
3
4+
10%
1
20%
2
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
Yes
20%
2
30%
3
No
80%
8
70%
7
0.97
xG
0.92
58%
Ball Possession
42%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
6
6
Corners
4
1
Yellow Cards
2
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