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Form
Bundesliga 2025-2026 • Matchweek 14 13 Dec 2025 - 14:30
Finished
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
17th place
Form
2 : 1
0.80
xG
2.13
Full Time
Half Time: 1-0
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
18th place
Form
35'
M. Kaars
45'
E. Smith
53'
M. Kaars
M. Pieringer
64'
Overview
Lineup
H2H
Stats

FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Heidenheim Football Match Stats & Results Saturday, 13 December, 2025 8:30

1st Half
45' 15' 30'
5'
 
2nd Half
90' 60' 75'
6'
Winner (1x2)1.93
FC St. Pauli to Win
Probability 40%
Total Goals1.74
Under 2.5
Probability 58%
Both Teams to Score1.98
Yes
Probability 53%
FC St. Pauli Total1.21
Home Under 2.5
Probability 85%
1. FC Heidenheim Total1.24
Away Under 1.5
Probability 72%
Double Chance1.28
FC St. Pauli/Draw
Probability 67%
Asian Handicap1.34
1. FC Heidenheim +1.5
Probability 84%

FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Heidenheim Match Preview

Match Stakes and Importance

This upcoming clash between FC St. Pauli and 1. FC Heidenheim is set to be a crucial encounter in the Bundesliga, especially for the struggling home side. Currently sitting at 17th place with just 8 points, St. Pauli is desperate to turn their fortunes around, while Heidenheim, in 16th with 11 points, seeks to widen the gap between themselves and the relegation zone.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams are experiencing challenging spells in the league, with recent performances that reflect their precarious positions.

  • FC St. Pauli: The hosts are on a worrying streak, having failed to secure a win in their last five matches (0W-1D-4L), which has resulted in them scoring an average of just 0.6 goals while conceding 2.2. Their home form is equally concerning, with only one win in five, making their home ground feel less like a fortress and more like a vulnerable spot.
  • 1. FC Heidenheim: The visitors have shown some signs of life, with two wins in their last five matches (2W-1D-2L). However, they still struggle defensively, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match. Their away form has been particularly poor, with one win in five attempts, which places them on shaky ground heading into this matchup.

Head-to-Head

The historical context of this fixture shows a balanced rivalry, with both teams having won once in their last two encounters. The most recent matches ended in Heidenheim victories (0-2), suggesting they may have the psychological edge going into this matchup.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

In terms of tactics, both teams will look to exploit their opponent's defensive vulnerabilities. FC St. Pauli's N. Vasilj has been a steady presence in goal, and his performance will be key in limiting Heidenheim's scoring opportunities. Meanwhile, Heidenheim's D. Ramaj will aim to solidify the backline against St. Pauli's struggling attack. Given both teams' defensive frailties, the midfield battles led by E. Smith and J. Sands for St. Pauli and their counterparts at Heidenheim could prove decisive in determining who controls the game.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Draw.
Predicted Score: 1:1.
Reasoning: The statistical model indicates a closely matched contest, with both teams struggling to find consistent form and scoring ability. With St. Pauli's home struggles and Heidenheim's away woes, a draw seems the most likely outcome based on their recent performances and expected goals statistics.

Betting Tips

Analyzing the statistical predictions reveals several interesting betting opportunities:

  • Safe Bet (High Confidence): Double Chance - 1X @ 1.27 (67.3% probability). This bet offers a high likelihood of value, as the probability significantly exceeds the implied odds.
  • Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Under 2.5 @ 1.84 (54.2% probability, +4.2% value vs. 54.5% implied). The odds suggest a tight match with both teams struggling to score, making this an attractive option.

Bet responsibly.

FC St. Pauli
1. FC Heidenheim
J. Sands
Yellow Card 25'
J. Sands
Roughing
M. Kaars
Goal 1:0 35'
M. Kaars
Assistant: J. Fujita
42' Yellow Card
J. Schöppner
Unsportsmanlike conduct
J. Schöppner
E. Smith
Red Card 45'
E. Smith
Holding
A. Dźwigała
Substitute 46'
In:A. Dźwigała
Out:M. Pereira Lage
46' Substitute
In:S. Schimmer
Out:J. Schöppner
S. Schimmer
46' Substitute
In:O. Traoré
Out:T. Keller
O. Traoré
M. Kaars
Goal 2:0 53'
M. Kaars
64' 2:1 Goal
M. Pieringer
Assistant: S. Schimmer
M. Pieringer
65' Substitute
In:M. Honsak
Out:T. Siersleben
M. Honsak
65' Substitute
In:M. Kaufmann
Out:A. Beck
M. Kaufmann
Arkadiusz Pyrka
Yellow Card 69'
Arkadiusz Pyrka
Holding
73' Yellow Card
M. Kaufmann
Elbowing
M. Kaufmann
R. Jones
Substitute 75'
In:R. Jones
Out:M. Kaars
78' Substitute
In:N. Dorsch
Out:J. Niehues
N. Dorsch
87' Yellow Card
M. Pieringer
Unsportsmanlike conduct
M. Pieringer
C. Metcalfe
Substitute 90' +5'
In:C. Metcalfe
Out:R. Jones

FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Heidenheim Match Preview

Match Stakes and Importance

This upcoming clash between FC St. Pauli and 1. FC Heidenheim is set to be a crucial encounter in the Bundesliga, especially for the struggling home side. Currently sitting at 17th place with just 8 points, St. Pauli is desperate to turn their fortunes around, while Heidenheim, in 16th with 11 points, seeks to widen the gap between themselves and the relegation zone.

Current Form & Trends

Both teams are experiencing challenging spells in the league, with recent performances that reflect their precarious positions.

  • FC St. Pauli: The hosts are on a worrying streak, having failed to secure a win in their last five matches (0W-1D-4L), which has resulted in them scoring an average of just 0.6 goals while conceding 2.2. Their home form is equally concerning, with only one win in five, making their home ground feel less like a fortress and more like a vulnerable spot.
  • 1. FC Heidenheim: The visitors have shown some signs of life, with two wins in their last five matches (2W-1D-2L). However, they still struggle defensively, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match. Their away form has been particularly poor, with one win in five attempts, which places them on shaky ground heading into this matchup.

Head-to-Head

The historical context of this fixture shows a balanced rivalry, with both teams having won once in their last two encounters. The most recent matches ended in Heidenheim victories (0-2), suggesting they may have the psychological edge going into this matchup.

Tactical Analysis & Key Players

In terms of tactics, both teams will look to exploit their opponent's defensive vulnerabilities. FC St. Pauli's N. Vasilj has been a steady presence in goal, and his performance will be key in limiting Heidenheim's scoring opportunities. Meanwhile, Heidenheim's D. Ramaj will aim to solidify the backline against St. Pauli's struggling attack. Given both teams' defensive frailties, the midfield battles led by E. Smith and J. Sands for St. Pauli and their counterparts at Heidenheim could prove decisive in determining who controls the game.

AI Prediction

Winner Prediction: Draw.
Predicted Score: 1:1.
Reasoning: The statistical model indicates a closely matched contest, with both teams struggling to find consistent form and scoring ability. With St. Pauli's home struggles and Heidenheim's away woes, a draw seems the most likely outcome based on their recent performances and expected goals statistics.

Betting Tips

Analyzing the statistical predictions reveals several interesting betting opportunities:

  • Safe Bet (High Confidence): Double Chance - 1X @ 1.27 (67.3% probability). This bet offers a high likelihood of value, as the probability significantly exceeds the implied odds.
  • Value Bet: Goals Over/Under - Under 2.5 @ 1.84 (54.2% probability, +4.2% value vs. 54.5% implied). The odds suggest a tight match with both teams struggling to score, making this an attractive option.

Bet responsibly.

FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Heidenheim Formation Lineups for Sat 13 Dec, 2025 @ 8:30 Bundesliga

Formation
7
FC St. Pauli
3-4-2-1
6.8
1. FC Heidenheim
3-4-2-1
N. Vasilj
8.3
Vasilj 22
K. Mets
7.2
Mets 3
E. Smith
6.3
Smith 8
H. Wahl
7
Wahl 5
Louis Oppie
6.6
Oppie 23
J. Irvine
7.3
Irvine 7
J. Sands
6.3
Sands 6
Arkadiusz Pyrka
6.2
Pyrka 11
M. Pereira Lage
6
46'
Lage 28
J. Fujita
7.9
Fujita 16
M. Kaars
8.2
75'
Kaars 19
D. Ramaj
6.7
Ramaj 41
T. Siersleben
7.6
65'
Siersleben 4
P. Mainka
6.9
Mainka 6
T. Keller
6.3
46'
Keller 27
J. Föhrenbach
6.7
Föhrenbach 19
J. Niehues
6.3
78'
Niehues 16
J. Schöppner
6.5
46'
Schöppner 3
M. Busch
7.5
Busch 2
A. Ibrahimović
7
Ibrahimović 22
A. Beck
7
65'
Beck 21
M. Pieringer
7.2
Pieringer 18
field field
Substitutes
Dźwigała
6.9
46'
Dźwigała 25
Metcalfe
90'
Metcalfe 24
Schimmer
5.9
46'
Schimmer 9
Traoré
6.6
46'
Traoré 23
Honsak
7.2
65'
Honsak 17
Kaufmann
6.2
65'
Kaufmann 29
Dorsch
6.6
78'
Dorsch 30
LineUps
FC St. Pauli
22
g
8.3
5
d
7
8
d
45'
6.3
3
d
7.2
69'
6.2
6
m
25'
6.3
7
m
7.3
6.6
16
m
7.9
46'
6
19
f
35'53'75'
8.2
Substitutes
46'
6.9
1
g
21
d
90'
10
f
9
f
26
f
75'90'
6.7
Coach
1. FC Heidenheim
41
g
6.7
27
m
46'
6.3
6
d
6.9
65'
7.6
2
d
7.5
42'46'
6.5
16
m
78'
6.3
6.7
21
m
65'
7
64'87'
7.2
Substitutes
23
d
46'
6.6
46'
5.9
17
f
65'
7.2
65'73'
6.2
5
d
20
m
30
m
78'
6.6
Coach
Missing Players
FC St. Pauli
- Injured - Muscle Injury
4
d
- Injured - Groin Injury
1. FC Heidenheim
31
f
- Injured - Knee Injury
40
g
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury
- Injured - Knee Injury

FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Heidenheim Head-to-head statistics for Sat 13 Dec, 2025 @ 8:30 Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli
1. FC Heidenheim
Off Target 2 Blocked 1
On Target 5
On Target 7
Off Target 13 Blocked 7
2 Goals 1
37 Ball Possession 63
8 Shots 20
5 Shots on Goal 7
2 Shots off Goal 6
1 Blocked Shots 7
7 Shots insidebox 14
1 Shots outsidebox 6
342 Total passes 577
72 Passes accurate % 84
6 Goalkeeper Saves 2
6 Fouls 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
1 Red Cards 0
0 Offsides 5
4 Corners 10
0.80 Expected Goals 2.13

Stats for FC St. Pauli vs 1. FC Heidenheim Saturday, Dec 13th, 2025 at 8:30 Football

FC St. Pauli
Goalkeepers
Field Players
1. FC Heidenheim
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Best Players of the Match
1
N. Vasilj
8.3
Goalkeeper
2
M. Kaars
Forward
8.2
3
T. Siersleben
7.6
4
M. Busch
Defender
7.5