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Bundesliga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 27
Preview
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
16th place
Form
VS
16:30
22 Mar 2026
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
8th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : FC St. Pauli or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Sunday, 22 March, 2026 11:30

No prediction data available for this match.

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Bundesliga 2025-2026
16:30
FC St. Pauli W 26%
:
SC Freiburg W 42%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
FC St. Pauli
w l w w d
12 Played
4 Wins
4 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (13 total)
xG
0.90 (10.8 total)
Shots per Match
10.7 (128 total)
Shots on Target
4.3 (40% acc)
Corners
5.8 (70 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.5 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (17%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10 (120 total)
Offsides
2 (24 total)
13 Played
2 Wins
2 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.8 (10 total)
xG
0.70 (9.7 total)
Shots per Match
9.5 (123 total)
Shots on Target
2.5 (26% acc)
Corners
3.3 (43 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.60 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (23%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.6 (125 total)
Offsides
1.8 (24 total)
25 Played
6 Wins
6 Draws
13 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (23 total)
xG
0.80 (20.5 total)
Shots per Match
10 (251 total)
Shots on Target
3.3 (33% acc)
Corners
4.5 (113 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.6 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (20%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.4 avg
Red Cards
0 (1 total)
Fouls
9.8 (245 total)
Offsides
1.9 (48 total)
SC Freiburg
w l w l d
16 Played
11 Wins
4 Draws
1 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.9 (30 total)
xG
1.80 (29.2 total)
Shots per Match
15.5 (248 total)
Shots on Target
5.5 (35% acc)
Corners
5.1 (82 total)
Defense
Conceded
1 per match
xGa
0.90 per match
Clean Sheets
5 (31%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.7 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
9.3 (148 total)
Offsides
1.7 (27 total)
17 Played
3 Wins
5 Draws
9 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1 (17 total)
xG
1.20 (19.6 total)
Shots per Match
10.5 (178 total)
Shots on Target
3.5 (34% acc)
Corners
4 (68 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
4 (24%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.5 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (2 total)
Fouls
10.4 (177 total)
Offsides
1.8 (31 total)
33 Played
14 Wins
9 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.4 (47 total)
xG
1.50 (48.8 total)
Shots per Match
12.9 (426 total)
Shots on Target
4.5 (35% acc)
Corners
4.5 (150 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
9 (27%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (4 total)
Fouls
9.8 (325 total)
Offsides
1.8 (58 total)

No lambda data available for this match.

No predictions available for this match

No predictions available for this match

In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, FC St. Pauli will take on SC Freiburg as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 27 and will take place on 2026-03-22 at 2026-03-22 in the famous Millerntor-Stadion. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, FC St. Pauli, and the visiting side, SC Freiburg. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : FC St. Pauli or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-03-22 Time: 16:30 Location: Millerntor-Stadion Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg Sunday, Mar 22nd, 2026 at 11:30 Football

No prediction data available for this match.

Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-03-09 02:42:15
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Trends for FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg Football 22 Mar, 2026 11:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 📈
    Dominant Chance Creation

    SC Freiburg create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service

  • 🟩
    Clean Match Expected

    Both teams disciplined in recent matches — expect technical, fair-play football

+1 more advanced pattern is hidden

Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights

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🎯 Betting Analysis

FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🔄 Second Half: SC Freiburg is stronger in the second half (25 vs 15).
⚡ Final Stage: SC Freiburg is stronger in the final minutes (11 vs 6).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 FC St. Pauli

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.03
Pressure
0.07

✈️ SC Freiburg

Early Strength
Moderate
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.23
Pressure
0.16

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 FC St. Pauli - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
3
Avg. Goals per Match
0.15
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
15
Avg. Goals per Match
0.75
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

✈️ SC Freiburg - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
10
Avg. Goals per Match
0.5
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
25
Avg. Goals per Match
1.25
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
11
Avg. Goals per Match
0.55

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 FC St. Pauli - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
3
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
3
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
9
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
4

✈️ SC Freiburg - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
5
Killer Goals
8
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
11
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
6
Second Half Starts
14
Late Surges
11
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
2

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🔄 Second Half Dominance: SC Freiburg shows superior performance after the break (25 vs 15 goals)
  • Second Half Winner: High probability of SC Freiburg winning the second half
  • ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: SC Freiburg excels in the closing minutes (11 vs 6 late goals)
  • Last Goal Scorer: High probability of SC Freiburg scoring the final goal
  • Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
  • Overall Result: SC Freiburg has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider SC Freiburg handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.204
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.088
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.025 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (FC St. Pauli):

Momentum: Weak - team may lose concentration. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (SC Freiburg):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.

FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg

FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg Head-to-head statistics for Sun 22 Mar, 2026 @ 11:30 Bundesliga

Bundesliga

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
7
25
9
8
8
48
49
-1
35
8
SC Freiburg
w l w l d
>
25
9
7
9
37
42
-5
34
9
FC Augsburg
l w w w l
>
25
9
4
12
31
43
-12
31

15
FSV Mainz 05
w l d d d
>
25
5
9
11
29
41
-12
24
16
FC St. Pauli
w l w w d
>
25
6
6
13
23
40
-17
24
17
VfL Wolfsburg
l d l l l
>
25
5
5
15
34
55
-21
20
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : FC St. Pauli or draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
FC St. Pauli
VS
SC Freiburg
Last 3 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
1.3 (4)
1 (3)
xG
0.60
1.10
Shots
7 (21)
7.3 (22)
Shots on Target
2.3 (7)
3 (9)
Corners
2.3 (7)
6.3 (19)
Defense
Conceded
1 (3)
1.3 (4)
xGa
1.10
0.60
Clean Sheets
1 (33%)
1 (33%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2 (6)
1.7 (5)
Fouls
12.7 (38)
8.3 (25)
Offsides
1.7 (5)
4.7 (14)
9 Nov
- 14:30
SC Freiburg
FC St. Pauli
1.01
xG
0.42
2
1
Prob 55%
Match Winner 1
Odd 1.86
15 Feb
- 14:30
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
0.17
xG
1.26
0
1
28 Sep
- 13:30
SC Freiburg
FC St. Pauli
1.17
xG
1.14
0
3
Last 6 Matches
FC St. Pauli
VS
SC Freiburg
3/6 (50%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
1.67 PPG 1.17
1.00 Avg Goals Scored 1.00
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
50% BTTS % 33%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
0.99 Avg xG 1.10
FC St. Pauli
W L W W D
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
8 Mar 2026 - 14:30
FC St. Pauli
0 0
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
28 Feb 2026 - 14:30
1899 Hoffenheim
0 1
FC St. Pauli
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Feb 2026 - 16:30
FC St. Pauli
2 1
Werder Bremen
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Feb 2026 - 14:30
Bayer Leverkusen
4 0
FC St. Pauli
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Feb 2026 - 14:30
FC St. Pauli
2 1
VfB Stuttgart
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
31 Jan 2026 - 14:30
FC Augsburg
2 1
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
W L W L D
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Mar 2026 - 14:30
SC Freiburg
3 3
Bayer Leverkusen
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Mar 2026 - 16:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 0
SC Freiburg
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Feb 2026 - 14:30
SC Freiburg
2 1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Feb 2026 - 14:30
1899 Hoffenheim
3 0
SC Freiburg
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Feb 2026 - 14:30
SC Freiburg
1 0
Werder Bremen
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
1 Feb 2026 - 14:30
VfB Stuttgart
1 0
SC Freiburg

FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for FC St. Pauli and away matches for SC Freiburg

Number of goals
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
0.5
30% 3
70% 7
40% 4
60% 6
1.5
70% 7
30% 3
60% 6
40% 4
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
Yes
60% 6
40% 4
No
40% 4
60% 6
1X2
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
1
30% 3
40% 4
X
30% 3
20% 2
2
40% 4
40% 4
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
12
70% 7
80% 8
1X
60% 6
60% 6
X2
70% 7
60% 6
Total Goals
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
0-1
30% 3
40% 4
2-3
50% 5
40% 4
4+
20% 2
20% 2
Total Corners
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
7.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
Yes
30% 3
20% 2
No
70% 7
80% 8
1X2 HT - FT
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
HT 1 - FT 1
20% 2
30% 3
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 2
20% 2
0% 0
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT X - FT 2
20% 2
40% 4
HT X - FT X
30% 3
20% 2
xG(xGa)
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
xG
0.91
1.33
xGa
1.43
1.11
Number of goals
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
1X2
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
1
20% 2
30% 3
X
60% 6
70% 7
2
20% 2
0% 0
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
12
40% 4
30% 3
1X
80% 8
100% 10
X2
80% 8
70% 7
Total Goals
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
0-1
70% 7
80% 8
2-3
30% 3
10% 1
4+
0% 0
10% 1
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
Yes
60% 6
80% 8
No
40% 4
20% 2
Number of goals
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
0.5
60% 6
40% 4
60% 6
40% 4
1.5
80% 8
20% 2
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
Yes
40% 4
30% 3
No
60% 6
70% 7
1X2
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
1
10% 1
10% 1
X
60% 6
50% 5
2
30% 3
40% 4
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
12
40% 4
50% 5
1X
70% 7
60% 6
X2
90% 9
90% 9
Total Goals
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
0-1
50% 5
50% 5
2-3
40% 4
40% 4
4+
10% 1
10% 1
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
Yes
30% 3
30% 3
No
70% 7
70% 7
0.77 xG 1.05
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots Off Goal 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
Kane's Impact as a Substitute: Bayern Star Enters Exclusive Bundesliga Ranks
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