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Form
Bundesliga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 19
Preview
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
17th place
Form
VS
19:30
23 Jan 2026
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
14th place
Form
AI Prediction Double chance : FC St. Pauli or draw
Preview
Value Bets
Trends
H2H Stats

FC St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV: Match Preview, Predictions & Tips - Friday, 23 January, 2026 13:30

Winner (1x2)-
FC St. Pauli to Win
Probability 43%
Total Goals-
Under 2.5
Probability 69%
Both Teams to Score-
No (NG)
Probability 60%
FC St. Pauli Total-
Home Under 2.5
Probability 89%
Hamburger SV Total-
Away Under 2.5
Probability 95%
Double Chance-
FC St. Pauli/Draw
Probability 77%
Asian Handicap-
FC St. Pauli +2.5
Probability 99%

No betting tips available for this match.

Prediction League
Bundesliga 2025-2026
19:30
FC St. Pauli W 43%
:
Hamburger SV W 23%

Scoring Rules

Points are calculated automatically based on your predicted score. Maximum 5 points per match.

Category Points Condition
Exact Score 5 Your prediction matches the final score exactly.
Outcome (1X2) 2 You correctly predicted the winner or a draw.
BTTS Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if both teams score (or if at least one doesn't).
Total Goals Bonus +1 You correctly predicted if total goals are Over or Under 2.5.

Examples:

  • Match result: 3:1 (Home Win, BTTS: Yes, Total: Over 2.5)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 2:1 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: No/Yes mismatch)
    • Prediction 1:1 → 1 point (BTTS: +1, Outcome mismatch)
  • Match result: 2:0 (Home Win, BTTS: No, Total: Under 2.5)
    • Prediction 2:0 → 5 points (Exact Score)
    • Prediction 1:0 → 4 points (Outcome: 2 + BTTS: +1 + Total: +1)
    • Prediction 3:1 → 2 points (Outcome: 2, BTTS: Yes/No mismatch)
FC St. Pauli
l d w d l
7 Played
2 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (8 total)
xG
1.00 (6.7 total)
Shots per Match
11.9 (83 total)
Shots on Target
4.7 (40% acc)
Corners
7 (49 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.1 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.9 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10.1 (71 total)
Offsides
1.9 (13 total)
9 Played
1 Wins
2 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.7 (6 total)
xG
0.60 (5.6 total)
Shots per Match
8.7 (78 total)
Shots on Target
2.2 (26% acc)
Corners
3.1 (28 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.4 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (22%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.3 avg
Red Cards
0 (0 total)
Fouls
9.9 (89 total)
Offsides
1.9 (17 total)
16 Played
3 Wins
3 Draws
10 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.9 (14 total)
xG
0.80 (12.3 total)
Shots per Match
10.1 (161 total)
Shots on Target
3.3 (33% acc)
Corners
4.8 (77 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.8 per match
xGa
1.40 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.1 (1 total)
Fouls
10 (160 total)
Offsides
1.9 (30 total)
Hamburger SV
w w l d l
8 Played
4 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.6 (13 total)
xG
1.30 (10.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.8 (102 total)
Shots on Target
4.9 (38% acc)
Corners
3.9 (31 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.1 per match
xGa
1.20 per match
Clean Sheets
1 (13%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
1.6 avg
Red Cards
0.3 (2 total)
Fouls
11.6 (93 total)
Offsides
1.5 (12 total)
8 Played
0 Wins
2 Draws
6 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
0.5 (4 total)
xG
0.80 (6.1 total)
Shots per Match
11.6 (93 total)
Shots on Target
4.3 (37% acc)
Corners
3.5 (28 total)
Defense
Conceded
2.3 per match
xGa
1.80 per match
Clean Sheets
2 (25%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.5 avg
Red Cards
0.5 (4 total)
Fouls
12.5 (100 total)
Offsides
2.8 (22 total)
16 Played
4 Wins
4 Draws
8 Losses
Attack
Goals Scored
1.1 (17 total)
xG
1.00 (16.1 total)
Shots per Match
12.2 (195 total)
Shots on Target
4.6 (37% acc)
Corners
3.7 (59 total)
Defense
Conceded
1.7 per match
xGa
1.50 per match
Clean Sheets
3 (19%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
2.1 avg
Red Cards
0.4 (6 total)
Fouls
12.1 (193 total)
Offsides
2.1 (34 total)

Probable Scores Heatmap

xG: 1.13 vs 0.79
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
16.97%
🔥
0:1
10.94%
0:2
3.53%
0:3
0.76%
0:4
0.12%
0:5
0.02%
1
1:0
16.72%
1:1
13.24%
1:2
5.06%
1:3
1.26%
1:4
0.23%
1:5
0.03%
2
2:0
8.23%
2:1
7.73%
2:2
3.45%
2:3
0.99%
2:4
0.2%
2:5
0.03%
3
3:0
2.7%
3:1
2.94%
3:2
1.51%
3:3
0.49%
3:4
0.12%
3:5
0.02%
4
4:0
0.67%
4:1
0.82%
4:2
0.48%
4:3
0.18%
4:4
0.05%
4:5
0.01%
5
5:0
0.13%
5:1
0.18%
5:2
0.12%
5:3
0.05%
5:4
0.01%
5:5
0%
Hotspot: 0:0 (17.0%)
Total Boundaries: 0, 1, 2, 3, 4

Probability Distribution by Total Goals

17.0%
0
27.7%
1
25.0%
2
16.3%
3
8.4%
4
3.7%
5
1.4%
6
0.4%
7
0.1%
8
0.0%
9
0.0%
10
Most Probable

🎯 Asian Handicap Predictions

FC St. PauliHDPHamburger SV
4.7%
Very Low
-2.5
1.2%
Very Low
10.6%
Very Low
-2
3.7%
Very Low
16.4%
Very Low
-1.5
6.2%
Very Low
29.5%
Low
-1
14.8%
Very Low
42.5%
Medium
-0.5
23.3%
Low
76.7%
High
+0.5
57.5%
Medium
85.2%
Very High
+1
70.5%
High
93.8%
Very High
+1.5
83.6%
Very High
96.3%
Very High
+2
89.4%
Very High
98.8%
Very High
+2.5
95.3%
Very High

Team Total Predictions

FC St. PauliOutcomeHamburger SV
67.7%
High
Over 0.5
54.6%
Medium
32.3%
Low
Under 0.5
45.4%
Medium
31.2%
Low
Over 1.5
18.8%
Very Low
68.8%
High
Under 1.5
81.2%
Very High
10.6%
Very Low
Over 2.5
4.6%
Very Low
89.4%
Very High
Under 2.5
95.4%
Very High
2.8%
Very Low
Over 3.5
0.9%
Very Low
97.2%
Very High
Under 3.5
99.1%
Very High
In this exciting Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season matchup, FC St. Pauli will take on Hamburger SV as part of the 2025-2026 season in Bundesliga. This match is part of Matchweek 19 and will take place on 2026-01-23 at 2026-01-23 in the famous Millerntor-Stadion. The referee for the game will be . Fans can expect an intense battle between the home team, FC St. Pauli, and the visiting side, Hamburger SV. The scoreline predictions suggest Double chance : FC St. Pauli or draw. Kickoff Details: Date: 2026-01-23 Time: 19:30 Location: Millerntor-Stadion Stay tuned to see how the teams perform in this crucial game!

Value Bets and Betting Odds Comparison for FC St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV Friday, Jan 23rd, 2026 at 13:30 Football

No value bets found for this match.

(Minimum EV: 1%)

Odds Comparison
Updated: 2026-01-15 15:01:34
spinner

Trends for FC St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV Football 23 Jan, 2026 13:30

🤖 AI Pattern Insights

Our model identified 2 recurring performance patterns influencing this matchup:

  • 🟩
    Clean Match Expected

    Both teams disciplined in recent matches — expect technical, fair-play football

  • 🚩
    Corner Fest

    High corner count in recent matches — expect 10+ corners with attacking pressure

🎯 Betting Analysis

FC St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV

🔮 Main Prediction by Periods

🚀 Match Start: Hamburger SV is stronger in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2).

💡 Recommendation: The main advantage is on the away team's side. Consider bets on match outcome and corresponding halves.

⚔️ Team Comparison

🏠 FC St. Pauli

Early Strength
Weak
Matches Analyzed
20
Momentum
0.17
Pressure
0.06

✈️ Hamburger SV

Early Strength
Strong
Matches Analyzed
18
Momentum
0.35
Pressure
0.15

⏰ Match Periods Analysis

📊 Periods Explanation:

Fast Start (0-15 min): Who starts the match better and scores in the first 15 minutes.

First Half (0-45 min): Overall team effectiveness in the first half.

Second Half (46-90 min): How teams play after the break.

Final Stage (76-90 min): Who is stronger in the final minutes of the match.

🏠 FC St. Pauli - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
2
Avg. Goals per Match
0.1
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
9
Avg. Goals per Match
0.45
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.6
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
6
Avg. Goals per Match
0.3

✈️ Hamburger SV - Periods

🚀 Fast Start (0-15 min)
Goals in First 15 min
5
Avg. Goals per Match
0.28
⏰ First Half (0-45 min)
First Half Goals
8
Avg. Goals per Match
0.44
🔄 Second Half (46-90 min)
Second Half Goals
12
Avg. Goals per Match
0.67
⚡ Final Stage (76-90 min)
Late Goals
7
Avg. Goals per Match
0.39

🏆 Detailed Team Analysis

🏠 FC St. Pauli - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
4
Comeback Goals
7
Negative Sequences
3
Killer Goals
5
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
2
Late Pressure
6
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
2
Half-time Spurts
7
Second Half Starts
6
Late Surges
6
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
4
Late Conceded
4

✈️ Hamburger SV - Details

📈 Momentum Analysis
Positive Sequences
8
Comeback Goals
3
Negative Sequences
0
Killer Goals
7
⚡ Pressure Analysis
Early Pressure
5
Late Pressure
7
Pressure Goals
0
⏰ Timing Patterns
Fast Starts
5
Half-time Spurts
3
Second Half Starts
5
Late Surges
7
🛡️ Defensive Analysis
Early Conceded
2
Late Conceded
3

💡 Betting Recommendations by Periods

  • 🚀 Away Fast Start: Hamburger SV often scores in the first 15 minutes (5 vs 2)
  • First Goal Away: High probability of Hamburger SV scoring first
  • Overall Result: Hamburger SV has an advantage in the match
  • Away Handicap: Consider Hamburger SV handicap
  • Total Goals: Analyze team goal statistics
  • Both Teams to Score: Consider defensive qualities of teams

📊 Factor Breakdown

💡 Factor Explanations:

Momentum: Team's ability to maintain and develop success. Shows how the team reacts to scored and conceded goals.

Pressure: Team's ability to create dangerous moments and score in important match moments.

Timing: Team's ability to score in specific periods of the match (start, end of half, etc.).

Defense: Defensive reliability in different periods of the match.

Momentum (Advantage)
Away +0.176
Pressure (Advantage)
Away +0.086
Timing (Advantage)
Away +0.003 (minimal)
Defense (Advantage)
Away +0.032 (away team better)

📝 Detailed Summary

🏠 Home Team Analysis (FC St. Pauli):

Momentum: Strong - team reacts well to changes in the match. Pressure: Low - team rarely creates dangerous moments. Defense: Vulnerable at the start of the match.

✈️ Away Team Analysis (Hamburger SV):

Momentum: Very strong - team excellently maintains success and often scores in response. Pressure: High - team creates many dangerous moments. Defense: Reliable at the start of the match.

🎯 Final Betting Recommendations:

Teams are approximately equal in strength across all periods. Consider bets on draw, low total goals, or exact score.

FC St. Pauli
Hamburger SV

FC St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV Head-to-head statistics for Fri 23 Jan, 2026 @ 13:30 Bundesliga

Bundesliga

#
Club
M
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pt
13
Werder Bremen
d l l d l
>
16
4
5
7
18
31
-13
17
14
Hamburger SV
w w l d l
>
16
4
4
8
17
27
-10
16
15
FC Augsburg
l w l d l
>
16
4
2
10
17
32
-15
14
16
FSV Mainz 05
l d d d w
>
17
2
6
9
17
29
-12
12
17
FC St. Pauli
l d w d l
>
16
3
3
10
14
28
-14
12
18
1. FC Heidenheim
w l l d l
>
17
3
3
11
16
38
-22
12
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : FC St. Pauli or draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
FC St. Pauli
VS
Hamburger SV
Last 1 Head-to-Head Matches
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Wins
Attack
Goals Scored
2 (2)
0 (0)
xG
1.30
0.50
Shots
16 (16)
5 (5)
Shots on Target
6 (6)
2 (2)
Corners
4 (4)
2 (2)
Defense
Conceded
0 (0)
2 (2)
xGa
0.50
1.30
Clean Sheets
1 (100%)
0 (0%)
Discipline
Yellow Cards
3 (3)
2 (2)
Red Cards
0 (0)
1 (1)
Fouls
19 (19)
13 (13)
Offsides
2 (2)
1 (1)
29 Aug
- 18:30
Hamburger SV
FC St. Pauli
0.48
xG
1.34
0
2
Last 6 Matches
FC St. Pauli
VS
Hamburger SV
1/6 (17%) Victories 2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%) Draws 1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%) Defeats 3/6 (50%)
0.83 PPG 1.17
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
67% BTTS % 83%
0% Over 2.5 Goals Scored % 17%
0.56 Avg xG 0.82
FC St. Pauli
L D W D L
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
14 Jan 2026 - 17:30
VfL Wolfsburg
2 1
FC St. Pauli
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
21 Dec 2025 - 14:30
FSV Mainz 05
0 0
FC St. Pauli
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 14:30
FC St. Pauli
2 1
1. FC Heidenheim
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
6 Dec 2025 - 14:30
1.FC Köln
1 1
FC St. Pauli
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
29 Nov 2025 - 14:30
Bayern München
3 1
FC St. Pauli
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
23 Nov 2025 - 16:30
FC St. Pauli
0 1
Union Berlin
Hamburger SV
W W L D L
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
10 Jan 2026 - 14:30
SC Freiburg
2 1
Hamburger SV
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
20 Dec 2025 - 14:30
Hamburger SV
1 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
13 Dec 2025 - 14:30
1899 Hoffenheim
4 1
Hamburger SV
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
7 Dec 2025 - 14:30
Hamburger SV
3 2
Werder Bremen
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
30 Nov 2025 - 14:30
Hamburger SV
2 1
VfB Stuttgart
Bundesliga 2025-2026 - Regular Season
22 Nov 2025 - 14:30
FC Augsburg
1 0
Hamburger SV

FC St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV: Pre-match Stats Comparison

This section provides average statistics and percentages on the main markets for the last 10 matches of both teams ℹ️

Home/Away: Shows home matches for FC St. Pauli and away matches for Hamburger SV

Number of goals
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
0.5
50% 5
50% 5
20% 2
80% 8
1.5
90% 9
10% 1
80% 8
20% 2
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
FC St. Pauli
Hamburger SV
Yes
50% 5
80% 8
No
50% 5
20% 2
1X2
FC St. Pauli
Hamburger SV
1
10% 1
20% 2
X
20% 2
20% 2
2
70% 7
60% 6
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli
Hamburger SV
12
80% 8
80% 8
1X
30% 3
40% 4
X2
90% 9
80% 8
Total Goals
FC St. Pauli
Hamburger SV
0-1
20% 2
20% 2
2-3
60% 6
50% 5
4+
20% 2
30% 3
Total Corners
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
7.5
70% 7
30% 3
90% 9
10% 1
8.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
9.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
10.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli
Hamburger SV
Yes
10% 1
0% 0
No
90% 9
100% 10
1X2 HT - FT
FC St. Pauli
Hamburger SV
HT 1 - FT 1
10% 1
10% 1
HT 1 - FT 2
0% 0
0% 0
HT 1 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT 2 - FT 1
0% 0
10% 1
HT 2 - FT 2
40% 4
40% 4
HT 2 - FT X
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 1
0% 0
0% 0
HT X - FT 2
30% 3
20% 2
HT X - FT X
20% 2
20% 2
xG(xGa)
FC St. Pauli
Hamburger SV
xG
0.58
0.95
xGa
1.6
1.45
Number of goals
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
80% 8
20% 2
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
FC St. Pauli
Hamburger SV
Yes
20% 2
10% 1
No
80% 8
90% 9
1X2
FC St. Pauli
Hamburger SV
1
10% 1
10% 1
X
50% 5
40% 4
2
40% 4
50% 5
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli
Hamburger SV
12
50% 5
60% 6
1X
60% 6
50% 5
X2
90% 9
90% 9
Total Goals
FC St. Pauli
Hamburger SV
0-1
70% 7
80% 8
2-3
30% 3
20% 2
4+
0% 0
0% 0
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli
Hamburger SV
Yes
40% 4
40% 4
No
60% 6
60% 6
Number of goals
FC St. Pauli
Under
Over
Hamburger SV
Under
Over
0.5
70% 7
30% 3
30% 3
70% 7
1.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
2.5
100% 10
0% 0
90% 9
10% 1
3.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
4.5
100% 10
0% 0
100% 10
0% 0
Both teams to score
FC St. Pauli
Hamburger SV
Yes
30% 3
70% 7
No
70% 7
30% 3
1X2
FC St. Pauli
Hamburger SV
1
0% 0
10% 1
X
50% 5
50% 5
2
50% 5
40% 4
Double Chance
FC St. Pauli
Hamburger SV
12
50% 5
50% 5
1X
50% 5
60% 6
X2
100% 10
90% 9
Total Goals
FC St. Pauli
Hamburger SV
0-1
40% 4
30% 3
2-3
60% 6
50% 5
4+
0% 0
20% 2
Clean Sheet
FC St. Pauli
Hamburger SV
Yes
20% 2
20% 2
No
80% 8
80% 8
0.91 xG 0.78
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots Off Goal 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
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