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FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Saturday, 21 March, 2026 10:30
No prediction data available for this match.
No betting tips available for this match.
Prediction League
No prediction data available for this match.
Bundesliga
#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
8
6
3
6
20
23
-3
21
9
5
5
5
25
26
-1
20
10
▲
4
5
6
18
28
-10
17
15
4
2
9
17
28
-11
14
16
3
3
9
13
26
-13
12
17
3
2
10
13
34
-21
11
0.81
xG
1.89
56%
Ball Possession
44%
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Goal
4
8
Shots Off Goal
7
6
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
1
Last 6 Matches
FC St. Pauli
VS
SC Freiburg
1/6 (17%)
Victories
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Draws
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Defeats
1/6 (17%)
0.83
PPG
1.67
0.83
Avg Goals Scored
1.83
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.00
67%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals Scored %
33%
0.49
Avg xG
2.02
In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, FC St. Pauli will take on SC Freiburg as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 27 and will take place on 2026-03-21 at 2026-03-21 in the famous Millerntor-Stadion.
The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, FC St. Pauli, and the visiting side, SC Freiburg. The scoreline predictions suggest .
Kickoff Details:
Date: 2026-03-21
Time: 14:30
Location: Millerntor-Stadion
Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!
Trends for FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg Football 21 Mar, 2026 10:30
🤖 AI Pattern Insights
Our model identified 3 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:
-
Dominant Chance Creation
SC Freiburg create high-quality chances consistently (xG 1.5+) — strong attacking threat with quality service
-
Clean Match Expected
Both teams disciplined in recent matches — expect technical, fair-play football
+1 more advanced pattern is hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all 3 AI-powered insights
Unlock Premium InsightsComprehensive betting trends for FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg, grouped by market type. Including recent form and head-to-head history.
🏆 Match Winner
FC St. Pauli(2 trends)
- Relegation BattleLeague90%FC St. Pauli are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent12/1580%FC St. Pauli have not won in 12 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
SC Freiburg(2 trends)
- High xG PerformanceH2H3/3100%SC Freiburg create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 3 of their last 3 Bundesliga matches
- High xG PerformanceRecent15/15100%SC Freiburg create many chances (xG 1.5+) in 15 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
🎯 Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Head-to-Head(1 trends)
- Over 2.5 GoalsH2H2/366.7%Over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 H2H matches (66.7%%)
🛡️ Double Chance
FC St. Pauli(2 trends)
- Relegation BattleLeague90%FC St. Pauli are currently 16th in the table (3rd from bottom)
- Not WinRecent12/1580%FC St. Pauli have not won in 12 of their last 15 Bundesliga matches
🟨 Cards Over/Under
FC St. Pauli(1 trends) — avg 1.6 (-20% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague15/1590%FC St. Pauli average 1.6 cards/match in all matches (-21% below league avg 2.0) — rank #3 lowest in league
SC Freiburg(1 trends) — avg 1.6 (-20% below league)
- Low Card MatchesLeague15/1590%SC Freiburg average 1.7 cards/match in all matches (-18% below league avg 2.0)
Both teams disciplined -
🚩 Corners Over/Under
FC St. Pauli(2 trends) — avg 7.0 (+43% above league)
- Few CornersH2H3/3100%FC St. Pauli win 4 or fewer corners in 3 of their last 3 Bundesliga matches
- Many CornersLeague7/785%FC St. Pauli average 7.0 corners/match at home (+43% above league avg 4.9)
Low corner activity in recent matches -
+4 Streak trends are hidden
Upgrade to Premium to unlock all advanced streak trends and patterns
Unlock Streak Trends🎯 Betting Analysis
FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg
🔮 Main Prediction by Periods
🔄 Second Half: SC Freiburg is stronger in the second half (20 vs 12).
⚡ Final Stage: SC Freiburg is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚡ Final Stage: SC Freiburg is stronger in the final minutes (9 vs 6).
💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.
⚔️ Team Comparison
🏠 FC St. Pauli
Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.21
Pressure
0.06
✈️ SC Freiburg
Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.2
Pressure
0.14
⏰ Match Periods Analysis
📊 Periods Explanation:
Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.
First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.
Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.
Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.
🏠 FC St. Pauli - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3
✈️ SC Freiburg - Periods
🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
4
Avg. Goals per Match
0.2
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
20
Avg. Goals per Match
1
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🏆 Detailed Team Analysis
🏠 FC St. Pauli - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
8
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
4
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
4
✈️ SC Freiburg - Details
📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
7
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
4
Killer Goals
9
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
4
Late Pressure
9
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
4
Half-time Spurts
5
Second Half Starts
11
Late Surges
9
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
3
Late Conceded
3
💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods
- 🔄 Second Half Dominance: SC Freiburg shows superior performance after the break (20 vs 12 goals)
- Second Half Winner: High probability of SC Freiburg winning the second half
- ⚡ Final Stage Mastery: SC Freiburg excels in the closing minutes (9 vs 6 late goals)
- Last Goal Scorer: High probability of SC Freiburg scoring the final goal
- Late Goals Market: Consider bets on goals after 75th minute
- Overall Result: SC Freiburg has an advantage in the match
- Away Handicap: Consider SC Freiburg handicap
- Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
- Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams
📊 Factor Breakdown
💡 Factor Explanations:
Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.
Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.
Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).
Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.
Momentum (Advantage)
Home +0.012
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.078
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.02 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.023 (away team better)
📝 Detailed Summary
🏠 Home Team Analysis (FC St. Pauli):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
✈️ Away Team Analysis (SC Freiburg):
Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: Moderate - team periodically creates danger. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.
🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:
Away team has a significant advantage in the second half and final stage. We recommend bets on second half result, late goals, and away team victory.
FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg Head-to-head statistics for Sat 21 Mar, 2026 @ 10:30 Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg: Pre-match Stats Comparison
This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️
Home/Away: Shows home matches for FC St. Pauli and away matches for SC Freiburg
Number of goals
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
0.5
60%
6
40%
4
20%
2
80%
8
1.5
90%
9
10%
1
50%
5
50%
5
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
Yes
40%
4
60%
6
No
60%
6
40%
4
1X2
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
1
10%
1
50%
5
X
20%
2
30%
3
2
70%
7
20%
2
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
12
80%
8
70%
7
1X
30%
3
80%
8
X2
90%
9
50%
5
Total Goals
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
0-1
30%
3
30%
3
2-3
50%
5
30%
3
4+
20%
2
40%
4
Total Corners
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
7.5
70%
7
30%
3
80%
8
20%
2
8.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
9.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
10.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
Yes
10%
1
40%
4
No
90%
9
60%
6
1X2 HT - FT
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
HT 1 - FT 1
10%
1
30%
3
HT 1 - FT 2
0%
0
10%
1
HT 1 - FT X
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 1
0%
0
0%
0
HT 2 - FT 2
50%
5
0%
0
HT 2 - FT X
0%
0
10%
1
HT X - FT 1
0%
0
20%
2
HT X - FT 2
20%
2
10%
1
HT X - FT X
20%
2
20%
2
xG(xGa)
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
xG
0.56
1.7
xGa
1.58
1.15
Number of goals
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
0.5
80%
8
20%
2
40%
4
60%
6
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
70%
7
30%
3
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
Yes
10%
1
30%
3
No
90%
9
70%
7
1X2
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
1
10%
1
40%
4
X
40%
4
50%
5
2
50%
5
10%
1
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
12
60%
6
50%
5
1X
50%
5
90%
9
X2
90%
9
60%
6
Total Goals
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
0-1
80%
8
60%
6
2-3
20%
2
20%
2
4+
0%
0
20%
2
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
Yes
40%
4
60%
6
No
60%
6
40%
4
Number of goals
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
SC Freiburg
Under
Over
0.5
70%
7
30%
3
50%
5
50%
5
1.5
100%
10
0%
0
80%
8
20%
2
2.5
100%
10
0%
0
90%
9
10%
1
3.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
4.5
100%
10
0%
0
100%
10
0%
0
Both teams to score
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
Yes
30%
3
20%
2
No
70%
7
80%
8
1X2
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
1
0%
0
40%
4
X
60%
6
40%
4
2
40%
4
20%
2
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
12
40%
4
60%
6
1X
60%
6
80%
8
X2
100%
10
60%
6
Total Goals
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
0-1
40%
4
50%
5
2-3
60%
6
30%
3
4+
0%
0
20%
2
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
Yes
30%
3
60%
6
No
70%
7
40%
4
No predictions available for this match
No predictions available for this match
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
Played:
3
Wins
1
1
Draws
0
0
Wins
2
2
Total
Per Match
Per Match
Total
4
1.3
Goals
1
3
3
1
Goals Conceded
1.3
4
6
2
Yellow Cards
1.7
5
0
Red Cards
0
1
0.3
Clean Sheets
0.3
1
7
2.3
Corners
6.3
19
38
12.7
Fouls
8.3
25
5
1.7
Offsides
4.7
14
21
7
Shots
7.3
22
7
2.3
Shots on Goal
3
9
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 2 | 1 | 3 | |||
| Draws | 1 | 2 | 3 | |||
| Losses | 4 | 5 | 9 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 1.1 | 8 | 0.6 | 5 | 0.9 | 13 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 15 | 1.4 | 11 | 1.7 | 26 |
| Yellow Cards | 1.9 | 13 | 1.3 | 10 | 1.5 | 23 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 1 | |
| Clean Sheets | 0 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.1 | 2 | |
| Corners | 7 | 49 | 3 | 24 | 4.9 | 73 |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 71 | 10.1 | 81 | 10.1 | 152 |
| Offsides | 1.9 | 13 | 1.9 | 15 | 1.9 | 28 |
| Shots | 11.9 | 83 | 8.6 | 69 | 10.1 | 152 |
| Shots on Goal | 4.7 | 33 | 2 | 16 | 3.3 | 49 |
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | |||
| Wins | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Draws | 3 | 2 | 5 | |||
| Losses | 1 | 4 | 5 | |||
| Home | Away | All | ||||
| Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | Per Match | Total | |
| Goals | 2 | 14 | 1.4 | 11 | 1.7 | 25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 9 | 2.1 | 17 | 1.7 | 26 |
| Yellow Cards | 2 | 14 | 1.1 | 9 | 1.5 | 23 |
| Red Cards | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 2 |
| Clean Sheets | 0.1 | 1 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.3 | 4 |
| Corners | 6 | 42 | 3.8 | 30 | 4.8 | 72 |
| Fouls | 9.9 | 69 | 8.1 | 65 | 8.9 | 134 |
| Offsides | 2.9 | 20 | 2.1 | 17 | 2.5 | 37 |
| Shots | 14.3 | 100 | 11.8 | 94 | 12.9 | 194 |
| Shots on Goal | 5.1 | 36 | 3.5 | 28 | 4.3 | 64 |
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